FinalWin Prob.pScore
542%99
104
758%101
96
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
104.010087.0
DEN logo DEN
99.097114.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL104
100%
96
0%
Q4 - 0:04.0DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)104
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:05.0DENMISS Lawson Layup104
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:07.0DENLawson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)104
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0DENMISS Lawson Driving Layup104
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0DALMavericks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)104
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0DALMavericks Rebound104
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0DALMISS Howard 20' Jump Shot104
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)104
99.8%
96
0.2%
Q4 - 0:40.0DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot104
99.8%
96
0.2%
Q4 - 0:50.0DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Terry 5 AST)104
99.4%
96
0.6%
Q4 - 1:13DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)101
96.3%
96
3.7%
Q4 - 1:13DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)101
96.7%
95
3.3%
Q4 - 1:19DALGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)101
97.5%
94
2.5%
Q4 - 1:19DALGooden Tip Shot (19 PTS)101
97.5%
94
2.5%
Q4 - 1:20DALMISS Terry 9' Running Jump Shot99
93.8%
94
6.2%
Q4 - 1:31DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)99
95.2%
94
4.8%
Q4 - 1:33DENMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)99
91.3%
94
8.7%
Q4 - 1:33DENMISS Martin Tip Shot99
94.1%
94
5.9%
Q4 - 1:34DENMISS Smith 28' 3PT Jump Shot99
94.0%
94
6.0%
Q4 - 1:46DALGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)99
89.8%
94
10.2%
Q4 - 1:46DALMISS Gooden Free Throw 1 of 298
88.9%
94
11.1%
Q4 - 2:01DALGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)98
90.7%
94
9.3%
Q4 - 2:02DENMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot98
89.0%
94
11.0%
Q4 - 2:17DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)98
84.0%
94
16.0%
Q4 - 2:18DALMISS Howard 10' Jump Shot98
86.6%
94
13.4%
Q4 - 2:34DENMartin Driving Finger Roll Layup (18 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)98
91.3%
94
8.7%
Q4 - 2:46DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)98
93.6%
92
6.4%
Q4 - 2:47DALMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 298
94.1%
92
5.9%
Q4 - 2:47DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)98
95.7%
92
4.3%
Q4 - 2:54DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)97
92.3%
92
7.7%
Q4 - 2:54DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)97
93.3%
91
6.7%
Q4 - 3:08DALKidd Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15)97
94.7%
90
5.3%
Q4 - 3:17DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)97
96.9%
90
3.1%
Q4 - 3:17DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)97
97.2%
89
2.8%
Q4 - 3:21DALSmith STEAL (2 STL)97
97.8%
88
2.2%
Q4 - 3:42DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)97
97.2%
88
2.8%
Q4 - 3:42DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)97
97.3%
87
2.7%
Q4 - 4:09DALHoward 8' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Kidd 9 AST)97
98.1%
86
1.9%
Q4 - 4:30DENAnthony 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Nene 3 AST)95
97.4%
86
2.6%
Q4 - 4:44DALNowitzki 15' Fadeaway Bank Shot (10 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)95
98.2%
84
1.8%
Q4 - 5:07DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)93
95.7%
84
4.3%
Q4 - 5:11DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)93
97.7%
81
2.3%
Q4 - 5:12DALMISS Terry 19' Jump Shot93
98.0%
81
2.0%
Q4 - 5:35DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)93
98.4%
81
1.6%
Q4 - 5:35DENMartin Tip Shot (14 PTS)93
98.4%
81
1.6%
Q4 - 5:36DENMISS Martin 9' Jump Shot93
99.1%
