FinalWin Prob.pScore
657%99
106
1943%97
92
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
119.18985.5
NOH
104.58891.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASNOH
Q4 - 0:00.0NOH106
100%
92
0%
Q4 - 0:11.0NOHWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)106
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:12.0SASMISS Mahinmi 14' Jump Shot106
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0SASHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)106
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0NOHMISS Thornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot106
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:43.0NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)106
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0SASMISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot106
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 1:04SASMahinmi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)106
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 1:05NOHMISS Thornton 15' Jump Shot106
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 1:15SASParker 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS)106
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 1:34NOHThornton 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (30 PTS)104
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 1:39NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)104
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:40SASMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot104
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:54SASBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)104
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:55NOHMISS Collison 15' Jump Shot104
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 2:25SASHill 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)104
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 2:37NOHStojakovic Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)101
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 2:57NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)101
99.6%
89
0.4%
Q4 - 2:58SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 2101
99.6%
89
0.4%
Q4 - 2:58SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)101
99.7%
89
0.3%
Q4 - 3:21NOHThornton Driving Reverse Layup (27 PTS)100
99.6%
89
0.4%
Q4 - 3:29NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)100
99.7%
87
0.3%
Q4 - 3:30SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot100
99.8%
87
0.2%
Q4 - 3:49NOHHORNETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)100
99.6%
87
0.4%
Q4 - 3:56NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)100
99.4%
87
0.6%
Q4 - 3:58NOHMISS Thornton 16' Jump Shot100
99.5%
87
0.5%
Q4 - 4:13NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)100
99.4%
87
0.6%
Q4 - 4:14SASMISS Parker 14' Jump Shot100
99.5%
87
0.5%
Q4 - 4:35NOHOkafor 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (18 PTS) (Collison 15 AST)100
99.6%
87
0.4%
Q4 - 4:53SASDuncan Layup (21 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)100
99.7%
85
0.3%
Q4 - 5:07NOHThornton 14' Fadeaway Jumper (25 PTS)98
99.2%
85
0.8%
Q4 - 5:25SASHill 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Ginobili 8 AST)98
99.4%
83
0.6%
Q4 - 5:42SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)95
98.9%
83
1.1%
Q4 - 5:43NOHMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot95
98.8%
83
1.2%
Q4 - 6:04SASParker Driving Finger Roll Layup (16 PTS)95
97.8%
83
2.2%
Q4 - 6:17NOHThornton Driving Reverse Layup (23 PTS)93
97.1%
83
2.9%
Q4 - 6:33SASDuncan Dunk (19 PTS)93
97.8%
81
2.2%
Q4 - 7:01NOHThornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)91
96.3%
81
3.7%
Q4 - 7:05NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)91
97.8%
78
2.2%
Q4 - 7:07NOHMISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
98.2%
78
1.8%
Q4 - 7:22NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
97.8%
