FinalWin Prob.pScore
2726%92
80
1474%101
114
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
80.0100108.8
MIA logo MIA
112.910193.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA80
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0INDPrice Driving Layup (9 PTS)80
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)78
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 278
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 278
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:36.0INDMISS McRoberts Free Throw 2 of 278
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:36.0INDMISS McRoberts Free Throw 1 of 278
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:36.0INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:37.0INDMISS Rush 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:45.0INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Cook 20' Jump Shot78
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:02MIAWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)78
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:03INDMISS Price 20' Jump Shot78
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:17MIAMagloire 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS)78
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:33INDMcRoberts Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)78
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 1:51INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)75
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 1:52MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 275
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 1:52MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 275
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 2:06MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 2:07INDMISS Head 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 2:16INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)75
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 2:18MIAMISS Wright Layup75
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 2:21MIAWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)75
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 2:22MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 2:44MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)75
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 2:45INDMISS Hansbrough 8' Hook Shot75
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 2:54INDPrice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 2:55MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot75
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 3:06MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 3:07INDMISS Head Driving Layup75
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 3:19MIAJones 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)75
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 3:36INDMISS Head Free Throw Technical75
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:36MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:37INDMISS Hansbrough 10' Running Hook Shot75
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:46INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)75
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:47MIAMISS Wright 9' Turnaround Jump Shot75
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:12INDPrice 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)75
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:29MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)72
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 4:47MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)72
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 4:48MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 5:03MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 5:04INDMISS McRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 5:15MIAChalmers 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)72
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 5:24INDHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)72
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:24INDHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)71
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:24INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)70
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:25INDMISS Hansbrough 8' Jump Bank Shot70
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:35INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:36MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:54INDCook STEAL (1 STL)70
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:07INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:08MIAMISS Beasley 22' Jump Shot70
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:24INDHibbert Foul Turnover (P3.T19)70
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:33INDPrice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:34MIAMISS Magloire 9' Hook Shot70
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:52MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:53INDMISS Hibbert Free Throw 2 of 270
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:53INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)70
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:53INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:54INDMISS Head 12' Jump Shot69
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 7:13INDPacers Rebound69
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 7:14MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 7:26MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 7:27INDMISS Dunleavy 9' Running Jump Shot69
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 7:33INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 7:34MIAMISS Beasley 8' Hook Shot69
