FinalWin Prob.pScore
345%98
97
455%99
106
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
103.29498.2
SAS logo SAS
115.29288.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL97
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)97
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)97
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)97
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0ORLMISS Richardson 2' Running Layup97
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0ORLMagic Rebound97
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)97
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0ORLHoward Dunk (26 PTS) (Redick 4 AST)97
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)95
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)95
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)95
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 0:27.0ORLMISS Redick 3PT Jump Shot95
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 0:30.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)95
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 0:49.0ORLNelson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T16)95
4.0%
99
96.0%
Q4 - 1:07SASDuncan 3' Layup (13 PTS) (Parker 10 AST)95
10.7%
99
89.3%
Q4 - 1:25SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)95
19.8%
97
80.2%
Q4 - 1:26ORLMISS Pietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
23.2%
97
76.8%
Q4 - 1:32ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:13)95
32.3%
97
67.7%
Q4 - 1:34SASMISS Jefferson 1' Layup95
28.5%
97
71.5%
Q4 - 1:55ORLNelson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)95
21.8%
97
78.2%
Q4 - 2:09SASGinobili 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (20 PTS)95
34.8%
97
65.2%
Q4 - 2:30ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)95
54.8%
94
45.2%
Q4 - 2:39ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:12)92
35.3%
94
64.7%
Q4 - 2:40SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup92
30.4%
94
69.6%
Q4 - 2:53SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)92
23.4%
94
76.6%
Q4 - 2:54ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot92
26.7%
94
73.3%
Q4 - 3:09SASJefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ginobili 9 AST)92
35.8%
94
64.2%
Q4 - 3:25ORLHoward 8' Jump Bank Shot (24 PTS)92
54.6%
91
45.4%
Q4 - 3:53SASParker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Ginobili 8 AST)90
45.4%
91
54.6%
Q4 - 4:15ORLPietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Redick 3 AST)90
63.8%
88
36.2%
Q4 - 4:22SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)87
45.3%
88
54.7%
Q4 - 4:37ORLNelson 19' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)87
35.1%
88
64.9%
Q4 - 4:55SASParker 20' Pullup Jump Shot (21 PTS)85
27.3%
88
72.7%
Q4 - 5:03SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)85
36.8%
86
63.2%
Q4 - 5:04ORLMISS Redick 14' Jump Shot85
39.4%
86
60.6%
Q4 - 5:17ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)85
45.5%
86
54.5%
Q4 - 5:19SASMISS Hill 20' Jump Shot85
42.7%
86
57.3%
Q4 - 5:42ORLCarter 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)85
36.7%
86
63.3%
Q4 - 6:04SASBonner 27' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Parker 9 AST)83
31.5%
86
68.5%
Q4 - 6:27SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
45.2%
83
54.8%
Q4 - 6:28ORLMISS Carter 14' Jump Shot83
47.6%
83
52.4%
Q4 - 6:42ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)83
53.4%
83
46.6%
Q4 - 6:43SASMISS Parker 9' Pullup Jump Shot83
50.8%
83
49.2%
Q4 - 6:57SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
45.1%
83
54.9%
Q4 - 6:58ORLMISS Howard 8' Running Hook Shot83
47.6%
83
52.4%
Q4 - 7:13ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)83
52.8%
83
47.2%
Q4 - 7:14SASMISS McDyess 9' Fadeaway Jumper83
50.5%
83
49.5%
Q4 - 7:38ORLLewis 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)83
45.3%
83
54.7%
Q4 - 7:55SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
39.0%
83
61.0%
Q4 - 7:55SASBonner 1' Layup (12 PTS)81
39.0%
83
61.0%
Q4 - 7:56SASMISS Bonner 5' Floating Jump Shot81
50.6%
81
49.4%
