FinalWin Prob.pScore
2719%88
95
1381%100
108
ORTG#PossPace
CHI logo CHI
103.392112.1
MIA logo MIA
120.09076.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA95
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0CHILaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)95
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0CHIMISS Law Free Throw 1 of 294
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0CHILaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)94
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Diawara 3PT Jump Shot94
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)94
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0CHIMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 194
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0CHIJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)92
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot92
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12CHIPargo 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS)92
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25MIAArroyo 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)90
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47CHIPargo Driving Layup (18 PTS)90
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)88
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)88
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57MIAMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot88
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:14CHIPargo Driving Finger Roll Layup (16 PTS)88
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:26MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)86
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:26MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)86
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)86
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw 1 of 186
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:40MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)86
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:41CHIMISS Pargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:47CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)86
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 2:48MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 3:20CHIMurray 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)86
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 3:31MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)83
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 3:49CHIPargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)83
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 3:59CHIPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 4:00MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot80
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 4:17CHIPargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)80
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:28MIAWade 10' Floating Jump Shot (22 PTS)77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:43MIAWade Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (20 PTS)77
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:43MIAWade Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (19 PTS)77
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:43MIAHaslem Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)77
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 4:43MIAMISS Wade Free Throw Technical77
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 4:43MIAWade Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)77
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 4:50MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 4:51CHIMISS Hinrich 21' Jump Shot77
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 4:58MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)77
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 4:58MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)77
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 5:06MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)77
1.4%
87
98.6%
Q4 - 5:07CHIMISS Murray 19' Jump Shot77
1.6%
87
98.4%
Q4 - 5:23MIARichardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)77
2.0%
87
98.0%
Q4 - 5:52CHIJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)77
3.7%
84
96.3%
Q4 - 6:07CHIPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
2.6%
84
97.4%
Q4 - 6:08MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot74
2.3%
84
97.7%
Q4 - 6:23CHIRichard Foul Turnover (P3.T16)74
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q4 - 6:29MIAWade 7' Floating Jump Shot (15 PTS)74
2.5%
84
97.5%
Q4 - 6:57CHIHinrich 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)74
3.3%
82
96.7%
Q4 - 7:04CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
3.0%
82
97.0%
Q4 - 7:05MIAMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot72
