FinalWin Prob.pScore
2625%87
106
1275%96
99
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
130.98181.5
MIA logo MIA
122.28180.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0DET106
100%
99
0%
Q4 - 0:06.0DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)106
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot106
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)106
99.8%
99
0.2%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot106
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)106
99.6%
99
0.4%
Q4 - 0:24.0DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)105
99.5%
99
0.5%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAWright 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)104
99.0%
99
1.0%
Q4 - 0:33.0DETGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (39 PTS)104
99.8%
96
0.2%
Q4 - 0:33.0DETGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (38 PTS)103
99.7%
96
0.3%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIABeasley Traveling Turnover (P3.T16)102
98.8%
96
1.2%
Q4 - 0:44.0DETGordon 12' Jump Shot (37 PTS)102
97.3%
96
2.7%
Q4 - 1:03MIAWright 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)100
92.4%
96
7.6%
Q4 - 1:11MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)100
97.0%
93
3.0%
Q4 - 1:12DETMISS Maxiell Tip Shot100
97.5%
93
2.5%
Q4 - 1:13DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)100
98.4%
93
1.6%
Q4 - 1:15DETMISS Villanueva 9' Jump Shot100
97.3%
93
2.7%
Q4 - 1:31DETPrince REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)100
97.6%
93
2.4%
Q4 - 1:32DETMISS Bynum 18' Jump Shot100
96.3%
93
3.7%
Q4 - 1:52DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)100
96.4%
93
3.6%
Q4 - 1:53MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot100
95.8%
93
4.2%
Q4 - 2:11DETGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (35 PTS) (Prince 7 AST)100
94.2%
93
5.8%
Q4 - 2:35MIAWright 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)97
87.8%
93
12.2%
Q4 - 2:51DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)97
91.9%
90
8.1%
Q4 - 2:51DETPistons Rebound97
95.0%
90
5.0%
Q4 - 2:52DETMISS Prince 16' Jump Shot97
93.0%
90
7.0%
Q4 - 3:14DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)97
95.4%
90
4.6%
Q4 - 3:15MIAMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
94.6%
90
5.4%
Q4 - 3:36DETGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (32 PTS)97
87.2%
90
12.8%
Q4 - 3:59MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)94
77.7%
90
22.3%
Q4 - 4:17DETVillanueva 4' Jump Shot (11 PTS)94
83.5%
88
16.5%
Q4 - 4:18DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)92
78.0%
88
22.0%
Q4 - 4:19DETMISS Villanueva Driving Layup92
72.6%
88
27.4%
Q4 - 4:34MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)92
78.1%
88
21.9%
Q4 - 4:56DETPrince Driving Dunk (26 PTS) (Atkins 2 AST)92
70.3%
88
29.7%
Q4 - 5:00MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T14)90
62.3%
88
37.7%
Q4 - 5:22DETVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)90
49.1%
88
50.9%
Q4 - 5:22DETMISS Villanueva Free Throw 1 of 289
47.7%
88
52.3%
Q4 - 5:39MIAHaslem Layup (14 PTS)89
49.6%
88
50.4%
Q4 - 5:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)89
57.6%
86
42.4%
Q4 - 5:41MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup89
63.5%
86
36.5%
Q4 - 5:49MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
57.7%
86
42.3%
Q4 - 5:50DETMISS Prince 17' Jump Shot89
60.3%
86
39.7%
Q4 - 6:09DETAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
61.5%
86
38.5%
Q4 - 6:10MIAMISS Wade 12' Floating Jump Shot89
59.1%
86
40.9%
Q4 - 6:21MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)89
53.7%
86
46.3%
Q4 - 6:22DETMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
56.2%
86
43.8%
Q4 - 6:39DETPistons Rebound89
61.7%
86
38.3%
Q4 - 6:40MIAMISS Chalmers 17' Jump Shot89
59.4%
86
40.6%
Q4 - 7:02DETGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)89
50.6%
86
49.4%
Q4 - 7:02DETGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)88
49.8%
86
50.2%
Q4 - 7:11DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
44.4%
86
55.6%
Q4 - 7:12MIAMISS Arroyo 16' Jump Shot87
42.1%
86
57.9%
Q4 - 7:29DETVillanueva 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gordon 3 AST)87
37.1%
86
62.9%
Q4 - 7:54MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)85
31.4%
86
68.6%