Q4 - 8:15SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
45.8%
81
54.2%
Q4 - 8:16ORLMISS Duhon 21' Jump Shot81
47.8%
81
52.2%
Q4 - 8:23ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)81
52.1%
81
47.9%
Q4 - 8:23ORLMISS Duhon 4' Running Jump Shot81
47.7%
81
52.3%
Q4 - 8:46ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
52.2%
81
47.8%
Q4 - 8:47SASMISS McDyess 20' Jump Shot81
50.2%
81
49.8%
Q4 - 9:10ORLBass 3' Layup (4 PTS)81
45.9%
81
54.1%
Q4 - 9:29SASBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ginobili 7 AST)79
39.9%
81
60.1%
Q4 - 9:47ORLRedick 20' Step Back Jump Shot (11 PTS)79
51.9%
78
48.1%
Q4 - 10:08SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)77
45.7%
78
54.3%
Q4 - 10:08SASSPURS Rebound77
40.1%
78
59.9%
Q4 - 10:08SASMISS Bonner 21' Jump Shot77
44.0%
78
56.0%
Q4 - 10:34ORLHill STEAL (1 STL)77
40.1%
78
59.9%
Q4 - 10:52SASMcDyess 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)77
45.7%
78
54.3%
Q4 - 11:02ORLGinobili STEAL (1 STL)77
51.0%
76
49.0%
Q4 - 11:16SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (17 PTS)77
56.3%
76
43.7%
Q4 - 11:28SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
61.6%
74
38.4%
Q4 - 11:29SASMISS Neal 19' Jump Shot77
65.0%
74
35.0%
Q4 - 11:43ORLBass Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)77
61.6%
74
38.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL77
66.6%
74
33.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)77
66.6%
74
33.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0SASMISS Hill 20' Jump Shot77
64.0%
74
36.0%
Q3 - 0:28.0ORLDuhon Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)77
61.0%
74
39.0%
Q3 - 0:28.0ORLMISS Duhon Free Throw 1 of 276
60.0%
74
40.0%
Q3 - 0:31.0SASHill 9' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)76
60.6%
74
39.4%
Q3 - 0:42.0ORLPietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Redick 2 AST)76
65.8%
72
34.2%
Q3 - 0:47.0SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)73
55.6%
72
44.4%
Q3 - 1:01ORLPietrus 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)73
50.6%
72
49.4%
Q3 - 1:16SASHill Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)70
40.4%
72
59.6%
Q3 - 1:27ORLHoward 5' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Duhon 2 AST)70
36.1%
72
63.9%
Q3 - 1:38SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)68
31.3%
72
68.7%
Q3 - 1:52SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
27.6%
72
72.4%
Q3 - 1:53ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 268
28.1%
72
71.9%
Q3 - 1:53ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)68
30.2%
72
69.8%
Q3 - 1:53ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)67
27.2%
72
72.8%
Q3 - 1:54ORLMISS Redick 1' Layup67
24.8%
72
75.2%
Q3 - 1:59SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)67
27.2%
72
72.8%
Q3 - 2:06SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
24.3%
72
75.7%
Q3 - 2:07ORLMISS Howard 11' Turnaround Bank Shot67
25.4%
72
74.6%
Q3 - 2:32SASParker 1' Driving Layup (19 PTS)67
27.9%
72
72.1%
Q3 - 2:54SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
31.9%
70
68.1%
Q3 - 2:54ORLMISS Lewis 22' Jump Shot67
33.1%
70
66.9%
Q3 - 3:20SASBonner Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)67
36.6%
70
63.4%
Q3 - 3:20SASMISS Bonner Free Throw 1 of 267
37.5%
69
62.5%
Q3 - 3:20SASSPURS Rebound67
36.5%
69
63.5%
Q3 - 3:20ORLMISS Redick 19' Pullup Jump Shot67
37.8%
69
62.2%
Q3 - 3:35SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)67
40.9%
69
59.1%
Q3 - 3:35SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 267
41.9%
68
58.1%
Q3 - 3:40SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
40.7%
68
59.3%
Q3 - 3:41ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
42.1%
68
57.9%
Q3 - 3:54ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
45.3%
68
54.7%
Q3 - 3:55SASMISS Jefferson 8' Running Jump Shot67
43.9%
68
56.1%
Q3 - 4:10ORLHoward 7' Turnaround Bank Shot (19 PTS)67
40.4%
68
59.6%
Q3 - 4:32SASParker 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)65
37.0%
68
63.0%
Q3 - 4:53ORLHoward 5' Jump Hook Shot (17 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)65
44.8%
65
55.2%
