Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, March 26, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 13 | Bobcats | 78% | 95 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Timberwolves | 9% | 91 | 97 |
 | 1 | Magic | 91% | 108 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 21 | Raptors | 36% | 103 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 4 | Celtics | 84% | 103 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Pistons | 52% | 97 | 110 |
| 28 | Nets | 48% | 96 | 118 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Lakers | 60% | 96 | 75 |
 | 14 | Thunder | 40% | 93 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Heat | 42% | 90 | 87 |
 | 15 | Bucks | 58% | 93 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Knicks | 25% | 103 | 96 |
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Thursday, March 25, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 59% | 94 | 103 |
 | 24 | Bulls | 41% | 91 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Mavericks | 35% | 94 | 89 |
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Wednesday, March 24, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Magic | 51% | 99 | 84 |
| 11 | Hawks | 49% | 98 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 36% | 96 | 99 |
| 5 | Celtics | 64% | 101 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 23% | 89 | 95 |
| 14 | Bobcats | 77% | 98 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 29% | 94 | 82 |
| 21 | Pacers | 71% | 101 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jazz | 59% | 106 | 113 |
| 17 | Raptors | 41% | 103 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kings | 52% | 100 | 79 |
| 28 | Nets | 48% | 99 | 93 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 76ers | 28% | 90 | 101 |
| 12 | Bucks | 72% | 98 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cavaliers | 66% | 101 | 105 |
| 18 | Hornets | 34% | 96 | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Rockets | 39% | 95 | 104 |
| 15 | Thunder | 61% | 98 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 46% | 96 | 92 |
| 8 | Spurs | 54% | 97 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Tuesday, March 23, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bobcats | 67% | 93 | 95 |
| 29 | Wizards | 33% | 87 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 49% | 100 | 98 |
| 26 | Pistons | 51% | 101 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 63% | 107 | 104 |
| 19 | Knicks | 37% | 102 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Clippers | 23% | 93 | 96 |
| 9 | Mavericks | 77% | 103 | 106 |
Monday, March 22, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Magic | 70% | 100 | 109 |
| 22 | 76ers | 30% | 93 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 74% | 98 | 99 |
| 30 | Nets | 26% | 89 | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Rockets | 52% | 99 | 88 |
| 25 | Bulls | 48% | 98 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 41% | 94 | 95 |
| 13 | Bucks | 59% | 97 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 63% | 106 | 106 |
| 29 | Timberwolves | 37% | 102 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mavericks | 61% | 100 | 99 |
| 20 | Hornets | 39% | 96 | 115 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Spurs | 52% | 94 | 99 |
| 16 | Thunder | 48% | 93 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 47% | 96 | 97 |
| 10 | Jazz | 53% | 97 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Grizzlies | 51% | 100 | 102 |
| 24 | Kings | 49% | 99 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Suns | 55% | 114 | 133 |
| 19 | Warriors | 45% | 113 | 131 |
Sunday, March 21, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Rockets | 53% | 102 | 116 |
| 18 | Knicks | 47% | 101 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Thunder | 57% | 98 | 101 |
| 21 | Pacers | 43% | 96 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Spurs | 41% | 95 | 114 |
| 10 | Hawks | 59% | 98 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 44% | 98 | 102 |
| 26 | Clippers | 56% | 101 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pistons | 13% | 90 | 79 |
| 1 | Cavaliers | 87% | 104 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 11% | 87 | 92 |
| 2 | Lakers | 89% | 103 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Trail Blazers | 43% | 102 | 87 |
| 7 | Suns | 57% | 104 | 93 |
Saturday, March 20, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 36% | 93 | 98 |
| 19 | 76ers | 64% | 98 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bobcats | 35% | 87 | 71 |
| 13 | Heat | 65% | 92 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 56% | 102 | 100 |
| 29 | Nets | 44% | 100 | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Warriors | 38% | 105 | 107 |
| 22 | Grizzlies | 62% | 109 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 41% | 94 | 102 |
| 9 | Mavericks | 59% | 97 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bucks | 29% | 95 | 102 |
| 4 | Nuggets | 71% | 103 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hornets | 28% | 96 | 86 | |
| 8 | Jazz | 72% | 104 | 106 |
Friday, March 19, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pistons | 46% | 97 | 102 |
| 25 | Pacers | 54% | 98 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Thunder | 48% | 100 | 115 |
