FinalWin Prob.pScore
2325%97
101
1175%106
107
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
113.58995.7
ATL logo ATL
118.99084.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL101
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)101
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0TORMISS Bargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot101
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)101
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2101
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)99
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)99
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0TORBelinelli Dunk (4 PTS) (Jack 6 AST)99
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 0:20.0ATLMorris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)97
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0TORJack Free Throw 3 of 3 (11 PTS)97
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0TORJack Free Throw 2 of 3 (10 PTS)96
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0TORMISS Jack Free Throw 1 of 395
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)95
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)95
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0TORJohnson STEAL (2 STL)95
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 0:50.0TORTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)95
0.8%
102
99.2%
Q4 - 0:52.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)95
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 0:52.0ATLMISS Horford Tip Shot95
0.7%
102
99.3%
Q4 - 0:55.0ATLMISS Horford 8' Turnaround Jump Shot95
0.8%
102
99.2%
Q4 - 1:16ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)95
0.9%
102
99.1%
Q4 - 1:18TORMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
1.1%
102
98.9%
Q4 - 1:22TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)95
1.9%
102
98.1%
Q4 - 1:25TORHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)95
1.3%
102
98.7%
Q4 - 1:41TORRaptors Rebound95
2.5%
102
97.5%
Q4 - 1:42ATLMISS Johnson 5' Running Jump Shot95
2.1%
102
97.9%
Q4 - 2:07TORTurkoglu 23' Jump Shot (9 PTS)95
1.5%
102
98.5%
Q4 - 2:23TORTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)93
1.1%
102
98.9%
Q4 - 2:25ATLMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
0.9%
102
99.1%
Q4 - 2:39ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)93
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 2:41TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 193
0.6%
102
99.4%
Q4 - 2:47TORTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)91
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 2:50ATLMISS Smith 2' Driving Layup91
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 3:03ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)91
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 3:05TORMISS DeRozan 13' Fadeaway Jumper91
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 3:13TORTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)91
0.6%
102
99.4%
Q4 - 3:14ATLMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 3:30ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)91
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 3:31TORMISS Jack 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.9%
102
99.1%
Q4 - 3:45ATLSmith Foul Turnover (P3.T9)91
1.2%
102
98.8%
Q4 - 3:59TORJack 5' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS)91
0.7%
102
99.3%
Q4 - 4:21ATLJohnson 1' Layup (17 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)89
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 4:36TORJack 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)89
0.7%
100
99.3%
Q4 - 4:55ATLSmith Dunk (17 PTS) (Horford 5 AST)87
0.5%
100
99.5%
Q4 - 5:18TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)87
1.2%
98
98.8%
Q4 - 5:18TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)86
1.1%
98
98.9%
Q4 - 5:23TORTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
0.9%
98
99.1%
Q4 - 5:25ATLMISS Smith 3' Driving Layup85
0.8%
98
99.2%
Q4 - 5:31ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)85
0.6%
98
99.4%
Q4 - 5:32ATLMISS Evans 20' Jump Shot85
0.8%
98
99.2%
Q4 - 5:59TORBelinelli 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)85
0.6%
98
99.4%
Q4 - 6:10TORBelinelli REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)83
0.7%
98
99.3%
Q4 - 6:14TORMISS Jack Running Dunk83
0.6%
98
99.4%
Q4 - 6:18TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)83
