FinalWin Prob.pScore
764%108
97
2136%103
96
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
103.29499.3
TOR logo TOR
101.19590.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENTOR
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR97
100%
96
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0DENAnthony 18' Fadeaway Jumper (25 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)97
95.9%
96
4.1%
Q4 - 0:05.0DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)95
15.1%
96
84.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0DENMISS Anthony 21' Jump Shot95
20.3%
96
79.7%
Q4 - 0:16.0TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)95
50.3%
96
49.7%
Q4 - 0:16.0TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 295
54.4%
95
45.6%
Q4 - 0:33.0DENBillups 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)95
47.8%
95
52.2%
Q4 - 0:38.0DENNuggets Rebound92
18.4%
95
81.6%
Q4 - 0:38.0DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 292
9.9%
95
90.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 292
15.8%
95
84.2%
Q4 - 0:44.0TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)92
19.7%
95
80.3%
Q4 - 0:52.0TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)92
51.1%
92
48.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0DENMISS Billups 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot92
56.6%
92
43.4%
Q4 - 1:14DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)92
67.9%
92
32.1%
Q4 - 1:15TORMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
63.4%
92
36.6%
Q4 - 1:39DENAnthony 17' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)92
53.3%
92
46.7%
Q4 - 1:55DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
42.4%
92
57.6%
Q4 - 1:56TORMISS Bargnani 14' Jump Shot90
38.4%
92
61.6%
Q4 - 2:22DENAnthony 13' Pullup Jump Shot (21 PTS)90
29.0%
92
71.0%
Q4 - 2:43TORBosh Putback Layup (17 PTS)88
23.2%
92
76.8%
Q4 - 2:44TORBosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)88
28.8%
90
71.2%
Q4 - 2:45TORMISS Wright 10' Floating Jump Shot88
40.0%
90
60.0%
Q4 - 3:08DENNene 2' Hook Shot (20 PTS)88
32.2%
90
67.8%
Q4 - 3:09DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)86
25.7%
90
74.3%
Q4 - 3:10DENMISS Carter 3PT Jump Shot86
18.6%
90
81.4%
Q4 - 3:23DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)86
25.7%
90
74.3%
Q4 - 3:23TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 286
24.1%
90
75.9%
Q4 - 3:23TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)86
18.9%
90
81.1%
Q4 - 3:41DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)86
29.3%
89
70.7%
Q4 - 3:41DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)85
28.1%
89
71.9%
Q4 - 3:47DENNuggets Rebound84
22.4%
89
77.6%
Q4 - 3:47DENBosh BLOCK (2 BLK)84
17.9%
89
82.1%
Q4 - 4:03DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
22.0%
89
78.0%
Q4 - 4:04TORMISS Bargnani 16' Jump Shot84
19.9%
89
80.1%
Q4 - 4:18TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)84
15.6%
89
84.4%
Q4 - 4:19TORMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot84
19.7%
89
80.3%
Q4 - 4:32DENBosh STEAL (1 STL)84
15.4%
89
84.6%
Q4 - 4:56TORWeems 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)84
21.5%
89
78.5%
Q4 - 5:13DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)84
32.7%
87
67.3%
Q4 - 5:13DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)83
30.9%
87
69.1%
Q4 - 5:19DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)82
26.0%
87
74.0%
Q4 - 5:20TORMISS Bosh 2' Driving Reverse Layup82
24.0%
87
76.0%
Q4 - 5:35DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)82
19.7%
87
80.3%
Q4 - 5:35DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 281
18.4%
87
81.6%
Q4 - 5:39TORBargnani Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T19)81
19.9%
87
80.1%
Q4 - 5:48TORWeems REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
14.8%
87
85.2%
Q4 - 5:49DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot81
