Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, November 22, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Celtics | 42% | 95 | 99 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Heat | 84% | 106 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Timberwolves | 26% | 97 | 107 |
 | 13 | Thunder | 74% | 106 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Magic | 45% | 98 | 97 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hornets | 68% | 102 | 95 | |
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Sunday, November 21, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Celtics | 62% | 100 | 101 |
 | 24 | Raptors | 38% | 96 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 26 | Pistons | 56% | 99 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hornets | 68% | 100 | 75 | |
| 28 | Kings | 32% | 94 | 71 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Warriors | 19% | 99 | 89 |
 | 2 | Lakers | 81% | 110 | 117 |
Saturday, November 20, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Suns | 51% | 99 | 105 |
 | 15 | Bobcats | 49% | 98 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Magic | 61% | 99 | 90 |
| 16 | Pacers | 39% | 95 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Mavericks | 47% | 96 | 98 |
| 12 | Hawks | 53% | 97 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Heat | 63% | 100 | 95 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Thunder | 40% | 91 | 82 |
 | 19 | Bucks | 60% | 94 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 3 | Spurs | 80% | 106 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 18% | 94 | 103 | |
| 8 | Nuggets | 82% | 106 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jazz | 28% | 93 | 103 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Knicks | 56% | 106 | 124 |
| 30 | Clippers | 44% | 104 | 115 |
Friday, November 19, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Thunder | 26% | 89 | 89 |
| 6 | Celtics | 74% | 97 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 60% | 98 | 79 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Rockets | 53% | 105 | 96 |
| 23 | Raptors | 47% | 104 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Grizzlies | 54% | 102 | 86 |
| 29 | Wizards | 46% | 100 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bobcats | 20% | 88 | 87 |
| 1 | Heat | 80% | 99 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 74% | 111 | 112 |
| 27 | Timberwolves | 26% | 102 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Cavaliers | 28% | 93 | 101 |
| 8 | Hornets | 72% | 101 | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 51% | 102 | 94 |
| 10 | Jazz | 49% | 101 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Bulls | 35% | 93 | 88 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 65% | 98 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nets | 45% | 96 | 81 | |
| 25 | Kings | 55% | 98 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Knicks | 48% | 106 | 125 |
| 22 | Warriors | 52% | 107 | 119 |
Thursday, November 18, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Clippers | 26% | 95 | 80 |
| 17 | Pacers | 74% | 103 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Suns | 22% | 96 | 89 |
| 1 | Magic | 78% | 106 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 36% | 100 | 83 |
| 5 | Trail Blazers | 64% | 105 | 86 |
Wednesday, November 17, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Suns | 24% | 98 | 96 |
| 1 | Heat | 76% | 107 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 42% | 102 | 94 |
| 26 | 76ers | 58% | 105 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 13% | 89 | 83 |
| 4 | Celtics | 87% | 103 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 66% | 105 | 103 |
| 23 | Pistons | 34% | 99 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Clippers | 42% | 102 | 111 |
| 27 | Timberwolves | 58% | 104 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mavericks | 45% | 93 | 97 |
| 9 | Hornets | 55% | 95 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Rockets | 34% | 98 | 99 |
| 12 | Thunder | 66% | 104 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 22% | 91 | 88 | |
| 10 | Jazz | 78% | 101 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bulls | 28% | 98 | 94 |
| 5 | Spurs | 72% | 105 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Knicks | 49% | 104 | 113 |
| 25 | Kings | 51% | 105 | 106 |
Tuesday, November 16, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 76ers | 40% | 98 | 93 |
| 22 | Cavaliers | 60% | 101 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hawks | 45% | 100 | 102 |
| 17 | Pacers | 55% | 101 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 47% | 102 | 94 |
| 28 | Wizards | 53% | 103 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Trail Blazers | 63% | 101 | 100 |
| 20 | Grizzlies | 37% | 97 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 61% | 100 | 118 |
| 15 | Bucks | 39% | 96 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bulls | 47% | 102 | 95 |
| 16 | Rockets | 53% | 103 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Knicks | 33% | 105 | 118 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 67% | 110 | 120 |
Monday, November 15, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 23% | 93 | 110 |