2.8%
82
97.2%
Q4 - 7:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)72
2.2%
82
97.8%
Q4 - 7:27MIAMISS Arroyo 17' Jump Shot72
2.7%
82
97.3%
Q4 - 7:33MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)72
2.2%
82
97.8%
Q4 - 7:35CHIO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)72
2.4%
82
97.6%
Q4 - 7:39CHIBulls Rebound72
3.0%
82
97.0%
Q4 - 7:40CHIJones BLOCK (1 BLK)72
2.4%
82
97.6%
Q4 - 7:43CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
3.0%
82
97.0%
Q4 - 7:44MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot72
2.7%
82
97.3%
Q4 - 7:59CHIMurray 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Pargo 4 AST)72
2.2%
82
97.8%
Q4 - 8:13MIAArroyo Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)69
1.6%
82
98.4%
Q4 - 8:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)69
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q4 - 8:28CHIMISS Murray 21' Jump Shot69
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q4 - 8:41CHIJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)69
1.6%
82
98.4%
Q4 - 8:42MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
1.5%
82
98.5%
Q4 - 8:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q4 - 8:52CHIMISS Pargo 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q4 - 8:59CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)69
1.6%
82
98.4%
Q4 - 9:00CHIMISS Gibson 21' Jump Shot69
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q4 - 9:15MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)69
2.0%
82
98.0%
Q4 - 9:30MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
1.6%
82
98.4%
Q4 - 9:32CHIMISS Pargo 19' Jump Shot69
1.7%
82
98.3%
Q4 - 9:54MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)69
2.0%
82
98.0%
Q4 - 10:17CHIPargo Driving Layup (8 PTS)69
3.5%
79
96.5%
Q4 - 10:21MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)67
2.8%
79
97.2%
Q4 - 10:40MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
2.3%
79
97.7%
Q4 - 10:41CHIMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
2.4%
79
97.6%
Q4 - 10:51MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P3.T12)67
2.8%
79
97.2%
Q4 - 11:03CHIGibson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T15)67
2.6%
79
97.4%
Q4 - 11:10CHIMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
3.1%
79
96.9%
Q4 - 11:11MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot67
3.0%
79
97.0%
Q4 - 11:36CHIPargo Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)67
2.6%
79
97.4%
Q4 - 11:47CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)67
3.1%
79
96.9%
Q4 - 11:48MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot67
2.9%
79
97.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA67
2.5%
79
97.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHIMiller 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Hinrich 6 AST)67
2.5%
79
97.5%
Q3 - 0:15.0CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)65
2.3%
79
97.7%
Q3 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 265
2.2%
79
97.8%
Q3 - 0:16.0MIAMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)65
2.0%
79
98.0%
Q3 - 0:39.0CHIWarrick Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)65
2.3%
78
97.7%
Q3 - 0:39.0CHIMISS Warrick Free Throw 1 of 264
2.2%
78
97.8%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAWade Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)64
2.3%
78
97.7%
Q3 - 0:47.0CHIChalmers STEAL (1 STL)64
2.8%
76
97.2%
Q3 - 0:56.0CHIWarrick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
3.4%
76
96.6%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot64
3.2%
76
96.8%
Q3 - 1:24MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
3.0%
76
97.0%
Q3 - 1:25CHIMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
3.2%
76
96.8%
Q3 - 1:46MIAMagloire Layup (2 PTS)64
3.6%
76
96.4%
Q3 - 1:47MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)64
4.4%
74
95.6%
Q3 - 1:48MIAMISS Chalmers 18' Jump Shot64
4.9%
74
95.1%
Q3 - 2:05CHIMurray 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)64
4.6%
74
95.4%
Q3 - 2:26MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)62
3.8%
74
96.2%
Q3 - 2:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
3.2%
74
96.8%
Q3 - 2:41CHIMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
3.3%
74
96.7%
Q3 - 2:52CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)62
3.8%
74
96.2%
Q3 - 2:53MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup62
3.6%
74
96.4%
Q3 - 2:59MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
3.2%
74
96.8%
Q3 - 3:02CHIMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
3.5%
74
96.5%
Q3 - 3:08MIAWade Driving Layup (11 PTS)62
4.0%
74
96.0%
Q3 - 3:22CHIMiller 10' Jump Shot (16 PTS)62
4.7%
72
95.3%
Q3 - 3:39CHIBulls Rebound60
4.0%
72
96.0%
Q3 - 3:40MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot60
3.7%
72
96.3%
Q3 - 4:00CHIRichard Foul Turnover (P2.T12)60
3.3%
72
96.7%
