Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, April 9, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Knicks | 17% | 95 | 103 |
 | 1 | Magic | 83% | 107 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Bucks | 56% | 96 | 95 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Raptors | 25% | 97 | 101 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 3 | Celtics | 85% | 100 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Pistons | 25% | 87 | 106 |
 | 12 | Heat | 75% | 96 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Lakers | 73% | 103 | 97 |
 | 30 | Timberwolves | 27% | 95 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Bulls | 57% | 98 | 116 |
| 29 | Nets | 43% | 95 | 127 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 19 | Hornets | 42% | 101 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 10 | Thunder | 56% | 104 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Bobcats | 48% | 94 | 90 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Mavericks | 34% | 94 | 83 |
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Thursday, April 8, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Cavaliers | 52% | 96 | 108 |
| 18 | Bulls | 48% | 95 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 49% | 101 | 96 |
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Wednesday, April 7, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 33% | 101 | 105 |
| 17 | Pacers | 67% | 106 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 66% | 101 | 115 |
| 21 | Raptors | 34% | 95 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hawks | 55% | 97 | 88 |
| 23 | Pistons | 45% | 95 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 76ers | 22% | 88 | 95 |
| 11 | Heat | 78% | 98 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 26% | 90 | 89 | |
| 15 | Bucks | 74% | 99 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 30 | Timberwolves | 44% | 108 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bobcats | 44% | 95 | 104 |
| 16 | Hornets | 56% | 97 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 48% | 100 | 98 |
| 10 | Thunder | 52% | 101 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 10% | 87 | 94 |
| 1 | Magic | 90% | 104 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Grizzlies | 19% | 93 | 84 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 81% | 105 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 59% | 104 | 96 |
| 19 | Rockets | 41% | 101 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Trail Blazers | 71% | 102 | 93 |
| 27 | Clippers | 29% | 94 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 41% | 102 | 101 |
| 8 | Suns | 59% | 105 | 112 |
Tuesday, April 6, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 47% | 91 | 100 |
| 14 | Bobcats | 53% | 92 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 18% | 97 | 101 |
| 1 | Cavaliers | 82% | 109 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | 41% | 95 | 124 |
| 24 | 76ers | 59% | 98 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Warriors | 57% | 106 | 94 |
| 28 | Wizards | 43% | 103 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 67% | 101 | 101 |
| 23 | Knicks | 33% | 95 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bucks | 49% | 94 | 79 |
| 20 | Bulls | 51% | 95 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Rockets | 45% | 100 | 113 |
| 21 | Grizzlies | 55% | 101 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Thunder | 36% | 96 | 139 |
| 7 | Jazz | 64% | 101 | 140 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 69% | 101 | 95 |
| 25 | Kings | 31% | 94 | 86 |
Sunday, April 4, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 45% | 94 | 113 |
| 4 | Celtics | 55% | 95 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Spurs | 40% | 94 | 100 |
| 5 | Lakers | 60% | 98 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Rockets | 43% | 101 | 102 |
| 19 | Pacers | 57% | 103 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Grizzlies | 19% | 92 | 92 |
| 1 | Magic | 81% | 104 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Warriors | 45% | 110 | 113 |
| 17 | Raptors | 55% | 112 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 38% | 93 | 99 | |
| 29 | Wizards | 62% | 97 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 17% | 92 | 108 |
| 11 | Thunder | 83% | 105 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 54% | 103 | 113 |
| 27 | Clippers | 46% | 102 | 107 |
Saturday, April 3, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Raptors | 49% | 101 | 128 |
| 25 | 76ers | 51% | 102 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | 23% | 90 | 85 |
| 11 | Hawks | 77% | 99 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hornets | 59% | 101 | 87 | |
| 28 | Nets | 41% | 98 | 115 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bobcats | 49% | 92 | 88 |
| 20 | Bulls | 51% | 93 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 66% | 98 | 97 |
| 30 | Timberwolves | 34% | 93 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Thunder | 38% | 94 | 121 |
| 9 | Mavericks | 62% | 98 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Suns | 47% | 101 | 98 |
| 13 | Bucks | 53% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Clippers | 16% | 96 | 90 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 84% | 109 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Trail Blazers | 69% | 101 | 98 |