| 16 | Raptors | 52% | 101 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bobcats | 34% | 90 | 92 |
| 11 | Hawks | 66% | 95 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 76ers | 42% | 99 | 88 |
| 20 | Knicks | 58% | 102 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 80% | 102 | 92 |
| 27 | Bulls | 20% | 91 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Celtics | 52% | 97 | 94 |
| 14 | Rockets | 48% | 96 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Warriors | 27% | 100 | 116 |
| 10 | Spurs | 73% | 107 | 147 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 45% | 106 | 100 |
| 8 | Suns | 55% | 107 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 13% | 88 | 74 |
| 4 | Trail Blazers | 87% | 102 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bucks | 60% | 98 | 114 |
| 24 | Kings | 40% | 95 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 9% | 91 | 96 |
| 1 | Lakers | 91% | 109 | 104 |
Thursday, March 18, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Magic | 52% | 94 | 108 |
| 13 | Heat | 48% | 93 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hornets | 21% | 98 | 80 | |
| 5 | Nuggets | 79% | 108 | 93 |
Wednesday, March 17, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Thunder | 51% | 90 | 92 |
| 17 | Bobcats | 49% | 89 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 14% | 93 | 94 |
| 1 | Cavaliers | 86% | 107 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nets | 27% | 93 | 97 | |
| 22 | 76ers | 73% | 101 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hawks | 43% | 100 | 105 |
| 16 | Raptors | 57% | 103 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 23% | 93 | 97 |
| 6 | Celtics | 77% | 103 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Spurs | 30% | 92 | 84 |
| 3 | Magic | 70% | 99 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 15% | 90 | 106 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 85% | 103 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Grizzlies | 28% | 97 | 94 |
| 11 | Rockets | 72% | 104 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 10% | 95 | 100 |
| 7 | Jazz | 90% | 112 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hornets | 42% | 106 | 121 | |
| 18 | Warriors | 58% | 108 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bucks | 65% | 98 | 93 |
| 26 | Clippers | 35% | 93 | 101 |
Tuesday, March 16, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bobcats | 55% | 95 | 94 |
| 23 | Pacers | 45% | 94 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cavaliers | 80% | 103 | 113 |
| 25 | Pistons | 20% | 92 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spurs | 49% | 93 | 88 |
| 15 | Heat | 51% | 94 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 75% | 99 | 108 |
| 30 | Nets | 25% | 91 | 84 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 31% | 95 | 97 |
| 18 | Grizzlies | 69% | 101 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 11% | 93 | 87 |
| 4 | Nuggets | 89% | 108 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Timberwolves | 17% | 100 | 114 |
| 8 | Suns | 83% | 113 | 152 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 70% | 102 | 106 |
| 24 | Kings | 30% | 95 | 99 |
Monday, March 15, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 46% | 100 | 94 |
| 20 | 76ers | 54% | 101 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 21% | 89 | 93 |
| 6 | Celtics | 79% | 99 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 54% | 103 | 123 |
| 15 | Rockets | 46% | 102 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 14% | 91 | 89 |
| 7 | Jazz | 86% | 106 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 67% | 109 | 124 |
| 19 | Warriors | 33% | 103 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | 49% | 98 | 108 | |
| 26 | Clippers | 51% | 99 | 100 |
Sunday, March 14, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 25% | 93 | 94 |
| 10 | Bucks | 75% | 101 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Celtics | 36% | 92 | 93 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 64% | 96 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 76ers | 34% | 91 | 91 |
| 13 | Heat | 66% | 97 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bobcats | 30% | 88 | 96 |
| 3 | Magic | 70% | 95 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Jazz | 55% | 98 | 111 |
| 15 | Thunder | 45% | 96 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 30% | 101 | 106 | |
| 8 | Suns | 70% | 108 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 21% | 95 | 98 |
| 6 | Trail Blazers | 79% | 106 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 32% | 96 | 100 |
| 23 | Kings | 68% | 102 | 114 |
Saturday, March 13, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 18% | 92 | 99 |
| 10 | Hawks | 82% | 104 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Magic | 83% | 102 | 109 |
| 29 | Wizards | 17% | 90 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nuggets | 61% | 104 | 125 |
| 19 | Grizzlies | 39% | 100 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 18% | 95 | 128 |
| 9 | Mavericks | 82% | 107 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 17% | 92 | 108 | |
| 13 | Rockets | 83% | 105 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Clippers | 17% | 89 | 88 |
| 8 | Spurs | 83% | 102 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 43% | 109 | 112 |
| 18 | Warriors | 57% | 112 | 124 |