Q3 - 4:10CHIMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
4.2%
72
95.8%
Q3 - 4:11CHIMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
3.7%
72
96.3%
Q3 - 4:26MIAO'Neal 4' Hook Shot (25 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)60
4.2%
72
95.8%
Q3 - 4:45CHIMurray 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)60
4.8%
70
95.2%
Q3 - 5:04MIAWade 10' Running Bank Shot (9 PTS)58
4.3%
70
95.7%
Q3 - 5:17MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)58
5.0%
68
95.0%
Q3 - 5:18CHIMISS Hinrich 17' Jump Shot58
5.3%
68
94.7%
Q3 - 5:26CHIRichard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
6.0%
68
94.0%
Q3 - 5:27MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Turnaround Jump Shot58
5.7%
68
94.3%
Q3 - 5:48MIAHEAT Rebound58
5.0%
68
95.0%
Q3 - 5:49MIAMISS Arroyo 21' Jump Shot58
5.6%
68
94.4%
Q3 - 6:11MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
5.2%
68
94.8%
Q3 - 6:12CHIMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot58
5.4%
68
94.6%
Q3 - 6:25MIAO'Neal Dunk (23 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)58
6.1%
68
93.9%
Q3 - 6:32MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
7.0%
66
93.0%
Q3 - 6:33CHIMISS Pargo 3PT Jump Shot58
7.3%
66
92.7%
Q3 - 6:46MIAAnthony 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)58
8.2%
66
91.8%
Q3 - 7:03CHIMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)58
9.6%
64
90.4%
Q3 - 7:03CHIMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)57
9.4%
64
90.6%
Q3 - 7:22MIAWade Driving Dunk (7 PTS)56
8.4%
64
91.6%
Q3 - 7:35CHIMiller 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS)56
9.5%
62
90.5%
Q3 - 7:52MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)54
8.4%
62
91.6%
Q3 - 7:52MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)54
8.6%
61
91.4%
Q3 - 7:52MIAArroyo Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)54
9.5%
60
90.5%
Q3 - 8:09CHIGibson Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)54
11.0%
59
89.0%
Q3 - 8:09CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
12.7%
59
87.3%
Q3 - 8:10MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot54
12.1%
59
87.9%
Q3 - 8:24MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)54
11.0%
59
89.0%
Q3 - 8:25CHIMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 254
11.2%
59
88.8%
Q3 - 8:25CHIJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)54
12.2%
59
87.8%
Q3 - 8:42MIAArroyo 12' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)53
11.1%
59
88.9%
Q3 - 8:51MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)53
12.5%
57
87.5%
Q3 - 8:52CHIMISS Miller Layup53
13.1%
57
86.9%
Q3 - 9:04MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)53
14.3%
57
85.7%
Q3 - 9:04MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)53
14.7%
56
85.3%
Q3 - 9:17MIAHEAT Rebound53
16.1%
55
83.9%
Q3 - 9:18CHIMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
16.8%
55
83.2%
Q3 - 9:38MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)53
18.3%
55
81.7%
Q3 - 9:38MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)53
18.9%
54
81.1%
Q3 - 9:50MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
20.6%
53
79.4%
Q3 - 9:51CHIMISS Gibson 17' Jump Shot53
21.3%
53
78.7%
Q3 - 10:05MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P6.T10)53
22.6%
53
77.4%
Q3 - 10:21CHIHinrich 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)53
20.2%
53
79.8%
Q3 - 10:36CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
18.0%
53
82.0%
Q3 - 10:37MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
17.3%
53
82.7%
Q3 - 10:43MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)51
15.9%
53
84.1%
Q3 - 10:44CHIAnthony BLOCK (3 BLK)51
16.5%
53
83.5%
Q3 - 11:00MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)51
18.0%
53
82.0%
Q3 - 11:17CHIMiller 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hinrich 5 AST)51
22.0%
50
78.0%
Q3 - 11:27CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)49
19.9%
50
80.1%
Q3 - 11:28MIAMISS Wade 17' Turnaround Jump Shot49
19.2%
50
80.8%
Q3 - 11:48MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
17.6%
50
82.4%
Q3 - 11:49CHIMISS Pargo 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
18.3%
50
81.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHI49
19.9%
50
80.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHIBulls Rebound49
19.9%
50
80.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0CHIRichardson BLOCK (1 BLK)49
18.4%
50
81.6%
Q2 - 0:11.0CHIJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)49
19.5%
50
80.5%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 249
19.2%
50
80.8%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)49
17.8%
50
82.2%
Q2 - 0:29.0CHIJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)49
19.9%
49
80.1%
Q2 - 0:33.0CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
15.6%
49
84.4%
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Shot46
15.2%
49
84.8%