Q3 - 5:09ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
40.8%
65
59.2%
Q3 - 5:10SASMISS Parker Reverse Layup63
39.5%
65
60.5%
Q3 - 5:18ORLDuncan STEAL (3 STL)63
36.4%
65
63.6%
Q3 - 5:28ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)63
40.8%
65
59.2%
Q3 - 5:29SASMISS Jefferson 9' Running Jump Shot63
39.5%
65
60.5%
Q3 - 5:46SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
36.4%
65
63.6%
Q3 - 5:47ORLMISS Lewis 4' Turnaround Jump Shot63
37.7%
65
62.3%
Q3 - 6:05SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)63
41.0%
65
59.0%
Q3 - 6:05SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 263
42.1%
64
57.9%
Q3 - 6:23SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
40.6%
64
59.4%
Q3 - 6:26SASMISS Hill 2' Layup63
43.6%
64
56.4%
Q3 - 6:42ORLCarter 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)63
40.6%
64
59.4%
Q3 - 7:00ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)61
37.1%
64
62.9%
Q3 - 7:01SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
35.9%
64
64.1%
Q3 - 7:18ORLDuncan STEAL (2 STL)61
33.4%
64
66.6%
Q3 - 7:28ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
37.1%
64
62.9%
Q3 - 7:30SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Shot61
35.9%
64
64.1%
Q3 - 7:52ORLParker STEAL (1 STL)61
33.4%
64
66.6%
Q3 - 8:07SASJefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)61
37.3%
64
62.7%
Q3 - 8:22SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
44.3%
61
55.7%
Q3 - 8:23ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
45.5%
61
54.5%
Q3 - 8:30ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
48.3%
61
51.7%
Q3 - 8:31SASMISS Ginobili 22' Jump Shot61
47.0%
61
53.0%
Q3 - 8:45ORLCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)61
44.3%
61
55.7%
Q3 - 8:45ORLCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)60
43.6%
61
56.4%
Q3 - 8:49ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
40.8%
61
59.2%
Q3 - 8:51SASMISS Ginobili 7' Jump Shot59
39.6%
61
60.4%
Q3 - 8:59ORLJefferson STEAL (1 STL)59
37.0%
61
63.0%
Q3 - 9:13SASDuncan 3' Running Layup (10 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)59
40.7%
61
59.3%
Q3 - 9:22SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
44.2%
59
55.8%
Q3 - 9:24ORLMISS Richardson 3' Jump Shot59
45.4%
59
54.6%
Q3 - 9:37SASDuncan 4' Running Layup (8 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)59
48.0%
59
52.0%
Q3 - 9:58ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)59
51.6%
57
48.4%
Q3 - 10:12SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)56
44.3%
57
55.7%
Q3 - 10:12SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)56
45.0%
56
55.0%
Q3 - 10:17SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
47.7%
55
52.3%
Q3 - 10:17ORLMISS Lewis 21' Jump Shot56
48.9%
55
51.1%
Q3 - 10:31ORLMagic Rebound56
51.4%
55
48.6%
Q3 - 10:31SASMISS Ginobili 27' 3PT Jump Shot56
50.3%
55
49.7%
Q3 - 10:53ORLNelson 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)56
47.8%
55
52.2%
Q3 - 11:00ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
44.3%
55
55.7%
Q3 - 11:01SASMISS Ginobili 1' Layup54
43.3%
55
56.7%
Q3 - 11:17ORLRichardson 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)54
40.8%
55
59.2%
Q3 - 11:39SASBlair 3' Layup (3 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)52
37.8%
55
62.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS52
40.8%
53
59.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLNelson 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS)52
40.8%
53
59.2%
Q2 - 0:09.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)50
37.6%
53
62.4%
Q2 - 0:30.0SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
48.1%
49
51.9%
Q2 - 0:32.0ORLMISS Bass 6' Jump Shot50
48.9%
49
51.1%
Q2 - 0:55.0ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
50.7%
49
49.3%
Q2 - 0:56.0SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
49.9%
49
50.1%
Q2 - 1:13ORLBass 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)50
48.1%
49
51.9%
Q2 - 1:37SASParker 6' Jump Shot (13 PTS)48
44.0%
49
56.0%
Q2 - 2:01ORLLewis 8' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)48
47.4%
47
52.6%
Q2 - 2:19SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)46
