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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 27, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Spurs54%10095
18Knicks46%9988
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 20.7
35.0
20.7
8
36%
10
2
1
1
2
3
4
6
0-0
-
4-11
3-6
36%
53%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.6
31.3
32.0
22
60%
3
3
0
1
1
2
0
3
2-3
67%
10-17
6-12
59%
52%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.7
30.4
32.5
13
55%
7
1
0
1
1
4
2
5
1-2
50%
6-11
8-15
55%
52%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29.6
21.2
19.2
2
26%
6
3
0
1
0
0
2
4
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-2
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 29.5
20.7
27.9
8
58%
2
4
1
1
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-5
3-7
40%
48%
1-1
100%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.4
29.8
26.5
17
55%
4
3
2
1
0
2
2
2
3-3
100%
4-8
3-5
50%
49%
2-6
33%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.3
28.6
22.2
9
50%
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
46%
1-5
20%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.6
23.9
21.5
10
83%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
5-6
2-5
83%
45%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.3
19.2
18.2
6
75%
5
3
1
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
50%
0-0
-
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 36.7
10.0
0
1-2
50%
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.8
3.0
0
0-1
49%
Marcus Haislip
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.0
2.5
0
0-1
41%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.7
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 23.1
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.6
39.3
37.2
12
50%
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
6-12
5-10
50%
49%
0-0
-
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 26.7
38.6
39.1
28
90%
10
1
2
1
1
5
0
10
6-6
100%
11-13
7-13
85%
56%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.3
36.7
35.2
4
20%
2
13
2
1
0
0
1
1
0-2
0%
2-5
2-4
40%
44%
0-4
0%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.4
35.5
35.0
19
52%
3
3
1
1
1
2
1
2
8-12
67%
4-8
2-5
50%
47%
1-5
20%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 28.1
34.6
28.2
4
20%
4
1
1
1
2
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-8
2-4
25%
47%
0-2
0%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.9
29.7
31.0
19
63%
2
0
1
1
0
2
0
2
4-5
80%
6-9
4-9
67%
50%
1-4
25%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.9
14.6
19.4
2
17%
5
1
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
42%
0-1
0%
Jonathan Bender
F · 7'0" 230 · 28.9
10.9
8.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 25.6
5.8
0
1-1
50%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.8
4.6
0
1-1
49%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 27.1
2.7
0
0-1
54%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 22.4
2.3
0
0-1
50%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.5
Marcus Landry
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.2
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 34.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.