Q4 - 8:10MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)85
36.5%
84
63.5%
Q4 - 8:11DETMISS Villanueva 20' Jump Shot85
38.3%
84
61.7%
Q4 - 8:22DETAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
42.5%
84
57.5%
Q4 - 8:23MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot85
40.7%
84
59.3%
Q4 - 8:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)85
36.5%
84
63.5%
Q4 - 8:40DETMISS Gordon 22' Jump Shot85
38.3%
84
61.7%
Q4 - 8:46DETPistons Rebound85
42.6%
84
57.4%
Q4 - 8:47DETAnthony BLOCK (3 BLK)85
38.3%
84
61.7%
Q4 - 9:06MIAChalmers Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)85
41.4%
84
58.6%
Q4 - 9:08MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
47.4%
82
52.6%
Q4 - 9:09DETMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
49.2%
82
50.8%
Q4 - 9:29MIAHaslem 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)85
53.3%
82
46.7%
Q4 - 9:48DETVillanueva 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Prince 6 AST)85
59.4%
80
40.6%
Q4 - 10:09MIAArroyo 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)83
51.3%
80
48.7%
Q4 - 10:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)83
56.9%
78
43.1%
Q4 - 10:31DETMISS Atkins 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
58.6%
78
41.4%
Q4 - 10:57MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)83
62.5%
78
37.5%
Q4 - 11:25DETWallace Layup (6 PTS) (Prince 5 AST)83
65.2%
76
34.8%
Q4 - 11:35DETDaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)81
60.1%
76
39.9%
Q4 - 11:36DETMISS Atkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
56.6%
76
43.4%
Q4 - 11:38DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)81
60.1%
76
39.9%
Q4 - 11:39DETMISS Daye 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
56.6%
76
43.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA81
60.2%
76
39.8%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)81
53.7%
76
46.3%
Q3 - 0:06.0DETMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
55.1%
76
44.9%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)81
58.3%
76
41.7%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)81
59.3%
75
40.7%
Q3 - 0:36.0DETGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)81
63.6%
74
36.4%
Q3 - 0:36.0DETGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)80
63.0%
74
37.0%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)79
58.3%
74
41.7%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)79
59.1%
73
40.9%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAHEAT Rebound79
63.6%
72
36.4%
Q3 - 0:51.0DETWright BLOCK (1 BLK)79
64.9%
72
35.1%
Q3 - 0:51.0DETBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
67.8%
72
32.2%
Q3 - 0:53.0DETAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)79
64.9%
72
35.1%
Q3 - 1:08DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)79
65.9%
72
34.1%
Q3 - 1:09MIAMISS Anthony Layup79
64.7%
72
35.3%
Q3 - 1:10MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)79
61.8%
72
38.2%
Q3 - 1:11MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 279
65.4%
72
34.6%
Q3 - 1:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)79
62.3%
72
37.7%
Q3 - 1:18MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)79
66.3%
71
33.7%
Q3 - 1:19DETMISS Jerebko 15' Turnaround Jump Shot79
67.6%
71
32.4%
Q3 - 1:43MIAAnthony 4' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)79
70.3%
71
29.7%
Q3 - 1:46MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)79
74.6%
69
25.4%
Q3 - 1:47MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
76.9%
69
23.1%
Q3 - 2:04DETWright STEAL (2 STL)79
71.7%
69
28.3%
Q3 - 2:26MIAHaslem Dunk (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)79
75.5%
69
24.5%
Q3 - 2:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)79
78.9%
67
21.1%
Q3 - 2:50DETWade BLOCK (1 BLK)79
79.9%
67
20.1%
Q3 - 3:12MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T13)79
79.8%
67
20.2%
Q3 - 3:33DETBynum Reverse Layup (10 PTS)79
76.6%
67
23.4%
Q3 - 3:35MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)77
73.4%
67
26.6%
Q3 - 3:47DETBynum Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)77
69.6%
67
30.4%
Q3 - 4:05MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)74
60.6%
67
39.4%
Q3 - 4:16DETPrince 5' Driving Hook Shot (24 PTS)74
68.0%
64
32.0%
Q3 - 4:40MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)72
64.8%
64
