| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 MIA | 100.0 | 86 | 86.8 |
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Scoring Opportunities
MIA
73
+19
-13
92
CLE
73
+15
-14
88
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
0.92 46.2%
CLE
1.15 57.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | MIA | CLE |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | CLE | 86 0% | 102 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:15.0 | MIA | Arroyo 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 86 0% | 102 100% |
| Q4 - 0:24.0 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10) | 84 0% | 102 100% |
| Q4 - 0:25.0 | CLE | MISS D. Jackson 1' Reverse Layup | 84 0% | 102 100% |
| Q4 - 0:43.0 | CLE | Hickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 84 0.1% | 102 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:44.0 | MIA | MISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 84 0.1% | 102 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:04 | MIA | Richardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 84 0.1% | 102 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:05 | CLE | MISS Moon 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 84 0.1% | 102 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:20 | CLE | Moon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 84 0.1% | 102 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:21 | MIA | MISS Beasley 3PT Jump Shot | 84 0.1% | 102 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:41 | MIA | Richardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 84 0.1% | 102 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:42 | CLE | MISS Hickson 1' Layup | 84 0.1% | 102 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:04 | CLE | Hickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 84 0.1% | 102 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:06 | MIA | MISS Cook 9' Running Jump Shot | 84 0.1% | 102 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:24 | CLE | James 23' Jump Shot (36 PTS) | 84 0.1% | 102 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:48 | CLE | Varejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 84 0.1% | 100 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:49 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 | 84 0.1% | 100 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:49 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 | 84 0.1% | 100 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:04 | CLE | James 23' Jump Shot (34 PTS) | 84 0.1% | 100 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:29 | CLE | Gibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 84 0.1% | 98 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:30 | MIA | MISS Beasley 15' Jump Shot | 84 0.1% | 98 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:46 | CLE | James Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15) | 84 0.3% | 98 99.7% |
| Q4 - 4:09 | MIA | O'Neal 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wright 2 AST) | 84 0.2% | 98 99.8% |
| Q4 - 4:23 | MIA | Wright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 82 0.1% | 98 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:24 | CLE | MISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot | 82 0.1% | 98 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:33 | CLE | Varejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 82 0.1% | 98 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:35 | MIA | Varejao BLOCK (2 BLK) | 82 0.1% | 98 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:59 | CLE | Varejao 1' Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Ilgauskas 1 AST) | 82 0.1% | 98 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:21 | CLE | Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 82 0.4% | 96 99.6% |
| Q4 - 5:22 | MIA | MISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 82 0.5% | 96 99.5% |
| Q4 - 5:40 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9) | 82 0.6% | 96 99.4% |
| Q4 - 5:41 | CLE | MISS Gibson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 82 0.5% | 96 99.5% |
| Q4 - 5:57 | MIA | Wade 1' Driving Slam Dunk (24 PTS) | 82 0.4% | 96 99.6% |
| Q4 - 6:07 | CLE | Gibson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Moon 1 AST) | 80 0.5% | 96 99.5% |