79
0.9%
Q4 - 5:50DALGooden 7' Jump Hook Shot (16 PTS)93
98.9%
79
1.1%
Q4 - 6:03DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)91
97.5%
79
2.5%
Q4 - 6:05DENMISS Smith Driving Layup91
97.3%
79
2.7%
Q4 - 6:10DALMartin STEAL (2 STL)91
96.6%
79
3.4%
Q4 - 6:26DALGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)91
97.6%
79
2.4%
Q4 - 6:28DENMISS Carter Layup91
97.3%
79
2.7%
Q4 - 6:33DALMartin STEAL (1 STL)91
96.7%
79
3.3%
Q4 - 6:42DALGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)91
97.6%
79
2.4%
Q4 - 6:43DENMISS Martin 16' Jump Shot91
97.4%
79
2.6%
Q4 - 6:59DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)91
96.7%
79
3.3%
Q4 - 7:00DALMISS Barea 20' Jump Shot91
97.0%
79
3.0%
Q4 - 7:20DALGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)91
96.7%
79
3.3%
Q4 - 7:22DENMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 191
96.5%
79
3.5%
Q4 - 7:42DALGooden Layup (14 PTS)91
97.4%
77
2.6%
Q4 - 7:45DALGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)89
96.7%
77
3.3%
Q4 - 7:45DALMISS Howard 20' Jump Shot89
96.0%
77
4.0%
Q4 - 8:04DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)89
95.6%
77
4.4%
Q4 - 8:05DENMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
95.3%
77
4.7%
Q4 - 8:21DALHoward 7' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)89
94.5%
77
5.5%
Q4 - 8:42DALBarea REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)87
93.0%
77
7.0%
Q4 - 8:44DENMISS Andersen Driving Layup87
92.5%
77
7.5%
Q4 - 9:02DALBarea 21' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)87
89.5%
77
10.5%
Q4 - 9:21DALGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
87.1%
77
12.9%
Q4 - 9:22DALMISS Howard 13' Turnaround Jump Shot85
85.1%
77
14.9%
Q4 - 9:34DALGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
87.1%
77
12.9%
Q4 - 9:35DENMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
86.3%
77
13.7%
Q4 - 9:44DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
84.3%
77
15.7%
Q4 - 9:45DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Fadeaway Jumper85
85.2%
77
14.8%
Q4 - 10:24DENCarter 7' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)85
85.5%
77
14.5%
Q4 - 10:37DALAnthony STEAL (2 STL)85
88.1%
75
11.9%
Q4 - 10:45DALGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
90.3%
75
9.7%
Q4 - 10:47DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
89.7%
75
10.3%
Q4 - 10:53DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
88.1%
75
11.9%
Q4 - 10:53DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot85
88.8%
75
11.2%
Q4 - 11:17DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)85
88.9%
75
11.1%
Q4 - 11:43DALTerry 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Barea 4 AST)85
92.6%
72
7.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN83
90.9%
72
9.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound83
89.1%
72
10.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Martin 28' 3PT Jump Shot83
90.4%
72
9.6%
Q3 - 0:04.0DALMarion Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)83
87.9%
72
12.1%
Q3 - 0:24.0DENSmith 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)83
89.8%
72
10.2%
Q3 - 0:34.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)83
91.7%
70
8.3%
Q3 - 0:35.0DALMISS Marion Layup83
92.1%
70
7.9%
Q3 - 0:43.0DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
93.0%
70
7.0%
Q3 - 0:43.0DENMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
92.6%
70
7.4%
Q3 - 0:53.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)83
91.7%
70
8.3%
Q3 - 0:55.0DALMISS Gooden Free Throw 1 of 183
91.9%
70
8.1%
Q3 - 1:11DENMartin Dunk (12 PTS) (Afflalo 3 AST)81
88.8%
70
11.2%
Q3 - 1:17DALCarter STEAL (2 STL)81
90.8%
68
9.2%
Q3 - 1:23DALGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
92.2%
68
7.8%
Q3 - 1:24DENMISS Afflalo 16' Fadeaway Jumper81
91.8%
68
8.2%
Q3 - 1:51DALHoward 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS)81
90.8%
68
9.2%