35.2%
Q3 - 4:40MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
60.0%
64
40.0%
Q3 - 4:41DETMISS Gordon 17' Jump Bank Shot72
61.5%
64
38.5%
Q3 - 5:08MIABeasley Driving Layup (9 PTS)72
62.4%
64
37.6%
Q3 - 5:29DETGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS)72
66.0%
62
34.0%
Q3 - 5:53DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
58.7%
62
41.3%
Q3 - 5:54MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 169
58.1%
62
41.9%
Q3 - 6:12DETJerebko 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bynum 5 AST)69
60.1%
60
39.9%
Q3 - 6:38MIAO'Neal 9' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)66
52.7%
60
47.3%
Q3 - 7:04DETGordon 6' Running Jump Shot (22 PTS)66
54.2%
58
45.8%
Q3 - 7:33MIAWade Driving Layup (15 PTS)64
50.8%
58
49.2%
Q3 - 7:50DETGordon 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)64
54.4%
56
45.6%
Q3 - 8:04DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
45.9%
56
54.1%
Q3 - 8:05MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup61
44.7%
56
55.3%
Q3 - 8:17DETGordon Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)61
41.9%
56
58.1%
Q3 - 8:35DETGordon Free Throw Technical (17 PTS)61
45.9%
56
54.1%
Q3 - 8:36MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)60
42.2%
56
57.8%
Q3 - 8:55DETPrince 19' Jump Shot (22 PTS)60
38.3%
56
61.7%
Q3 - 9:05DETPistons Rebound58
34.4%
56
65.6%
Q3 - 9:06DETMISS Bynum 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
32.0%
56
68.0%
Q3 - 9:13DETPistons Rebound58
34.4%
56
65.6%
Q3 - 9:14DETMISS Gordon Driving Finger Roll Layup58
32.1%
56
67.9%
Q3 - 9:28DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
34.4%
56
65.6%
Q3 - 9:29MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw 1 of 158
33.9%
56
66.1%
Q3 - 9:49DETBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)58
37.8%
54
62.2%
Q3 - 9:49DETBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)57
37.2%
54
62.8%
Q3 - 10:09MIABeasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)56
33.6%
54
66.4%
Q3 - 10:27MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
40.3%
51
59.7%
Q3 - 10:28DETMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
41.4%
51
58.6%
Q3 - 10:54MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)56
43.9%
51
56.1%
Q3 - 11:18DETGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Prince 4 AST)56
49.5%
48
50.5%
Q3 - 11:41MIAWade Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T9)53
42.8%
48
57.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET53
39.3%
48
60.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound53
39.3%
48
60.7%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
40.8%
48
59.2%
Q2 - 0:15.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)53
39.1%
48
60.9%
Q2 - 0:16.0DETPistons Rebound53
41.6%
48
58.4%
Q2 - 0:16.0DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 253
39.4%
48
60.6%
Q2 - 0:16.0DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 253
40.6%
48
59.4%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)53
41.6%
48
58.4%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)53
42.3%
47
57.7%
Q2 - 0:38.0DETPrince 21' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Bynum 4 AST)53
45.6%
46
54.4%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIARichardson Driving Dunk (4 PTS)51
41.7%
46
58.3%
Q2 - 1:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
44.9%
44
55.1%
Q2 - 1:12DETAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)51
45.7%
44
54.3%
Q2 - 1:32MIAArroyo Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)51
47.4%
44
52.6%
Q2 - 1:45MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)51
51.6%
42
48.4%
Q2 - 1:46MIAMISS Arroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
53.2%
42
46.8%
Q2 - 2:03DETBynum 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)51
49.7%
42
50.3%
Q2 - 2:24MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)48
43.6%
42
56.4%
Q2 - 2:47DETGordon 12' Jump Shot (13 PTS)48
40.4%
42
59.6%
Q2 - 2:53MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)46
37.4%
42
62.6%
Q2 - 3:04DETGordon Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)46
33.5%
42
66.5%
Q2 - 3:26MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)43
28.6%
42
71.4%
Q2 - 3:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
33.5%
39
66.5%
Q2 - 3:40DETMISS Wallace 8' Jump Shot43
34.5%
39
65.5%