| Q4 - 6:30 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0) | 80 0.8% | 93 99.2% |
| Q4 - 6:30 | MIA | Wade 2' Tip Shot (22 PTS) | 80 0.8% | 93 99.2% |
| Q4 - 6:31 | MIA | MISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot | 78 0.5% | 93 99.5% |
| Q4 - 6:54 | CLE | James 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (32 PTS) | 78 0.6% | 93 99.4% |
| Q4 - 7:16 | CLE | Moon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 78 1.1% | 91 98.9% |
| Q4 - 7:18 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 1 | 78 1.1% | 91 98.9% |
| Q4 - 7:35 | CLE | Gibson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 8 AST) | 76 0.8% | 91 99.2% |
| Q4 - 7:53 | CLE | Moon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 76 1.4% | 88 98.6% |
| Q4 - 7:54 | MIA | MISS Richardson 1' Alley Oop Layup | 76 1.5% | 88 98.5% |
| Q4 - 8:02 | CLE | Moon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14) | 76 2.3% | 88 97.7% |
| Q4 - 8:13 | CLE | Moon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 76 1.8% | 88 98.2% |
| Q4 - 8:14 | MIA | MISS O'Neal 13' Jump Shot | 76 2.0% | 88 98.0% |
| Q4 - 8:26 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 76 2.3% | 88 97.7% |
| Q4 - 8:26 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Reverse Layup | 76 1.9% | 88 98.1% |
| Q4 - 8:46 | MIA | Wright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 76 2.3% | 88 97.7% |
| Q4 - 8:47 | CLE | MISS Gibson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 76 2.1% | 88 97.9% |
| Q4 - 9:12 | MIA | Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Wade 9 AST) | 76 2.2% | 88 97.8% |
| Q4 - 9:24 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8) | 73 1.4% | 88 98.6% |
| Q4 - 9:25 | CLE | MISS Ilgauskas 16' Jump Shot | 73 1.3% | 88 98.7% |
| Q4 - 9:45 | MIA | Moon STEAL (1 STL) | 73 1.1% | 88 98.9% |
| Q4 - 9:58 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 73 1.4% | 88 98.6% |
| Q4 - 9:59 | CLE | MISS Gibson Free Throw 2 of 2 | 73 1.3% | 88 98.7% |
| Q4 - 9:59 | CLE | Gibson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 73 1.1% | 88 98.9% |
| Q4 - 10:05 | CLE | James REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 73 1.6% | 87 98.4% |
| Q4 - 10:07 | MIA | MISS Wade 20' Jump Shot | 73 1.7% | 87 98.3% |
| Q4 - 10:09 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 73 2.0% | 87 98.0% |
| Q4 - 10:10 | MIA | MISS Wade 22' Jump Shot | 73 1.7% | 87 98.3% |
| Q4 - 10:33 | CLE | Moon 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (James 7 AST) | 73 2.0% | 87 98.0% |
| Q4 - 10:40 | CLE | Gibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 73 2.5% | 85 97.5% |
| Q4 - 10:41 | MIA | MISS Beasley 2' Layup | 73 2.7% | 85 97.3% |
| Q4 - 11:02 | CLE | James 11' Jump Shot (30 PTS) | 73 3.5% | 85 96.5% |
| Q4 - 11:16 | CLE | James Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (28 PTS) | 73 4.3% | 83 95.7% |
| Q4 - 11:16 | CLE | James Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (27 PTS) | 73 4.5% | 82 95.5% |
| Q4 - 11:19 | MIA | James STEAL (2 STL) | 73 6.4% | 81 93.6% |
| Q4 - 11:34 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2) | 73 7.8% | 81 92.2% |
| Q4 - 11:36 | CLE | MISS Gibson 3' Layup | 73 7.4% | 81 92.6% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | CLE | 73 6.4% | 81 93.6% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | CLE | CAVALIERS Rebound | 73 6.4% | 81 93.6% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | CLE | MISS Williams 16' Jump Shot | 73 7.3% | 81 92.7% |
| Q3 - 0:05.0 | MIA | Varejao STEAL (2 STL) | 73 6.9% | 81 93.1% |
| Q3 - 0:12.0 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 73 8.2% | 81 91.8% |
| Q3 - 0:13.0 | MIA | MISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 73 7.3% | 81 92.7% |
| Q3 - 0:28.0 | CLE | Ilgauskas Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS) | 73 8.2% | 81 91.8% |
| Q3 - 0:28.0 | CLE | Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0) | 73 12.0% | 78 88.0% |
| Q3 - 0:29.0 | CLE | MISS Moon 16' Jump Shot | 73 13.4% | 78 86.6% |
| Q3 - 0:46.0 | MIA | O'Neal 8' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 8 AST) | 73 12.0% | 78 88.0% |
| Q3 - 1:07 | CLE | Varejao 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 6 AST) | 71 10.0% | 78 90.0% |