Q3 - 2:09DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)79
87.6%
68
12.4%
Q3 - 2:10DENMISS Smith 8' Running Jump Shot79
87.0%
68
13.0%
Q3 - 2:28DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
85.5%
68
14.5%
Q3 - 2:29DALMISS Howard 20' Jump Shot79
86.2%
68
13.8%
Q3 - 2:39DENCarter Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)79
87.7%
68
12.3%
Q3 - 2:54DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)79
85.6%
68
14.4%
Q3 - 2:54DALMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 278
85.2%
68
14.8%
Q3 - 3:04DENSmith Foul Turnover (P2.T12)78
84.5%
68
15.5%
Q3 - 3:18DALTerry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)78
81.8%
68
18.2%
Q3 - 3:24DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
76.1%
68
23.9%
Q3 - 3:25DALMISS Terry 15' Jump Shot75
73.6%
68
26.4%
Q3 - 3:45DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)75
76.1%
68
23.9%
Q3 - 3:45DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)75
76.9%
67
23.1%
Q3 - 3:49DALSmith STEAL (1 STL)75
79.0%
66
21.0%
Q3 - 4:04DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)75
81.2%
66
18.8%
Q3 - 4:10DALNene STEAL (1 STL)75
85.7%
63
14.3%
Q3 - 4:15DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)75
88.0%
63
12.0%
Q3 - 4:16DALMISS Marion 8' Jump Shot75
86.4%
63
13.6%
Q3 - 4:31DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)75
88.0%
63
12.0%
Q3 - 4:44DALMarion Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Kidd 7 AST)75
85.7%
63
14.3%
Q3 - 4:54DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)73
83.8%
63
16.2%
Q3 - 4:54DENMISS Afflalo 19' Jump Shot73
83.0%
63
17.0%
Q3 - 4:59DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
80.9%
63
19.1%
Q3 - 5:01DENMISS Smith Driving Layup73
81.5%
63
18.5%
Q3 - 5:11DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
79.5%
63
20.5%
Q3 - 5:13DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 173
79.9%
63
20.1%
Q3 - 5:23DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)71
77.0%
63
23.0%
Q3 - 5:24DENMISS Nene 11' Jump Shot71
76.0%
63
24.0%
Q3 - 5:41DALKidd Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)71
73.5%
63
26.5%
Q3 - 5:58DENNene Dunk (11 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)71
77.1%
63
22.9%
Q3 - 6:15DALLawson STEAL (2 STL)71
78.4%
61
21.6%
Q3 - 6:22DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)71
81.3%
61
18.7%
Q3 - 6:23DENMISS Lawson 19' Jump Shot71
80.5%
61
19.5%
Q3 - 6:37DALMarion Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Kidd 6 AST)71
78.4%
61
21.6%
Q3 - 6:47DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)69
75.9%
61
24.1%
Q3 - 6:49DENMISS Nene Driving Reverse Layup69
74.9%
61
25.1%
Q3 - 7:03DALKidd Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)69
71.0%
61
29.0%
Q3 - 7:03DALKidd Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)68
70.4%
61
29.6%
Q3 - 7:06DENAfflalo Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)67
67.9%
61
32.1%
Q3 - 7:15DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)67
64.3%
61
35.7%
Q3 - 7:16DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Fadeaway Jumper67
65.4%
61
34.6%
Q3 - 7:36DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)67
68.1%
61
31.9%
Q3 - 7:37DENMISS Martin Finger Roll Layup67
67.0%
61
33.0%
Q3 - 7:50DALMarion 8' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)67
64.4%
61
35.6%
Q3 - 8:14DENLawson 8' Running Bank Shot (11 PTS)65
60.3%
61
39.7%
Q3 - 8:20DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)65
63.6%
59
36.4%
Q3 - 8:21DALMISS Nowitzki 21' Jump Shot65
64.8%
59
35.2%
Q3 - 8:29DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)65
67.3%
59
32.7%
Q3 - 8:30DENMISS Anthony 9' Running Jump Shot65
66.2%
59
33.8%
Q3 - 8:49DALBarea Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST)65
63.6%
59
36.4%
Q3 - 9:04DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
59.8%
59
40.2%
Q3 - 9:05DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot63