Q2 - 0:50.0CHIHinrich 9' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS)46
14.2%
49
85.8%
Q2 - 1:14MIAO'Neal 14' Jump Shot (17 PTS)44
12.3%
49
87.7%
Q2 - 1:35CHIGibson 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Pargo 2 AST)44
14.2%
47
85.8%
Q2 - 1:48CHIJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
12.3%
47
87.7%
Q2 - 1:49CHIMISS Pargo 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
11.6%
47
88.4%
Q2 - 2:10CHIJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
12.4%
47
87.6%
Q2 - 2:11MIAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot42
12.0%
47
88.0%
Q2 - 2:25CHIGibson Tip Shot (6 PTS)42
11.0%
47
89.0%
Q2 - 2:26CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
9.9%
47
90.1%
Q2 - 2:27CHIMISS Johnson Driving Layup40
9.1%
47
90.9%
Q2 - 2:32MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T9)40
9.9%
47
90.1%
Q2 - 2:56CHIGibson 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hinrich 4 AST)40
8.8%
47
91.2%
Q2 - 3:09MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)38
7.9%
47
92.1%
Q2 - 3:09MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 238
8.1%
46
91.9%
Q2 - 3:19CHIPargo 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)38
7.7%
46
92.3%
Q2 - 3:48MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)36
7.0%
46
93.0%
Q2 - 4:08CHIGibson Foul Turnover (P1.T10)36
7.8%
44
92.2%
Q2 - 4:27MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)36
8.8%
44
91.2%
Q2 - 4:52CHIJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)36
10.9%
41
89.1%
Q2 - 5:08CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
8.8%
41
91.2%
Q2 - 5:09MIAMISS Chalmers 17' Jump Shot33
8.6%
41
91.4%
Q2 - 5:24CHIJohnson 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST)33
7.9%
41
92.1%
Q2 - 5:39MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)31
7.1%
41
92.9%
Q2 - 5:39MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)31
7.3%
40
92.7%
Q2 - 5:44MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
7.9%
39
92.1%
Q2 - 5:45CHIMISS Miller 9' Jump Shot31
8.2%
39
91.8%
Q2 - 6:02MIARichardson 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)31
9.1%
39
90.9%
Q2 - 6:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
9.9%
37
90.1%
Q2 - 6:12CHIMISS Law 17' Jump Shot31
10.3%
37
89.7%
Q2 - 6:22CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)31
11.2%
37
88.8%
Q2 - 6:23MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 231
11.1%
37
88.9%
Q2 - 6:23MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)31
10.4%
37
89.6%
Q2 - 6:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
11.0%
36
89.0%
Q2 - 6:43CHIMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
11.4%
36
88.6%
Q2 - 7:04MIAO'Neal Reverse Layup (12 PTS)31
12.2%
36
87.8%
Q2 - 7:20CHIPargo 18' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)31
13.4%
34
86.6%
Q2 - 7:44MIAO'Neal 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS)29
12.2%
34
87.8%
Q2 - 8:07MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
13.4%
32
86.6%
Q2 - 8:08CHIMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 229
13.6%
32
86.4%
Q2 - 8:08CHIMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)29
14.5%
32
85.5%
Q2 - 8:08CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)28
13.4%
32
86.6%
Q2 - 8:09CHIMISS Miller Tip Shot28
12.5%
32
87.5%
Q2 - 8:10CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)28
13.4%
32
86.6%
Q2 - 8:11CHIMISS Law Driving Layup28
12.5%
32
87.5%
Q2 - 8:16CHIMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
13.4%
32
86.6%
Q2 - 8:17MIAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot28
13.0%
32
87.0%
Q2 - 8:40CHIPargo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
12.2%
32
87.8%
Q2 - 8:40CHIPargo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
12.0%
32
88.0%
Q2 - 8:44CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
11.1%
32
88.9%
Q2 - 8:45MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot26
10.7%
32
89.3%
Q2 - 9:10CHIMiller 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)26
10.0%
32
90.0%
Q2 - 9:23MIAArroyo Foul Turnover (P1.T8)24
9.1%
32
90.9%
Q2 - 9:37CHIMiller 7' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Law 1 AST)24
8.2%
32
91.8%
Q2 - 9:44CHILaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
7.5%
32
92.5%
Q2 - 9:45MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
7.2%
32
92.8%
Q2 - 9:56CHIMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)22
6.7%
32
93.3%
Q2 - 10:12MIAO'Neal Dunk (8 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)22
7.7%
32
92.3%
Q2 - 10:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
8.4%
30
91.6%
Q2 - 10:28MIAMISS O'Neal 14' Fadeaway Jumper22
9.0%
30
91.0%
Q2 - 10:51CHIJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)22
8.4%
30
91.6%
Q2 - 11:04MIAChalmers Dunk (5 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)22
9.4%
30
90.6%
Q2 - 11:20MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Pargo: Tip to Haslem22
10.3%
28
89.7%
