Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, March 12, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 15 | Bobcats | 74% | 95 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 7 | Celtics | 79% | 102 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Bulls | 19% | 88 | 95 |
 | 13 | Heat | 81% | 100 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 25 | Pistons | 68% | 99 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Knicks | 38% | 99 | 112 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 30 | Timberwolves | 21% | 92 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 20 | Hornets | 38% | 100 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 23% | 89 | 102 | |
 | 16 | Thunder | 77% | 99 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 12 | Bucks | 49% | 97 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Lakers | 51% | 104 | 102 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Thursday, March 11, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 29 | Wizards | 23% | 92 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 14% | 90 | 82 |
 | 1 | Magic | 86% | 105 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 60% | 105 | 110 |
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Wednesday, March 10, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bobcats | 49% | 91 | 102 |
| 20 | 76ers | 51% | 92 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Grizzlies | 25% | 91 | 111 |
| 4 | Celtics | 75% | 100 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 66% | 102 | 115 |
| 25 | Pistons | 34% | 96 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Clippers | 23% | 89 | 97 |
| 13 | Heat | 77% | 99 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 78% | 108 | 110 |
| 30 | Timberwolves | 22% | 98 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hornets | 35% | 94 | 83 | |
| 15 | Thunder | 65% | 99 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 16% | 91 | 87 | |
 | 11 | Mavericks | 84% | 104 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 20% | 95 | 87 |
| 7 | Spurs | 80% | 105 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Raptors | 51% | 104 | 90 |
| 23 | Kings | 49% | 103 | 113 |
Tuesday, March 9, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 47% | 89 | 78 |
| 16 | Bobcats | 53% | 90 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 47% | 99 | 96 |
| 22 | Pacers | 53% | 100 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Clippers | 15% | 90 | 87 |
| 2 | Magic | 85% | 103 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 29 | Wizards | 32% | 95 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 65% | 101 | 132 |
| 24 | Bulls | 35% | 96 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 49% | 91 | 84 |
| 12 | Bucks | 51% | 92 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 19% | 92 | 81 |
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 81% | 104 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 21% | 95 | 107 |
| 1 | Lakers | 79% | 106 | 109 |
Monday, March 8, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 51% | 97 | 95 |
| 12 | Cavaliers | 49% | 96 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hawks | 62% | 104 | 98 |
| 22 | Knicks | 38% | 100 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Nets | 28% | 95 | 101 | |
| 18 | Grizzlies | 72% | 103 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | 74% | 104 | 125 |
| 28 | Timberwolves | 26% | 96 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Warriors | 42% | 104 | 131 |
| 19 | Hornets | 58% | 107 | 135 | |
Sunday, March 7, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 76ers | 40% | 99 | 114 |
| 17 | Raptors | 60% | 102 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lakers | 42% | 96 | 94 |
| 2 | Magic | 58% | 98 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Rockets | 51% | 100 | 107 |
| 25 | Pistons | 49% | 99 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 13% | 85 | 83 |
| 3 | Celtics | 87% | 100 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Thunder | 61% | 98 | 108 |
| 26 | Kings | 39% | 94 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 99 | 106 |
| 4 | Nuggets | 63% | 103 | 118 |
Saturday, March 6, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Warriors | 35% | 95 | 90 |
| 15 | Bobcats | 65% | 100 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hawks | 44% | 95 | 94 |
| 13 | Heat | 56% | 96 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Nets | 24% | 95 | 113 | |
| 21 | Knicks | 76% | 104 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | 56% | 97 | 122 |
| 24 | Bulls | 44% | 95 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Spurs | 54% | 100 | 102 |
| 18 | Grizzlies | 46% | 98 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Rockets | 66% | 104 | 112 |
| 28 | Timberwolves | 34% | 99 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cavaliers | 58% | 97 | 85 |
| 12 | Bucks | 42% | 94 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 21% | 101 | 105 |
| 9 | Suns | 79% | 111 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Clippers | 15% | 92 | 85 |
| 7 | Jazz | 85% | 106 | 107 |
Friday, March 5, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 59% | 93 | 83 |
| 15 | Bobcats | 41% | 90 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pistons | 14% | 90 | 92 |
| 1 | Cavaliers | 86% | 104 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 65% | 97 | 96 |