16.2%
87
83.8%
Q4 - 5:57DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)81
19.8%
87
80.2%
Q4 - 5:58TORMISS Jack 21' Jump Shot81
18.1%
87
81.9%
Q4 - 6:03TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)81
18.9%
87
81.1%
Q4 - 6:05DENDeRozan BLOCK (1 BLK)81
20.4%
87
79.6%
Q4 - 6:19TORDeRozan Foul Turnover (P2.T18)81
24.2%
87
75.8%
Q4 - 6:25TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)81
18.7%
87
81.3%
Q4 - 6:26DENMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
20.2%
87
79.8%
Q4 - 6:35TORRAPTORS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)81
24.0%
87
76.0%
Q4 - 6:59TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)81
18.5%
87
81.5%
Q4 - 7:00DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 281
19.2%
87
80.8%
Q4 - 7:00DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)81
22.2%
87
77.8%
Q4 - 7:12TORBelinelli Foul Turnover (P2.T16)80
22.3%
87
77.7%
Q4 - 7:30DENBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)80
17.4%
87
82.6%
Q4 - 7:37DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
11.0%
87
89.0%
Q4 - 7:38TORMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot77
10.1%
87
89.9%
Q4 - 7:58DENNene 1' Running Layup (14 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)77
8.3%
87
91.7%
Q4 - 8:16TORBelinelli 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)75
8.4%
87
91.6%
Q4 - 8:22TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)75
10.7%
85
89.3%
Q4 - 8:23DENJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)75
11.4%
85
88.6%
Q4 - 8:39TORDeRozan Driving Finger Roll Layup (15 PTS) (Belinelli 2 AST)75
13.2%
85
86.8%
Q4 - 8:43TORBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
16.5%
83
83.5%
Q4 - 8:45DENMISS Nene 1' Running Layup75
17.6%
83
82.4%
Q4 - 8:50TORJack Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)75
20.3%
83
79.7%
Q4 - 8:58TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)75
16.5%
83
83.5%
Q4 - 9:00DENMISS Smith 20' Step Back Jump Shot75
17.5%
83
82.5%
Q4 - 9:10DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)75
23.0%
83
77.0%
Q4 - 9:12TORMISS Bosh 20' Step Back Jump Shot75
21.8%
83
78.2%
Q4 - 9:22TORJack REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)75
19.1%
83
80.9%
Q4 - 9:23TORMISS Jack 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
21.7%
83
78.3%
Q4 - 9:37TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)75
19.0%
83
81.0%
Q4 - 9:38DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
20.1%
83
79.9%
Q4 - 9:48DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)75
22.8%
83
77.2%
Q4 - 9:50TORMISS Jack Floating Jump Shot75
21.6%
83
78.4%
Q4 - 10:15DENSmith Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)75
20.9%
83
79.1%
Q4 - 10:19TORBelinelli Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)75
24.9%
83
75.1%
Q4 - 10:32DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)75
20.9%
83
79.1%
Q4 - 10:32DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)74
20.0%
83
80.0%
Q4 - 10:35DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
17.4%
83
82.6%
Q4 - 10:36TORMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
16.4%
83
83.6%
Q4 - 10:54TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)73
14.3%
83
85.7%
Q4 - 10:55DENMISS Nene 8' Turnaround Hook Shot73
15.2%
83
84.8%
Q4 - 11:13TORJohnson Layup (6 PTS)73
19.3%
83
80.7%
Q4 - 11:14TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)73
23.0%
81
77.0%
Q4 - 11:16TORMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup73
25.6%
81
74.4%
Q4 - 11:24TORJack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
22.9%
81
77.1%
Q4 - 11:25TORMISS Jack 6' Driving Hook Shot73
25.6%
81
74.4%
Q4 - 11:40DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)73
22.9%
81
77.1%
Q4 - 11:40DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 272
22.0%
81
78.0%
Q4 - 11:44TORBosh Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T13)72
22.7%
81