0.7%
98
99.3%
Q4 - 6:20ATLMISS Crawford 3PT Jump Shot83
0.6%
98
99.4%
Q4 - 6:35TORJohnson 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)83
0.5%
98
99.5%
Q4 - 6:52ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)81
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 7:07TORJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)81
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 7:07TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)78
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 7:08TORMISS Jack 1' Driving Layup78
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 7:32ATLHorford 12' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)78
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 7:53TORJack 10' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)78
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 8:17ATLPachulia 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)76
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 8:29ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)76
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 8:30TORMISS Johnson 5' Driving Jump Shot76
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 8:39TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)76
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 8:39TORMISS Bargnani 19' Jump Shot76
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 8:56ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Crawford 3 AST)76
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 9:02ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)76
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q4 - 9:04TORMISS DeRozan 17' Jump Shot76
1.3%
91
98.7%
Q4 - 9:27ATLEvans 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)76
1.5%
91
98.5%
Q4 - 9:43TORJack Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)76
2.0%
89
98.0%
Q4 - 9:43TORMISS Jack Free Throw 1 of 275
1.9%
89
98.1%
Q4 - 9:51ATLPachulia 7' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Horford 4 AST)75
1.9%
89
98.1%
Q4 - 9:59ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)75
2.5%
87
97.5%
Q4 - 10:00TORMISS Weems 2' Layup75
2.6%
87
97.4%
Q4 - 10:11ATLCrawford 14' Running Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)75
3.5%
87
96.5%
Q4 - 10:27TORJohnson STEAL (1 STL)75
4.4%
85
95.6%
Q4 - 10:43ATLJohnson Layup (12 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)75
5.4%
85
94.6%
Q4 - 10:46ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)75
6.7%
83
93.3%
Q4 - 10:48ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
7.8%
83
92.2%
Q4 - 11:05ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)75
7.3%
83
92.7%
Q4 - 11:06TORMISS Weems 20' Jump Shot75
7.7%
83
92.3%
Q4 - 11:24ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)75
8.8%
83
91.2%
Q4 - 11:24ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)75
9.1%
82
90.9%
Q4 - 11:38TORWeems 4' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS)75
10.7%
81
89.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL73
8.7%
81
91.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)73
7.8%
81
92.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0TORMISS DeRozan 17' Fadeaway Jumper73
8.2%
81
91.8%
Q3 - 0:10.0ATLCrawford Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)73
9.2%
81
90.8%
Q3 - 0:15.0ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
7.8%
81
92.2%
Q3 - 0:17.0TORMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
8.2%
81
91.8%
Q3 - 0:33.0TORWeems REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
9.2%
81
90.8%
Q3 - 0:33.0TORSmith BLOCK (4 BLK)73
8.2%
81
91.8%
Q3 - 0:40.0TORWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
9.2%
81
90.8%
Q3 - 0:41.0ATLMISS Evans 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
8.7%
81
91.3%
Q3 - 0:58.0ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)73
7.7%
81
92.3%
Q3 - 0:59.0TORMISS Calderon 16' Jump Shot73
8.2%
81
91.8%
Q3 - 1:07TORRaptors Rebound73
9.5%
81
90.5%
Q3 - 1:07TORSmith BLOCK (3 BLK)73
8.4%
81
91.6%
Q3 - 1:16ATLWilliams Dunk (8 PTS)73
9.4%
81
90.6%
Q3 - 1:18TORWilliams STEAL (3 STL)73
11.4%
79
88.6%
Q3 - 1:24ATLPachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)73
13.4%
79
86.6%
Q3 - 1:32ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)73
11.4%
79
88.6%
Q3 - 1:33ATLMISS Williams 4' Jump Shot73
12.8%
79
87.2%
Q3 - 1:56TORCalderon 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS)73
11.4%
79
88.6%
Q3 - 2:10ATLEvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)71