Q2 - 3:59DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
36.9%
39
63.1%
Q2 - 4:00MIAMISS Haslem Layup43
35.9%
39
64.1%
Q2 - 4:16DETVillanueva 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)43
32.9%
39
67.1%
Q2 - 4:39MIAWright Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)41
30.5%
39
69.5%
Q2 - 4:43DETChalmers STEAL (2 STL)41
32.9%
37
67.1%
Q2 - 4:56DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
36.0%
37
64.0%
Q2 - 4:57MIAMISS Wright Layup41
35.0%
37
65.0%
Q2 - 5:19DETPrince Reverse Layup (18 PTS)41
32.7%
37
67.3%
Q2 - 5:40MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)39
30.1%
37
69.9%
Q2 - 5:57DETPrince 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS)39
32.7%
35
67.3%
Q2 - 6:18MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)37
30.0%
35
70.0%
Q2 - 6:40DETSummers 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Atkins 1 AST)37
32.1%
33
67.9%
Q2 - 7:00MIAArroyo 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
27.7%
33
72.3%
Q2 - 7:14MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)34
29.2%
31
70.8%
Q2 - 7:15MIAMISS Wright 10' Floating Jump Shot34
30.9%
31
69.1%
Q2 - 7:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)34
29.2%
31
70.8%
Q2 - 7:32MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Turnaround Jump Shot34
30.9%
31
69.1%
Q2 - 8:00DETMaxiell Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Summers 2 AST)34
29.2%
31
70.8%
Q2 - 8:16MIAO'Neal 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS)32
26.6%
31
73.4%
Q2 - 8:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
28.7%
29
71.3%
Q2 - 8:32MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
30.3%
29
69.7%
Q2 - 8:54DETSummers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)32
28.7%
29
71.3%
Q2 - 9:04MIAChalmers Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)32
30.4%
29
69.6%
Q2 - 9:19DETPrince 5' Hook Shot (14 PTS)32
28.1%
29
71.9%
Q2 - 9:44MIAO'Neal Dunk (8 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)30
26.2%
29
73.8%
Q2 - 9:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
28.2%
27
71.8%
Q2 - 9:54DETMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
28.9%
27
71.1%
Q2 - 10:05DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
30.4%
27
69.6%
Q2 - 10:06DETMISS Prince Free Throw 2 of 230
28.4%
27
71.6%
Q2 - 10:06DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)30
29.8%
27
70.2%
Q2 - 10:14MIAChalmers Driving Layup (5 PTS)29
28.3%
27
71.7%
Q2 - 10:37DETVillanueva Layup (2 PTS) (Summers 1 AST)29
30.2%
25
69.8%
Q2 - 10:38DETSummers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
28.2%
25
71.8%
Q2 - 10:39DETMISS Summers 3PT Jump Shot27
26.7%
25
73.3%
Q2 - 11:03MIAO'Neal Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)27
28.0%
25
72.0%
Q2 - 11:12MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
25.9%
25
74.1%
Q2 - 11:13MIAMISS Chalmers 16' Jump Shot27
27.4%
25
72.6%
Q2 - 11:19DETWright STEAL (1 STL)27
25.9%
25
74.1%
Q2 - 11:34MIAWright Driving Layup (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)27
28.0%
25
72.0%
Q2 - 11:38MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
30.0%
23
70.0%
Q2 - 11:39MIAMISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
31.6%
23
68.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET27
30.1%
23
69.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)27
32.4%
23
67.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)27
32.8%
22
67.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)27
33.4%
21
66.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
36.2%
20
63.8%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Wright 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
37.4%
20
62.6%
Q1 - 0:09.0DETChalmers STEAL (1 STL)27
36.2%
20
63.8%
Q1 - 0:10.0DETDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
38.0%
20
62.0%
Q1 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Chalmers 10' Floating Jump Shot27
37.5%
20
62.5%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
36.3%
20
63.7%
Q1 - 0:34.0DETMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
36.8%
20
63.2%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)27
38.1%
20
61.9%
Q1 - 1:03DETGordon Driving Layup (8 PTS)27
35.7%
20
64.3%
Q1 - 1:10DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
32.9%
20
67.1%
Q1 - 1:11DETMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