77.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR72
19.3%
81
80.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)72
19.3%
81
80.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot72
22.0%
81
78.0%
Q3 - 0:09.0TORJack 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)72
24.3%
81
75.7%
Q3 - 0:31.0DENGraham Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)72
28.5%
79
71.5%
Q3 - 0:31.0DENGraham Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)71
27.8%
79
72.2%
Q3 - 0:31.0DENNuggets Rebound70
24.2%
79
75.8%
Q3 - 0:31.0DENMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot70
21.9%
79
78.1%
Q3 - 0:45.0DENNuggets Rebound70
24.2%
79
75.8%
Q3 - 0:46.0TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
23.2%
79
76.8%
Q3 - 1:04TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)70
22.1%
79
77.9%
Q3 - 1:05DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot70
23.0%
79
77.0%
Q3 - 1:21TORJack Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)70
25.3%
79
74.7%
Q3 - 1:32TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)70
22.0%
79
78.0%
Q3 - 1:33DENMISS Billups 3PT Jump Shot70
23.0%
79
77.0%
Q3 - 1:55TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jack 4 AST)70
25.3%
79
74.7%
Q3 - 2:05TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)70
35.1%
76
64.9%
Q3 - 2:06TORMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot70
38.1%
76
61.9%
Q3 - 2:32DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)70
35.0%
76
65.0%
Q3 - 2:32DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 269
34.0%
76
66.0%
Q3 - 2:32DENBillups Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)69
35.0%
76
65.0%
Q3 - 2:32DENNuggets Rebound68
30.9%
76
69.1%
Q3 - 2:32DENMISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot68
28.2%
76
71.8%
Q3 - 2:54TORWeems 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)68
30.8%
76
69.2%
Q3 - 3:11TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)68
37.0%
74
63.0%
Q3 - 3:11DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 268
37.6%
74
62.4%
Q3 - 3:11DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 268
40.2%
74
59.8%
Q3 - 3:24TORWeems 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bosh 5 AST)68
41.5%
74
58.5%
Q3 - 3:33TORWeems Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (8 PTS)68
45.6%
72
54.4%
Q3 - 3:33TORWeems Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (7 PTS)68
47.1%
71
52.9%
Q3 - 3:35DENWeems STEAL (2 STL)68
54.6%
70
45.4%
Q3 - 3:59TORBargnani 13' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)68
59.3%
70
40.7%
Q3 - 4:23DENNene 1' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Graham 1 AST)68
63.2%
68
36.8%
Q3 - 4:38TORWeems Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)66
59.7%
68
40.3%
Q3 - 4:45TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)66
54.7%
68
45.3%
Q3 - 4:46DENMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
56.3%
68
43.7%
Q3 - 5:05TORBosh 1' Dunk (14 PTS) (Wright 4 AST)66
59.5%
68
40.5%
Q3 - 5:28DENNene 2' Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)66
63.0%
66
37.0%
Q3 - 5:52TORBosh Slam Dunk (12 PTS)64
59.6%
66
40.4%
Q3 - 6:08DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)64
63.6%
64
36.4%
Q3 - 6:08DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)63
63.3%
64
36.7%
Q3 - 6:10TORCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)62
60.2%
64
39.8%
Q3 - 6:34TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
55.8%
64
44.2%
Q3 - 6:37DENBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)62
57.1%
64
42.9%
Q3 - 6:47TORWeems Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)62
60.2%
64
39.8%
Q3 - 6:47TORWeems Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)62
61.2%
63
38.8%
Q3 - 6:49DENWeems STEAL (1 STL)62
63.5%
62
36.5%
Q3 - 7:10TORWright 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)62
67.3%
62
32.7%
Q3 - 7:17TORWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)62