9.7%
79
90.3%
Q3 - 2:10ATLEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)71
10.1%
78
89.9%
Q3 - 2:23TORWeems Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)71
11.5%
77
88.5%
Q3 - 2:25TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)68
8.2%
77
91.8%
Q3 - 2:28ATLMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
7.8%
77
92.2%
Q3 - 2:34ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)68
6.9%
77
93.1%
Q3 - 2:37TORMISS Bargnani 16' Jump Shot68
7.3%
77
92.7%
Q3 - 2:43TORWeems REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
8.2%
77
91.8%
Q3 - 2:45ATLMISS Crawford 3' Driving Layup68
7.8%
77
92.2%
Q3 - 2:56ATLHAWKS Rebound68
6.9%
77
93.1%
Q3 - 2:58ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot68
7.8%
77
92.2%
Q3 - 3:15TORJohnson 2' Alley Oop Layup (13 PTS) (Calderon 9 AST)68
7.1%
77
92.9%
Q3 - 3:28ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)66
6.1%
77
93.9%
Q3 - 3:28ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)66
8.4%
74
91.6%
Q3 - 3:29ATLMISS Smith 4' Driving Jump Shot66
9.5%
74
90.5%
Q3 - 3:48TORBargnani 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Calderon 8 AST)66
8.4%
74
91.6%
Q3 - 3:55TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)64
7.2%
74
92.8%
Q3 - 3:57ATLMISS Horford 2' Alley Oop Layup64
6.8%
74
93.2%
Q3 - 4:06ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)64
6.2%
74
93.8%
Q3 - 4:07TORMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
6.6%
74
93.4%
Q3 - 4:19ATLHorford Foul Turnover (P2.T5)64
7.5%
74
92.5%
Q3 - 4:33TORWeems Running Dunk (13 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)64
6.2%
74
93.8%
Q3 - 4:36TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)62
5.4%
74
94.6%
Q3 - 4:38ATLMISS Crawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
5.1%
74
94.9%
Q3 - 5:02TORWeems Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)62
4.7%
74
95.3%
Q3 - 5:09TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)62
5.6%
74
94.4%
Q3 - 5:11ATLMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup62
5.3%
74
94.7%
Q3 - 5:34TORWeems 4' Driving Jump Shot (11 PTS)62
4.7%
74
95.3%
Q3 - 5:41TORRaptors Rebound60
4.1%
74
95.9%
Q3 - 5:43TORMISS Weems 20' Jump Shot60
3.6%
74
96.4%
Q3 - 5:54TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)60
4.1%
74
95.9%
Q3 - 5:55ATLMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot60
3.8%
74
96.2%
Q3 - 6:22TORBargnani 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)60
3.6%
74
96.4%
Q3 - 6:42ATLSmith 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)58
3.1%
74
96.9%
Q3 - 7:04TORCalderon 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)58
3.9%
72
96.1%
Q3 - 7:22ATLSmith 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)56
3.4%
72
96.6%
Q3 - 7:47TORWeems 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Calderon 7 AST)56
3.9%
70
96.1%
Q3 - 8:01ATLJohnson 4' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)54
3.5%
70
96.5%
Q3 - 8:09ATLHAWKS Rebound54
4.0%
68
96.0%
Q3 - 8:11ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
4.5%
68
95.5%
Q3 - 8:16ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)54
4.0%
68
96.0%
Q3 - 8:19TORWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)54
4.2%
68
95.8%
Q3 - 8:28TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
4.7%
68
95.3%
Q3 - 8:29ATLMISS Johnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot54
4.5%
68
95.5%
Q3 - 8:51TORJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)54
4.0%
68
96.0%
Q3 - 9:02ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)51
3.2%
68
96.8%
Q3 - 9:02ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)51
3.2%
67
96.8%
Q3 - 9:04ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)51
3.6%
66
96.4%
Q3 - 9:06ATLMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
4.0%
66
96.0%
Q3 - 9:23TORCalderon 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)51
3.6%
66
96.4%
Q3 - 9:42ATLHorford 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)49
3.1%
66
96.9%
Q3 - 10:09TORJohnson Running Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)49
3.8%
64
96.2%
Q3 - 10:24ATLBibby 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)47
3.3%
64
96.7%
Q3 - 10:31ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
4.4%
61
95.6%
Q3 - 10:33TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)47
5.0%
61
95.0%
Q3 - 10:33TORMISS Johnson Tip Shot47
4.5%
61
95.5%
Q3 - 10:35TORMISS Weems 17' Jump Shot47
4.5%
61
95.5%