| Q3 - 1:16 | CLE | James REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 71 12.1% | 76 87.9% |
| Q3 - 1:17 | MIA | MISS Wade 19' Jump Shot | 71 12.7% | 76 87.3% |
| Q3 - 1:28 | CLE | CAVALIERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13) | 71 14.2% | 76 85.8% |
| Q3 - 1:28 | CLE | CAVALIERS Rebound | 71 12.1% | 76 87.9% |
| Q3 - 1:28 | CLE | MISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 71 13.5% | 76 86.5% |
| Q3 - 1:55 | MIA | O'Neal 7' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 7 AST) | 71 12.1% | 76 87.9% |
| Q3 - 2:11 | MIA | Arroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 69 10.2% | 76 89.8% |
| Q3 - 2:12 | CLE | MISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot | 69 9.7% | 76 90.3% |
| Q3 - 2:32 | MIA | Varejao STEAL (1 STL) | 69 8.6% | 76 91.4% |
| Q3 - 2:46 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 69 10.2% | 76 89.8% |
| Q3 - 2:47 | CLE | MISS James 17' Jump Shot | 69 9.7% | 76 90.3% |
| Q3 - 3:14 | MIA | Beasley Alley Oop Dunk (18 PTS) (Wade 6 AST) | 69 8.7% | 76 91.3% |
| Q3 - 3:32 | CLE | James 18' Jump Shot (26 PTS) | 67 7.4% | 76 92.6% |
| Q3 - 4:02 | MIA | Wright 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST) | 67 8.8% | 74 91.2% |
| Q3 - 4:18 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 64 6.6% | 74 93.4% |
| Q3 - 4:19 | CLE | MISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 64 6.2% | 74 93.8% |
| Q3 - 4:32 | MIA | Beasley 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wright 1 AST) | 64 5.4% | 74 94.6% |
| Q3 - 4:50 | CLE | O'Neal 9' Turnaround Bank Shot (13 PTS) (James 5 AST) | 62 4.7% | 74 95.3% |
| Q3 - 5:16 | MIA | Beasley 1' Layup (14 PTS) | 62 5.6% | 72 94.4% |
| Q3 - 5:18 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 60 4.9% | 72 95.1% |
| Q3 - 5:20 | MIA | MISS Wade 16' Jump Shot | 60 4.3% | 72 95.7% |
| Q3 - 5:39 | CLE | O'Neal 1' Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS) (Gibson 1 AST) | 60 4.9% | 72 95.1% |
| Q3 - 5:50 | CLE | James REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 60 5.6% | 70 94.4% |
| Q3 - 5:52 | MIA | MISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot | 60 5.9% | 70 94.1% |
| Q3 - 6:12 | CLE | James 19' Jump Shot (24 PTS) | 60 6.9% | 70 93.1% |
| Q3 - 6:34 | MIA | O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 60 7.9% | 68 92.1% |
| Q3 - 6:34 | MIA | O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 59 7.6% | 68 92.4% |
| Q3 - 6:34 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 58 6.9% | 68 93.1% |
| Q3 - 6:34 | MIA | MISS Wade 14' Jump Shot | 58 6.1% | 68 93.9% |
| Q3 - 6:43 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 58 6.9% | 68 93.1% |
| Q3 - 6:44 | CLE | MISS Gibson 3PT Jump Shot | 58 6.5% | 68 93.5% |
| Q3 - 7:02 | CLE | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 58 6.1% | 68 93.9% |
| Q3 - 7:04 | MIA | Gibson BLOCK (1 BLK) | 58 6.4% | 68 93.6% |
| Q3 - 7:28 | CLE | Gibson Free Throw 3 of 3 (5 PTS) | 58 7.1% | 68 92.9% |
| Q3 - 7:28 | CLE | Gibson Free Throw 2 of 3 (4 PTS) | 58 7.3% | 67 92.7% |
| Q3 - 7:28 | CLE | Gibson Free Throw 1 of 3 (3 PTS) | 58 7.5% | 66 92.5% |
| Q3 - 7:30 | CLE | James REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 58 9.3% | 65 90.7% |
| Q3 - 7:33 | MIA | MISS Wade 13' Running Jump Shot | 58 9.8% | 65 90.2% |
| Q3 - 7:45 | CLE | Parker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12) | 58 10.9% | 65 89.1% |
| Q3 - 7:52 | MIA | Beasley Traveling Turnover (P1.T9) | 58 9.3% | 65 90.7% |
| Q3 - 8:05 | CLE | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS) | 58 10.9% | 65 89.1% |
| Q3 - 8:05 | CLE | MISS James Free Throw 1 of 2 | 58 11.2% | 64 88.8% |
| Q3 - 8:19 | MIA | O'Neal 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 5 AST) | 58 10.8% | 64 89.2% |
| Q3 - 8:23 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 56 9.5% | 64 90.5% |
| Q3 - 8:25 | MIA | Hickson BLOCK (2 BLK) | 56 8.6% | 64 91.4% |
| Q3 - 8:31 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 56 9.5% | 64 90.5% |
| Q3 - 8:32 | MIA | MISS Beasley 15' Jump Shot | 56 8.6% | 64 91.4% |
| Q3 - 8:35 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 56 9.5% | 64 90.5% |
| Q3 - 8:36 | MIA | MISS Wade 21' Jump Shot | 56 8.6% | 64 91.4% |
| Q3 - 8:49 | CLE | Hickson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11) | 56 9.5% | 64 90.5% |