70.4%
60
29.6%
Q3 - 7:19DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot62
71.4%
60
28.6%
Q3 - 7:33TORWright 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)62
73.8%
60
26.2%
Q3 - 7:39TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
76.5%
58
23.5%
Q3 - 7:40DENMISS Afflalo 2' Driving Layup62
77.4%
58
22.6%
Q3 - 7:44DENBillups Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)62
79.3%
58
20.7%
Q3 - 7:58DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
76.7%
58
23.3%
Q3 - 8:00TORMISS Weems 7' Pullup Jump Shot61
75.8%
58
24.2%
Q3 - 8:07TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)61
73.4%
58
26.6%
Q3 - 8:08DENMISS Anthony 18' Pullup Jump Shot61
74.4%
58
25.6%
Q3 - 8:20TORBosh 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T9)61
76.5%
58
23.5%
Q3 - 8:38TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)61
73.4%
58
26.6%
Q3 - 8:40DENMISS Petro 10' Turnaround Hook Shot61
74.4%
58
25.6%
Q3 - 8:50DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
76.4%
58
23.6%
Q3 - 8:51TORMISS Bosh 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot61
75.5%
58
24.5%
Q3 - 9:03TORWeems REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
73.6%
58
26.4%
Q3 - 9:04DENMISS Nene 15' Jump Shot61
74.4%
58
25.6%
Q3 - 9:22TORBargnani 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Weems 2 AST)61
76.4%
58
23.6%
Q3 - 9:30TORWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
78.9%
56
21.1%
Q3 - 9:32DENMISS Anthony Tip Shot61
79.7%
56
20.3%
Q3 - 9:33DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)61
81.3%
56
18.7%
Q3 - 9:36DENBargnani BLOCK (2 BLK)61
79.7%
56
20.3%
Q3 - 9:39DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
81.3%
56
18.7%
Q3 - 9:40DENMISS Anthony 3PT Jump Shot61
79.7%
56
20.3%
Q3 - 9:47DENPetro REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
81.3%
56
18.7%
Q3 - 9:48TORMISS Weems 18' Pullup Jump Shot61
80.6%
56
19.4%
Q3 - 9:54TORWeems REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
78.9%
56
21.1%
Q3 - 9:55DENMISS Petro 16' Jump Shot61
79.7%
56
20.3%
Q3 - 10:05DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
81.1%
56
18.9%
Q3 - 10:07TORMISS Bargnani 20' Step Back Jump Shot61
80.4%
56
19.6%
Q3 - 10:21DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)61
78.8%
56
21.2%
Q3 - 10:21DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)60
78.4%
56
21.6%
Q3 - 10:38TORBosh 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Weems 1 AST)59
76.3%
56
23.7%
Q3 - 10:45TORWeems REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
78.8%
54
21.2%
Q3 - 10:46DENMISS Billups 3' Driving Layup59
79.5%
54
20.5%
Q3 - 11:12TORWeems 16' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)59
81.1%
54
18.9%
Q3 - 11:18TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)59
83.0%
52
17.0%
Q3 - 11:20DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
83.6%
52
16.4%
Q3 - 11:26TORBosh Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)59
85.0%
52
15.0%
Q3 - 11:43DENAnthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)59
83.0%
52
17.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN56
78.8%
52
21.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORDeRozan Putback Layup (13 PTS)56
78.8%
52
21.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
81.0%
50
19.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0TORMISS Bargnani 2' Driving Layup56
82.1%
50
17.9%
Q2 - 0:08.0DENSmith 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nene 6 AST)56
81.1%
50
18.9%
Q2 - 0:31.0DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
76.0%
50
24.0%
Q2 - 0:31.0TORMISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 153
75.8%
50
24.2%
Q2 - 0:36.0TORWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
78.9%
48
21.1%
Q2 - 0:36.0DENMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot53
79.4%
48
20.6%
Q2 - 0:48.0TORWright 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)53
