Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, February 4, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Heat | 22% | 88 | 86 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Wednesday, February 3, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Bulls | 39% | 91 | 103 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Nets | 23% | 95 | 99 | |
 | 17 | Raptors | 77% | 104 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 20 | Knicks | 64% | 105 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Heat | 22% | 86 | 102 |
 | 2 | Celtics | 78% | 96 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Thunder | 42% | 95 | 103 |
| 15 | Hornets | 58% | 98 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 8 | Mavericks | 80% | 109 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spurs | 63% | 103 | 115 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Bobcats | 24% | 90 | 97 |
 | 1 | Lakers | 76% | 100 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 33% | 94 | 105 |
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Tuesday, February 2, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 4 | Cavaliers | 78% | 103 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 54% | 105 | 115 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Bucks | 19% | 90 | 82 |
 | 3 | Magic | 81% | 102 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Pistons | 59% | 96 | 97 |
| 30 | Nets | 41% | 93 | 93 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Clippers | 37% | 92 | 90 |
| 19 | Bulls | 63% | 96 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hawks | 51% | 97 | 99 |
| 16 | Thunder | 49% | 96 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Warriors | 34% | 101 | 97 |
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Monday, February 1, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 69% | 100 | 99 |
| 28 | Wizards | 31% | 93 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bucks | 43% | 94 | 97 |
| 20 | Heat | 57% | 96 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lakers | 60% | 103 | 93 |
| 16 | Grizzlies | 40% | 100 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Suns | 40% | 104 | 109 |
| 15 | Hornets | 60% | 107 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 24% | 97 | 109 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 76% | 107 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mavericks | 42% | 97 | 92 |
| 8 | Jazz | 58% | 99 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bobcats | 45% | 93 | 79 |
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 55% | 94 | 98 |
Sunday, January 31, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 40% | 97 | 103 |
| 5 | Spurs | 60% | 101 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lakers | 43% | 94 | 90 |
| 2 | Celtics | 57% | 96 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Clippers | 21% | 89 | 89 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 79% | 100 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Magic | 66% | 98 | 91 |
| 27 | Pistons | 34% | 93 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | 67% | 98 | 83 |
| 30 | Nets | 33% | 92 | 79 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 31% | 101 | 102 |
| 11 | Raptors | 69% | 108 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Suns | 42% | 104 | 115 |
| 12 | Rockets | 58% | 107 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 56% | 104 | 91 |
 | 29 | Timberwolves | 44% | 102 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Warriors | 36% | 98 | 104 |
| 17 | Thunder | 64% | 103 | 112 |
Saturday, January 30, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hawks | 30% | 95 | 86 |
| 3 | Magic | 70% | 102 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hornets | 46% | 101 | 109 | |
| 17 | Grizzlies | 54% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Knicks | 56% | 103 | 96 |
| 28 | Wizards | 44% | 101 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 27% | 92 | 114 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 73% | 100 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Heat | 38% | 92 | 84 |
| 19 | Bucks | 62% | 96 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bobcats | 55% | 99 | 103 |
| 24 | Kings | 45% | 97 | 96 |
Friday, January 29, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cavaliers | 65% | 101 | 94 |
| 24 | Pacers | 35% | 96 | 73 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lakers | 68% | 100 | 99 |
| 19 | 76ers | 32% | 95 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 48% | 96 | 91 |
| 8 | Hawks | 52% | 97 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 53% | 94 | 92 |
| 25 | Pistons | 47% | 93 | 65 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Clippers | 57% | 101 | 97 |
| 29 | Timberwolves | 43% | 98 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 61% | 101 | 81 |
| 30 | Nets | 39% | 97 | 79 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bulls | 35% | 94 | 108 |
| 11 | Hornets | 65% | 99 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nuggets | 56% | 98 | 84 |
| 18 | Thunder | 44% | 96 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 41% | 95 | 100 |
| 13 | Rockets | 59% | 98 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Grizzlies | 30% | 97 | 97 |
| 7 | Spurs | 70% | 104 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 26% | 95 | 94 |
| 9 | Jazz | 74% | 104 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bobcats | 53% | 100 | 121 |
| 23 | Warriors | 47% | 99 | 110 |
Thursday, January 28, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Raptors | 44% | 104 | 106 |
| 21 | Knicks | 56% | 106 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 44% | 93 | 94 |
