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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 3, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Spurs61%10186
19Raptors39%9891
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 29.5
37.9
28.9
12
55%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
5-8
4-7
63%
50%
0-2
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.6
36.7
31.3
23
77%
3
6
1
1
0
2
0
3
4-9
44%
8-10
6-12
80%
53%
1-1
100%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29.6
22.1
21.7
6
60%
2
1
3
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
50%
2-3
67%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.3
18.1
18.9
2
17%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-6
2-5
17%
51%
0-0
-
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 36.7
8.5
5.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.4
30.6
26.9
7
34%
7
4
1
1
0
0
1
6
3-3
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
51%
0-3
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.7
29.3
31.7
21
40%
12
1
0
1
0
1
4
8
5-9
56%
8-22
7-14
36%
53%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.3
27.0
24.9
5
43%
6
1
0
0
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
1-3
33%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 20.7
18.5
20.6
8
51%
6
0
0
1
1
3
2
4
0-2
0%
4-7
3-6
57%
54%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.7
11.3
21.1
2
25%
1
2
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.9
3.7
0
0-1
51%
Marcus Haislip
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.0
3.5
0
1-1
50%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.8
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.7
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 23.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 24.2
41.5
38.6
15
40%
8
1
0
0
5
1
2
6
4-6
67%
4-12
5-11
33%
48%
1-4
25%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 25.8
39.1
37.4
22
44%
15
3
1
1
2
3
3
12
2-2
100%
10-24
8-15
42%
50%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25.9
34.9
9.8
8
58%
6
1
0
0
0
2
0
6
2-2
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
45%
0-1
0%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.2
34.4
32.9
16
69%
3
8
0
1
0
2
0
3
8-8
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
49%
0-1
0%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 20.4
22.8
16.4
11
65%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
5-8
2-5
63%
47%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.8
25.1
19.5
7
41%
4
3
1
1
0
2
0
4
7-8
88%
0-3
2-4
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.5
16.3
16.3
2
33%
4
3
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
47%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 28.1
13.6
16.4
8
80%
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
48%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 22.7
12.3
13.4
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
57%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.6
3.4
0
1-1
51%
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.3
3.2
0
0-1
47%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.5
2.6
0
0-1
50%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.3
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 29.6
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 30.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.