| Q3 - 8:51 | CLE | Hickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 56 8.2% | 64 91.8% |
| Q3 - 8:52 | MIA | Hickson BLOCK (1 BLK) | 56 8.6% | 64 91.4% |
| Q3 - 9:10 | CLE | Gibson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 56 9.5% | 64 90.5% |
| Q3 - 9:10 | CLE | Gibson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 56 9.8% | 63 90.2% |
| Q3 - 9:30 | CLE | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 56 10.9% | 62 89.1% |
| Q3 - 9:31 | MIA | MISS Alston 3PT Jump Shot | 56 11.3% | 62 88.7% |
| Q3 - 9:49 | CLE | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 56 12.4% | 62 87.6% |
| Q3 - 9:49 | CLE | O'Neal 1' Layup (9 PTS) | 56 12.4% | 62 87.6% |
| Q3 - 9:51 | CLE | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 56 14.1% | 60 85.9% |
| Q3 - 9:51 | CLE | MISS O'Neal 1' Tip Shot | 56 15.4% | 60 84.6% |
| Q3 - 9:53 | CLE | MISS Hickson 3' Layup | 56 15.4% | 60 84.6% |
| Q3 - 10:11 | MIA | O'Neal 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST) | 56 14.0% | 60 86.0% |
| Q3 - 10:26 | CLE | James Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10) | 54 12.4% | 60 87.6% |
| Q3 - 10:27 | CLE | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 54 10.9% | 60 89.1% |
| Q3 - 10:31 | MIA | MISS Beasley 15' Jump Shot | 54 11.4% | 60 88.6% |
| Q3 - 10:36 | CLE | James Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9) | 54 12.4% | 60 87.6% |
| Q3 - 10:41 | MIA | Gibson STEAL (1 STL) | 54 10.9% | 60 89.1% |
| Q3 - 10:53 | CLE | Parker Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 54 12.4% | 60 87.6% |
| Q3 - 10:53 | CLE | Parker Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 54 12.7% | 59 87.3% |
| Q3 - 11:17 | MIA | O'Neal 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 4 AST) | 54 14.0% | 58 86.0% |
| Q3 - 11:31 | CLE | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS) | 52 12.5% | 58 87.5% |
| Q3 - 11:31 | CLE | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS) | 52 12.8% | 57 87.2% |
| Q3 - 11:38 | CLE | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 52 14.0% | 56 86.0% |
| Q3 - 11:39 | MIA | MISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 52 14.5% | 56 85.5% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 52 15.8% | 56 84.2% | |
| Q2 - 0:01.0 | CLE | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS) | 52 15.7% | 56 84.3% |
| Q2 - 0:01.0 | CLE | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS) | 52 16.1% | 55 83.9% |
| Q2 - 0:12.0 | MIA | Wade 1' Driving Dunk (18 PTS) | 52 18.0% | 54 82.0% |
| Q2 - 0:27.0 | CLE | Ilgauskas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8) | 50 15.7% | 54 84.3% |
| Q2 - 0:31.0 | CLE | Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 50 14.4% | 54 85.6% |
| Q2 - 0:32.0 | CLE | MISS James 30' 3PT Jump Shot | 50 15.3% | 54 84.7% |
| Q2 - 0:38.0 | MIA | Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) | 50 14.4% | 54 85.6% |
| Q2 - 0:50.0 | CLE | Hickson Layup (12 PTS) | 47 11.1% | 54 88.9% |
| Q2 - 1:06 | MIA | Hickson STEAL (1 STL) | 47 12.8% | 52 87.2% |
| Q2 - 1:15 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 47 14.0% | 52 86.0% |
| Q2 - 1:16 | CLE | MISS Hickson 1' Layup | 47 13.6% | 52 86.4% |
| Q2 - 1:32 | MIA | Anthony Foul Turnover (P1.T6) | 47 12.8% | 52 87.2% |
| Q2 - 1:44 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 47 14.0% | 52 86.0% |
| Q2 - 1:49 | MIA | MISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 47 13.2% | 52 86.8% |
| Q2 - 2:07 | CLE | Ilgauskas 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 4 AST) | 47 14.1% | 52 85.9% |
| Q2 - 2:19 | CLE | CAVALIERS Rebound | 47 17.4% | 49 82.6% |
| Q2 - 2:20 | MIA | MISS Wade 9' Jump Shot | 47 18.0% | 49 82.0% |
| Q2 - 2:34 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 47 19.4% | 49 80.6% |
| Q2 - 2:34 | CLE | MISS James Layup | 47 18.8% | 49 81.2% |
| Q2 - 2:43 | MIA | Beasley 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Alston 3 AST) | 47 17.5% | 49 82.5% |
| Q2 - 2:47 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:6 Def:1) | 45 15.7% | 49 84.3% |
| Q2 - 2:48 | MIA | MISS Anthony 5' Jump Shot | 45 14.5% | 49 85.5% |
| Q2 - 3:08 | CLE | Hickson 1' Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (James 3 AST) | 45 15.7% | 49 84.3% |