Q3 - 11:01ATLBibby 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)47
5.2%
61
94.8%
Q3 - 11:15ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)47
5.9%
59
94.1%
Q3 - 11:18TORMISS Turkoglu 27' 3PT Jump Shot47
6.2%
59
93.8%
Q3 - 11:42TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
6.8%
59
93.2%
Q3 - 11:43ATLMISS Johnson 11' Jump Shot47
6.5%
59
93.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR47
5.9%
59
94.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORRaptors Rebound47
6.8%
59
93.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORMISS Wright 42' 3PT Jump Shot47
6.1%
59
93.9%
Q2 - 0:03.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)47
7.0%
59
93.0%
Q2 - 0:08.0TORCalderon 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)47
10.4%
55
89.6%
Q2 - 0:30.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)45
8.9%
55
91.1%
Q2 - 0:30.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)45
9.1%
54
90.9%
Q2 - 0:31.0TORWilliams STEAL (2 STL)45
10.3%
53
89.7%
Q2 - 0:49.0ATLSmith 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)45
11.4%
53
88.6%
Q2 - 1:07ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
13.2%
51
86.8%
Q2 - 1:08TORMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
13.6%
51
86.4%
Q2 - 1:17TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
14.4%
51
85.6%
Q2 - 1:19ATLMISS Evans 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
14.0%
51
86.0%
Q2 - 1:38TORHorford STEAL (2 STL)45
13.2%
51
86.8%
Q2 - 1:51ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)45
14.4%
51
85.6%
Q2 - 1:51ATLEvans Tip Shot (4 PTS)45
14.4%
51
85.6%
Q2 - 1:53ATLMISS Williams 7' Turnaround Jump Shot45
17.5%
49
82.5%
Q2 - 2:14TORBargnani 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)45
16.2%
49
83.8%
Q2 - 2:36ATLWilliams Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)43
14.6%
49
85.4%
Q2 - 2:40ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
16.2%
47
83.8%
Q2 - 2:42TORMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
16.8%
47
83.2%
Q2 - 2:55ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)43
18.1%
47
81.9%
Q2 - 2:55ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)43
18.5%
46
81.5%
Q2 - 3:06ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
19.7%
45
80.3%
Q2 - 3:08TORMISS Weems Free Throw 2 of 243
20.0%
45
80.0%
Q2 - 3:08TORWeems Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)43
21.2%
45
78.8%
Q2 - 3:08TORWeems REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
20.1%
45
79.9%
Q2 - 3:12ATLMISS Crawford 8' Running Jump Shot42
19.4%
45
80.6%
Q2 - 3:19ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)42
17.8%
45
82.2%
Q2 - 3:20TORMISS Weems 18' Jump Shot42
18.5%
45
81.5%
Q2 - 3:23TORRaptors Rebound42
20.1%
45
79.9%
Q2 - 3:24TORMISS Weems 20' Jump Shot42
18.5%
45
81.5%
Q2 - 3:41ATLCrawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)42
20.1%
45
79.9%
Q2 - 4:12TORWeems 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jack 5 AST)42
23.7%
42
76.3%
Q2 - 4:31ATLHorford 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)40
21.8%
42
78.2%
Q2 - 4:40ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
23.8%
40
76.2%
Q2 - 4:41TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
24.5%
40
75.5%
Q2 - 5:05ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)40
26.0%
40
74.0%
Q2 - 5:05ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)40
26.7%
39
73.3%
Q2 - 5:21TORWeems 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)40
28.4%
38
71.6%
Q2 - 5:33TORRaptors Rebound38
26.0%
38
74.0%
Q2 - 5:34ATLMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
25.3%
38
74.7%
Q2 - 5:39ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
23.8%
38
76.2%
Q2 - 5:42TORSmith BLOCK (2 BLK)38
24.4%
38
75.6%
Q2 - 6:02ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)38
26.1%
38
73.9%
Q2 - 6:05ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)38
30.3%
35
69.7%
Q2 - 6:07ATLMISS Horford 9' Hook Shot38
32.4%
35
67.6%
Q2 - 6:22ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
30.4%
35
69.6%
Q2 - 6:23ATLMISS Smith 2' Layup38
32.4%
35
67.6%
Q2 - 6:38TOREvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)38
30.4%
35
69.6%
Q2 - 6:38TORMISS Evans Free Throw 1 of 237
29.5%
35
70.5%
Q2 - 6:39TOREvans REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)37
30.8%
35
69.2%
Q2 - 6:40TORMISS Bargnani 15' Jump Shot37
28.8%
35
71.2%
Q2 - 6:56ATLEvans Dunk (2 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)37
30.8%
35
69.2%
