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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 12, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Bulls19%8895
13Heat81%100108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.1
42.8
17.7
20
78%
6
1
0
1
2
1
2
4
2-4
50%
6-7
2-4
86%
46%
2-4
50%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.4
37.3
17.0
20
56%
3
4
1
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
6-9
2-5
67%
39%
2-8
25%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 33.9
34.0
25.1
18
52%
11
1
1
1
0
3
4
7
4-5
80%
7-11
2-5
64%
47%
0-4
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.2
33.4
29.6
10
38%
3
6
3
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
5-10
2-5
50%
44%
0-3
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.7
30.4
23.4
8
57%
6
0
0
1
0
3
1
5
0-0
-
4-7
3-7
57%
48%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.6
24.3
18.9
15
68%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
43%
3-4
75%
Chris Richard
F · 6'9" 256 · 25.2
17.9
15.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.7
10.5
25.4
3
85%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
0-0
4-8
-
48%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 25.1
6.8
10.6
1
17%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
41%
0-0
-
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.2
2.7
7.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.4
26.1
1
6-12
49%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.2
5.6
0
0-1
40%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.9
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 25.0
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 34.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 30.6
35.7
25.9
5
24%
4
4
0
1
0
2
0
4
1-1
100%
2-10
3-6
20%
48%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 29.9
34.2
28.1
23
92%
7
2
0
1
1
0
1
6
0-1
0%
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
7-11
64%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.1
33.1
33.3
22
52%
2
7
1
2
0
6
0
2
8-12
67%
7-14
8-15
50%
52%
0-2
0%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 31.4
32.6
28.1
25
70%
6
2
1
0
1
3
0
6
9-11
82%
8-13
6-11
62%
51%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 27.6
25.7
5.2
6
77%
10
2
0
0
3
0
3
7
2-2
100%
2-3
0-1
67%
48%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.8
30.9
25.4
7
55%
9
0
0
0
0
0
3
6
3-3
100%
2-5
4-7
40%
51%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.8
28.5
21.3
17
94%
0
2
1
1
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
5-6
83%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.4
10.7
12.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.8
4.8
11.8
3
80%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.9
1.9
6.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27.5
1.9
4.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-1
0%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.2
25.6
1
5-10
50%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24.3
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 33.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.