| Q2 - 3:14 | CLE | Green REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 45 17.1% | 47 82.9% |
| Q2 - 3:15 | MIA | MISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 45 17.8% | 47 82.2% |
| Q2 - 3:26 | MIA | Wright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 45 19.4% | 47 80.6% |
| Q2 - 3:27 | CLE | MISS Green 3PT Jump Shot | 45 18.7% | 47 81.3% |
| Q2 - 3:38 | CLE | Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 45 17.1% | 47 82.9% |
| Q2 - 3:40 | MIA | MISS Wright 10' Turnaround Jump Shot | 45 17.8% | 47 82.2% |
| Q2 - 4:00 | CLE | Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 45 19.4% | 47 80.6% |
| Q2 - 4:00 | CLE | Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 45 19.8% | 46 80.2% |
| Q2 - 4:06 | MIA | Alston 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST) | 45 20.7% | 45 79.3% |
| Q2 - 4:29 | CLE | James 1' Alley Oop Dunk (17 PTS) (Green 1 AST) | 43 19.0% | 45 81.0% |
| Q2 - 4:34 | MIA | Williams STEAL (1 STL) | 43 20.7% | 43 79.3% |
| Q2 - 4:50 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 43 23.0% | 43 77.0% |
| Q2 - 4:51 | CLE | MISS James Free Throw 2 of 2 | 43 22.7% | 43 77.3% |
| Q2 - 4:51 | CLE | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS) | 43 21.4% | 43 78.6% |
| Q2 - 4:52 | CLE | Hickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 43 22.8% | 42 77.2% |
| Q2 - 4:56 | MIA | MISS Wright 16' Jump Shot | 43 23.6% | 42 76.4% |
| Q2 - 5:02 | CLE | Hickson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7) | 43 24.9% | 42 75.1% |
| Q2 - 5:09 | MIA | James STEAL (1 STL) | 43 22.8% | 42 77.2% |
| Q2 - 5:20 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 43 24.9% | 42 75.1% |
| Q2 - 5:21 | CLE | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 43 22.8% | 42 77.2% |
| Q2 - 5:21 | CLE | MISS O'Neal 1' Tip Shot | 43 24.2% | 42 75.8% |
| Q2 - 5:22 | CLE | MISS O'Neal 2' Finger Roll Layup | 43 24.2% | 42 75.8% |
| Q2 - 5:40 | MIA | Wright Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 43 22.8% | 42 77.2% |
| Q2 - 5:40 | MIA | Wright Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 42 22.4% | 42 77.6% |
| Q2 - 6:02 | CLE | Hickson 1' Driving Dunk (8 PTS) (James 2 AST) | 41 20.9% | 42 79.1% |
| Q2 - 6:21 | MIA | Magloire Foul Turnover (P1.T3) | 41 22.5% | 40 77.5% |
| Q2 - 6:31 | MIA | Wright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 41 25.0% | 40 75.0% |
| Q2 - 6:36 | CLE | MISS O'Neal 8' Jump Hook Shot | 41 24.2% | 40 75.8% |
| Q2 - 6:55 | MIA | Magloire 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST) | 41 22.5% | 40 77.5% |
| Q2 - 7:02 | CLE | Parker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6) | 39 20.3% | 40 79.7% |
| Q2 - 7:22 | MIA | Beasley 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 39 18.5% | 40 81.5% |
| Q2 - 7:46 | MIA | Wright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 37 17.0% | 40 83.0% |
| Q2 - 7:46 | CLE | MISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 | 37 16.7% | 40 83.3% |
| Q2 - 8:01 | CLE | Moon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 37 18.4% | 38 81.6% |
| Q2 - 8:02 | MIA | MISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 37 18.9% | 38 81.1% |
| Q2 - 8:16 | CLE | O'Neal 6' Jump Hook Shot (5 PTS) | 37 20.1% | 38 79.9% |
| Q2 - 8:32 | MIA | Arroyo 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 37 21.9% | 36 78.1% |
| Q2 - 8:45 | CLE | Parker 4' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 35 20.1% | 36 79.9% |
| Q2 - 9:04 | MIA | Beasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 35 21.5% | 34 78.5% |
| Q2 - 9:04 | MIA | Beasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 34 21.1% | 34 78.9% |
| Q2 - 9:20 | CLE | Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 33 19.8% | 34 80.2% |
| Q2 - 9:26 | CLE | Green REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 33 23.4% | 31 76.6% |
| Q2 - 9:27 | CLE | MISS Moon 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 33 24.8% | 31 75.2% |
| Q2 - 9:48 | MIA | Beasley 1' Layup (6 PTS) | 33 23.4% | 31 76.6% |
| Q2 - 10:09 | CLE | Green 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 31 21.7% | 31 78.3% |
| Q2 - 10:20 | CLE | Moon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 31 23.3% | 29 76.7% |
| Q2 - 10:22 | CLE | MISS Parker 16' Jump Shot | 31 24.8% | 29 75.2% |