31.9%
20
68.1%
Q1 - 1:22MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)25
32.9%
20
67.1%
Q1 - 1:22MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)25
33.3%
19
66.7%
Q1 - 1:35MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
35.7%
18
64.3%
Q1 - 1:36DETMISS Maxiell 18' Jump Shot25
36.2%
18
63.8%
Q1 - 1:50MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)25
37.3%
18
62.7%
Q1 - 1:55DETMaxiell 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)25
35.7%
18
64.3%
Q1 - 2:11DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
32.9%
18
67.1%
Q1 - 2:12MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot23
32.4%
18
67.6%
Q1 - 2:40DETPrince Layup (11 PTS)23
31.2%
18
68.8%
Q1 - 2:41DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)21
28.9%
18
71.1%
Q1 - 2:42DETMISS Gordon 20' Jump Shot21
27.8%
18
72.2%
Q1 - 2:48DETBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
28.9%
18
71.1%
Q1 - 2:49MIAMISS Anthony Dunk21
28.4%
18
71.6%
Q1 - 3:04DETMaxiell 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bynum 3 AST)21
26.8%
18
73.2%
Q1 - 3:15DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
25.1%
18
74.9%
Q1 - 3:16MIAMISS Richardson 13' Turnaround Jump Shot19
24.5%
18
75.5%
Q1 - 3:27MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
23.3%
18
76.7%
Q1 - 3:28DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
23.9%
18
76.1%
Q1 - 3:37DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
25.1%
18
74.9%
Q1 - 3:38MIAMISS Wade Driving Finger Roll Layup19
24.5%
18
75.5%
Q1 - 3:56DETPrince 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Maxiell 1 AST)19
23.4%
18
76.6%
Q1 - 4:24MIAO'Neal Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)17
21.4%
18
78.6%
Q1 - 4:31MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
22.9%
16
77.1%
Q1 - 4:32DETMISS Maxiell 11' Jump Shot17
23.4%
16
76.6%
Q1 - 4:51MIABeasley Driving Layup (4 PTS)17
24.6%
16
75.4%
Q1 - 5:07DETGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)17
26.0%
14
74.0%
Q1 - 5:27MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)14
23.0%
14
77.0%
Q1 - 5:49DETPrince 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jerebko 1 AST)14
26.0%
11
74.0%
Q1 - 6:09DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
24.1%
11
75.9%
Q1 - 6:10MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
23.6%
11
76.4%
Q1 - 6:30DETGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bynum 2 AST)12
22.5%
11
77.5%
Q1 - 6:36MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)9
19.8%
11
80.2%
Q1 - 6:48DETArroyo STEAL (1 STL)9
18.4%
11
81.6%
Q1 - 6:55DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
19.8%
11
80.2%
Q1 - 6:56MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot9
19.4%
11
80.6%
Q1 - 7:14MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
18.2%
11
81.8%
Q1 - 7:15DETMISS Bynum 19' Jump Shot9
18.6%
11
81.4%
Q1 - 7:35MIARichardson Reverse Layup (2 PTS)9
19.5%
11
80.5%
Q1 - 7:45DETRichardson STEAL (1 STL)9
20.8%
9
79.2%
Q1 - 7:49DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
22.3%
9
77.7%
Q1 - 7:50DETMISS Bynum 15' Jump Shot9
21.2%
9
78.8%
Q1 - 8:00MIAO'Neal 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)9
22.3%
9
77.7%
Q1 - 8:22DETPrince 6' Jump Shot (5 PTS)9
23.4%
7
76.6%
Q1 - 8:23DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
21.9%
7
78.1%
Q1 - 8:24DETMISS Jerebko 4' Jump Shot7
21.0%
7
79.0%
Q1 - 8:25DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
21.9%
7
78.1%
Q1 - 8:26DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
21.0%
7
79.0%
Q1 - 8:43MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)7
21.9%
7
78.1%
Q1 - 8:58MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
24.9%
4
75.1%
Q1 - 8:59DETMISS Prince 14' Jump Shot7
25.4%
4
74.6%
Q1 - 9:08MIAArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)7
26.2%
4
73.8%
Q1 - 9:18MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
24.8%
4
75.2%
Q1 - 9:19DETMISS Bynum 8' Jump Shot7
25.2%
4
74.8%
Q1 - 9:25DETBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
26.2%
4
73.8%
Q1 - 9:26MIAMISS Richardson Layup7
25.8%
4
74.2%
Q1 - 9:29MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
24.8%
4
75.2%
Q1 - 9:30DETMISS Prince 18' Jump Shot7
25.2%
4
74.8%
Q1 - 9:56MIABeasley 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
26.2%
4
73.8%