Q2 - 7:01ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
32.4%
33
67.6%
Q2 - 7:03TORMISS Jack 22' Jump Shot37
33.1%
33
66.9%
Q2 - 7:21ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)37
35.0%
33
65.0%
Q2 - 7:21ATLSmith Tip Shot (4 PTS)37
35.0%
33
65.0%
Q2 - 7:24ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot37
39.5%
31
60.5%
Q2 - 7:29ATLHAWKS Rebound37
37.5%
31
62.5%
Q2 - 7:30ATLMISS Williams 9' Jump Shot37
39.5%
31
60.5%
Q2 - 7:52TORDeRozan Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Jack 4 AST)37
37.6%
31
62.4%
Q2 - 7:55TORJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
35.1%
31
64.9%
Q2 - 7:57ATLMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
34.3%
31
65.7%
Q2 - 8:17ATLHAWKS Rebound35
31.8%
31
68.2%
Q2 - 8:17TORMISS Evans Putback Layup35
32.5%
31
67.5%
Q2 - 8:18TOREvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
34.3%
31
65.7%
Q2 - 8:19TORMISS DeRozan 10' Jump Shot35
32.5%
31
67.5%
Q2 - 8:39ATLCrawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)35
34.3%
31
65.7%
Q2 - 8:42ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)35
39.3%
28
60.7%
Q2 - 8:44ATLMISS Evans 15' Jump Shot35
41.2%
28
58.8%
Q2 - 8:46ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
39.3%
28
60.7%
Q2 - 8:47ATLMISS Pachulia 6' Jump Shot35
41.2%
28
58.8%
Q2 - 8:58TORNesterovic Putback Layup (2 PTS)35
39.4%
28
60.6%
Q2 - 8:59TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
36.8%
28
63.2%
Q2 - 9:01TORSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)33
34.2%
28
65.8%
Q2 - 9:21ATLCrawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)33
36.0%
28
64.0%
Q2 - 9:42TOREvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)33
41.0%
25
59.0%
Q2 - 9:42TOREvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)32
40.0%
25
60.0%
Q2 - 9:53ATLCrawford 11' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)31
38.6%
25
61.4%
Q2 - 10:15TORJack 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
40.6%
23
59.4%
Q2 - 10:21TORRaptors Rebound29
38.3%
23
61.7%
Q2 - 10:21TORMISS Jack 19' Jump Shot29
36.5%
23
63.5%
Q2 - 10:29TOREvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
38.3%
23
61.7%
Q2 - 10:31ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 229
38.0%
23
62.0%
Q2 - 10:31ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)29
36.3%
23
63.7%
Q2 - 10:46TOREvans Putback Layup (2 PTS)29
38.1%
22
61.9%
Q2 - 10:47TOREvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
35.9%
22
64.1%
Q2 - 10:49TORMISS DeRozan 13' Jump Shot27
34.1%
22
65.9%
Q2 - 11:09ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)27
35.4%
22
64.6%
Q2 - 11:21TORWeems 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
40.1%
19
59.9%
Q2 - 11:39ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)25
37.9%
19
62.1%
Q2 - 11:44ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
42.6%
16
57.4%
Q2 - 11:46ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 125
44.9%
16
55.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR25
47.7%
14
52.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORRaptors Rebound25
50.4%
14
49.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORMISS Bargnani 85' 3PT Jump Shot25
48.5%
14
51.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)25
50.4%
14
49.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Evans 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
48.0%
14
52.0%
Q1 - 0:24.0TORBargnani 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)25
46.7%
14
53.3%
Q1 - 0:31.0TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
43.8%
14
56.2%
Q1 - 0:33.0ATLMISS Crawford 10' Jump Shot23
43.2%
14
56.8%
Q1 - 0:42.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
41.9%
14
58.1%
Q1 - 0:45.0ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
43.2%
14
56.8%
Q1 - 1:12TORTurkoglu 2' Running Layup (7 PTS) (Jack 3 AST)23
41.1%
14
58.9%
Q1 - 1:17ATLTeague Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)21
38.1%
14
61.9%
Q1 - 1:35TORJohnson Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Jack 2 AST)21
36.6%
14
63.4%
Q1 - 1:40ATLCrawford Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)19
33.8%
14
66.2%
Q1 - 1:59TORTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jack 1 AST)19
32.3%
14
67.7%
Q1 - 2:18ATLPachulia 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)16
27.8%
14
72.2%
Q1 - 2:26TORCrawford STEAL (1 STL)16
30.0%
12
70.0%
Q1 - 2:40ATLSmith 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)16
31.7%
12
68.3%