| 15 | Bobcats | 77% | 103 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Grizzlies | 21% | 94 | 72 |
| 2 | Magic | 79% | 105 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hornets | 38% | 92 | 95 | |
| 8 | Mavericks | 62% | 96 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 43% | 107 | 94 |
| 7 | Suns | 57% | 110 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Thunder | 33% | 95 | 115 |
| 9 | Jazz | 67% | 101 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pistons | 32% | 98 | 97 |
| 21 | Warriors | 68% | 104 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nets | 47% | 96 | 110 | |
| 29 | Clippers | 53% | 97 | 96 |
Sunday, November 14, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 25% | 99 | 105 |
| 14 | Hawks | 75% | 108 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 44% | 99 | 100 |
| 24 | Kings | 56% | 101 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spurs | 46% | 99 | 117 |
| 13 | Thunder | 54% | 101 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Rockets | 45% | 108 | 104 |
| 19 | Knicks | 55% | 109 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Suns | 28% | 102 | 121 |
| 2 | Lakers | 72% | 110 | 116 |
Saturday, November 13, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jazz | 51% | 95 | 96 |
| 16 | Bobcats | 49% | 94 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Magic | 67% | 99 | 91 |
| 26 | Nets | 33% | 93 | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 48% | 100 | 99 |
| 24 | Cavaliers | 52% | 101 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Raptors | 8% | 90 | 100 |
| 1 | Heat | 92% | 109 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 21% | 94 | 96 |
| 11 | Bulls | 79% | 105 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 63% | 101 | 116 |
| 21 | Grizzlies | 37% | 97 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Trail Blazers | 46% | 95 | 87 |
| 13 | Hornets | 54% | 96 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Warriors | 37% | 97 | 72 |
| 15 | Bucks | 63% | 102 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 76ers | 19% | 96 | 93 |
| 6 | Spurs | 81% | 108 | 116 |
Friday, November 12, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 52% | 101 | 90 |
| 14 | Hawks | 48% | 100 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Rockets | 43% | 104 | 102 |
| 18 | Pacers | 57% | 107 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Raptors | 15% | 92 | 110 |
| 3 | Magic | 85% | 106 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bobcats | 54% | 96 | 93 |
| 28 | Wizards | 46% | 94 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Knicks | 62% | 110 | 103 |
| 30 | Timberwolves | 38% | 106 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 76ers | 24% | 93 | 90 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 76% | 102 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 24% | 101 | 89 |
| 8 | Suns | 76% | 111 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Trail Blazers | 53% | 96 | 108 |
| 13 | Thunder | 47% | 95 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 47% | 98 | 113 |
| 29 | Clippers | 53% | 99 | 107 |
Thursday, November 11, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 30% | 90 | 112 |
| 1 | Heat | 70% | 97 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Warriors | 36% | 100 | 90 |
| 13 | Bulls | 64% | 105 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 54% | 106 | 112 |
| 10 | Nuggets | 46% | 105 | 118 |
Wednesday, November 10, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bucks | 34% | 94 | 108 |
| 12 | Hawks | 66% | 99 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jazz | 25% | 94 | 104 |
| 3 | Magic | 75% | 103 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bobcats | 49% | 97 | 101 |
| 23 | Raptors | 51% | 98 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Rockets | 58% | 105 | 91 |
| 27 | Wizards | 42% | 103 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 32% | 95 | 95 | |
| 16 | Cavaliers | 68% | 101 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Warriors | 48% | 106 | 122 |
| 19 | Knicks | 52% | 107 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mavericks | 57% | 102 | 106 |
| 21 | Grizzlies | 43% | 99 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 76ers | 28% | 95 | 103 |
| 11 | Thunder | 72% | 103 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Clippers | 13% | 91 | 95 |
| 6 | Spurs | 87% | 106 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 26% | 101 | 98 |
| 24 | Kings | 74% | 109 | 89 |
Tuesday, November 9, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 52% | 104 | 113 |
| 22 | Pacers | 48% | 103 | 144 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Cavaliers | 52% | 99 | 93 |
| 26 | Nets | 48% | 98 | 91 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 24% | 93 | 116 |
| 1 | Heat | 76% | 103 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Knicks | 44% | 99 | 80 |
| 17 | Bucks | 56% | 101 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Clippers | 24% | 91 | 82 |
| 11 | Hornets | 76% | 101 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 19% | 93 | 78 |
| 4 | Trail Blazers | 81% | 104 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 8% | 96 | 94 |
| 2 | Lakers | 92% | 115 | 99 |