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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 12, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Lakers51%104102
10Suns49%10396
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 31.6
42.3
37.3
21
53%
10
8
1
1
0
7
1
9
6-9
67%
6-11
8-16
55%
50%
1-5
20%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 29.7
37.3
33.3
15
57%
8
3
2
1
4
1
3
5
1-5
20%
7-11
6-12
64%
55%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.3
34.1
34.5
15
58%
3
2
2
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
46%
3-8
38%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 22.4
33.8
26.8
18
65%
9
1
2
0
1
0
5
4
2-4
50%
8-12
5-10
67%
57%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 35.6
33.2
28.5
15
76%
4
4
2
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
44%
3-6
50%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.3
19.2
28.8
4
25%
4
1
0
1
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-7
4-7
29%
53%
0-1
0%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.3
16.7
18.7
9
77%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
49%
1-2
50%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 26.0
12.3
7.7
3
75%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
1-1
100%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.1
5.3
6.5
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.3
2.9
17.2
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 25.6
2.9
3.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-1
0%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.2
2.4
0
0-1
50%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 37.4
38.4
33.0
13
56%
4
2
1
1
0
3
2
2
7-8
88%
3-7
4-8
43%
50%
0-1
0%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.3
37.4
34.0
29
54%
16
0
0
1
0
3
5
11
9-11
82%
10-22
9-17
45%
55%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 36.1
34.6
32.7
14
50%
2
8
0
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
4-7
57%
52%
2-7
29%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 29.1
32.6
34.4
16
48%
5
0
1
1
0
1
1
4
4-4
100%
3-7
4-8
43%
51%
2-8
25%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 21.9
18.4
23.0
6
50%
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
4-7
50%
56%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.3
27.9
15.1
11
70%
10
1
1
0
4
0
3
7
1-2
50%
5-7
2-3
71%
52%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 24.7
22.5
25.2
3
38%
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.8
16.3
10.5
4
41%
2
4
0
0
0
0
2
0
1-2
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 31.3
11.9
2.0
0
0%
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 26.8
19.5
0
2-3
46%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 22.1
6.1
0
1-2
46%
Taylor Griffin
F · 6'7" 238 · 23.9
2.0
0
0-0
47%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 27.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.