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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 12, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Nets23%89102
16Thunder77%99104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 21.9
38.3
35.7
14
46%
8
1
3
1
0
2
1
7
2-3
67%
6-14
7-13
43%
50%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.0
32.8
35.3
19
45%
5
8
3
1
0
2
1
4
3-3
100%
8-16
5-11
50%
46%
0-4
0%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.4
30.4
38.3
6
29%
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
2-3
67%
2-7
4-10
29%
47%
0-2
0%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.3
24.3
10.3
6
60%
8
1
0
0
0
0
5
3
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
51%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 31.0
17.7
19.6
4
50%
2
1
1
0
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
0-1
0%
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.7
31.6
27.1
14
50%
6
3
0
1
1
2
1
5
2-2
100%
6-11
3-7
55%
41%
0-2
0%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.6
25.5
18.2
16
80%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
46%
4-8
50%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.1
24.3
22.6
8
48%
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
2-3
67%
3-7
3-8
43%
44%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.8
15.2
12.2
15
104%
2
7
0
0
0
0
0
2
5-5
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
43%
2-2
100%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 23.2
12.3
0
1-3
45%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.5
3.2
0
0-0
40%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 34.1
2.3
0
0-1
45%
Jianlian Yi
F · 7'0" 250 · 22.4
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 29.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 21.4
41.8
35.0
32
63%
12
2
1
1
0
2
1
11
10-10
100%
8-16
8-15
50%
53%
2-5
40%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.5
40.1
33.6
27
78%
6
2
3
1
1
1
2
4
2-3
67%
8-12
4-8
67%
51%
3-4
75%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.3
34.8
31.4
11
57%
4
10
0
1
1
9
0
4
5-6
83%
3-7
6-13
43%
47%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.9
32.5
24.0
4
29%
7
2
0
1
1
2
2
5
0-2
0%
2-5
2-3
40%
51%
0-1
0%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.6
28.3
24.5
10
73%
8
1
1
0
0
1
2
6
2-2
100%
4-6
4-8
67%
52%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.4
21.1
20.1
10
63%
9
1
1
1
0
0
4
5
0-0
-
5-8
2-4
63%
58%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 20.5
17.8
21.3
8
50%
1
0
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-8
4-7
50%
56%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.8
13.2
16.9
2
33%
0
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 24.1
10.4
4.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
55%
0-0
-
Antonio Anderson
G · 6'6" 215 · 24.8
5.6
0
1-1
51%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 31.9
4.4
0
1-1
54%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.5
4.0
0
1-1
55%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 20.5
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.1
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 37.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.