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 7:54MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 7:55INDMISS Price Free Throw 1 of 169
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 8:03INDPrice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 8:04MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 267
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 8:04MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 267
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 8:20MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 8:21INDMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 8:30INDPacers Rebound67
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 8:31INDMISS Price 22' Jump Shot67
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 8:39MIAWright 8' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS)67
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 9:03INDHead 6' Jump Shot (9 PTS)67
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 9:14INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 9:15MIAMISS Haslem Driving Layup65
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 9:22MIAHEAT Rebound65
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 9:23MIAMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot65
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 9:39INDPrice Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)65
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 9:39INDPrice Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)64
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 9:47INDPacers Rebound63
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 9:48INDAnthony BLOCK (3 BLK)63
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 9:59MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)63
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 10:09MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 10:10INDMISS Hibbert 8' Turnaround Hook Shot63
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 10:28INDPacers Rebound63
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 10:29MIAMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot63
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 10:40MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)63
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 10:41MIAMISS Cook 18' Jump Shot63
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 11:05MIAHEAT Rebound63
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 11:06INDMISS Price 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 11:26MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)63
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 11:42INDRush 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Price 1 AST)63
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 11:47INDPacers Rebound60
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 11:48INDMISS Dunleavy 27' 3PT Jump Shot60
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA60
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound60
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Chalmers 34' 3PT Jump Shot60
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 0:03.0INDHead Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)60
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 0:03.0INDMISS Head Free Throw 1 of 259
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 0:03.0INDPacers Rebound59
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot59
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)59
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 0:23.0INDMISS Hansbrough 15' Jump Shot59
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 0:26.0INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)59
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 0:27.0INDMISS Rush 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAChalmers 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)59
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)59
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)59
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot59
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Richardson Driving Layup59
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q3 - 0:59.0INDChalmers STEAL (1 STL)59
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q3 - 1:24MIAAnthony Dunk (6 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)59
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q3 - 1:39MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q3 - 1:40INDAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)59
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q3 - 1:52MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)59
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q3 - 1:52MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)59
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q3 - 1:58INDMcRoberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)59
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q3 - 1:58INDMcRoberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)58
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q3 - 2:13MIAHaslem Driving Layup (8 PTS)57
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q3 - 2:24INDFord Foul Turnover (P1.T17)57
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q3 - 2:28INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q3 - 2:29MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q3 - 2:37MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q3 - 2:38INDMISS Head 22' Jump Shot57
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q3 - 2:57MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)57
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q3 - 3:17INDRush Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)57