| Q2 - 10:42 | MIA | Wright 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST) | 31 23.3% | 29 76.7% |
| Q2 - 10:53 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 28 19.9% | 29 80.1% |
| Q2 - 10:55 | CLE | MISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 28 19.4% | 29 80.6% |
| Q2 - 11:12 | CLE | CAVALIERS Rebound | 28 18.2% | 29 81.8% |
| Q2 - 11:13 | MIA | MISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot | 28 18.7% | 29 81.3% |
| Q2 - 11:20 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 28 19.9% | 29 80.1% |
| Q2 - 11:22 | CLE | MISS O'Neal 8' Turnaround Jump Shot | 28 19.4% | 29 80.6% |
| Q2 - 11:38 | CLE | Varejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 28 18.3% | 29 81.7% |
| Q2 - 11:39 | MIA | MISS Magloire 18' Jump Shot | 28 18.7% | 29 81.3% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | CLE | 28 19.9% | 29 80.1% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | CLE | CAVALIERS Rebound | 28 18.3% | 29 81.7% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | CLE | MISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 28 19.4% | 29 80.6% |
| Q1 - 0:24.0 | MIA | Haslem 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST) | 28 18.3% | 29 81.7% |
| Q1 - 0:40.0 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 26 16.6% | 29 83.4% |
| Q1 - 0:42.0 | MIA | MISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 26 15.8% | 29 84.2% |
| Q1 - 0:52.0 | CLE | Varejao 2' Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST) | 26 16.6% | 29 83.4% |
| Q1 - 1:09 | MIA | Wade 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Cook 1 AST) | 26 18.3% | 27 81.7% |
| Q1 - 1:18 | MIA | Wright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 24 16.5% | 27 83.5% |
| Q1 - 1:19 | CLE | MISS Moon 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 24 16.2% | 27 83.8% |
| Q1 - 1:34 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS) | 24 15.6% | 27 84.4% |
| Q1 - 1:45 | CLE | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 21 12.9% | 27 87.1% |
| Q1 - 1:45 | CLE | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 21 13.1% | 26 86.9% |
| Q1 - 1:49 | CLE | CAVALIERS Rebound | 21 14.4% | 25 85.6% |
| Q1 - 1:50 | CLE | MISS James 22' Jump Shot | 21 15.0% | 25 85.0% |
| Q1 - 1:57 | CLE | Moon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 21 14.4% | 25 85.6% |
| Q1 - 1:58 | MIA | MISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot | 21 14.6% | 25 85.4% |
| Q1 - 2:15 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1) | 21 15.5% | 25 84.5% |
| Q1 - 2:16 | CLE | MISS James Free Throw 2 of 2 | 21 15.3% | 25 84.7% |
| Q1 - 2:16 | CLE | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS) | 21 14.5% | 25 85.5% |
| Q1 - 2:21 | MIA | Wade 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS) | 21 15.6% | 24 84.4% |
| Q1 - 2:32 | MIA | Wright Free Throw Technical (1 PTS) | 19 14.3% | 24 85.7% |
| Q1 - 2:43 | CLE | Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 18 13.2% | 24 86.8% |
| Q1 - 2:43 | CLE | Ilgauskas 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS) | 18 13.2% | 24 86.8% |
| Q1 - 2:46 | CLE | MISS James 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot | 18 15.1% | 22 84.9% |
| Q1 - 3:03 | CLE | CAVALIERS Rebound | 18 14.2% | 22 85.8% |
| Q1 - 3:03 | MIA | Moon BLOCK (1 BLK) | 18 14.5% | 22 85.5% |
| Q1 - 3:16 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 18 15.4% | 22 84.6% |
| Q1 - 3:16 | MIA | MISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot | 18 14.6% | 22 85.4% |
| Q1 - 3:38 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:5 Def:0) | 18 15.4% | 22 84.6% |
| Q1 - 3:39 | MIA | MISS Wade 2' Layup | 18 14.6% | 22 85.4% |
| Q1 - 3:57 | CLE | James 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 18 15.4% | 22 84.6% |
| Q1 - 4:17 | MIA | Anthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 18 16.3% | 20 83.7% |
| Q1 - 4:17 | MIA | Anthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 17 16.0% | 20 84.0% |
| Q1 - 4:17 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0) | 16 15.2% | 20 84.8% |
| Q1 - 4:17 | MIA | Varejao BLOCK (1 BLK) | 16 14.4% | 20 85.6% |
| Q1 - 4:20 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0) | 16 15.2% | 20 84.8% |
| Q1 - 4:21 | MIA | MISS Richardson 3PT Jump Shot | 16 14.4% | 20 85.6% |