| 24 | Kings | 31% | 94 | 87 |
Friday, April 2, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bucks | 43% | 89 | 86 |
| 15 | Bobcats | 57% | 91 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 51% | 97 | 105 |
| 19 | Pacers | 49% | 96 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 59% | 96 | 95 |
| 29 | Wizards | 41% | 93 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Rockets | 22% | 91 | 119 |
| 4 | Celtics | 78% | 101 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 30% | 95 | 88 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 70% | 102 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Suns | 66% | 105 | 109 |
| 26 | Pistons | 34% | 100 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hornets | 48% | 101 | 96 | |
| 17 | Grizzlies | 52% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magic | 45% | 95 | 100 |
| 9 | Spurs | 55% | 96 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 41% | 108 | 117 |
| 20 | Warriors | 59% | 111 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jazz | 38% | 97 | 92 |
| 5 | Lakers | 62% | 101 | 106 |
Thursday, April 1, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magic | 53% | 98 | 97 |
| 6 | Mavericks | 47% | 97 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 98 | 92 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 63% | 102 | 109 |
Wednesday, March 31, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lakers | 49% | 98 | 92 |
| 11 | Hawks | 51% | 99 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 76ers | 26% | 87 | 84 |
| 15 | Bobcats | 74% | 95 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bucks | 18% | 90 | 98 |
| 1 | Cavaliers | 82% | 102 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Clippers | 27% | 99 | 92 |
| 18 | Raptors | 73% | 107 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Thunder | 28% | 88 | 109 |
| 5 | Celtics | 72% | 96 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 60% | 93 | 98 |
| 26 | Pistons | 40% | 90 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Suns | 67% | 108 | 116 |
| 27 | Nets | 33% | 102 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | 57% | 101 | 106 |
| 17 | Grizzlies | 43% | 98 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kings | 52% | 102 | 99 |
| 29 | Timberwolves | 48% | 101 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 18% | 91 | 96 |
| 14 | Hornets | 82% | 104 | 91 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Rockets | 21% | 92 | 102 |
| 9 | Spurs | 79% | 103 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 21% | 95 | 90 |
| 3 | Trail Blazers | 79% | 105 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Warriors | 23% | 104 | 104 |
| 6 | Jazz | 77% | 114 | 128 |
Tuesday, March 30, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kings | 38% | 99 | 95 |
| 18 | Pacers | 62% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Thunder | 58% | 96 | 111 |
| 23 | 76ers | 42% | 93 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Suns | 65% | 106 | 111 |
| 26 | Bulls | 35% | 101 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Clippers | 27% | 92 | 89 |
| 16 | Bucks | 73% | 100 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 27% | 93 | 94 |
| 21 | Rockets | 73% | 101 | 98 |
Monday, March 29, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Raptors | 28% | 93 | 103 |
| 14 | Bobcats | 72% | 100 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 73% | 100 | 84 |
| 28 | Nets | 27% | 92 | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lakers | 58% | 100 | 100 |
| 15 | Hornets | 42% | 97 | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 40% | 100 | 93 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 60% | 104 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 22% | 99 | 98 |
| 7 | Jazz | 78% | 109 | 103 |
Sunday, March 28, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 13% | 92 | 90 |
| 1 | Cavaliers | 87% | 107 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Grizzlies | 38% | 94 | 103 |
| 16 | Bucks | 62% | 98 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pacers | 30% | 98 | 84 |
| 11 | Hawks | 70% | 105 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 40% | 95 | 110 |
| 25 | Pistons | 60% | 98 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Raptors | 34% | 95 | 94 |
| 12 | Heat | 66% | 100 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nuggets | 34% | 99 | 97 |
| 2 | Magic | 66% | 104 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Suns | 76% | 112 | 111 |
| 30 | Timberwolves | 24% | 102 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Trail Blazers | 46% | 93 | 92 |
| 13 | Thunder | 54% | 94 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Spurs | 40% | 93 | 94 |
| 3 | Celtics | 60% | 96 | 73 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Warriors | 43% | 106 | 121 |
| 24 | Clippers | 57% | 108 | 103 |
Saturday, March 27, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jazz | 75% | 103 | 103 |
| 29 | Wizards | 25% | 94 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 31% | 94 | 83 | |
| 26 | Bulls | 69% | 100 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Trail Blazers | 59% | 99 | 112 |
| 15 | Hornets | 41% | 96 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 55% | 98 | 109 |
| 18 | Rockets | 45% | 97 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | 60% | 109 | 111 |
| 20 | Warriors | 40% | 106 | 90 |