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 3:17INDMISS Rush Free Throw 1 of 256
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 3:17INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q3 - 3:18MIAMISS Arroyo 21' Jump Shot56
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 3:41INDHead Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T16)56
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 3:49MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)56
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q3 - 4:01INDHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)56
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q3 - 4:01INDHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)55
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q3 - 4:09INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q3 - 4:10MIAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot54
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q3 - 4:20INDArroyo STEAL (2 STL)54
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 4:38MIARichardson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T7)54
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q3 - 4:52INDRush 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)54
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 5:04INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q3 - 5:05MIAMISS Anthony 5' Hook Shot52
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 5:23INDWatson Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P4.T14)52
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 5:40MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)52
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q3 - 5:40MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)52
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q3 - 5:53INDRush Inbound Turnover (P1.T13)52
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 5:53INDPacers Rebound52
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 5:54INDMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot52
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 6:09INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q3 - 6:10MIAMISS Arroyo 15' Jump Shot52
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 6:25MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)52
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 6:26INDMISS Murphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 6:39MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (25 PTS) (Arroyo 5 AST)52
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q3 - 6:52INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)52
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q3 - 7:10MIABeasley Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)49
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q3 - 7:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 7:19INDMISS Dunleavy 21' Jump Shot49
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 7:37MIABeasley Dunk (14 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)49
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q3 - 7:49INDWade STEAL (3 STL)49
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q3 - 7:53MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)49
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q3 - 8:05INDHibbert 9' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)49
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q3 - 8:25MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T5)47
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q3 - 8:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q3 - 8:30MIAMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot47
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q3 - 8:58INDHibbert 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS)47
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q3 - 9:26MIAWade Driving Dunk (23 PTS)45
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q3 - 9:29INDWade STEAL (2 STL)45
0.4%
76
99.6%
Q3 - 9:40INDPacers Rebound45
0.4%
76
99.6%
Q3 - 9:41MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot45
0.4%
76
99.6%
Q3 - 9:54INDWatson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)45
0.4%
76
99.6%
Q3 - 10:00MIAO'Neal 16' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)45
0.4%
76
99.6%
Q3 - 10:16MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
0.5%
74
99.5%
Q3 - 10:17INDMISS Murphy Free Throw 2 of 245
0.6%
74
99.4%
Q3 - 10:17INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)45
0.6%
74
99.4%
Q3 - 10:18INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
0.5%
74
99.5%
Q3 - 10:19INDO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)44
0.5%
74
99.5%
Q3 - 10:30INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
0.5%
74
99.5%
Q3 - 10:31MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 144
0.5%
74
99.5%
Q3 - 10:42MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)44
0.6%
72
99.4%
Q3 - 10:43INDMISS Watson 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
0.7%
72
99.3%
Q3 - 10:55MIARichardson Driving Layup (6 PTS)44
0.7%
72
99.3%
Q3 - 10:59INDRichardson STEAL (3 STL)44
0.8%
70
99.2%
Q3 - 11:10MIABeasley Driving Dunk (10 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)44
1.1%
70
98.9%
Q3 - 11:14INDRichardson STEAL (2 STL)44
1.2%
68
98.8%
Q3 - 11:33MIAArroyo 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS)44
1.4%
68
98.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA44
1.6%
66
98.4%
Q2 - 0:09.0INDHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)44
1.8%
66
98.2%
Q2 - 0:09.0INDHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)43
1.7%
66
98.3%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)42
1.5%
66
98.5%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)42
1.6%
65
98.4%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)42
1.8%
64
98.2%