80.6%
48
19.4%
Q2 - 1:07DENBillups 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)53
83.0%
46
17.0%
Q2 - 1:13DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
80.5%
46
19.5%
Q2 - 1:14TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
80.1%
46
19.9%
Q2 - 1:30DENSmith 5' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)51
79.0%
46
21.0%
Q2 - 1:51TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)49
76.0%
46
24.0%
Q2 - 1:51TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)49
76.5%
45
23.5%
Q2 - 2:04DENAnthony 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)49
78.4%
44
21.6%
Q2 - 2:31TORDeRozan 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bargnani 1 AST)47
76.3%
44
23.7%
Q2 - 2:50DENNene 1' Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)47
78.5%
42
21.5%
Q2 - 3:12TORBargnani 4' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Jack 3 AST)45
76.6%
42
23.4%
Q2 - 3:27DENSmith 3' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)45
78.4%
40
21.6%
Q2 - 3:31TORJack Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)43
76.6%
40
23.4%
Q2 - 3:47DENAfflalo 2' Running Layup (5 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)43
73.8%
40
26.2%
Q2 - 3:50DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
71.8%
40
28.2%
Q2 - 3:51TORMISS Belinelli 22' Jump Shot41
70.9%
40
29.1%
Q2 - 4:18DENAfflalo 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)41
68.9%
40
31.1%
Q2 - 4:23DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
63.7%
40
36.3%
Q2 - 4:24DENMISS Anthony 13' Turnaround Jump Shot38
61.5%
40
38.5%
Q2 - 4:42DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
63.7%
40
36.3%
Q2 - 4:43TORMISS Jack 15' Pullup Jump Shot38
62.7%
40
37.3%
Q2 - 4:51DENAnthony 9' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)38
60.5%
40
39.5%
Q2 - 5:08TORJack 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST)36
58.2%
40
41.8%
Q2 - 5:37TORWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
64.0%
37
36.0%
Q2 - 5:38DENMISS Billups 13' Turnaround Jump Shot36
64.8%
37
35.2%
Q2 - 6:00TORJack Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)36
66.6%
37
33.4%
Q2 - 6:00TORJack Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)36
66.9%
36
33.1%
Q2 - 6:06TORJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
68.8%
35
31.2%
Q2 - 6:07DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
69.7%
35
30.3%
Q2 - 6:31TORBelinelli 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)36
71.7%
35
28.3%
Q2 - 6:43DENNene 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)36
73.6%
33
26.4%
Q2 - 6:59DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
71.7%
33
28.3%
Q2 - 7:03TORMISS Belinelli 17' Jump Shot34
71.1%
33
28.9%
Q2 - 7:05TORRAPTORS Rebound34
69.4%
33
30.6%
Q2 - 7:05TORMISS Belinelli Running Finger Roll Layup34
71.1%
33
28.9%
Q2 - 7:10DENEvans STEAL (1 STL)34
69.4%
33
30.6%
Q2 - 7:30TORBelinelli 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)34
71.8%
33
28.2%
Q2 - 7:43TOREvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
76.0%
30
24.0%
Q2 - 7:44DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
76.7%
30
23.3%
Q2 - 7:49DENGraham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
78.1%
30
21.9%
Q2 - 7:50DENMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot34
76.7%
30
23.3%
Q2 - 8:11TORBosh 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)34
77.8%
30
22.2%
Q2 - 8:22TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)34
79.6%
28
20.4%
Q2 - 8:23DENMISS Smith 9' Floating Jump Shot34
80.1%
28
19.9%
Q2 - 8:29TORJack Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)34
81.4%
28
18.6%
Q2 - 8:39DENSmith 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)34
79.6%
28
20.4%
Q2 - 8:56TORBelinelli 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jack 2 AST)32
77.8%
28
22.2%
Q2 - 9:11TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)32