Q1 - 2:54TORWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)16
34.1%
10
65.9%
Q1 - 2:54TORMISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 215
33.6%
10
66.4%
Q1 - 3:06ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
33.4%
10
66.6%
Q1 - 3:06ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
33.7%
9
66.3%
Q1 - 3:22TORJohnson 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)15
35.5%
8
64.5%
Q1 - 3:33TORTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
33.5%
8
66.5%
Q1 - 3:36ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot13
32.9%
8
67.1%
Q1 - 4:01TORBargnani 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)13
30.6%
8
69.4%
Q1 - 4:14TORTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
28.8%
8
71.2%
Q1 - 4:16ATLMISS Crawford 14' Fadeaway Jumper11
28.2%
8
71.8%
Q1 - 4:28ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)11
26.9%
8
73.1%
Q1 - 4:30ATLMISS Horford 10' Turnaround Jump Shot11
28.3%
8
71.7%
Q1 - 4:46TORTurkoglu 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
27.0%
8
73.0%
Q1 - 4:52TORTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
25.3%
8
74.7%
Q1 - 4:54TORMISS Wright 15' Jump Shot9
24.1%
8
75.9%
Q1 - 5:00TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
25.4%
8
74.6%
Q1 - 5:01ATLMISS Crawford 19' Jump Shot9
24.8%
8
75.2%
Q1 - 5:20TORBargnani 13' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)9
23.5%
8
76.5%
Q1 - 5:38ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)7
22.2%
8
77.8%
Q1 - 5:40ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)7
20.6%
8
79.4%
Q1 - 5:41TORMISS Wright 5' Jump Shot7
21.0%
8
79.0%
Q1 - 5:58ATLCrawford 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)7
22.2%
8
77.8%
Q1 - 6:08ATLHAWKS Rebound7
23.2%
6
76.8%
Q1 - 6:08ATLMISS Smith 1' Layup7
24.3%
6
75.7%
Q1 - 6:24ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
23.2%
6
76.8%
Q1 - 6:25TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
23.7%
6
76.3%
Q1 - 6:32TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
24.8%
6
75.2%
Q1 - 6:34ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
24.3%
6
75.7%
Q1 - 6:39ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
23.2%
6
76.8%
Q1 - 6:40TORMISS Calderon 2' Driving Layup7
23.7%
6
76.3%
Q1 - 6:51TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
24.9%
6
75.1%
Q1 - 6:53ATLMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot7
24.4%
6
75.6%
Q1 - 7:11TORCalderon 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
22.9%
6
77.1%
Q1 - 7:20TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
21.5%
6
78.5%
Q1 - 7:21ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot5
21.1%
6
78.9%
Q1 - 7:33ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)5
20.1%
6
79.9%
Q1 - 7:35ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot5
21.1%
6
78.9%
Q1 - 7:44TORHorford STEAL (1 STL)5
20.1%
6
79.9%
Q1 - 7:51TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
21.5%
6
78.5%
Q1 - 7:54ATLMISS Smith 4' Driving Jump Shot5
21.1%
6
78.9%
Q1 - 8:04ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
19.9%
6
80.1%
Q1 - 8:06ATLMISS Horford 5' Turnaround Hook Shot5
20.8%
6
79.2%
Q1 - 8:20TORRaptors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)5
19.9%
6
80.1%
Q1 - 8:21TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
21.2%
6
78.8%
Q1 - 8:23TORSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)5
20.3%
6
79.7%
Q1 - 8:48ATLBibby 2' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)5
21.2%
6
78.8%
Q1 - 9:17TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)5
22.6%
4
77.4%
Q1 - 9:36ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
19.9%
4
80.1%
Q1 - 9:46ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
18.7%
4
81.3%
Q1 - 9:47TORMISS Wright 7' Jump Shot2
19.0%
4
81.0%
Q1 - 10:00TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
19.9%
4
80.1%
Q1 - 10:02ATLMISS Johnson 2' Layup2
19.5%
4
80.5%
Q1 - 10:13ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
18.7%
4
81.3%
Q1 - 10:15ATLMISS Smith 2' Driving Layup2
19.5%
4
80.5%
Q1 - 10:25ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
18.7%
4
81.3%
Q1 - 10:27TORMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 12
18.8%
4
81.2%
Q1 - 10:37TORTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
17.7%
4
82.3%
Q1 - 10:39ATLMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot0
17.3%
4
82.7%
Q1 - 10:57ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
16.5%
4
83.5%
Q1 - 10:59TORMISS Calderon 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