| 3 | Magic | 56% | 95 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 48% | 105 | 106 |
| 10 | Suns | 52% | 106 | 112 |
Wednesday, January 27, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Timberwolves | 9% | 89 | 95 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 91% | 106 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lakers | 66% | 104 | 118 |
| 24 | Pacers | 34% | 98 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 40% | 98 | 103 |
| 12 | Raptors | 60% | 102 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Grizzlies | 53% | 99 | 99 |
| 27 | Pistons | 47% | 98 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Clippers | 67% | 98 | 87 |
| 30 | Nets | 33% | 92 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | 45% | 96 | 88 |
| 20 | Bucks | 55% | 97 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 38% | 90 | 96 |
| 17 | Thunder | 62% | 94 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 51% | 102 | 97 |
| 13 | Rockets | 49% | 101 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hawks | 37% | 96 | 90 |
| 5 | Spurs | 63% | 100 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 52% | 98 | 106 |
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 48% | 97 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hornets | 56% | 104 | 123 | |
| 22 | Warriors | 44% | 102 | 110 |
Tuesday, January 26, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lakers | 74% | 104 | 115 |
| 28 | Wizards | 26% | 96 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Timberwolves | 31% | 99 | 105 |
| 23 | Knicks | 69% | 105 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bucks | 28% | 93 | 107 |
| 8 | Mavericks | 72% | 100 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bobcats | 36% | 98 | 114 |
| 10 | Suns | 64% | 103 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Warriors | 46% | 106 | 96 |
| 25 | Kings | 54% | 107 | 99 |
Monday, January 25, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pacers | 38% | 98 | 109 |
| 19 | 76ers | 62% | 102 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Clippers | 14% | 85 | 89 |
| 2 | Celtics | 86% | 99 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cavaliers | 56% | 94 | 92 |
| 15 | Heat | 44% | 92 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Magic | 61% | 103 | 94 |
| 18 | Grizzlies | 39% | 99 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hawks | 47% | 98 | 102 |
| 13 | Rockets | 53% | 100 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 23% | 89 | 98 |
| 5 | Spurs | 77% | 99 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bobcats | 30% | 92 | 93 |
| 4 | Nuggets | 70% | 99 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Suns | 36% | 102 | 115 |
| 8 | Jazz | 64% | 107 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hornets | 42% | 96 | 98 | |
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 58% | 98 | 97 |
Sunday, January 24, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | 51% | 101 | 128 |
| 19 | Knicks | 49% | 100 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Clippers | 45% | 97 | 92 |
| 28 | Wizards | 55% | 99 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lakers | 62% | 104 | 105 |
| 14 | Raptors | 38% | 100 | 106 |
Saturday, January 23, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Magic | 54% | 94 | 106 |
| 16 | Bobcats | 46% | 93 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 45% | 99 | 107 |
| 25 | Pacers | 55% | 100 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Thunder | 23% | 88 | 99 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 77% | 98 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 56% | 95 | 97 |
| 27 | Pistons | 44% | 93 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kings | 33% | 96 | 84 |
| 15 | Heat | 67% | 101 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 31% | 92 | 104 |
| 10 | Rockets | 69% | 98 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Timberwolves | 26% | 94 | 94 |
| 21 | Bucks | 74% | 103 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hornets | 23% | 97 | 110 | |
| 3 | Nuggets | 77% | 107 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Warriors | 28% | 107 | 103 |
| 8 | Suns | 72% | 115 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Nets | 9% | 88 | 83 | |
| 7 | Jazz | 91% | 106 | 116 |
Friday, January 22, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | 21% | 96 | 84 |
| 4 | Magic | 79% | 107 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mavericks | 59% | 98 | 81 |
| 17 | 76ers | 41% | 95 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bucks | 36% | 98 | 96 |
| 11 | Raptors | 64% | 103 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Heat | 51% | 98 | 112 |
| 25 | Wizards | 49% | 97 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bobcats | 35% | 92 | 89 |
| 9 | Hawks | 65% | 97 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 26% | 89 | 95 |
| 2 | Celtics | 74% | 97 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pacers | 44% | 97 | 105 |
| 27 | Pistons | 56% | 99 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Thunder | 46% | 98 | 84 |
| 20 | Grizzlies | 54% | 99 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hornets | 67% | 103 | 96 | |
| 29 | Timberwolves | 33% | 98 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lakers | 59% | 101 | 115 |
| 16 | Knicks | 41% | 98 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Rockets | 32% | 94 | 116 |
| 6 | Spurs | 68% | 100 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Nets | 30% | 100 | 79 | |
| 24 | Warriors | 70% | 107 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 31% | 99 | 115 |
| 10 | Suns | 69% | 105 | 104 |