79.3%
26
20.7%
Q2 - 9:13DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 132
79.5%
26
20.5%
Q2 - 9:17TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)30
77.6%
26
22.4%
Q2 - 9:20DENBargnani STEAL (1 STL)30
81.0%
23
19.0%
Q2 - 9:26DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
82.6%
23
17.4%
Q2 - 9:28TORMISS Jack 20' Jump Shot30
82.1%
23
17.9%
Q2 - 9:45TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
81.0%
23
19.0%
Q2 - 9:46DENMISS Carter 21' Jump Shot30
81.5%
23
18.5%
Q2 - 9:54DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
82.7%
23
17.3%
Q2 - 9:56TORMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 130
82.4%
23
17.6%
Q2 - 9:56TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)30
84.0%
21
16.0%
Q2 - 9:56TORMISS Johnson 3' Running Jump Shot30
85.1%
21
14.9%
Q2 - 10:05TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
83.7%
21
16.3%
Q2 - 10:06DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
84.1%
21
15.9%
Q2 - 10:14DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
85.2%
21
14.8%
Q2 - 10:15TORMISS Jack 3PT Jump Shot30
84.7%
21
15.3%
Q2 - 10:34DENAndersen 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)30
83.7%
21
16.3%
Q2 - 10:53TORBelinelli 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)28
82.4%
21
17.6%
Q2 - 11:18DENGraham Driving Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)28
83.4%
19
16.6%
Q2 - 11:27DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
82.0%
19
18.0%
Q2 - 11:28TORMISS Bargnani 8' Turnaround Hook Shot26
81.5%
19
18.5%
Q2 - 11:43TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
80.3%
19
19.7%
Q2 - 11:44DENMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot26
80.9%
19
19.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR26
82.0%
19
18.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
80.3%
19
19.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENMISS Anthony 15' Jump Shot26
80.4%
19
19.6%
Q1 - 0:27.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
81.3%
19
18.7%
Q1 - 0:29.0TORMISS Jack 2' Driving Layup26
81.0%
19
19.0%
Q1 - 0:39.0DENSmith 20' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
80.1%
19
19.9%
Q1 - 0:51.0TORDeRozan 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Jack 1 AST)24
78.2%
19
21.8%
Q1 - 1:01TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
79.9%
17
20.1%
Q1 - 1:02DENMISS Andersen 3' Hook Shot24
80.3%
17
19.7%
Q1 - 1:04DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
81.0%
17
19.0%
Q1 - 1:04DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot24
80.3%
17
19.7%
Q1 - 1:18TORJohnson Putback Dunk (2 PTS)24
81.0%
17
19.0%
Q1 - 1:20TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
82.8%
15
17.2%
Q1 - 1:21TORMISS Jack 7' Running Jump Shot24
83.5%
15
16.5%
Q1 - 1:34DENAnthony 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)24
82.8%
15
17.2%
Q1 - 1:54TORDeRozan 4' Pullup Bank Shot (4 PTS)22
81.0%
15
19.0%
Q1 - 2:00TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
82.8%
13
17.2%
Q1 - 2:02DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
82.9%
13
17.1%
Q1 - 2:14DENAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
83.7%
13
16.3%
Q1 - 2:15TORMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot22
83.3%
13
16.7%
Q1 - 2:25TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
82.6%
13
17.4%
Q1 - 2:26DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 122
82.7%
13
17.3%
Q1 - 2:42TORBosh Foul Turnover (P2.T5)20
80.9%
13
19.1%
Q1 - 2:51TORRAPTORS Rebound20
79.7%
13
20.3%
Q1 - 2:52DENMISS Billups 23' Pullup Jump Shot20
80.1%
13
19.9%
Q1 - 3:03TORDeRozan 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Wright 3 AST)20
81.2%
13
18.8%
Q1 - 3:26DENBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nene 4 AST)20
82.5%
11
17.5%
Q1 - 3:33DENBillups Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)17
79.7%
11
20.3%
Q1 - 3:43TORBosh Tip Shot (6 PTS)16