16.8%
4
83.2%
Q1 - 11:15ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
17.6%
4
82.4%
Q1 - 11:15ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
17.8%
3
82.2%
Q1 - 11:26ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
18.7%
2
81.3%
Q1 - 11:28TORMISS Weems 13' Turnaround Jump Shot0
19.0%
2
81.0%
Q1 - 11:47ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
19.7%
2
80.3%
Q1 - 11:47ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
19.9%
1
80.1%
Q1 - 11:49TORWilliams STEAL (1 STL)0
20.8%
0
79.2%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Bargnani: Tip to Calderon0
21.9%
0
78.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.02 51.0%
ATL
1.04 51.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
22
37
59%
ATL
16
31
52%
Midrange
TOR
19
38
50%
ATL
12
32
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
2
3.0
15
13%
20%
ATL
8
12.0
25
32%
48%
Free Throws
TOR
13
20
65%
ATL
27
30
90%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Johnson1890%9.0 / 10
S. Weems1853%9.0 / 17
A. Bargnani1550%7.5 / 15
J. Jack1350%6.5 / 13
J. Calderon1063%5.0 / 8
H. Turkoglu950%4.5 / 9
D. DeRozan638%3.0 / 8
R. Evans563%2.5 / 4
M. Belinelli450%2.0 / 4
R. Nesterovic2100%1.0 / 1
A. Wright17%0.5 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Crawford2563%12.5 / 20
J. Johnson1853%9.0 / 17
J. Smith1747%8.5 / 18
A. Horford1246%6.0 / 13
M. Bibby1050%5.0 / 10
Z. Pachulia990%4.5 / 5
M. Williams850%4.0 / 8
M. Evans844%4.0 / 9
J. Teague0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
80
+18
-9
98
ATL
80
+22
-10
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.02 51.0%
ATL
1.04 51.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.0
112.2
TOR 113.5
ATL 118.9 +5.4
Pace
93.3
89.9
TOR 95.7 +11.6
ATL 84.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
16.2
TOR 15.0 +2.1
ATL 17.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.1%
50.6%
TOR 48.9% +3.4%
ATL 45.5%
TO %
13.8%
12.7%
TOR 9.2%
ATL 9.0% +0.2%
ORB %
24.8%
28.3%
TOR 27.9%
ATL 37.5% +9.6%
FTrt
31.9
28.1
TOR 22.2
ATL 34.1 +11.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
56.2%
TOR 48.8%
ATL 66.7% +17.9%
STL %
6.1%
8.0%
TOR 5.6%
ATL 8.9% +3.3%
BLK %
7.4%
7.9%
TOR 4.8%
ATL 9.3% +4.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.9%
53.3%
TOR 51.0%
ATL 51.9% +0.9%
Rim FG%
61.6%
60.8%
TOR 59.5% +7.9%
ATL 51.6%
Mid FG%
42.9%
40.6%
TOR 50.0% +12.5%
ATL 37.5%
3P %
37.1%
36.0%
TOR 13.3%
ATL 32.0% +18.7%
FT %
76.4%
75.9%
TOR 65.0%
ATL 90.0% +25.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.0%
35.5%
TOR 41.1% +5.9%
ATL 35.2%
Mid Att. %
43.9%
43.1%
TOR 42.2%
ATL 36.4% +5.9%
3P Att. %
21.1%
21.4%
TOR 16.7%
ATL 28.4% +11.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsTORATL
Possessions8990
Possession Minutes22.325.7
Points101107
Rebounds4249
Assists2124
Steals58
Blocks37
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (6)18 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)31 (1)
Field Goals43-9036-88
At-the-Rim FG22-3716-31
Midrange FG19-3812-32
2-Point FG41-7528-63
3-Point FG2-158-25
Free Throws13-2027-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 220 · 31
38.8
9
50%
9
3
1
0
0
4
1
8
0-0
-
3-4
75%
1-5
20%
C · 7'0" 245 · 24
37.3
15
50%
6
0
0
1
1
0
0
6
0-0
-
6-10
60%
1-5
20%
F · 6'9" 240 · 23
34.7
18
90%
13
2
0
2
1
4
4
9
2-3
67%
8-10
80%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 24
28.1
18
53%
3
0
0
0
2
3
1
2
2-3
67%
8-16
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 29
24.8
10
63%
2
10
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
5-7
71%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 200 · 26
23.3
13
50%
1
6
1
0
2
0
0
1
3-5
60%
5-11
45%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 21
19.5
6
38%
1
0
0
0
0
3
1
0
2-3
67%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 26
13.4
1
7%
1
0
3
0
2
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-4
0%
0-2
0%
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 30
9.3
5
63%
4
0
0
0
1
2
3
1
3-4
75%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24
7.1
4
50%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 255 · 34
3.7
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 250 · 24
#4 · F · 6'11" 235 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · · 6'8" 268 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'2" 205 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
51%
42
21
5
3
9
0
12
30
13-20
65%
41-75
55%
2-15
13%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.