44.4%
47
55.6%
Q2 - 2:19SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)46
44.8%
46
55.2%
Q2 - 2:36ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)46
47.5%
45
52.5%
Q2 - 2:36ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 245
46.4%
45
53.6%
Q2 - 3:01SASParker 11' Step Back Jump Shot (11 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)45
47.8%
45
52.2%
Q2 - 3:17ORLHoward 2' Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)45
50.4%
43
49.6%
Q2 - 3:24ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
47.8%
43
52.2%
Q2 - 3:26SASMISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot43
46.7%
43
53.3%
Q2 - 3:42ORLHoward 3' Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS)43
44.2%
43
55.8%
Q2 - 4:01SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)41
41.4%
43
58.6%
Q2 - 4:01SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)41
42.0%
42
58.0%
Q2 - 4:05SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
44.1%
41
55.9%
Q2 - 4:07ORLMISS Nelson 15' Jump Shot41
45.1%
41
54.9%
Q2 - 4:20ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
47.4%
41
52.6%
Q2 - 4:22SASMISS Parker 5' Jump Shot41
46.4%
41
53.6%
Q2 - 4:27ORLDuncan STEAL (1 STL)41
44.1%
41
55.9%
Q2 - 4:33ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
47.4%
41
52.6%
Q2 - 4:35SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot41
46.4%
41
53.6%
Q2 - 5:00SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
44.1%
41
55.9%
Q2 - 5:03ORLMISS Nelson 8' Jump Bank Shot41
45.3%
41
54.7%
Q2 - 5:16SASGinobili 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)41
47.3%
41
52.7%
Q2 - 5:33ORLHoward 3' Layup (7 PTS)41
50.3%
39
49.7%
Q2 - 5:51ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)39
47.3%
39
52.7%
Q2 - 5:54SASMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
46.4%
39
53.6%
Q2 - 6:05SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
44.0%
39
56.0%
Q2 - 6:07ORLMISS Richardson 16' Jump Bank Shot39
45.0%
39
55.0%
Q2 - 6:18SASDuncan Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)39
47.3%
39
52.7%
Q2 - 6:36ORLBass Foul Turnover (P2.T6)39
44.1%
39
55.9%
Q2 - 6:45ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
47.3%
39
52.7%
Q2 - 6:47SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot39
46.3%
39
53.7%
Q2 - 7:02ORLCarter Foul Turnover (P1.T5)39
44.2%
39
55.8%
Q2 - 7:13SASHill 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bonner 2 AST)39
47.1%
39
52.9%
Q2 - 7:26SASSPURS Rebound39
49.7%
37
50.3%
Q2 - 7:26SASMISS Ginobili 3' Finger Roll Layup39
51.8%
37
48.2%
Q2 - 7:33SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
49.7%
37
50.3%
Q2 - 7:35ORLMISS Bass 17' Jump Shot39
50.6%
37
49.4%
Q2 - 7:47SASHill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)39
52.7%
37
47.3%
Q2 - 8:01ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
49.6%
37
50.4%
Q2 - 8:01ORLGortat 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)39
49.6%
37
50.4%
Q2 - 8:02ORLMISS Bass 4' Jump Shot37
45.1%
37
54.9%
Q2 - 8:18SASGinobili 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)37
47.0%
37
53.0%
Q2 - 8:41SASSPURS Rebound37
49.6%
35
50.4%
Q2 - 8:43ORLMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
50.4%
35
49.6%
Q2 - 8:53ORLMagic Rebound37
52.4%
35
47.6%
Q2 - 8:53ORLDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)37
50.4%
35
49.6%
Q2 - 9:07ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
52.0%
35
48.0%
Q2 - 9:08SASMISS Duncan 4' Running Hook Shot37
51.2%
35
48.8%
Q2 - 9:33ORLDuhon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Pietrus 1 AST)37
49.3%
35
50.7%
Q2 - 9:41ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
44.2%
35
55.8%
Q2 - 9:42SASMISS Ginobili 2' Driving Reverse Layup34
43.4%
35
56.6%
Q2 - 9:55SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
41.5%
35
58.5%
Q2 - 9:56ORLMISS Redick 19' Jump Shot34
42.3%
35
57.7%
Q2 - 10:09SASMcDyess 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)34
44.1%
35
55.9%
Q2 - 10:24ORLRedick 10' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Gortat 1 AST)34
46.4%
33
53.6%
Q2 - 10:45SASBonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)32