78.2%
11
21.8%
Q1 - 3:45TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)16
79.7%
9
20.3%
Q1 - 3:47TORMISS DeRozan 7' Pullup Jump Shot16
80.7%
9
19.3%
Q1 - 3:54TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)16
79.7%
9
20.3%
Q1 - 3:55TORMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot16
80.7%
9
19.3%
Q1 - 4:18DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)16
79.3%
9
20.7%
Q1 - 4:32TORDeRozan Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)16
80.9%
9
19.1%
Q1 - 4:35TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)16
79.4%
9
20.6%
Q1 - 4:36TORMISS Calderon 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
80.4%
9
19.6%
Q1 - 4:52TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
79.4%
9
20.6%
Q1 - 4:53DENMISS Petro 19' Jump Shot16
79.8%
9
20.2%
Q1 - 5:07TORBosh 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)16
80.3%
9
19.7%
Q1 - 5:27DENNene 6' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)16
81.5%
7
18.5%
Q1 - 5:43DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
80.3%
7
19.7%
Q1 - 5:44TORMISS Bosh 18' Step Back Jump Shot14
79.9%
7
20.1%
Q1 - 6:04DENAnthony 2' Running Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS) (Nene 3 AST)14
78.8%
7
21.2%
Q1 - 6:16TORWright Foul Turnover (P1.T3)12
77.4%
7
22.6%
Q1 - 6:27DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
75.8%
7
24.2%
Q1 - 6:27DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
75.7%
7
24.3%
Q1 - 6:52TORCalderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)10
74.3%
7
25.7%
Q1 - 7:06TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
77.4%
4
22.6%
Q1 - 7:09DENMISS Billups 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot10
77.8%
4
22.2%
Q1 - 7:14DENPetro REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
78.9%
4
21.1%
Q1 - 7:16TORMISS Calderon 2' Driving Layup10
78.4%
4
21.6%
Q1 - 7:30DENAnthony 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
77.4%
4
22.6%
Q1 - 7:38DENPetro REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
76.0%
4
24.0%
Q1 - 7:40TORMISS Wright 5' Running Jump Shot8
75.5%
4
24.5%
Q1 - 8:00DENAnthony 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)8
74.3%
4
25.7%
Q1 - 8:10DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
73.0%
4
27.0%
Q1 - 8:12TORMISS Calderon 19' Pullup Jump Shot6
72.5%
4
27.5%
Q1 - 8:21TORWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
71.3%
4
28.7%
Q1 - 8:23DENMISS Billups 9' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot6
71.8%
4
28.2%
Q1 - 8:28DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
73.0%
4
27.0%
Q1 - 8:29TORMISS Bosh Tip Shot6
72.5%
4
27.5%
Q1 - 8:31TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
71.3%
4
28.7%
Q1 - 8:33TORMISS Weems 1' Driving Layup6
72.5%
4
27.5%
Q1 - 8:49TORWeems REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
71.3%
4
28.7%
Q1 - 8:50TORMISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
72.5%
4
27.5%
Q1 - 9:04TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
71.8%
4
28.2%
Q1 - 9:06DENBargnani BLOCK (1 BLK)6
72.2%
4
27.8%
Q1 - 9:23TORBosh 3' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)6
73.3%
4
26.7%
Q1 - 9:40DENNene 2' Running Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Petro 1 AST)6
74.9%
2
25.1%
Q1 - 9:46TORWeems Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
73.3%
2
26.7%
Q1 - 10:05DENPetro 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
71.4%
2
28.6%
Q1 - 10:28TORWeems 21' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)2
70.1%
2
29.9%
Q1 - 10:35TORWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
71.5%
0
28.5%
Q1 - 10:36DENMISS Petro 16' Jump Shot2
72.0%
0
28.0%
Q1 - 10:51DENPetro REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
73.1%
0
26.9%
Q1 - 10:52TORMISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
72.6%
0
27.4%
Q1 - 11:15DENPetro 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)2