| Q1 - 4:37 | CLE | James 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 1 AST) | 16 15.2% | 20 84.8% |
| Q1 - 4:52 | MIA | Anthony 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST) | 16 17.6% | 17 82.4% |
| Q1 - 5:02 | CLE | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 14 16.6% | 17 83.4% |
| Q1 - 5:02 | CLE | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 14 16.8% | 16 83.2% |
| Q1 - 5:06 | CLE | James REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 14 17.7% | 15 82.3% |
| Q1 - 5:08 | CLE | MISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 14 18.7% | 15 81.3% |
| Q1 - 5:16 | CLE | James Free Throw Technical (4 PTS) | 14 17.7% | 15 82.3% |
| Q1 - 5:29 | CLE | Varejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 14 19.0% | 14 81.0% |
| Q1 - 5:31 | MIA | MISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 1 | 14 19.2% | 14 80.8% |
| Q1 - 5:32 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 12 17.8% | 14 82.2% |
| Q1 - 5:32 | MIA | MISS Wade 5' Jump Shot | 12 16.9% | 14 83.1% |
| Q1 - 5:45 | CLE | James Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5) | 12 17.8% | 14 82.2% |
| Q1 - 5:57 | MIA | Beasley 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 2 AST) | 12 16.4% | 14 83.6% |
| Q1 - 6:12 | CLE | Parker 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 10 15.1% | 14 84.9% |
| Q1 - 6:30 | MIA | Wade Foul Turnover (P1.T2) | 10 16.2% | 12 83.8% |
| Q1 - 6:33 | CLE | Hickson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4) | 10 17.5% | 12 82.5% |
| Q1 - 6:42 | CLE | Varejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 10 16.2% | 12 83.8% |
| Q1 - 6:44 | MIA | MISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 10 16.6% | 12 83.4% |
| Q1 - 6:50 | MIA | Alston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 10 17.5% | 12 82.5% |
| Q1 - 6:52 | CLE | MISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 10 17.1% | 12 82.9% |
| Q1 - 7:04 | MIA | Anthony 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST) | 10 16.0% | 12 84.0% |
| Q1 - 7:18 | CLE | Hickson Layup (6 PTS) | 8 15.0% | 12 85.0% |
| Q1 - 7:21 | CLE | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 8 16.0% | 10 84.0% |
| Q1 - 7:24 | CLE | MISS Hickson 9' Running Jump Shot | 8 16.8% | 10 83.2% |
| Q1 - 7:45 | MIA | Wade 2' Layup (6 PTS) | 8 16.0% | 10 84.0% |
| Q1 - 8:08 | CLE | Williams Foul Turnover (P2.T3) | 6 14.7% | 10 85.3% |
| Q1 - 8:18 | MIA | Wade 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 6 13.7% | 10 86.3% |
| Q1 - 8:32 | CLE | Williams Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2) | 4 12.8% | 10 87.2% |
| Q1 - 8:39 | CLE | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 11.9% | 10 88.1% |
| Q1 - 8:41 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 4 12.8% | 10 87.2% |
| Q1 - 8:41 | MIA | MISS Anthony 2' Tip Shot | 4 12.2% | 10 87.8% |
| Q1 - 8:43 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 4 12.8% | 10 87.2% |
| Q1 - 8:43 | MIA | MISS Wade Tip Shot | 4 12.2% | 10 87.8% |
| Q1 - 8:44 | MIA | MISS Wade 6' Jump Shot | 4 12.2% | 10 87.8% |
| Q1 - 8:55 | CLE | O'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T1) | 4 12.8% | 10 87.2% |
| Q1 - 9:05 | MIA | Wade 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Alston 1 AST) | 4 12.1% | 10 87.9% |
| Q1 - 9:17 | CLE | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 2 11.2% | 10 88.8% |
| Q1 - 9:17 | CLE | MISS James Free Throw 1 of 2 | 2 11.4% | 9 88.6% |
| Q1 - 9:20 | CLE | Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 2 11.2% | 9 88.8% |
| Q1 - 9:22 | CLE | MISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 | 2 11.9% | 9 88.1% |
| Q1 - 9:22 | CLE | O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 2 11.5% | 9 88.5% |
| Q1 - 9:35 | CLE | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 12.0% | 8 88.0% |
| Q1 - 9:36 | MIA | MISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 2 12.3% | 8 87.7% |
| Q1 - 10:00 | CLE | Hickson 1' Driving Dunk (4 PTS) | 2 12.9% | 8 87.1% |
| Q1 - 10:02 | MIA | Parker STEAL (1 STL) | 2 13.9% | 6 86.1% |
| Q1 - 10:18 | CLE | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 2 15.0% | 6 85.0% |
| Q1 - 10:18 | CLE | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 2 15.1% | 5 84.9% |
