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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 1, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Trail Blazers58%100103
20Grizzlies42%9793
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 24.6
40.1
35.5
13
57%
2
0
4
1
1
0
0
2
1-1
100%
6-11
7-15
55%
51%
0-0
-
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 25.6
39.7
32.8
25
57%
7
5
3
1
0
3
1
6
9-9
100%
5-12
6-11
42%
51%
2-6
33%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 21.2
32.9
23.6
21
85%
3
1
1
1
1
2
0
3
3-3
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
56%
4-7
57%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 33.9
29.5
30.7
12
51%
5
11
1
1
1
2
0
5
2-2
100%
5-11
5-10
45%
49%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 35.9
29.3
22.7
4
33%
7
1
0
1
1
3
4
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
47%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 37.1
23.0
21.4
6
38%
5
0
0
0
1
1
4
1
2-2
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
49%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.5
18.4
14.8
9
53%
5
3
1
0
1
2
1
4
1-1
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
45%
0-0
-
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 24.9
17.2
22.9
5
36%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
1-6
17%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 23.2
6.4
15.2
3
38%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.9
3.5
10.8
5
102%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
2-2
2-3
100%
51%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 22.8
3.9
0
0-1
54%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 21.6
2.6
0
0-1
46%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 30.4
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 22.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.5
42.0
39.4
19
56%
7
2
2
1
2
4
2
5
2-2
100%
7-11
7-13
64%
50%
1-5
20%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.6
41.0
36.8
22
67%
7
0
1
1
1
1
0
7
8-8
100%
7-13
7-15
54%
50%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.3
38.1
38.6
9
33%
1
2
1
1
0
4
0
1
3-6
50%
3-8
4-9
38%
49%
0-3
0%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.1
38.0
34.6
15
61%
11
4
0
1
2
2
5
6
3-5
60%
6-10
6-10
60%
57%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.4
33.5
32.5
13
73%
3
5
2
1
0
7
0
3
1-2
50%
3-4
3-7
75%
45%
2-4
50%
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.2
14.5
15.4
5
42%
5
2
0
0
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
42%
1-2
50%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.7
13.5
14.1
6
51%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 24.8
9.9
7.1
2
20%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
52%
0-1
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.9
7.0
10.8
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.6
2.5
1.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 32.0
4.1
0
0-1
43%
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.3
2.9
0
0-1
55%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 23.0
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 24.9
Lester Hudson
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.