| 21 | 76ers | 35% | 92 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Knicks | 47% | 103 | 96 |
| 22 | Raptors | 53% | 104 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | 69% | 98 | 102 |
| 28 | Wizards | 31% | 92 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Warriors | 28% | 100 | 122 |
| 11 | Hawks | 72% | 107 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Magic | 83% | 102 | 97 |
| 30 | Nets | 17% | 90 | 87 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 22% | 91 | 100 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 78% | 102 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 21% | 98 | 114 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 79% | 108 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hornets | 25% | 94 | 91 | |
| 6 | Spurs | 75% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Thunder | 57% | 97 | 104 |
| 25 | Clippers | 43% | 94 | 87 |
Thursday, March 4, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Grizzlies | 43% | 97 | 105 |
| 24 | Bulls | 57% | 99 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 60% | 95 | 111 |
| 13 | Heat | 40% | 92 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 49% | 105 | 116 |
| 10 | Suns | 51% | 106 | 108 |
Wednesday, March 3, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 27% | 94 | 93 |
| 10 | Hawks | 73% | 102 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Warriors | 18% | 97 | 90 |
| 3 | Magic | 82% | 109 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bobcats | 33% | 85 | 80 |
| 5 | Celtics | 67% | 91 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cavaliers | 84% | 104 | 111 |
| 30 | Nets | 16% | 91 | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 35% | 98 | 104 |
| 21 | Knicks | 65% | 103 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 21% | 90 | 87 |
| 13 | Bucks | 79% | 101 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Grizzlies | 42% | 99 | 104 |
| 18 | Hornets | 58% | 102 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Timberwolves | 16% | 92 | 109 |
| 11 | Mavericks | 84% | 105 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 25% | 96 | 84 |
| 16 | Rockets | 75% | 105 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Thunder | 27% | 95 | 90 |
| 4 | Nuggets | 73% | 103 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 19% | 93 | 79 |
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 81% | 104 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Suns | 62% | 106 | 127 |
| 23 | Clippers | 38% | 102 | 101 |
Tuesday, March 2, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 65% | 96 | 105 |
| 21 | Pistons | 35% | 91 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Warriors | 38% | 98 | 106 |
| 15 | Heat | 62% | 102 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 28% | 92 | 107 |
| 13 | Thunder | 72% | 99 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 17% | 94 | 99 |
| 1 | Lakers | 83% | 106 | 122 |
Monday, March 1, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mavericks | 47% | 92 | 89 |
| 13 | Bobcats | 53% | 93 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 15% | 95 | 93 |
| 1 | Cavaliers | 85% | 108 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Magic | 58% | 98 | 126 |
| 16 | 76ers | 42% | 95 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 54% | 98 | 116 |
| 23 | Bulls | 46% | 97 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 58% | 100 | 103 |
| 20 | Grizzlies | 42% | 97 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Spurs | 56% | 99 | 106 |
| 19 | Hornets | 44% | 97 | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 30% | 99 | 92 |
| 17 | Rockets | 70% | 105 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nuggets | 46% | 108 | 85 |
| 10 | Suns | 54% | 109 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jazz | 69% | 102 | 104 |
| 26 | Clippers | 31% | 96 | 108 |
Sunday, February 28, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Suns | 38% | 101 | 110 |
| 10 | Spurs | 62% | 105 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nuggets | 33% | 99 | 89 |
| 2 | Lakers | 67% | 105 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | 29% | 94 | 102 |
| 9 | Hawks | 71% | 101 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 52% | 97 | 89 |
| 29 | Nets | 48% | 96 | 85 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Raptors | 35% | 95 | 99 |
| 14 | Thunder | 65% | 101 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 19% | 88 | 80 |
| 3 | Magic | 81% | 99 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Clippers | 44% | 99 | 92 |
| 27 | Kings | 56% | 101 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 26% | 94 | 100 | |
| 6 | Mavericks | 74% | 102 | 108 |
Saturday, February 27, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Nets | 13% | 86 | 104 | |
| 5 | Celtics | 87% | 101 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 51% | 92 | 94 |
| 23 | Heat | 49% | 91 | 71 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bulls | 44% | 98 | 90 |
| 25 | Pacers | 56% | 100 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Grizzlies | 40% | 100 | 120 |
| 17 | Knicks | 60% | 103 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 72% | 102 | 110 |
| 28 | Timberwolves | 28% | 94 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Rockets | 28% | 96 | 110 |
| 7 | Jazz | 72% | 104 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pistons | 36% | 100 | 88 |
| 18 | Warriors | 64% | 105 | 95 |