Q2 - 0:34.0INDMISS Ford Driving Finger Roll Layup42
1.8%
64
98.2%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAArroyo 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)42
2.0%
64
98.0%
Q2 - 0:59.0INDMurphy 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)42
2.3%
62
97.7%
Q2 - 1:05INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
1.8%
62
98.2%
Q2 - 1:06INDMISS Ford 16' Jump Shot39
1.7%
62
98.3%
Q2 - 1:18MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS)39
1.8%
62
98.2%
Q2 - 1:38INDFord Driving Layup (10 PTS)39
2.1%
60
97.9%
Q2 - 1:53MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)37
1.8%
60
98.2%
Q2 - 1:59MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)37
2.1%
58
97.9%
Q2 - 2:00INDMISS Murphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
2.2%
58
97.8%
Q2 - 2:07MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)37
2.5%
58
97.5%
Q2 - 2:07MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)37
2.6%
57
97.4%
Q2 - 2:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
2.8%
56
97.2%
Q2 - 2:10INDMISS Rush Alley Oop Layup37
3.0%
56
97.0%
Q2 - 2:13INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
3.2%
56
96.8%
Q2 - 2:14MIAMISS Richardson 11' Jump Shot37
3.1%
56
96.9%
Q2 - 2:35INDFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)37
2.8%
56
97.2%
Q2 - 2:35INDFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)36
2.8%
56
97.2%
Q2 - 2:41MIABeasley Dunk (8 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)35
2.5%
56
97.5%
Q2 - 2:59INDHead 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)35
2.8%
54
97.2%
Q2 - 3:16MIARichardson 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)33
2.7%
54
97.3%
Q2 - 3:34MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
2.9%
52
97.1%
Q2 - 3:35INDMISS Ford Free Throw 2 of 233
3.0%
52
97.0%
Q2 - 3:35INDFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)33
3.2%
52
96.8%
Q2 - 3:38MIAWade Layup (17 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)32
3.0%
52
97.0%
Q2 - 3:41MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)32
3.3%
50
96.7%
Q2 - 3:42MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot32
3.7%
50
96.3%
Q2 - 3:56INDHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
3.3%
50
96.7%
Q2 - 3:56INDHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
3.2%
50
96.8%
Q2 - 4:07MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)30
3.1%
50
96.9%
Q2 - 4:08MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
3.9%
47
96.1%
Q2 - 4:09MIAMISS Richardson 22' Jump Shot30
4.3%
47
95.7%
Q2 - 4:31MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
3.9%
47
96.1%
Q2 - 4:32INDMISS Murphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
4.0%
47
96.0%
Q2 - 4:53INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
4.4%
47
95.6%
Q2 - 4:54MIAMISS Beasley 8' Jump Shot30
4.2%
47
95.8%
Q2 - 5:08MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
4.1%
47
95.9%
Q2 - 5:09INDMISS Dunleavy 19' Jump Shot30
4.2%
47
95.8%
Q2 - 5:21MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)30
4.6%
47
95.4%
Q2 - 5:30MIAHEAT Rebound30
5.7%
44
94.3%
Q2 - 5:31INDMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
5.9%
44
94.1%
Q2 - 5:45MIAWright Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)30
6.4%
44
93.6%
Q2 - 5:52MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
7.2%
42
92.8%
Q2 - 5:53INDMISS Rush 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
7.4%
42
92.6%
Q2 - 6:18MIAWade Driving Dunk (12 PTS)30
8.4%
42
91.6%
Q2 - 6:29INDMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)30
9.1%
40
90.9%
Q2 - 6:29INDMISS Murphy Free Throw 1 of 229
9.0%
40
91.0%
Q2 - 6:42MIABeasley Dunk (6 PTS)29
9.3%
40
90.7%
Q2 - 6:43MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
10.1%
38
89.9%
Q2 - 6:45MIAMISS Arroyo Driving Layup29
11.0%
38
89.0%
Q2 - 7:03MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
10.3%
38
89.7%
Q2 - 7:04INDMISS Murphy 18' Jump Shot29
10.6%
38
89.4%
Q2 - 7:11INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
11.4%
38
88.6%
Q2 - 7:12MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot29
11.0%
38
89.0%
Q2 - 7:26MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
10.3%
38
89.7%
Q2 - 7:27INDMISS Murphy 9' Jump Shot29
10.6%
38
89.4%
Q2 - 7:38INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
11.4%
38
88.6%
Q2 - 7:39MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot29
11.1%
38
88.9%
Q2 - 7:56INDMurphy 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)29
10.3%
38
89.7%
Q2 - 8:07INDHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
8.7%
38
91.3%
Q2 - 8:08MIAMISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
8.4%
38
91.6%
Q2 - 8:16MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
7.8%
38
92.2%
Q2 - 8:17INDCook BLOCK (1 BLK)26
8.0%
38
92.0%
Q2 - 8:33INDPacers Rebound26
8.6%
38
91.4%
Q2 - 8:34INDMISS Hansbrough 14' Jump Shot26
8.0%
38
92.0%
Q2 - 8:58MIAChalmers 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
8.6%
38
91.4%
Q2 - 9:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
9.6%
36
90.4%
Q2 - 9:11INDMISS Head Driving Layup26
9.9%
36
90.1%
Q2 - 9:18INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)26
10.6%
36
89.4%
Q2 - 9:19MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot26
10.3%
36
89.7%
Q2 - 9:30MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
9.6%
36
90.4%
Q2 - 9:31INDMISS Rush 3PT Jump Shot26
9.9%
36
90.1%
Q2 - 9:43INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
10.6%
36
89.4%
Q2 - 9:44MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
10.3%
36
89.7%
Q2 - 9:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
9.6%
36
90.4%
Q2 - 9:56INDMISS Head 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
9.9%
36
90.1%
Q2 - 10:16MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
10.9%
36
89.1%
Q2 - 10:16MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
11.0%
35
89.0%