44.1%
33
55.9%
Q2 - 11:01ORLBass Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)32
48.9%
30
51.1%
Q2 - 11:11ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
51.5%
30
48.5%
Q2 - 11:13SASMISS Hill 2' Driving Reverse Layup32
50.7%
30
49.3%
Q2 - 11:28ORLRedick 10' Jump Shot (7 PTS)32
48.9%
30
51.1%
Q2 - 11:44SASGinobili 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)30
46.5%
30
53.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL30
48.9%
28
51.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound30
51.5%
28
48.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Pietrus 34' 3PT Jump Shot30
49.7%
28
50.3%
Q1 - 0:04.0SASHill 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)30
50.8%
28
49.2%
Q1 - 0:28.0ORLRedick 8' Jump Shot (5 PTS)30
56.1%
25
43.9%
Q1 - 0:38.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)28
53.3%
25
46.7%
Q1 - 0:41.0SASMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
52.7%
25
47.3%
Q1 - 0:48.0SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
51.3%
25
48.7%
Q1 - 0:50.0ORLMISS Duhon 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
51.9%
25
48.1%
Q1 - 1:05SASMcDyess 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)28
52.9%
25
47.1%
Q1 - 1:26ORLRedick 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duhon 1 AST)28
55.9%
23
44.1%
Q1 - 1:47SASHill 4' Running Finger Roll Layup (3 PTS)25
50.6%
23
49.4%
Q1 - 2:07ORLDuhon 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)25
53.3%
21
46.7%
Q1 - 2:14ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)23
50.7%
21
49.3%
Q1 - 2:16ORLMISS Pietrus 20' Jump Shot23
49.3%
21
50.7%
Q1 - 2:27ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
50.7%
21
49.3%
Q1 - 2:29SASMISS Bonner 5' Running Jump Shot23
50.1%
21
49.9%
Q1 - 2:46ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)23
48.7%
21
51.3%
Q1 - 3:00SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)23
50.7%
21
49.3%
Q1 - 3:00SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 223
51.2%
20
48.8%
Q1 - 3:04SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
50.7%
20
49.3%
Q1 - 3:06ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
51.5%
20
48.5%
Q1 - 3:20ORLDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
53.1%
20
46.9%
Q1 - 3:21SASMISS McDyess 16' Jump Shot23
52.4%
20
47.6%
Q1 - 3:36ORLNelson 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)23
50.7%
20
49.3%
Q1 - 3:46SASParker 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)21
48.5%
20
51.5%
Q1 - 4:10ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)21
50.3%
18
49.7%
Q1 - 4:10ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 220
49.5%
18
50.5%
Q1 - 4:22ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
50.5%
18
49.5%
Q1 - 4:24SASMISS Hill 19' Jump Shot20
49.7%
18
50.3%
Q1 - 4:48ORLNelson 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)20
48.1%
18
51.9%
Q1 - 4:59ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)17
43.8%
18
56.2%
Q1 - 5:01SASMISS Parker 2' Layup17
43.0%
18
57.0%
Q1 - 5:09ORLNelson 7' Fadeaway Bank Shot (4 PTS)17
41.4%
18
58.6%
Q1 - 5:24SASDuncan 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)15
39.6%
18
60.4%
Q1 - 5:37SASHill Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)15
41.4%
16
58.6%
Q1 - 5:38ORLHoward 1' Layup (4 PTS)15
43.5%
15
56.5%
Q1 - 5:39ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)13
41.6%
15
58.4%
Q1 - 5:41ORLDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)13
40.0%
15
60.0%
Q1 - 5:54ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
41.6%
15
58.4%
Q1 - 5:56SASMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
40.9%
15
59.1%
Q1 - 6:15SASSPURS Rebound13
39.4%
15
60.6%
Q1 - 6:17ORLMISS Lewis 17' Jump Shot13
40.0%
15
60.0%
Q1 - 6:24ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
41.5%
15
58.5%
Q1 - 6:26SASMISS Blair 10' Jump Shot13
40.9%
15
59.1%
Q1 - 6:37ORLRichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)13
39.4%
15
60.6%
Q1 - 6:48ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
41.5%
15
58.5%
Q1 - 6:49SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
40.9%
15
59.1%