58.7%
59
41.3%
Q3 - 9:16DALMarion 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)63
56.1%
59
43.9%
Q3 - 9:41DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)61
52.5%
59
47.5%
Q3 - 9:41DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)61
53.5%
58
46.5%
Q3 - 9:47DALNowitzki Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)61
56.1%
57
43.9%
Q3 - 10:14DENLawson 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)59
52.1%
57
47.9%
Q3 - 10:24DENAnthony Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)59
55.6%
55
44.4%
Q3 - 10:34DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)59
59.1%
54
40.9%
Q3 - 10:34DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)58
57.9%
54
42.1%
Q3 - 10:41DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
55.7%
54
44.3%
Q3 - 10:41DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot57
54.6%
54
45.4%
Q3 - 11:05DALDampier Dunk (6 PTS) (Kidd 5 AST)57
51.6%
54
48.4%
Q3 - 11:19DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)55
48.3%
54
51.7%
Q3 - 11:19DENAnthony Tip Shot (11 PTS)55
48.3%
54
51.7%
Q3 - 11:20DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup55
54.1%
52
45.9%
Q3 - 11:27DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)55
51.6%
52
48.4%
Q3 - 11:28DALMISS Barea 20' Jump Shot55
52.7%
52
47.3%
Q3 - 11:49DENLawson Foul Turnover (P1.T9)55
55.3%
52
44.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL55
51.6%
52
48.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound55
55.3%
52
44.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMISS Marion 39' 3PT Running Jump Shot55
52.7%
52
47.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENAfflalo Dunk (13 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)55
54.4%
52
45.6%
Q2 - 0:03.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
58.5%
50
41.5%
Q2 - 0:04.0DALMartin BLOCK (1 BLK)55
59.3%
50
40.7%
Q2 - 0:21.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
61.0%
50
39.0%
Q2 - 0:21.0DENMartin Tip Shot (10 PTS)55
61.0%
50
39.0%
Q2 - 0:22.0DENMISS Anthony 15' Fadeaway Jumper55
66.5%
48
33.5%
Q2 - 0:33.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)55
64.9%
48
35.1%
Q2 - 0:34.0DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
65.6%
48
34.4%
Q2 - 0:45.0DENMartin Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS) (Anthony 4 AST)55
67.2%
48
32.8%
Q2 - 0:50.0DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
70.7%
46
29.3%
Q2 - 0:52.0DALMISS Kidd 8' Jump Bank Shot55
71.4%
46
28.6%
Q2 - 1:03DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)55
72.2%
46
27.8%
Q2 - 1:04DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 255
72.0%
46
28.0%
Q2 - 1:04DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)55
70.0%
46
30.0%
Q2 - 1:17DALTerry 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)55
72.9%
45
27.1%
Q2 - 1:31DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)53
69.5%
45
30.5%
Q2 - 1:32DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup53
68.9%
45
31.1%
Q2 - 1:44DALAnthony STEAL (1 STL)53
67.5%
45
32.5%
Q2 - 1:46DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
69.5%
45
30.5%
Q2 - 1:47DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup53
68.9%
45
31.1%
Q2 - 1:55DALNowitzki 8' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS)53
67.5%
45
32.5%
Q2 - 2:19DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
63.4%
45
36.6%
Q2 - 2:20DENMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 251
63.0%
45
37.0%
Q2 - 2:20DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)51
61.4%
45
38.6%
Q2 - 2:30DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
63.3%
44
36.7%
Q2 - 2:31DALMISS Nowitzki 21' Jump Shot51
64.3%
44
35.7%
Q2 - 2:44DALMavericks Rebound51
66.4%
44
33.6%
Q2 - 2:45DALMISS Terry 18' Jump Shot51
64.3%
44
35.7%
Q2 - 2:51DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
66.4%
44
33.6%
