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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 12, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Jazz51%9887
12Bucks49%9795
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.7
41.9
35.7
11
38%
6
9
0
1
0
3
1
5
5-6
83%
3-9
5-10
33%
51%
0-3
0%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.8
40.9
31.8
20
63%
11
1
0
1
3
1
3
8
0-0
-
10-14
4-8
71%
47%
0-2
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 28.3
35.1
30.7
26
56%
14
2
0
1
0
3
5
9
4-5
80%
11-21
6-11
52%
53%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 23.4
24.0
24.3
6
33%
3
1
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
3-9
3-5
33%
51%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.1
19.6
27.7
3
40%
4
1
0
1
1
1
0
4
3-4
75%
0-2
4-7
0%
52%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.0
30.7
20.4
17
46%
4
3
4
1
0
1
2
2
5-6
83%
6-13
2-5
46%
48%
0-3
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 29.0
21.7
21.2
2
33%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 25.1
20.0
29.2
2
33%
5
0
0
1
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
5-9
33%
54%
0-0
-
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 23.9
6.1
3.5
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-2
0%
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.7
10.0
1
1-2
44%
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 23.2
3.4
0
0-1
53%
Othyus Jeffers
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.6
2.5
0
0-1
44%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 21.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 27.5
42.2
37.5
9
32%
4
8
1
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-9
3-6
33%
45%
1-5
20%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 30.2
41.1
35.6
24
68%
5
2
2
1
0
3
0
5
6-8
75%
6-11
4-9
55%
47%
2-3
67%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.5
40.7
33.1
23
62%
4
6
0
1
0
2
0
4
6-6
100%
4-9
4-9
44%
39%
3-7
43%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.3
39.0
35.3
16
43%
12
2
2
1
4
1
3
9
6-8
75%
5-15
8-14
33%
54%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.5
23.7
25.7
4
50%
6
0
1
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.8
24.3
19.2
14
66%
8
1
1
1
1
1
1
7
6-6
100%
4-6
3-5
67%
50%
0-2
0%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 35.3
12.7
20.4
3
30%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
1-4
25%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 37.4
9.1
8.5
2
50%
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.1
7.3
11.6
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
47%
0-1
0%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.0
10.8
0
1-2
44%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 28.2
3.2
0
0-0
40%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.4
2.3
0
0-1
46%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.1
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 30.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.