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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 22, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Timberwolves26%97107
13Thunder74%106117
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 22.2
38.1
34.2
24
71%
17
3
0
1
0
2
4
13
0-0
-
6-11
5-11
55%
46%
4-6
67%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.9
36.5
36.1
15
35%
7
3
0
1
1
5
2
5
1-3
33%
7-17
8-17
41%
48%
0-3
0%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 25.4
36.2
32.3
21
67%
4
2
0
1
3
1
1
3
3-4
75%
9-14
5-10
64%
45%
0-0
-
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.4
24.9
27.7
7
51%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-2
0%
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 25.5
15.6
27.7
0
0%
0
5
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
44%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.8
32.4
20.0
17
57%
5
7
0
1
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
6-11
2-5
55%
47%
1-3
33%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.5
32.1
17.4
11
63%
4
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
4-4
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
47%
1-2
50%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 24.7
16.7
23.6
12
64%
1
1
4
1
0
1
1
0
1-1
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.0
7.4
5.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 21.7
0.0
5.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 24.0
0.0
5.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 24.6
6.6
0
1-2
45%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 24.9
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 21.8
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 24.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.1
40.2
35.2
28
60%
8
5
1
1
3
3
2
6
16-17
94%
6-14
7-14
43%
51%
0-2
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.2
39.1
32.2
24
68%
6
0
2
1
0
0
0
6
3-4
75%
6-9
4-8
67%
51%
3-7
43%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.6
36.5
31.2
13
85%
11
3
1
1
0
2
1
10
3-6
50%
5-5
2-4
100%
50%
0-0
-
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.0
35.9
34.6
20
56%
4
14
2
2
0
6
0
4
6-9
67%
7-14
7-15
50%
47%
0-0
-
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.3
21.5
24.0
10
83%
3
1
0
1
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-6
4-7
83%
50%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 21.2
19.3
27.8
10
74%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
4-4
100%
3-5
4-8
60%
57%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 21.2
18.2
32.6
5
42%
1
2
3
2
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
45%
1-3
33%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.1
17.2
25.1
4
67%
4
0
1
1
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
56%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.4
12.1
17.9
3
75%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
1-1
100%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.2
14.7
0
3-5
54%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 28.9
12.8
1
1-2
44%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.8
1.9
0
0-1
53%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 33.2
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.6
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.