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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 12, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Pacers21%91103
7Celtics79%102122
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.7
40.8
34.7
9
52%
3
6
1
1
0
1
1
2
3-6
50%
3-4
3-6
75%
43%
0-2
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 23.2
40.5
24.0
23
67%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
5-7
71%
9-14
4-9
64%
48%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 29.9
33.3
33.9
17
67%
10
1
2
1
0
2
1
9
4-4
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
49%
3-4
75%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 26.9
29.4
22.7
16
51%
4
4
0
1
1
4
0
4
5-6
83%
4-8
3-7
50%
46%
1-5
20%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 27.0
4.5
32.2
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
5-10
0%
46%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 30.7
27.3
29.9
13
77%
3
6
1
1
0
4
1
2
1-1
100%
6-7
2-5
86%
44%
0-1
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 23.0
22.2
10.7
9
57%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
1-5
1-3
20%
49%
2-2
100%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29.2
21.8
21.0
5
37%
3
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
3-4
75%
1-5
3-7
20%
47%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.4
16.3
6.1
9
54%
4
5
2
0
0
4
0
4
1-3
33%
1-4
1-1
25%
43%
2-3
67%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 29.5
4.1
16.5
2
50%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.3
7.1
0
1-2
45%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.7
3.3
0
0-1
49%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 33.1
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 24.0
28.3
35.0
16
62%
1
11
2
2
0
5
1
0
2-2
100%
7-12
6-10
58%
53%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 34.6
28.3
29.7
13
87%
4
3
1
1
1
0
0
4
1-1
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
54%
2-2
100%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 25.3
23.4
26.1
10
73%
7
1
0
0
1
2
0
7
2-2
100%
4-6
4-6
67%
61%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 33.8
22.9
27.7
9
67%
6
3
1
1
0
0
0
6
3-4
75%
3-5
5-10
60%
54%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 32.4
22.4
30.6
20
70%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
5-5
100%
6-7
4-7
86%
50%
1-5
20%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 24.2
25.1
17.0
15
53%
2
1
1
1
2
1
0
2
5-7
71%
5-11
3-6
45%
48%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 25.8
19.8
13.8
15
83%
1
5
4
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
50%
5-6
83%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 35.5
18.9
19.8
6
61%
5
0
0
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
50%
0-2
0%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 29.2
18.0
18.4
4
50%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 37.0
17.9
10.8
9
77%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
4-5
1-2
80%
45%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 28.2
9.4
9.2
3
80%
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
52%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 26.4
5.7
5.5
2
53%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Marcus Landry
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.4
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.