Q2 - 2:52DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)51
63.4%
44
36.6%
Q2 - 2:52DENMISS Anthony Layup51
65.5%
44
34.5%
Q2 - 2:52DENMISS Martin Driving Layup51
65.5%
44
34.5%
Q2 - 3:03DENNUGGETS Rebound51
62.6%
44
37.4%
Q2 - 3:04DALMISS Nowitzki 9' Running Bank Shot51
63.7%
44
36.3%
Q2 - 3:24DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
66.1%
44
33.9%
Q2 - 3:25DENMISS Afflalo Free Throw 2 of 251
65.6%
44
34.4%
Q2 - 3:25DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)51
63.8%
44
36.2%
Q2 - 3:32DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
65.5%
43
34.5%
Q2 - 3:32DALMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 251
66.0%
43
34.0%
Q2 - 3:32DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)51
67.9%
43
32.1%
Q2 - 3:50DENLawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)50
66.1%
43
33.9%
Q2 - 4:09DALGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)50
70.2%
40
29.8%
Q2 - 4:09DALMISS Gooden Free Throw 1 of 249
69.7%
40
30.3%
Q2 - 4:26DENNene Dunk (7 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)49
70.5%
40
29.5%
Q2 - 4:43DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)49
72.8%
38
27.2%
Q2 - 4:43DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)48
72.3%
38
27.7%
Q2 - 4:58DENMartin Driving Layup (5 PTS)47
70.5%
38
29.5%
Q2 - 5:17DALBarea 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Howard 4 AST)47
72.3%
36
27.7%
Q2 - 5:23DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
69.8%
36
30.2%
Q2 - 5:24DENMISS Smith 22' Fadeaway Jumper45
69.1%
36
30.9%
Q2 - 5:43DALGooden Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)45
67.3%
36
32.7%
Q2 - 6:00DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)42
61.8%
36
38.2%
Q2 - 6:00DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 242
62.5%
35
37.5%
Q2 - 6:01DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
60.8%
35
39.2%
Q2 - 6:03DENMISS Nene Finger Roll Layup42
63.1%
35
36.9%
Q2 - 6:15DALHoward 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)42
60.9%
35
39.1%
Q2 - 6:32DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)40
58.6%
35
41.4%
Q2 - 6:38DENSmith Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)40
63.7%
32
36.3%
Q2 - 6:49DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)40
66.3%
31
33.7%
Q2 - 6:49DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)39
66.0%
31
34.0%
Q2 - 7:06DALMavericks Rebound38
63.3%
31
36.7%
Q2 - 7:07DENMISS Lawson 27' 3PT Jump Shot38
62.5%
31
37.5%
Q2 - 7:21DENNUGGETS Rebound38
60.5%
31
39.5%
Q2 - 7:21DENMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
62.5%
31
37.5%
Q2 - 7:31DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
60.5%
31
39.5%
Q2 - 7:31DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot38
61.4%
31
38.6%
Q2 - 7:55DENAfflalo Layup (10 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)38
63.4%
31
36.6%
Q2 - 8:15DALTerry Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Barea 2 AST)38
64.9%
29
35.1%
Q2 - 8:19DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)36
62.4%
29
37.6%
Q2 - 8:19DENMISS Carter 8' Jump Shot36
61.6%
29
38.4%
Q2 - 8:36DALTerry 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)36
59.8%
29
40.2%
Q2 - 8:50DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)34
57.2%
29
42.8%
Q2 - 8:52DENMISS Carter 11' Running Jump Shot34
56.4%
29
43.6%
Q2 - 8:58DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
54.5%
29
45.5%
Q2 - 8:59DALMISS Howard 10' Running Jump Shot34
55.3%
29
44.7%
Q2 - 9:23DENCarter Layup (4 PTS)34
56.6%
29
43.4%
Q2 - 9:25DALCarter STEAL (1 STL)34
59.0%
27
41.0%
Q2 - 9:45DENAnthony Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)34
61.7%
27
38.3%
Q2 - 9:51DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
64.1%
25
35.9%
Q2 - 9:51DALMISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
64.9%
25
35.1%
Q2 - 9:57DALBarea REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