Q2 - 11:27CHIPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
11.3%
28
88.7%
Q2 - 11:28MIAMISS Arroyo 9' Fadeaway Jumper22
11.0%
28
89.0%
Q2 - 11:36MIAHEAT Rebound22
10.3%
28
89.7%
Q2 - 11:37MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot22
11.0%
28
89.0%
Q2 - 11:48CHIRichard Foul Turnover (P1.T6)22
10.3%
28
89.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA22
11.3%
28
88.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHIWarrick Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)22
10.3%
28
89.7%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAHEAT Rebound22
11.2%
28
88.8%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)22
11.2%
28
88.8%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 222
11.4%
27
88.6%
Q1 - 0:06.0CHIWade STEAL (1 STL)22
11.4%
27
88.6%
Q1 - 0:07.0MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)22
12.2%
27
87.8%
Q1 - 0:29.0CHIMurray 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Warrick 1 AST)22
13.5%
25
86.5%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAWade Offensive Foul Turnover (P4.T7)19
11.2%
25
88.8%
Q1 - 0:52.0CHIWarrick Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
10.4%
25
89.6%
Q1 - 0:52.0CHIWarrick Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
10.2%
25
89.8%
Q1 - 1:07MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)17
9.5%
25
90.5%
Q1 - 1:26CHIJohnson 7' Driving Jump Shot (6 PTS)17
11.5%
22
88.5%
Q1 - 1:45CHIWarrick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
10.3%
22
89.7%
Q1 - 1:46MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Bank Shot15
10.1%
22
89.9%
Q1 - 2:04CHIMurray 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)15
9.8%
22
90.2%
Q1 - 2:18MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)13
8.9%
22
91.1%
Q1 - 2:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
9.8%
20
90.2%
Q1 - 2:24CHIMISS Murray 6' Running Hook Shot13
10.0%
20
90.0%
Q1 - 2:42MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)13
10.5%
20
89.5%
Q1 - 2:51MIAHEAT Rebound13
9.8%
20
90.2%
Q1 - 2:52CHIMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
10.0%
20
90.0%
Q1 - 3:14CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
10.5%
20
89.5%
Q1 - 3:15MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
10.2%
20
89.8%
Q1 - 3:24MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)13
9.6%
20
90.4%
Q1 - 3:25CHIMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
9.9%
20
90.1%
Q1 - 3:44CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
10.5%
20
89.5%
Q1 - 3:45CHIMISS Richard 10' Hook Shot13
9.9%
20
90.1%
Q1 - 4:02MIAAnthony 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)13
10.4%
20
89.6%
Q1 - 4:25CHIPargo Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)13
11.2%
18
88.8%
Q1 - 4:37MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)13
12.2%
18
87.8%
Q1 - 4:48CHIHinrich Foul Turnover (P1.T2)13
11.2%
18
88.8%
Q1 - 5:06MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)13
12.5%
18
87.5%
Q1 - 5:09MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)13
14.3%
15
85.7%
Q1 - 5:10MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
15.2%
15
84.8%
Q1 - 5:15MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)13
14.3%
15
85.7%
Q1 - 5:16MIAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot13
15.2%
15
84.8%
Q1 - 5:32CHIMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)13
14.3%
15
85.7%
Q1 - 5:45CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
12.4%
15
87.6%
Q1 - 5:46MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
12.1%
15
87.9%
Q1 - 6:04CHIHinrich 9' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)10
11.3%
15
88.7%
Q1 - 6:18MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Johnson: Tip to Gibson8
10.5%
15
89.5%
Q1 - 6:19MIAMISS Anthony Dunk8
10.3%
15
89.7%
Q1 - 6:39MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
9.7%
15
90.3%
Q1 - 6:40CHIMISS Pargo 3PT Jump Shot8
10.0%
15
90.0%
Q1 - 7:11MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)8
10.4%
15
89.6%
Q1 - 7:30CHIMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
12.0%
12
88.0%
Q1 - 7:33MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)8
13.0%
12
87.0%
Q1 - 7:49CHIHinrich 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)8
12.0%
12
88.0%
Q1 - 8:03MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)6
11.0%
12
89.0%
Q1 - 8:15MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
10.2%
12
89.8%
Q1 - 8:16CHIAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)6
10.5%
12
89.5%
Q1 - 8:33MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
11.0%
12
89.0%
Q1 - 8:39MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
12.7%
9
87.3%
Q1 - 8:40CHIAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)6
13.0%
9
87.0%
Q1 - 9:05MIARichardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)6
13.7%
9
86.3%
Q1 - 9:28CHIJohnson Putback Dunk (4 PTS)6
15.7%
6
84.3%