78
2.2%
Q4 - 7:22SASMISS Parker 11' Jump Shot91
98.0%
78
2.0%
Q4 - 7:36SASHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)91
98.4%
78
1.6%
Q4 - 7:40SASMISS Jefferson 15' Jump Shot91
98.0%
78
2.0%
Q4 - 7:49SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)91
98.4%
78
1.6%
Q4 - 7:50NOHMISS Collison 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
98.2%
78
1.8%
Q4 - 7:52NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)91
97.8%
78
2.2%
Q4 - 7:54NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
97.8%
78
2.2%
Q4 - 7:54NOHMISS Thornton Putback Dunk91
98.2%
78
1.8%
Q4 - 7:55NOHMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
98.2%
78
1.8%
Q4 - 8:18SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)91
97.3%
78
2.7%
Q4 - 8:18SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)90
97.1%
78
2.9%
Q4 - 8:42NOHThornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)89
96.5%
78
3.5%
Q4 - 9:04SASParker 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS)89
97.3%
75
2.7%
Q4 - 9:15SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)87
96.6%
75
3.4%
Q4 - 9:16NOHMISS West 18' Jump Shot87
96.4%
75
3.6%
Q4 - 9:26NOHWest REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)87
95.8%
75
4.2%
Q4 - 9:27NOHMISS West Layup87
96.4%
75
3.6%
Q4 - 9:44SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)87
95.8%
75
4.2%
Q4 - 9:44SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)86
95.6%
75
4.4%
Q4 - 10:02NOHCollison 11' Jump Shot (10 PTS)85
93.8%
75
6.2%
Q4 - 10:17SASJefferson 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS)85
95.0%
73
5.0%
Q4 - 10:45NOHThornton Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)83
93.9%
73
6.1%
Q4 - 11:01SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)83
91.6%
73
8.4%
Q4 - 11:08SASSpurs Rebound83
93.0%
73
7.0%
Q4 - 11:09SASMISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot83
92.1%
73
7.9%
Q4 - 11:18SASBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
93.1%
73
6.9%
Q4 - 11:19NOHMISS West Layup83
92.7%
73
7.3%
Q4 - 11:45SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Blair 4 AST)83
91.6%
73
8.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOH80
87.7%
73
12.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASBonner 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ginobili 7 AST)80
85.3%
73
14.7%
Q3 - 0:23.0NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)78
81.3%
73
18.7%
Q3 - 0:35.0SASJefferson Dunk (6 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)78
87.0%
70
13.0%
Q3 - 0:39.0SASHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
84.2%
70
15.8%
Q3 - 0:42.0SASMISS Hill 19' Jump Shot76
82.5%
70
17.5%
Q3 - 0:58.0NOHCollison Driving Layup (8 PTS)76
84.3%
70
15.7%
Q3 - 1:10SASBogans Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)76
86.2%
68
13.8%
Q3 - 1:38NOHThornton Layup (15 PTS) (West 4 AST)74
83.5%
68
16.5%
Q3 - 1:42SASWest STEAL (1 STL)74
86.3%
66
13.7%
Q3 - 2:01NOHThornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (West 3 AST)74
87.4%
66
12.6%
Q3 - 2:06NOHCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
91.0%
63
9.0%
Q3 - 2:08NOHMISS Collison Layup74
92.0%
63
8.0%
Q3 - 2:33SASDuncan 9' Running Hook Shot (15 PTS)74
91.1%
63
8.9%
Q3 - 2:48SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
89.4%
63
10.6%
Q3 - 2:49NOHMISS West 13' Fadeaway Jumper72
88.9%
63
11.1%
Q3 - 3:08SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)72
87.0%
63
13.0%
Q3 - 3:08SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)71
86.6%
63
13.4%
Q3 - 3:21SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
85.0%
63
15.0%
Q3 - 3:22NOHMISS Collison Layup70
84.2%
63
15.8%
Q3 - 3:31NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)70
82.4%
63
17.6%
Q3 - 3:32SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot70
83.2%
63
16.8%
Q3 - 3:46NOHPeterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)70
85.0%
63
15.0%
Q3 - 3:46NOHMISS Peterson Free Throw 1 of 270
85.5%
62
14.5%
