Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Pacers26%9280
14Heat74%101114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 29.7
23.4
31.1
16
52%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
4-8
50%
3-7
3-7
43%
50%
2-5
40%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 29.3
22.5
24.4
3
15%
2
1
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-5
3-6
0%
47%
1-5
20%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 23.0
16.7
22.8
7
60%
3
0
0
0
0
3
1
2
1-2
50%
3-5
4-8
60%
48%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 30.5
16.5
24.8
0
0%
0
3
0
1
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
44%
0-1
0%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29.0
16.1
27.4
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-2
0%
0-3
3-7
0%
45%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.5
29.5
22.9
9
46%
6
0
0
1
0
1
0
6
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
2-6
33%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.1
27.9
19.6
9
35%
2
0
1
1
0
3
0
2
1-4
25%
4-9
2-4
44%
46%
0-2
0%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 24.1
26.0
25.3
10
53%
10
1
1
1
1
0
3
7
10-10
100%
0-5
5-11
0%
44%
0-0
-
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 26.8
19.5
20.9
10
59%
0
4
0
1
0
1
0
0
6-8
75%
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.4
16.9
10.7
2
20%
6
1
0
0
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
52%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 22.8
13.1
2.8
5
48%
5
0
0
0
1
0
1
4
3-5
60%
1-2
0-1
50%
48%
0-1
0%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.2
12.0
3.8
9
61%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-3
67%
2-4
0-1
50%
42%
1-2
50%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 26.7
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.8
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 32.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 30.4
27.9
18.7
8
44%
3
5
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-9
2-4
44%
47%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 27.9
27.8
36.2
25
64%
3
6
3
2
1
1
1
2
5-6
83%
10-16
10-19
63%
52%
0-1
0%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 29.7
27.1
28.7
8
51%
9
2
3
1
1
2
1
8
2-2
100%
3-6
1-3
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.0
26.2
31.6
16
56%
5
1
0
1
0
2
1
4
2-3
67%
7-13
6-13
54%
50%
0-0
-
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 31.2
18.6
18.9
19
94%
6
2
0
0
1
1
2
4
7-7
100%
6-7
3-7
86%
50%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24.1
21.6
18.9
6
38%
8
1
0
1
0
0
3
5
2-2
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.5
21.5
29.3
13
48%
7
0
0
1
0
0
1
6
1-1
100%
6-13
4-8
46%
52%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.6
20.1
27.0
9
50%
2
1
1
2
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
51%
1-6
17%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.7
17.5
7.0
0
0%
4
1
1
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 27.4
15.2
16.8
6
77%
4
0
0
0
3
0
2
2
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
51%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.6
8.5
2.1
2
22%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-6
0%
1-2
0-0
50%
50%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.2
7.9
6.4
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.3
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.