| Q1 - 10:19 | CLE | Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 15.8% | 4 84.2% |
| Q1 - 10:21 | MIA | Williams BLOCK (1 BLK) | 2 16.2% | 4 83.8% |
| Q1 - 10:25 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 17.0% | 4 83.0% |
| Q1 - 10:30 | CLE | MISS O'Neal 1' Layup | 2 16.6% | 4 83.4% |
| Q1 - 10:46 | MIA | Beasley 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 2 15.8% | 4 84.2% |
| Q1 - 11:08 | CLE | O'Neal 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST) | 0 14.9% | 4 85.1% |
| Q1 - 11:27 | CLE | Hickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 15.8% | 2 84.2% |
| Q1 - 11:28 | MIA | MISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot | 0 16.1% | 2 83.9% |
| Q1 - 11:44 | CLE | Hickson 1' Layup (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST) | 0 16.7% | 2 83.3% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | CLE | Jump Ball O'Neal vs. O'Neal: Tip to James | 0 17.7% | 0 82.3% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
0.92 46.2%
CLE
1.15 57.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
31
58%
CLE
18
28
64%
Midrange
MIA
14
39
36%
CLE
11
22
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
CLE
5
7.5
20
25%
38%
Free Throws
MIA
10
14
71%
CLE
29
36
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Wade | 24 | 46% | 12.0 / 26 | |
| M. Beasley | 21 | 70% | 10.5 / 15 | |
| J. O'Neal | 14 | 50% | 7.0 / 14 | |
| D. Wright | 9 | 64% | 4.5 / 7 | |
| J. Anthony | 8 | 57% | 4.0 / 7 | |
| C. Arroyo | 4 | 100% | 2.0 / 2 | |
| R. Alston | 2 | 20% | 1.0 / 5 | |
| U. Haslem | 2 | 25% | 1.0 / 4 | |
| J. Magloire | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 | |
| Q. Richardson | 0 | - | 0.0 / 7 | |
| D. Cook | 0 | - | 0.0 / 3 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Cavaliers| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. James | 36 | 72% | 18.0 / 25 | |
| S. O'Neal | 13 | 50% | 6.5 / 13 | |
| J. Hickson | 12 | 60% | 6.0 / 10 | |
| D. Gibson | 12 | 67% | 6.0 / 9 | |
| Z. Ilgauskas | 8 | 80% | 4.0 / 5 | |
| A. Parker | 6 | 60% | 3.0 / 5 | |
| A. Varejao | 6 | 100% | 3.0 / 3 | |
| D. Green | 5 | 63% | 2.5 / 4 | |
| J. Williams | 2 | 20% | 1.0 / 5 | |
| J. Moon | 2 | 20% | 1.0 / 5 | |
| D. Jackson | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
MIA
73
+19
-13
92
CLE
73
+15
-14
88
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
0.92 46.2%
CLE
1.15 57.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 106.7 111.5 | MIA 100.0 CLE 117.2 +17.2 |
| Pace | 89.6 91.2 | MIA 86.8 +0.6 CLE 86.2 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 16.5 16.5 | MIA 16.6 +0.1 CLE 16.7 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 49.6% 53.2% | MIA 43.7% CLE 52.1% +8.4% |
| TO % | 13.6% 14.2% | MIA 12.2% +2.7% CLE 14.9% |
| ORB % | 26.0% 25.1% | MIA 31.9% +1.3% CLE 30.6% |
| FTrt | 29.6 34.1 | MIA 16.1 CLE 51.4 +35.3 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 51.9% 59.2% | MIA 58.3% +11.2% CLE 47.1% |
| STL % | 8.1% 7.5% | MIA 9.3% CLE 10.3% +1.0% |
| BLK % | 9.4% 8.3% | MIA 8.0% CLE 10.0% +2.0% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 52.1% 55.3% | MIA 46.2% CLE 57.3% +11.1% |
| Rim FG% | 62.0% 64.4% | MIA 58.1% CLE 64.3% +6.2% |
| Mid FG% | 40.8% 40.0% | MIA 35.9% CLE 50.0% +14.1% |
| 3P % | 34.6% 38.1% | MIA 23.5% CLE 25.0% +1.5% |
| FT % | 75.2% 72.1% | MIA 71.4% CLE 80.6% +9.2% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 29.8% 36.9% | MIA 35.6% CLE 40.0% +4.4% |
| Mid Att. % | 48.3% 38.4% | MIA 44.8% CLE 31.4% +13.4% |
| 3P Att. % | 21.9% 24.8% | MIA 19.5% CLE 28.6% +9.0% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.2 and 2.2.
| Game Totals | MIA | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 86 | 87 |
| Possession Minutes | 23.8 | 24.2 |
| Points | 86 | 102 |
| Rebounds | 40 | 43 |
| Assists | 21 | 16 |
| Steals | 8 | 9 |
| Blocks | 4 | 7 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 13 (0) | 14 (1) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 15 (4) | 11 (4) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 25 (1) | 32 (3) |
| Field Goals | 36-87 | 34-70 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 18-31 | 18-28 |
| Midrange FG | 14-39 | 11-22 |
| 2-Point FG | 32-70 | 29-50 |
| 3-Point FG | 4-17 | 5-20 |
| Free Throws | 10-14 | 29-36 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.