Q3 - 3:57NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
84.8%
62
15.2%
Q3 - 3:58SASMISS Jefferson 17' Jump Shot70
85.6%
62
14.4%
Q3 - 4:14NOHCollison 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)70
86.7%
62
13.3%
Q3 - 4:25NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)70
88.3%
60
11.7%
Q3 - 4:26SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
88.9%
60
11.1%
Q3 - 4:44NOHOkafor 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Collison 14 AST)70
90.2%
60
9.8%
Q3 - 4:54SASCollison STEAL (2 STL)70
91.5%
58
8.5%
Q3 - 5:11NOHPeterson 10' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)70
92.2%
58
7.8%
Q3 - 5:18NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
93.2%
56
6.8%
Q3 - 5:19SASMISS Bonner 3PT Jump Shot70
93.5%
56
6.5%
Q3 - 5:29SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
94.3%
56
5.7%
Q3 - 5:30NOHMISS Stojakovic Layup70
94.0%
56
6.0%
Q3 - 5:40NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
93.2%
56
6.8%
Q3 - 5:42SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot70
93.6%
56
6.4%
Q3 - 6:00NOHPeterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)70
94.3%
56
5.7%
Q3 - 6:00NOHPeterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)70
94.5%
55
5.5%
Q3 - 6:05NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)70
94.6%
54
5.4%
Q3 - 6:06SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot70
94.9%
54
5.1%
Q3 - 6:27NOHStojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)70
95.5%
54
4.5%
Q3 - 6:27NOHStojakovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)70
95.5%
53
4.5%
Q3 - 6:34NOHCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
96.1%
52
3.9%
Q3 - 6:35SASOkafor BLOCK (2 BLK)70
96.3%
52
3.7%
Q3 - 6:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)70
96.7%
52
3.3%
Q3 - 6:46NOHMISS Collison 18' Jump Shot70
96.5%
52
3.5%
Q3 - 7:03NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
95.5%
52
4.5%
Q3 - 7:04SASWest BLOCK (1 BLK)70
95.7%
52
4.3%
Q3 - 7:22NOHStojakovic 16' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS) (Collison 13 AST)70
96.2%
52
3.8%
Q3 - 7:40SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)70
96.7%
50
3.3%
Q3 - 7:49SASBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)68
96.2%
50
3.8%
Q3 - 7:50NOHMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
96.0%
50
4.0%
Q3 - 8:07SASParker Layup (12 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)68
95.2%
50
4.8%
Q3 - 8:15NOHOkafor Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)66
94.6%
50
5.4%
Q3 - 8:15NOHMISS Okafor Free Throw 1 of 266
94.8%
49
5.2%
Q3 - 8:23NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
94.5%
49
5.5%
Q3 - 8:24NOHMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
95.1%
49
4.9%
Q3 - 8:26NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)66
94.5%
49
5.5%
Q3 - 8:27NOHMISS Peterson 3PT Jump Shot66
95.1%
49
4.9%
Q3 - 8:49SASParker Driving Layup (10 PTS)66
94.5%
49
5.5%
Q3 - 8:59SASBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)64
93.7%
49
6.3%
Q3 - 9:01SASMISS Parker 15' Jump Shot64
92.7%
49
7.3%
Q3 - 9:12SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)64
93.4%
49
6.6%
Q3 - 9:13NOHMISS Collison 12' Jump Shot64
93.1%
49
6.9%
Q3 - 9:27SASCollison STEAL (1 STL)64
92.5%
49
7.5%
Q3 - 9:31NOHStojakovic Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)64
93.4%
49
6.6%
Q3 - 9:47NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
92.5%
49
7.5%
Q3 - 9:48SASMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
92.8%
49
7.2%
Q3 - 10:04SASBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
93.0%
49
7.0%
Q3 - 10:05NOHMISS Okafor Layup64
92.7%
49
7.3%
Q3 - 10:21SASParker Driving Layup (8 PTS)64
92.0%
49
8.0%
Q3 - 10:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)62
90.9%
49
9.1%
Q3 - 10:31NOHMISS Okafor 8' Hook Shot62
90.6%
49
9.4%
Q3 - 10:45SASParker 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)62
89.7%
49
10.3%
Q3 - 10:59SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)60
88.3%
49