Q1 - 9:29CHIJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
14.6%
6
85.4%
Q1 - 9:30CHIMISS Hinrich 18' Jump Shot4
14.0%
6
86.0%
Q1 - 9:38MIAO'Neal Driving Layup (6 PTS)4
14.6%
6
85.4%
Q1 - 10:01CHIGibson 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
15.5%
4
84.5%
Q1 - 10:15MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)2
14.7%
4
85.3%
Q1 - 10:24MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
16.5%
1
83.5%
Q1 - 10:26MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
17.3%
1
82.7%
Q1 - 10:47MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
16.5%
1
83.5%
Q1 - 10:48CHIMISS Pargo 16' Jump Shot2
16.9%
1
83.1%
Q1 - 10:54MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
17.7%
1
82.3%
Q1 - 11:18CHIJohnson Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)2
16.2%
1
83.8%
Q1 - 11:22MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
15.2%
1
84.8%
Q1 - 11:33MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
14.4%
1
85.6%
Q1 - 11:34CHIMISS Miller Driving Layup0
14.7%
1
85.3%
Q1 - 11:48MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)0
15.3%
1
84.7%
Q1 - 11:48MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 20
15.5%
0
84.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Miller: Tip to Richardson0
15.3%
0
84.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.10 55.2%
MIA
1.23 61.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHI
8
18
44%
MIA
12
14
86%
Midrange
CHI
23
37
62%
MIA
12
38
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHI
7
10.5
23
30%
46%
MIA
12
18.0
21
57%
86%
Free Throws
CHI
12
17
71%
MIA
24
32
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson2083%10.0 / 12
J. Pargo2056%10.0 / 18
B. Miller1853%9.0 / 17
R. Murray1568%7.5 / 11
K. Hinrich1038%5.0 / 13
T. Gibson857%4.0 / 7
H. Warrick375%1.5 / 2
A. Law117%0.5 / 3
C. Richard0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. O'Neal2569%12.5 / 18
Q. Richardson2396%11.5 / 12
D. Wade2255%11.0 / 20
M. Chalmers1794%8.5 / 9
U. Haslem758%3.5 / 6
J. Anthony675%3.0 / 4
C. Arroyo525%2.5 / 10
J. Magloire375%1.5 / 2
J. Jones0-0.0 / 3
Y. Diawara0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHI
76
+10
-16
86
MIA
75
+11
-15
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.10 55.2%
MIA
1.23 61.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
106.7
CHI 103.3
MIA 120.0 +16.7
Pace
92.9
89.6
CHI 112.1 +35.8
MIA 76.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.5
CHI 12.8 +6.0
MIA 18.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.7%
49.6%
CHI 53.2%
MIA 57.5% +4.3%
TO %
14.6%
13.6%
CHI 15.8%
MIA 14.7% +1.1%
ORB %
26.5%
26.0%
CHI 20.5%
MIA 21.6% +1.1%
FTrt
28.7
29.6
CHI 21.8
MIA 43.8 +22.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.3%
51.9%
CHI 39.5%
MIA 58.3% +18.8%
STL %
6.9%
8.1%
CHI 5.4% +2.1%
MIA 3.3%
BLK %
9.2%
9.4%
CHI 5.8%
MIA 10.9% +5.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
52.1%
CHI 55.2%
MIA 61.4% +6.2%
Rim FG%
56.0%
62.0%
CHI 44.4%
MIA 85.7% +41.3%
Mid FG%
41.2%
40.8%
CHI 62.2% +30.6%
MIA 31.6%
3P %
33.0%
34.6%
CHI 30.4%
MIA 57.1% +26.7%
FT %
75.4%
75.2%
CHI 70.6%
MIA 75.0% +4.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.3%
29.8%
CHI 23.1% +3.9%
MIA 19.2%
Mid Att. %
49.1%
48.3%
CHI 47.4% +4.6%
MIA 52.1%
3P Att. %
15.6%
21.9%
CHI 29.5% +0.7%
MIA 28.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHIMIA
Possessions9290
Possession Minutes19.728.3
Points95108
Rebounds3739
Assists1521
Steals53
Blocks36
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (2)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)31 (2)
Field Goals38-7836-73
At-the-Rim FG8-1812-14
Midrange FG23-3712-38
2-Point FG31-5524-52
3-Point FG7-2312-21
Free Throws12-1724-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 240 · 23
42.8
20
83%
6
1
0
2
1
2
2
4
2-4
50%
6-7
86%
2-4
50%
G · 6'1" 185 · 30
37.3
20
56%
3
4
1
0
3
2
0
3
2-2
100%
6-9
67%
2-8
25%
C · 7'0" 261 · 34
34.0
18
53%
11
1
1
0
3
5
4
7
4-5
80%
7-11
64%
0-4
0%
G · 6'4" 190 · 29
33.4
10
38%
3
6
3
0
2
3
0
3
0-0
-
5-10
50%
0-3
0%
F · 6'9" 235 · 25
30.4
8
57%
6
0
0
0
3
4
1
5
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 31
24.3
15
68%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-7
43%
3-4
75%
F · 6'9" 256 · 25
17.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
3
6
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 219 · 28
10.5
3
75%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
3-4
75%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 202 · 25
6.8
1
17%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 230 · 23
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 190 · 21
G · 6'5" 210 · 31
#9 · F · 6'9" 220 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · C · 6'11" 230 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#31 · C · 7'1" 285 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
55%
37
15
5
3
16
0
8
29
12-17
71%
31-55
56%
7-23
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.