66.6%
25
33.4%
Q2 - 9:57DALMISS Barea 3PT Jump Shot34
64.9%
25
35.1%
Q2 - 10:06DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
66.2%
25
33.8%
Q2 - 10:07DENMISS Smith 15' Fadeaway Jumper34
65.4%
25
34.6%
Q2 - 10:25DALBarea Driving Layup (7 PTS)34
63.6%
25
36.4%
Q2 - 10:46DENAnthony Layup (6 PTS)32
61.4%
25
38.6%
Q2 - 10:47DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)32
63.6%
23
36.4%
Q2 - 10:48DENMISS Anthony Tip Shot32
65.4%
23
34.6%
Q2 - 10:48DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)32
63.6%
23
36.4%
Q2 - 10:49DENMISS Anthony Layup32
65.4%
23
34.6%
Q2 - 10:54DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)32
63.6%
23
36.4%
Q2 - 10:55DENMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
65.4%
23
34.6%
Q2 - 11:07DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
63.0%
23
37.0%
Q2 - 11:08DALMISS Howard 20' Jump Shot32
63.8%
23
36.2%
Q2 - 11:22DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P2.T8)32
65.5%
23
34.5%
Q2 - 11:32DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
63.1%
23
36.9%
Q2 - 11:33DALMISS Gooden Free Throw 1 of 132
63.4%
23
36.6%
Q2 - 11:48DENSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T7)30
60.8%
23
39.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL30
58.2%
23
41.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound30
60.8%
23
39.2%
Q1 - 0:02.0DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
58.2%
23
41.8%
Q1 - 0:03.0DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
59.5%
23
40.5%
Q1 - 0:04.0DENMISS Martin 8' Jump Shot30
58.9%
23
41.1%
Q1 - 0:25.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
57.7%
23
42.3%
Q1 - 0:26.0DALMISS Howard 11' Jump Shot30
58.3%
23
41.7%
Q1 - 0:33.0DENCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)30
59.6%
23
40.4%
Q1 - 0:48.0DALHoward Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)30
57.7%
23
42.3%
Q1 - 1:05DENCarter Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)30
58.8%
23
41.2%
Q1 - 1:11DALGooden 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)30
57.2%
23
42.8%
Q1 - 1:25DENAnthony Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)28
54.2%
23
45.8%
Q1 - 1:32DALGooden 5' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)28
52.5%
23
47.5%
Q1 - 1:46DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
49.4%
23
50.6%
Q1 - 1:46DENMISS Martin 21' Jump Shot26
48.9%
23
51.1%
Q1 - 2:02DALKidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)26
47.6%
23
52.4%
Q1 - 2:14DENCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)23
42.6%
23
57.4%
Q1 - 2:20DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
40.7%
23
59.3%
Q1 - 2:21DALMISS Howard 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
41.2%
23
58.8%
Q1 - 2:43DENCarter Driving Layup (2 PTS)23
42.6%
23
57.4%
Q1 - 2:55DENNUGGETS Rebound23
45.3%
21
54.7%
Q1 - 2:56DENMISS Andersen Layup23
46.6%
21
53.4%
Q1 - 3:09DALHoward 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Kidd 4 AST)23
44.9%
21
55.1%
Q1 - 3:22DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
42.7%
21
57.3%
Q1 - 3:23DENMISS Carter 3PT Jump Shot21
42.0%
21
58.0%
Q1 - 3:39DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
40.4%
21
59.6%
Q1 - 3:39DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
40.1%
21
59.9%
Q1 - 3:39DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
38.3%
21
61.7%
Q1 - 3:40DALAfflalo BLOCK (1 BLK)19
36.8%
21
63.2%
Q1 - 3:59DENLawson Driving Layup (4 PTS)19
38.3%
21
61.7%
Q1 - 4:07DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
40.1%
19
59.9%
Q1 - 4:10DENMISS Anthony Layup19
41.7%
19
58.3%
Q1 - 4:15DALKidd 15' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)19
40.1%
19
59.9%
Q1 - 4:30DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
38.1%
19
61.9%
Q1 - 4:31DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot17
37.4%
19
62.6%
Q1 - 4:46DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
