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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 9, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Bulls57%98116
29Nets43%95127
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.0
47.8
38.0
19
66%
4
3
1
1
0
1
2
2
2-3
67%
4-9
6-13
44%
49%
3-4
75%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.5
47.7
36.4
25
51%
6
6
0
1
0
7
0
6
7-12
58%
9-18
8-15
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.3
47.2
35.6
13
59%
9
9
1
1
0
2
1
8
0-0
-
2-4
3-7
50%
46%
3-7
43%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.8
37.0
29.1
6
30%
9
0
0
1
2
2
2
7
0-0
-
3-10
4-8
30%
51%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 25.1
35.9
29.2
16
74%
9
1
0
1
4
2
2
7
2-2
100%
7-10
5-9
70%
53%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 34.0
42.9
21.1
27
66%
10
3
1
1
3
1
1
9
7-10
70%
7-10
2-5
70%
49%
2-6
33%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.7
13.9
17.5
3
17%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
0-5
0%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.5
13.6
10.9
5
63%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
1-1
100%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.8
4.0
12.8
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
51%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.1
10.5
0
1-2
51%
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 25.2
4.2
0
0-1
46%
Chris Richard
F · 6'9" 256 · 25.3
4.0
0
0-1
50%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.3
Rob Kurz
F · 6'9" 232 · 25.1
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.5
49.2
28.4
16
41%
5
2
2
1
0
1
2
3
3-3
100%
2-8
3-6
25%
50%
3-10
30%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 22.0
44.1
31.6
26
63%
14
0
0
1
2
1
4
10
8-8
100%
9-17
6-11
53%
53%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.1
41.0
30.2
19
58%
5
6
1
1
0
2
1
4
5-10
50%
7-10
4-9
70%
49%
0-2
0%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 22.5
40.5
29.2
15
51%
12
2
2
1
3
2
4
8
3-4
75%
6-12
4-9
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.7
9.0
23.4
2
25%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.8
48.9
25.2
27
51%
13
10
1
1
0
3
2
11
2-3
67%
11-22
4-9
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.2
20.4
22.5
8
82%
6
1
0
1
0
1
0
6
2-2
100%
3-4
3-7
75%
47%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.9
20.3
14.9
8
51%
0
5
2
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
46%
1-4
25%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.4
11.1
9.5
6
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
54%
0-0
-
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 23.2
5.5
16.5
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.5
0.1
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 31.1
4.6
0
0-1
46%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 29.9
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 34.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.