11.7%
Q3 - 11:01SASMISS Blair Free Throw 1 of 160
86.5%
49
13.5%
Q3 - 11:01SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)58
84.6%
49
15.4%
Q3 - 11:03SASMISS Blair Layup58
83.2%
49
16.8%
Q3 - 11:22NOHOkafor Layup (13 PTS) (Collison 12 AST)58
84.6%
49
15.4%
Q3 - 11:31NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
86.3%
47
13.7%
Q3 - 11:33SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot58
86.8%
47
13.2%
Q3 - 11:47NOHStojakovic Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)58
87.9%
47
12.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOH58
86.3%
47
13.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASBonner 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)58
86.3%
47
13.7%
Q2 - 0:13.0NOHPosey 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Thornton 2 AST)56
83.9%
47
16.1%
Q2 - 0:34.0SASHill 11' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)56
87.6%
44
12.4%
Q2 - 0:39.0NOHCollison 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)54
85.7%
44
14.3%
Q2 - 0:48.0NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
87.6%
42
12.4%
Q2 - 0:49.0SASMISS Bonner 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
87.9%
42
12.1%
Q2 - 1:08SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
88.4%
42
11.6%
Q2 - 1:10SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
87.6%
42
12.4%
Q2 - 1:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
88.4%
42
11.6%
Q2 - 1:15NOHMISS Okafor 12' Jump Shot54
88.0%
42
12.0%
Q2 - 1:33SASDuncan Dunk (11 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)54
87.3%
42
12.7%
Q2 - 1:51SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
85.4%
42
14.6%
Q2 - 1:52NOHMISS Thornton 18' Jump Shot52
85.0%
42
15.0%
Q2 - 2:01NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
83.4%
42
16.6%
Q2 - 2:03SASMISS Bonner 19' Jump Shot52
83.9%
42
16.1%
Q2 - 2:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
85.2%
42
14.8%
Q2 - 2:10NOHMISS Okafor Layup52
84.7%
42
15.3%
Q2 - 2:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
83.4%
42
16.6%
Q2 - 2:32SASDuncan Tip Shot (9 PTS)52
83.4%
42
16.6%
Q2 - 2:35SASMISS Hill Layup50
80.2%
42
19.8%
Q2 - 2:42SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
81.7%
42
18.3%
Q2 - 2:43NOHMISS Stojakovic 14' Jump Shot50
81.0%
42
19.0%
Q2 - 2:50NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
79.6%
42
20.4%
Q2 - 2:52SASMISS Ginobili Layup50
80.2%
42
19.8%
Q2 - 3:02NOHHORNETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)50
81.6%
42
18.4%
Q2 - 3:02NOHHORNETS Rebound50
79.3%
42
20.7%
Q2 - 3:02NOHMISS Posey 13' Jump Shot50
80.9%
42
19.1%
Q2 - 3:30SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)50
79.3%
42
20.7%
Q2 - 3:44SASSpurs Rebound47
75.3%
42
24.7%
Q2 - 3:44NOHMISS Wright 21' Jump Shot47
74.4%
42
25.6%
Q2 - 4:04SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)47
72.2%
42
27.8%
Q2 - 4:18SASSpurs Rebound44
67.3%
42
32.7%
Q2 - 4:18NOHMISS Thornton 16' Jump Shot44
66.4%
42
33.6%
Q2 - 4:26SASParker 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)44
64.3%
42
35.7%
Q2 - 4:37SASBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
61.7%
42
38.3%
Q2 - 4:38NOHMISS Posey Layup42
60.7%
42
39.3%
Q2 - 4:49NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
58.5%
42
41.5%
Q2 - 4:50SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
59.5%
42
40.5%
Q2 - 5:07NOHThornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Collison 11 AST)42
61.7%
42
38.3%
Q2 - 5:30SASBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bogans 2 AST)42
67.2%
39
32.8%
Q2 - 5:38NOHOkafor Layup (11 PTS) (Thornton 1 AST)39
61.7%
39
38.3%
Q2 - 5:56SASBonner Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)39
64.5%
37
35.5%
Q2 - 6:09SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
67.1%
37
32.9%
Q2 - 6:10NOHMISS Thornton Free Throw 1 of 139
66.7%
37
33.3%
Q2 - 6:17NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
69.1%
35
30.9%
Q2 - 6:18SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Shot39
