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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 9, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Knicks17%95103
1Magic83%107118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.7
43.3
35.0
28
67%
4
2
2
1
0
1
1
3
9-9
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
47%
5-10
50%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 28.7
33.4
26.5
8
46%
12
1
0
1
2
1
3
9
2-4
50%
3-7
5-10
43%
44%
0-0
-
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 26.9
28.5
37.4
11
48%
7
2
0
1
0
2
3
4
1-1
100%
5-11
8-15
45%
53%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.6
26.4
24.6
13
108%
4
5
0
1
0
4
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
42%
3-4
75%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 30.9
21.7
15.7
6
50%
1
4
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
43%
2-6
33%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.5
29.5
27.5
10
71%
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
53%
2-4
50%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.1
28.9
28.5
12
51%
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
2
2-4
50%
2-4
3-5
50%
47%
2-6
33%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 23.8
24.0
20.0
13
84%
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
3-4
75%
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
2-2
100%
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.1
4.3
7.7
2
25%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.1
15.3
0
2-4
48%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.9
6.0
0
0-1
42%
Jonathan Bender
F · 7'0" 230 · 29.2
3.4
0
0-1
44%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 27.3
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.3
37.2
30.6
25
71%
13
2
0
1
1
0
5
8
3-8
38%
11-14
6-10
79%
62%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 33.2
30.8
25.2
25
60%
1
5
2
1
0
1
1
0
2-4
50%
4-9
4-7
44%
50%
5-10
50%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 28.2
29.1
27.8
13
65%
2
5
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
4-7
33%
52%
3-4
75%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.7
25.9
27.5
7
70%
3
3
3
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
52%
1-1
100%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 30.1
17.1
21.9
2
25%
5
1
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
57%
0-3
0%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.8
24.4
25.0
15
70%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-4
50%
5-6
2-5
83%
48%
1-3
33%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 28.2
22.1
21.6
10
50%
7
2
1
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
54%
2-5
40%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.9
22.1
12.0
19
86%
6
3
2
0
2
1
4
2
0-0
-
5-6
1-2
83%
51%
3-5
60%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 34.4
20.4
16.6
0
0%
0
5
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.1
10.8
16.9
2
114%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
2-3
-
58%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 24.9
9.9
0
2-4
53%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 35.5
5.4
0
0-1
47%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 35.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.