Q1 - 10:23DETPrince 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)7
27.1%
2
72.9%
Q1 - 10:37DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
24.4%
2
75.6%
Q1 - 10:38MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot4
24.0%
2
76.0%
Q1 - 10:58DETWallace Layup (4 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)4
22.9%
2
77.1%
Q1 - 11:24MIAO'Neal Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
21.2%
2
78.8%
Q1 - 11:40DETWallace Dunk (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)2
22.4%
0
77.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Wallace: Tip to0
21.2%
0
78.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.15 57.6%
MIA
1.29 64.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
14
20
70%
MIA
22
30
73%
Midrange
DET
15
35
43%
MIA
11
24
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
11
16.5
25
44%
66%
MIA
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
Free Throws
DET
15
19
79%
MIA
15
18
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Gordon3981%19.5 / 24
T. Prince2867%14.0 / 21
C. Villanueva1146%5.5 / 12
W. Bynum1050%5.0 / 10
B. Wallace650%3.0 / 6
J. Maxiell643%3.0 / 7
J. Jerebko350%1.5 / 3
D. Summers375%1.5 / 2
C. Atkins0-0.0 / 2
A. Daye0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade1986%9.5 / 11
U. Haslem1680%8.0 / 10
D. Wright1563%7.5 / 12
J. O'Neal1470%7.0 / 10
M. Beasley964%4.5 / 7
Q. Richardson956%4.5 / 8
M. Chalmers945%4.5 / 10
C. Arroyo660%3.0 / 5
J. Anthony233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
73
+18
-8
91
MIA
65
+12
-16
77
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.15 57.6%
MIA
1.29 64.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.4
106.7
DET 130.9 +8.6
MIA 122.2
Pace
88.8
89.6
DET 81.5 +1.0
MIA 80.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
16.5
DET 17.7 +0.2
MIA 17.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.4%
49.6%
DET 56.9%
MIA 60.0% +3.1%
TO %
14.2%
13.6%
DET 9.2% +7.8%
MIA 17.0%
ORB %
30.4%
26.0%
DET 35.1% +0.7%
MIA 34.4%
FTrt
30.3
29.6
DET 23.8
MIA 25.7 +1.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
51.9%
DET 55.0%
MIA 59.0% +4.0%
STL %
8.2%
8.1%
DET 11.1% +3.7%
MIA 7.4%
BLK %
6.7%
9.4%
DET 1.9%
MIA 9.1% +7.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.9%
52.1%
DET 57.6%
MIA 64.3% +6.7%
Rim FG%
57.1%
62.0%
DET 70.0%
MIA 73.3% +3.3%
Mid FG%
40.5%
40.8%
DET 42.9%
MIA 45.8% +2.9%
3P %
31.4%
34.6%
DET 44.0% +6.5%
MIA 37.5%
FT %
72.8%
75.2%
DET 78.9%
MIA 83.3% +4.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.1%
29.8%
DET 25.0%
MIA 42.9% +17.9%
Mid Att. %
47.9%
48.3%
DET 43.8%
MIA 34.3% +9.5%
3P Att. %
18.0%
21.9%
DET 31.3% +8.4%
MIA 22.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETMIA
Possessions8181
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points10699
Rebounds3435
Assists2223
Steals96
Blocks15
Turnovers (Team)8 (1)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (5)11 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)21 (1)24 (1)
Field Goals40-8039-70
At-the-Rim FG14-2022-30
Midrange FG15-3511-24
2-Point FG29-5533-54
3-Point FG11-256-16
Free Throws15-1915-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 212 · 30
42.7
28
67%
6
7
0
0
1
0
3
3
3-4
75%
11-16
69%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 205 · 27
36.6
39
81%
0
3
2
0
1
2
0
0
8-8
100%
5-10
50%
7-11
64%
G · 6'0" 185 · 27
29.2
10
50%
3
5
2
0
2
4
1
2
3-3
100%
2-7
29%
1-2
50%
F · 6'10" 231 · 23
28.6
3
50%
6
1
4
0
0
3
1
5
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
C · 6'9" 240 · 36
25.9
6
50%
4
1
0
1
1
2
2
2
0-2
0%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 260 · 27
22.0
6
43%
7
1
0
0
0
2
3
4
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 232 · 26
19.4
11
46%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
5-8
63%
0-3
0%
G · 5'11" 185 · 36
18.6
0
0%
2
2
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
F · 6'11" 220 · 22
9.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
2
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 240 · 22
7.2
3
75%
1
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 205 · 24
C · 6'11" 290 · 28
#9 · F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · G · 6'7" 193 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
58%
34
22
9
1
8
0
13
21
15-19
79%
29-55
53%
11-25
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.