70.0%
35
30.0%
Q2 - 6:51NOHThornton Layup (5 PTS) (West 2 AST)39
72.0%
35
28.0%
Q2 - 7:06NOHCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
74.0%
33
26.0%
Q2 - 7:07SASMISS Bogans 3PT Jump Shot39
74.6%
33
25.4%
Q2 - 7:23NOHCollison Foul Turnover (P2.T7)39
76.1%
33
23.9%
Q2 - 7:26NOHCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
73.9%
33
26.1%
Q2 - 7:28SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot39
74.6%
33
25.4%
Q2 - 7:48NOHWest 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Collison 9 AST)39
76.2%
33
23.8%
Q2 - 8:03NOHWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
77.5%
31
22.5%
Q2 - 8:04SASMISS Bonner 17' Jump Shot39
78.1%
31
21.9%
Q2 - 8:23NOHWest Layup (8 PTS)39
79.4%
31
20.6%
Q2 - 8:39NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
81.1%
29
18.9%
Q2 - 8:42SASMISS Blair 15' Jump Shot39
81.6%
29
18.4%
Q2 - 8:54SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
82.8%
29
17.2%
Q2 - 8:55NOHMISS Thornton 16' Jump Shot39
82.3%
29
17.7%
Q2 - 9:02SASJefferson Foul Turnover (P1.T4)39
80.6%
29
19.4%
Q2 - 9:19NOHThornton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)39
82.3%
29
17.7%
Q2 - 9:35SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)39
80.6%
29
19.4%
Q2 - 9:35SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)38
80.3%
29
19.7%
Q2 - 9:38SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
79.0%
29
21.0%
Q2 - 9:40SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
77.6%
29
22.4%
Q2 - 9:42NOHWright Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)37
79.0%
29
21.0%
Q2 - 9:45NOHWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
77.0%
29
23.0%
Q2 - 9:46SASMISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
77.6%
29
22.4%
Q2 - 10:01NOHThornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Collison 8 AST)37
78.6%
29
21.4%
Q2 - 10:25SASBlair Layup (6 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)37
81.8%
26
18.2%
Q2 - 10:36SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
80.3%
26
19.7%
Q2 - 10:37NOHMISS West 9' Jump Shot35
79.8%
26
20.2%
Q2 - 10:56SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)35
78.5%
26
21.5%
Q2 - 10:56SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)34
78.3%
26
21.7%
Q2 - 10:59NOHWright Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)33
76.8%
26
23.2%
Q2 - 11:17SASBlair Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)33
74.4%
26
25.6%
Q2 - 11:17SASBlair Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)32
73.7%
26
26.3%
Q2 - 11:35NOHWest 16' Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Collison 7 AST)31
72.5%
26
27.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS31
74.4%
24
25.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHCollison Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)31
76.4%
24
23.6%
Q1 - 0:10.0SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
74.0%
24
26.0%
Q1 - 0:10.0SASBlair Tip Shot (2 PTS)31
74.0%
24
26.0%
Q1 - 0:10.0SASMISS Ginobili Layup29
70.5%
24
29.5%
Q1 - 0:28.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
71.7%
24
28.3%
Q1 - 0:29.0NOHMISS Collison 20' Jump Shot29
71.2%
24
28.8%
Q1 - 0:39.0SASHill 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Blair 3 AST)29
70.1%
24
29.9%
Q1 - 1:01SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
65.1%
24
34.9%
Q1 - 1:02NOHMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
64.7%
24
35.3%
Q1 - 1:17SASGinobili Layup (2 PTS)26
63.6%
24
36.4%
Q1 - 1:23NOHWest Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)24
60.7%
24
39.3%
Q1 - 1:37NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
59.1%
24
40.9%
Q1 - 1:38SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
59.6%
24
40.4%
Q1 - 1:58NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
60.7%
24
39.3%
Q1 - 1:58NOHWest Tip Shot (4 PTS)24
60.7%
24
39.3%
Q1 - 1:59NOHMISS West Layup24
64.7%
22
35.3%
Q1 - 2:16SASJefferson 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Blair 2 AST)24
63.5%
22
36.5%