35.9%
19
64.1%
Q1 - 4:46DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
35.2%
19
64.8%
Q1 - 4:48DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
34.0%
19
66.0%
Q1 - 4:50DALMISS Dampier Layup15
32.5%
19
67.5%
Q1 - 4:53DENNene Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)15
34.0%
19
66.0%
Q1 - 4:56DENNUGGETS Rebound15
31.9%
19
68.1%
Q1 - 4:57DENMISS Anthony 15' Jump Shot15
33.4%
19
66.6%
Q1 - 5:19DALMarion 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Kidd 3 AST)15
32.0%
19
68.0%
Q1 - 5:31DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
30.4%
19
69.6%
Q1 - 5:31DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
30.6%
18
69.4%
Q1 - 5:47DALNowitzki 10' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)13
32.0%
17
68.0%
Q1 - 6:06DENMartin Foul Turnover (P1.T1)11
30.3%
17
69.7%
Q1 - 6:14DALDampier Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Barea 1 AST)11
28.5%
17
71.5%
Q1 - 6:21DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
26.9%
17
73.1%
Q1 - 6:21DENMISS Nene 16' Turnaround Jump Shot9
26.4%
17
73.6%
Q1 - 6:37DALBarea 15' Running Bank Shot (5 PTS)9
25.2%
17
74.8%
Q1 - 6:57DENLawson Driving Layup (2 PTS)7
23.7%
17
76.3%
Q1 - 7:02DALLawson STEAL (1 STL)7
25.3%
15
74.7%
Q1 - 7:16DENMartin Layup (3 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)7
27.0%
15
73.0%
Q1 - 7:25DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
28.6%
13
71.4%
Q1 - 7:27DALMISS Marion 15' Jump Shot7
29.1%
13
70.9%
Q1 - 7:45DENAnthony Layup (2 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)7
30.4%
13
69.6%
Q1 - 7:48DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
32.1%
11
67.9%
Q1 - 7:49DALMISS Marion 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
32.7%
11
67.3%
Q1 - 8:09DENAfflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)7
34.0%
11
66.0%
Q1 - 8:27DALMarion Layup (2 PTS) (Kidd 2 AST)7
37.8%
8
62.2%
Q1 - 8:33DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
35.9%
8
64.1%
Q1 - 8:34DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot5
35.3%
8
64.7%
Q1 - 8:40DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
34.0%
8
66.0%
Q1 - 8:43DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
34.6%
8
65.4%
Q1 - 8:58DENAfflalo 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)5
35.9%
8
64.1%
Q1 - 9:04DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
38.2%
6
61.8%
Q1 - 9:05DALAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)5
38.7%
6
61.3%
Q1 - 9:27DENAfflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)5
40.0%
6
60.0%
Q1 - 9:38DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
44.0%
3
56.0%
Q1 - 9:39DALMISS Barea 12' Fadeaway Jumper5
44.5%
3
55.5%
Q1 - 9:49DENNene Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)5
45.8%
3
54.2%
Q1 - 10:07DALBarea 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kidd 1 AST)5
47.2%
1
52.8%
Q1 - 10:15DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
43.7%
1
56.3%
Q1 - 10:17DENMISS Nene Layup2
43.1%
1
56.9%
Q1 - 10:31DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
41.7%
1
58.3%
Q1 - 10:32DALMISS Dampier Layup2
42.3%
1
57.7%
Q1 - 10:41DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
43.7%
1
56.3%
Q1 - 10:43DENMISS Lawson 22' Jump Shot2
43.1%
1
56.9%
Q1 - 10:53DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
41.7%
1
58.3%
Q1 - 10:54DALMISS Kidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
42.3%
1
57.7%
Q1 - 11:04DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
43.0%
1
57.0%
Q1 - 11:05DENMISS Martin 13' Jump Bank Shot2
42.5%
1
57.5%
Q1 - 11:10DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
41.4%
1
58.6%
Q1 - 11:12DALMISS Marion 6' Jump Hook Shot2
41.9%
1
58.1%
Q1 - 11:29DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
43.0%
1
57.0%
Q1 - 11:29DENMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 22
42.8%
1
57.2%