Q2 - 10:16MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
11.8%
34
88.2%
Q2 - 10:17MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot26
12.7%
34
87.3%
Q2 - 10:29INDHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
11.8%
34
88.2%
Q2 - 10:29INDHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
11.6%
34
88.4%
Q2 - 10:49INDHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
10.8%
34
89.2%
Q2 - 10:50MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot24
10.5%
34
89.5%
Q2 - 11:06INDFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)24
10.0%
34
90.0%
Q2 - 11:06INDMISS Ford Free Throw 1 of 223
9.9%
34
90.1%
Q2 - 11:10MIABeasley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)23
10.1%
34
89.9%
Q2 - 11:31INDHead Reverse Layup (4 PTS)23
9.1%
34
90.9%
Q2 - 11:42INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
8.4%
34
91.6%
Q2 - 11:43MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot21
8.1%
34
91.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND21
7.6%
34
92.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)21
8.5%
34
91.5%
Q1 - 0:06.0INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)21
7.9%
34
92.1%
Q1 - 0:06.0INDPacers Rebound21
8.5%
34
91.5%
Q1 - 0:07.0INDWade BLOCK (1 BLK)21
8.1%
34
91.9%
Q1 - 0:08.0INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)21
8.5%
34
91.5%
Q1 - 0:08.0INDAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)21
8.1%
34
91.9%
Q1 - 0:30.0MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P1.T2)21
8.5%
34
91.5%
Q1 - 0:42.0INDRush 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)21
7.9%
34
92.1%
Q1 - 0:48.0INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)18
6.4%
34
93.6%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
6.3%
34
93.7%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
6.0%
34
94.0%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup18
6.3%
34
93.7%
Q1 - 1:09MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
6.3%
34
93.7%
Q1 - 1:10INDMISS Ford 18' Jump Shot18
6.4%
34
93.6%
Q1 - 1:15INDPacers Rebound18
6.7%
34
93.3%
Q1 - 1:16INDMISS Jones 4' Hook Shot18
6.4%
34
93.6%
Q1 - 1:23INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
6.7%
34
93.3%
Q1 - 1:24MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot18
6.6%
34
93.4%
Q1 - 1:40MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
6.3%
34
93.7%
Q1 - 1:41INDMISS Head Free Throw 1 of 118
6.3%
34
93.7%
Q1 - 1:44INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
5.6%
34
94.4%
Q1 - 1:45MIAMISS Wade 14' Fadeaway Jumper16
5.5%
34
94.5%
Q1 - 2:01INDFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
5.4%
34
94.6%
Q1 - 2:01INDFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
5.3%
34
94.7%
Q1 - 2:03INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
4.9%
34
95.1%
Q1 - 2:04MIAMISS Wade 19' Fadeaway Jumper14
4.8%
34
95.2%
Q1 - 2:21INDFord 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)14
4.5%
34
95.5%
Q1 - 2:38MIAAnthony Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)12
4.1%
34
95.9%
Q1 - 2:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
4.5%
32
95.5%
Q1 - 2:49INDMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot12
4.6%
32
95.4%
Q1 - 3:06MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)12
5.0%
32
95.0%
Q1 - 3:19MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
5.9%
29
94.1%
Q1 - 3:20MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot12
6.3%
29
93.7%
Q1 - 3:43INDDunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)12
5.9%
29
94.1%
Q1 - 3:52INDPacers Rebound9
5.0%
29
95.0%
Q1 - 3:53INDRichardson BLOCK (1 BLK)9
4.7%
29
95.3%
Q1 - 4:03MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)9
5.2%
29
94.8%
Q1 - 4:03MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)9
5.3%
28
94.7%
Q1 - 4:11MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
5.6%
27
94.4%
Q1 - 4:12INDMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
5.7%
27
94.3%
Q1 - 4:27MIAO'Neal 12' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)9
6.1%
27
93.9%
Q1 - 4:41MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)9
6.6%
25
93.4%
Q1 - 4:42INDMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot9
6.8%
25
93.2%
Q1 - 4:55INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
7.2%
25
92.8%
Q1 - 4:56MIAMISS Beasley 7' Running Jump Shot9
7.0%
25
93.0%
Q1 - 5:18INDMurphy Driving Dunk (5 PTS)9
6.9%
25
93.1%
Q1 - 5:34MIAArroyo 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)7
6.4%
25
93.6%
Q1 - 5:52INDJones 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST)7
6.9%
23
93.1%
Q1 - 6:06MIARichardson Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)5
6.4%
23
93.6%
Q1 - 6:13INDWade STEAL (1 STL)5
5.9%
23
94.1%
Q1 - 6:34MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)5
6.4%
23
93.6%
Q1 - 6:34MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)5
6.6%
22
93.4%
Q1 - 6:41MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)5
7.0%
21
93.0%
Q1 - 6:42INDMISS Jones Driving Layup5
7.1%
21
92.9%
Q1 - 6:58MIAWade 16' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)5
7.6%
21
92.5%
Q1 - 7:11MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
8.2%
19
91.8%
Q1 - 7:12INDMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 25
8.3%
19
91.7%
Q1 - 7:12INDMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 25
8.7%
19
91.3%
Q1 - 7:21INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
8.8%
19
91.2%
Q1 - 7:22MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
8.6%
19
91.4%
Q1 - 7:34INDWatson Foul Turnover (P2.T5)5
8.2%
19
91.8%
Q1 - 7:39MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)5
8.8%
19
91.2%
Q1 - 7:39MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
9.0%
18
91.0%
Q1 - 7:49MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
9.5%
17
90.5%
Q1 - 7:50INDMISS Murphy Free Throw 1 of 15
9.6%
17
90.4%
Q1 - 8:00MIAWade Driving Dunk (5 PTS)3
8.8%
17
91.2%