71.4%
0
28.6%
Q1 - 11:33TORBosh Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)0
70.0%
0
30.0%
Q1 - 11:38TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
68.6%
0
31.4%
Q1 - 11:39TORMISS Bargnani 7' Running Jump Shot0
69.6%
0
30.4%
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Bosh vs. Petro: Tip to Calderon0
68.6%
0
31.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.98 49.0%
TOR
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
19
30
63%
TOR
20
31
65%
Midrange
DEN
10
32
31%
TOR
16
39
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
6
9.0
23
26%
39%
TOR
4
6.0
15
27%
40%
Free Throws
DEN
21
31
68%
TOR
12
16
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony2550%12.5 / 25
Nene2067%10.0 / 15
C. Billups1845%9.0 / 20
J. Smith1657%8.0 / 14
A. Afflalo550%2.5 / 5
C. Andersen550%2.5 / 5
J. Petro433%2.0 / 6
J. Graham4100%2.0 / 2
A. Carter0-0.0 / 3
M. Allen0-0.0 / 2
T. Lawson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh1850%9.0 / 18
D. DeRozan1594%7.5 / 8
A. Bargnani1450%7.0 / 14
S. Weems1478%7.0 / 9
M. Belinelli1161%5.5 / 9
A. Wright836%4.0 / 11
J. Jack729%3.5 / 12
A. Johnson660%3.0 / 5
J. Calderon338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
87
+11
-7
98
TOR
77
+16
-18
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.98 49.0%
TOR
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.9
111.0
DEN 103.2 +2.1
TOR 101.1
Pace
94.7
93.3
DEN 99.3 +9.1
TOR 90.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
15.3
DEN 14.5 +1.5
TOR 16.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.9%
52.1%
DEN 44.7%
TOR 49.4% +4.7%
TO %
14.2%
13.8%
DEN 6.6% +10.5%
TOR 17.1%
ORB %
26.1%
24.8%
DEN 14.0%
TOR 32.6% +18.6%
FTrt
37.6
31.9
DEN 36.5 +17.7
TOR 18.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.0%
56.4%
DEN 65.7% +3.2%
TOR 62.5%
STL %
8.7%
6.1%
DEN 11.7% +6.4%
TOR 5.3%
BLK %
7.9%
7.4%
DEN 1.4%
TOR 9.7% +8.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.9%
54.9%
DEN 49.0%
TOR 51.1% +2.1%
Rim FG%
61.0%
61.6%
DEN 63.3%
TOR 64.5% +1.2%
Mid FG%
39.6%
42.9%
DEN 31.3%
TOR 41.0% +9.7%
3P %
35.9%
37.1%
DEN 26.1%
TOR 26.7% +0.6%
FT %
77.2%
76.4%
DEN 67.7%
TOR 75.0% +7.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.5%
35.0%
DEN 35.3%
TOR 36.5% +1.2%
Mid Att. %
39.8%
43.9%
DEN 37.6% +8.2%
TOR 45.9%
3P Att. %
22.7%
21.1%
DEN 27.1% +9.4%
TOR 17.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENTOR
Possessions9495
Possession Minutes22.725.3
Points9796
Rebounds3858
Assists2325
Steals115
Blocks16
Turnovers (Team)7 (0)18 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (4)15 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)43 (1)
Field Goals35-8540-85
At-the-Rim FG19-3020-31
Midrange FG10-3216-39
2-Point FG29-6236-70
3-Point FG6-234-15
Free Throws21-3112-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 240 · 26
40.9
25
50%
8
2
1
0
1
3
2
6
4-6
67%
9-18
50%
1-4
25%
F · 6'11" 250 · 28
37.7
20
67%
9
6
3
0
0
4
2
7
4-6
67%
8-12
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 210 · 33
37.3
18
45%
2
4
1
0
3
3
0
2
7-7
100%
1-7
14%
3-11
27%
G · 6'5" 210 · 24
22.9
5
50%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
C · 7'0" 247 · 24
12.6
4
33%
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25
27.4
16
57%
4
3
1
0
1
2
0
4
3-5
60%
5-9
56%
1-3
33%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32
21.4
5
50%
5
0
0
0
1
0
2
3
1-5
20%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 35
17.6
0
0%
3
5
2
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 230 · 28
12.2
4
100%
1
1
1
0
0
3
1
0
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 32
6.8
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 195 · 22
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 225 · 26
#4 · F · 6'9" 225 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
49%
38
23
11
1
7
0
7
31
21-31
68%
29-62
47%
6-23
26%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.