Q1 - 2:35SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
60.9%
22
39.1%
Q1 - 2:36NOHMISS West 9' Fadeaway Jumper22
60.4%
22
39.6%
Q1 - 3:01SASBonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)22
59.1%
22
40.9%
Q1 - 3:17NOHOkafor Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)19
54.6%
22
45.4%
Q1 - 3:27NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
59.1%
19
40.9%
Q1 - 3:29SASMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
59.8%
19
40.2%
Q1 - 3:36SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
61.3%
19
38.7%
Q1 - 3:39NOHMISS West 9' Jump Shot19
60.6%
19
39.4%
Q1 - 3:51NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
59.1%
19
40.9%
Q1 - 3:52SASMISS Hill 14' Jump Shot19
59.8%
19
40.2%
Q1 - 4:15NOHStojakovic 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Collison 5 AST)19
61.2%
19
38.8%
Q1 - 4:30SASDuncan 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS)19
63.2%
17
36.8%
Q1 - 4:39NOHOkafor 9' Turnaround Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Collison 4 AST)17
61.3%
17
38.7%
Q1 - 5:11NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
62.8%
15
37.2%
Q1 - 5:12SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 217
63.1%
15
36.9%
Q1 - 5:12SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)17
64.3%
15
35.7%
Q1 - 5:17SASSpurs Rebound16
63.0%
15
37.0%
Q1 - 5:17SASPeterson BLOCK (1 BLK)16
61.5%
15
38.5%
Q1 - 5:23NOHStojakovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)16
63.0%
15
37.0%
Q1 - 5:42SASOkafor STEAL (1 STL)16
60.8%
15
39.2%
Q1 - 5:49SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
63.0%
15
37.0%
Q1 - 5:51NOHMISS Okafor Layup16
62.4%
15
37.6%
Q1 - 6:11NOHCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
60.9%
15
39.1%
Q1 - 6:12SASMISS Duncan 9' Hook Shot16
61.6%
15
38.4%
Q1 - 6:25NOHPeterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
63.0%
15
37.0%
Q1 - 6:25NOHPeterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
63.5%
14
36.5%
Q1 - 6:45SASHill Layup (10 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)16
64.9%
13
35.1%
Q1 - 6:49SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
63.0%
13
37.0%
Q1 - 6:52NOHMISS West Layup14
62.4%
13
37.6%
Q1 - 7:07SASParker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)14
61.0%
13
39.0%
Q1 - 7:17NOHStojakovic 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Collison 3 AST)14
63.1%
13
36.9%
Q1 - 7:35SASHill 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)14
64.9%
11
35.1%
Q1 - 7:41SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
63.1%
11
36.9%
Q1 - 7:42NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
61.0%
11
39.0%
Q1 - 7:42NOHMISS Stojakovic Tip Shot12
62.5%
11
37.5%
Q1 - 7:43NOHMISS Peterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
62.5%
11
37.5%
Q1 - 8:01SASHill Layup (6 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)12
61.3%
11
38.7%
Q1 - 8:14NOHCollison 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
59.3%
11
40.7%
Q1 - 8:23SASHill Layup (4 PTS) (Blair 1 AST)10
61.3%
9
38.7%
Q1 - 8:33SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
59.3%
9
40.7%
Q1 - 8:34NOHMISS West Layup8
58.7%
9
41.3%
Q1 - 8:48NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
57.3%
9
42.7%
Q1 - 8:49SASOkafor BLOCK (1 BLK)8
57.9%
9
42.1%
Q1 - 9:04NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
59.8%
9
40.2%
Q1 - 9:04NOHOkafor Tip Shot (4 PTS)8
59.8%
9
40.2%
Q1 - 9:05NOHMISS Stojakovic 14' Jump Shot8
63.0%
7
37.0%
Q1 - 9:19SASDuncan 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)8
61.7%
7
38.3%
Q1 - 9:30SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
59.7%
7
40.3%
Q1 - 9:31NOHMISS West 12' Jump Shot6
59.2%
7
40.8%
Q1 - 9:43SASBlair 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)6
57.9%
7
42.1%
Q1 - 10:16NOHOkafor Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Collison 2 AST)6
59.9%
7
40.1%
Q1 - 10:27SASParker 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
61.5%
5
38.5%