Q1 - 8:04INDRichardson STEAL (1 STL)3
9.5%
15
90.5%
Q1 - 8:12MIAO'Neal Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)3
10.2%
15
89.8%
Q1 - 8:29INDHibbert Foul Turnover (P2.T3)3
11.0%
13
89.0%
Q1 - 8:32MIARichardson 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)3
11.8%
13
88.2%
Q1 - 8:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
12.7%
11
87.3%
Q1 - 8:45INDMISS Murphy 21' Jump Shot3
13.0%
11
87.0%
Q1 - 8:57MIAWade 18' Fadeaway Jumper (3 PTS)3
13.7%
11
86.3%
Q1 - 9:12INDHibbert Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)3
14.9%
9
85.1%
Q1 - 9:32MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)3
15.9%
9
84.1%
Q1 - 9:32MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 23
16.1%
8
83.9%
Q1 - 9:33MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
15.9%
8
84.1%
Q1 - 9:35INDMISS Hibbert 10' Turnaround Jump Shot3
16.2%
8
83.8%
Q1 - 9:53MIAO'Neal 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)3
16.9%
8
83.1%
Q1 - 10:15INDHibbert 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)3
18.2%
6
81.8%
Q1 - 10:29MIAArroyo 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)1
17.2%
6
82.8%
Q1 - 10:48MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
18.2%
4
81.8%
Q1 - 10:49INDMISS Jones 12' Jump Shot1
18.6%
4
81.4%
Q1 - 11:11MIABeasley Layup (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)1
19.3%
4
80.7%
Q1 - 11:17INDArroyo STEAL (1 STL)1
20.4%
2
79.6%
Q1 - 11:25MIAO'Neal 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)1
21.6%
2
78.5%
Q1 - 11:43INDMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)1
22.7%
0
77.3%
Q1 - 11:43INDMISS Murphy Free Throw 1 of 20
22.6%
0
77.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Hibbert: Tip to0
22.8%
0
77.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.83 41.7%
MIA
1.06 52.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
9
18
50%
MIA
22
29
76%
Midrange
IND
8
35
23%
MIA
23
53
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
6
9.0
22
27%
41%
MIA
1
1.5
11
9%
14%
Free Throws
IND
28
44
64%
MIA
21
29
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Murphy1653%8.0 / 15
T. Hansbrough1050%5.0 / 10
T. Ford1056%5.0 / 9
B. Rush945%4.5 / 10
L. Head938%4.5 / 12
A. Price964%4.5 / 7
R. Hibbert758%3.5 / 6
J. McRoberts550%2.5 / 5
M. Dunleavy315%1.5 / 10
S. Jones220%1.0 / 5
E. Watson0-0.0 / 1
D. Jones0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2566%12.5 / 19
J. O'Neal1995%9.5 / 10
M. Beasley1657%8.0 / 14
U. Haslem1350%6.5 / 13
M. Chalmers950%4.5 / 9
C. Arroyo844%4.0 / 9
Q. Richardson850%4.0 / 8
D. Wright638%3.0 / 8
J. Anthony675%3.0 / 4
J. Magloire220%1.0 / 5
J. Jones233%1.0 / 3
D. Cook0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
81
+15
-19
96
MIA
94
+14
-7
108
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.83 41.7%
MIA
1.06 52.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.8
106.7
IND 80.0 +32.9
MIA 112.9
Pace
97.0
89.6
IND 108.8 +15.4
MIA 93.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.5
16.5
IND 13.2 +2.2
MIA 15.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.1%
49.6%
IND 34.7%
MIA 50.0% +15.3%
TO %
14.7%
13.6%
IND 17.5%
MIA 6.2% +11.3%
ORB %
21.6%
26.0%
IND 14.0%
MIA 26.7% +12.7%
FTrt
29.6
29.6
IND 58.7 +27.5
MIA 31.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.3%
51.9%
IND 52.2% +10.9%
MIA 41.3%
STL %
7.4%
8.1%
IND 3.0%
MIA 9.9% +6.9%
BLK %
8.0%
9.4%
IND 3.7%
MIA 13.2% +9.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.07 and 2.07.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
52.1%
IND 41.7%
MIA 52.8% +11.1%
Rim FG%
57.4%
62.0%
IND 50.0%
MIA 75.9% +25.9%
Mid FG%
39.8%
40.8%
IND 22.9%
MIA 43.4% +20.5%
3P %
34.8%
34.6%
IND 27.3% +18.2%
MIA 9.1%
FT %
77.5%
75.2%
IND 63.6%
MIA 72.4% +8.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
29.8%
IND 24.0%
MIA 31.2% +7.2%
Mid Att. %
38.9%
48.3%
IND 46.7% +10.3%
MIA 57.0%
3P Att. %
27.8%
21.9%
IND 29.3% +17.5%
MIA 11.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDMIA
Possessions100101
Possession Minutes22.125.9
Points80114
Rebounds4055
Assists1219
Steals310
Blocks37
Turnovers (Team)19 (1)7 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (8)12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (4)43 (2)
Field Goals23-7546-93
At-the-Rim FG9-1822-29
Midrange FG8-3523-53
2-Point FG17-5345-82
3-Point FG6-221-11
Free Throws28-4421-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 245 · 30
23.4
16
53%
2
1
1
0
1
2
1
1
4-8
50%
3-7
43%
2-5
40%
F · 6'9" 230 · 29
22.5
3
15%
2
1
0
0
3
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-5
0%
1-5
20%
C · 7'2" 270 · 23
16.7
7
58%
3
0
0
0
3
5
1
2
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 199 · 31
16.5
0
0%
0
3
0
0
4
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G · 6'6" 225 · 29
16.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
2
5
0
1
0-2
0%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24
29.5
9
45%
6
0
0
0
1
2
0
6
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
2-6
33%
G · 6'3" 185 · 27
27.9
9
38%
2
0
1
0
3
1
0
2
1-4
25%
4-9
44%
0-2
0%
· 6'9" 250 · 24
26.0
10
50%
10
1
1
1
0
5
3
7
10-10
100%
0-5
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 165 · 27
19.5
10
56%
0
4
0
0
1
2
0
0
6-8
75%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 25
16.9
2
20%
6
1
0
1
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
· 6'10" 240 · 23
13.1
5
50%
5
0
0
1
0
1
1
4
3-5
60%
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 195 · 23
12.0
9
64%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-3
67%
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
#33 · F-G · 6'9" 222 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · G · 6'1" 175 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#10 · F-C · 6'11" 250 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
80
42%
40
12
3
3
19
0
7
33
28-44
64%
17-53
32%
6-22
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.