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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 9, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Pistons25%87106
12Heat75%9699
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 30.1
42.7
21.4
28
67%
6
7
0
0
0
1
3
3
3-4
75%
11-16
3-7
69%
47%
1-3
33%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.0
36.6
27.3
39
80%
0
3
2
1
0
1
0
0
8-8
100%
5-10
3-7
50%
46%
7-11
64%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.3
29.2
32.8
10
48%
3
5
2
1
0
2
1
2
3-3
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
46%
1-2
50%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 23.1
28.6
33.0
3
50%
6
1
4
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
0-2
4-8
0%
51%
1-1
100%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 35.6
25.9
20.7
6
51%
4
1
0
1
1
1
2
2
0-2
0%
3-5
2-3
60%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 27.1
22.0
10.0
6
43%
7
1
0
0
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
3-7
1-3
43%
52%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 25.6
19.4
20.7
11
46%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
5-8
3-6
63%
48%
0-3
0%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 35.7
18.6
6.1
0
0%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-2
0%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 21.8
9.8
26.7
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
51%
0-1
0%
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.2
7.2
11.1
3
75%
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
1-2
50%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 24.0
24.7
1
4-9
43%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 28.1
13.7
0
1-3
50%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27.6
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 32.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.2
37.2
35.4
19
79%
3
9
0
2
1
5
0
3
8-9
89%
4-7
8-15
57%
54%
1-1
100%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 30.7
30.9
27.8
6
60%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
50%
0-1
0%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.2
26.0
20.4
9
64%
4
1
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
5-9
50%
51%
1-1
100%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 30.0
23.1
23.8
9
53%
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-1
0%
3-5
1-2
60%
47%
1-3
33%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 31.5
22.4
22.1
14
67%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-1
0%
7-10
5-9
70%
52%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.9
27.6
26.9
9
44%
3
5
2
1
0
5
1
2
5-5
100%
2-5
2-3
40%
51%
0-3
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.8
26.6
31.2
16
80%
11
0
0
1
0
0
4
7
0-0
-
8-10
4-8
80%
52%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24.4
25.2
24.7
15
63%
5
1
2
1
1
1
2
3
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
52%
3-7
43%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 27.7
21.1
22.8
2
33%
3
0
0
0
3
0
3
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
53%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.9
5.7
0
0-1
51%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.5
3.9
0
0-0
42%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.9
3.4
0
0-1
41%
Kenny Hasbrouck
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.7
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27.6
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 26.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.