Q1 - 11:29DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
41.9%
1
58.1%
Q1 - 11:43DALNowitzki 12' Fadeaway Bank Shot (2 PTS)2
43.1%
0
56.9%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Nene vs. Dampier: Tip to Nowitzki0
41.4%
0
58.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.07 53.6%
DEN
0.94 47.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
15
19
79%
DEN
23
43
53%
Midrange
DAL
22
50
44%
DEN
6
29
21%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
DEN
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
Free Throws
DAL
18
26
69%
DEN
23
29
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Gooden1995%9.5 / 10
J. Howard1743%8.5 / 20
D. Nowitzki1343%6.5 / 15
J. Barea1365%6.5 / 10
J. Terry1350%6.5 / 13
S. Marion1246%6.0 / 13
E. Dampier1071%5.0 / 7
J. Kidd770%3.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Martin1847%9.0 / 19
C. Anthony1636%8.0 / 22
T. Lawson1667%8.0 / 12
Nene1359%6.5 / 11
A. Afflalo1359%6.5 / 11
J. Smith1142%5.5 / 13
A. Carter840%4.0 / 10
C. Andersen117%0.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
85
+12
-15
97
DEN
84
+16
-13
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.07 53.6%
DEN
0.94 47.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
111.9
DAL 104.0
DEN 99.0 +5.0
Pace
92.6
94.7
DAL 87.0
DEN 114.0 +27.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
14.7
DAL 16.5
DEN 12.6 +3.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
50.9%
DAL 52.4% +11.4%
DEN 41.0%
TO %
13.2%
14.2%
DAL 14.6%
DEN 11.3% +3.3%
ORB %
24.3%
26.1%
DAL 19.5%
DEN 21.8% +2.3%
FTrt
27.7
37.6
DAL 31.7
DEN 32.6 +0.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.1%
55.0%
DAL 61.0% +2.2%
DEN 58.8%
STL %
8.1%
8.7%
DAL 5.0%
DEN 11.3% +6.3%
BLK %
8.5%
7.9%
DAL 8.3% +4.0%
DEN 4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.6%
54.9%
DAL 53.6% +6.5%
DEN 47.1%
Rim FG%
58.4%
61.0%
DAL 78.9% +25.4%
DEN 53.5%
Mid FG%
42.9%
39.6%
DAL 44.0% +23.3%
DEN 20.7%
3P %
37.2%
35.9%
DAL 30.8% +1.4%
DEN 29.4%
FT %
81.7%
77.2%
DAL 69.2%
DEN 79.3% +10.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.8%
37.5%
DAL 23.2%
DEN 48.3% +25.1%
Mid Att. %
47.1%
39.8%
DAL 61.0%
DEN 32.6% +28.4%
3P Att. %
22.2%
22.7%
DAL 15.9%
DEN 19.1% +3.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.41 and 2.41.
Game TotalsDALDEN
Possessions10097
Possession Minutes27.620.4
Points10496
Rebounds5145
Assists2520
Steals511
Blocks63
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (4)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)43 (1)33 (1)
Field Goals41-8234-89
At-the-Rim FG15-1923-43
Midrange FG22-506-29
2-Point FG37-6929-72
3-Point FG4-135-17
Free Throws18-2623-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 7'0" 245 · 32
38.7
13
43%
11
2
0
0
2
5
0
11
0-0
-
5-13
38%
1-2
50%
G · 6'4" 210 · 37
36.1
7
70%
5
9
1
2
4
2
0
5
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
G · 6'0" 185 · 26
28.0
13
65%
2
4
0
0
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
5-8
63%
1-2
50%
F · 6'7" 228 · 32
27.4
12
46%
4
0
2
2
2
2
1
3
0-0
-
6-11
55%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 265 · 34
20.6
10
71%
9
1
1
1
0
1
1
8
4-5
80%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 32
31.9
13
50%
1
5
0
0
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
4-9
44%
1-3
33%
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 30
29.9
17
43%
9
4
1
0
3
3
2
7
7-10
70%
5-13
38%
0-2
0%
F · 6'10" 250 · 28
27.4
19
95%
10
0
0
1
2
2
3
7
3-7
43%
8-8
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 240 · 33
F · 6'9" 235 · 25
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 29
G · 6'2" 185 · 22
#13 · G · 6'6" 212 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · F · 6'8" 230 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · F · 6'10" 230 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
54%
51
25
5
6
15
0
8
43
18-26
69%
37-69
54%
4-13
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.