Q1 - 10:39NOHStojakovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (West 1 AST)4
59.9%
5
40.1%
Q1 - 11:06SASHill 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
63.1%
2
36.9%
Q1 - 11:28NOHWest 13' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)2
61.5%
2
38.5%
Q1 - 11:44SASDuncan 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)2
63.1%
0
36.9%
Q1 - 12:00NOHJump Ball Okafor vs. Duncan: Tip to Parker0
61.5%
0
38.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.15 57.6%
NOH
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
17
25
68%
NOH
12
26
46%
Midrange
SAS
17
35
49%
NOH
17
38
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
8
12.0
23
35%
52%
NOH
8
12.0
18
44%
67%
Free Throws
SAS
14
17
82%
NOH
10
13
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Hill2382%11.5 / 14
T. Duncan2258%11.0 / 19
T. Parker1860%9.0 / 15
M. Ginobili1365%6.5 / 10
R. Jefferson1056%5.0 / 9
M. Bonner1045%5.0 / 11
D. Blair857%4.0 / 7
K. Bogans225%1.0 / 4
R. Mason Jr.0-0.0 / 1
I. Mahinmi0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Thornton3079%15.0 / 19
E. Okafor1864%9.0 / 14
D. West1338%6.5 / 17
P. Stojakovic1142%5.5 / 13
D. Collison1042%5.0 / 12
M. Peterson758%3.5 / 6
J. Posey330%1.5 / 5
J. Wright0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
80
+11
-9
91
NOH
77
+12
-11
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.15 57.6%
NOH
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.4
107.3
SAS 119.1 +14.6
NOH 104.5
Pace
91.5
92.7
SAS 85.5
NOH 91.8 +6.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.5
SAS 16.8
NOH 15.7 +1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
50.6%
SAS 55.4% +5.4%
NOH 50.0%
TO %
14.1%
13.7%
SAS 9.0% +3.9%
NOH 12.9%
ORB %
26.8%
24.8%
SAS 21.4%
NOH 25.6% +4.2%
FTrt
29.6
24.3
SAS 20.5 +4.6
NOH 15.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.1%
57.5%
SAS 54.8%
NOH 59.5% +4.7%
STL %
6.9%
8.2%
SAS 7.9% +3.4%
NOH 4.5%
BLK %
6.9%
5.8%
SAS 12.5% +5.8%
NOH 6.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.0%
52.9%
SAS 57.6% +7.6%
NOH 50.0%
Rim FG%
62.2%
58.6%
SAS 68.0% +21.8%
NOH 46.2%
Mid FG%
40.7%
42.6%
SAS 48.6% +3.9%
NOH 44.7%
3P %
35.8%
36.3%
SAS 34.8%
NOH 44.4% +9.6%
FT %
74.0%
77.8%
SAS 82.4% +5.5%
NOH 76.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.1%
33.3%
SAS 30.1%
NOH 31.7% +1.6%
Mid Att. %
40.6%
43.8%
SAS 42.2% +4.2%
NOH 46.3%
3P Att. %
23.2%
23.0%
SAS 27.7% +5.8%
NOH 22.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASNOH
Possessions8988
Possession Minutes25.023.0
Points10692
Rebounds4144
Assists2322
Steals74
Blocks84
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)11 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)11 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (2)33 (0)
Field Goals42-8337-82
At-the-Rim FG17-2512-26
Midrange FG17-3517-38
2-Point FG34-6029-64
3-Point FG8-238-18
Free Throws14-1710-13
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 188 · 24
44.3
23
82%
5
2
0
2
1
3
2
3
2-2
100%
6-9
67%
3-4
75%
F · 6'11" 250 · 34
34.6
22
58%
9
1
0
2
0
3
2
7
4-6
67%
9-16
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 28
28.1
18
60%
2
6
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
9-14
64%
0-1
0%
C · 6'7" 270 · 21
25.9
8
57%
6
4
1
2
1
5
3
3
2-3
67%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'5" 215 · 30
21.6
2
25%
3
2
2
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'6" 205 · 33
28.8
13
65%
4
8
4
2
4
3
0
4
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
3-6
50%
F · 6'7" 233 · 30
27.1
10
56%
6
0
0
0
1
3
1
5
4-4
100%
3-5
60%
0-2
0%
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 30
20.9
10
45%
5
0
0
0
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
50%
2-7
29%
G · 6'5" 205 · 29
5.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G · 6'6" 220 · 23
2.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 262 · 23
1.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
58%
41
23
7
8
9
0
9
32
14-17
82%
34-60
57%
8-23
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.