Q1 - 7:02ORLCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)13
39.4%
15
60.6%
Q1 - 7:02ORLCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
39.1%
15
60.9%
Q1 - 7:08SASBlair Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)11
37.7%
15
62.3%
Q1 - 7:21ORLRichardson Kicked Ball Violation Turnover (P1.T1)11
35.6%
15
64.4%
Q1 - 7:34ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
37.7%
15
62.3%
Q1 - 7:35SASMISS Parker 1' Reverse Layup11
37.0%
15
63.0%
Q1 - 7:47ORLNelson 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
35.6%
15
64.4%
Q1 - 8:03ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
34.0%
15
66.0%
Q1 - 8:04SASMISS Blair Free Throw 2 of 29
33.8%
15
66.2%
Q1 - 8:04SASBlair Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
32.9%
15
67.1%
Q1 - 8:10SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
34.1%
14
65.9%
Q1 - 8:12ORLMISS Carter 17' Jump Shot9
34.6%
14
65.4%
Q1 - 8:20ORLMagic Rebound9
35.8%
14
64.2%
Q1 - 8:21ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
35.8%
14
64.2%
Q1 - 8:21ORLJefferson BLOCK (1 BLK)9
34.6%
14
65.4%
Q1 - 8:23ORLMISS Carter 3' Driving Layup9
34.6%
14
65.4%
Q1 - 8:42SASDuncan 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)9
35.8%
14
64.2%
Q1 - 8:48SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
37.7%
12
62.3%
Q1 - 8:49ORLMISS Howard 7' Jump Bank Shot9
38.3%
12
61.7%
Q1 - 9:07SASParker 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS)9
40.0%
12
60.0%
Q1 - 9:21ORLHoward 3' Dunk (2 PTS)9
41.9%
10
58.1%
Q1 - 9:32ORLLewis Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)7
40.0%
10
60.0%
Q1 - 9:45SASParker Layup (2 PTS)6
38.1%
10
61.9%
Q1 - 9:50SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
40.0%
8
60.0%
Q1 - 9:52ORLMISS Nelson 10' Fadeaway Jumper6
40.5%
8
59.5%
Q1 - 9:55ORLMagic Rebound6
41.8%
8
58.2%
Q1 - 9:57ORLMISS Lewis 9' Jump Shot6
40.5%
8
59.5%
Q1 - 10:11SASBonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)6
42.1%
8
57.9%
Q1 - 10:29ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)6
45.3%
5
54.7%
Q1 - 10:43SASDuncan 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)3
42.1%
5
57.9%
Q1 - 10:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
43.6%
3
56.4%
Q1 - 10:53ORLMISS Richardson 19' Jump Bank Shot3
44.2%
3
55.8%
Q1 - 11:20SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)3
45.1%
3
54.9%
Q1 - 11:47ORLLewis 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)3
48.6%
0
51.4%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Howard: Tip to Nelson0
45.2%
0
54.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.09 54.5%
SAS
1.19 59.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
15
25
60%
SAS
16
30
53%
Midrange
ORL
15
37
41%
SAS
10
28
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
9
13.5
18
50%
75%
SAS
12
18.0
19
63%
95%
Free Throws
ORL
10
14
71%
SAS
18
23
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard2668%13.0 / 19
J. Nelson1554%7.5 / 14
R. Lewis1470%7.0 / 10
J. Redick1150%5.5 / 11
M. Pietrus975%4.5 / 6
V. Carter850%4.0 / 8
C. Duhon643%3.0 / 7
B. Bass440%2.0 / 5
Q. Richardson220%1.0 / 5
M. Gortat2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili2566%12.5 / 19
T. Parker2467%12.0 / 18
T. Duncan1563%7.5 / 12
M. Bonner1583%7.5 / 9
G. Hill1056%5.0 / 9
R. Jefferson850%4.0 / 8
A. McDyess643%3.0 / 7
D. Blair350%1.5 / 3
G. Neal0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
78
+11
-16
89
SAS
83
+5
-9
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.09 54.5%
SAS
1.19 59.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
111.5
ORL 103.2
SAS 115.2 +12.0
Pace
91.2
92.7
ORL 98.2 +10.0
SAS 88.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
15.7
ORL 14.7 +1.7
SAS 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.1%
52.7%
ORL 54.4%
SAS 57.1% +2.7%
TO %
15.7%
13.8%
ORL 15.7%
SAS 10.3% +5.4%
ORB %
26.1%
25.0%
ORL 17.6% +9.5%
SAS 8.1%
FTrt
32.8
29.9
ORL 17.5
SAS 29.9 +12.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.3%
58.3%
ORL 48.7%
SAS 65.8% +17.1%
STL %
7.3%
7.9%
ORL 7.4%
SAS 7.6% +0.2%
BLK %
7.5%
6.7%
ORL 5.2% +0.4%
SAS 4.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.8%
55.3%
ORL 54.5%
SAS 59.6% +5.1%
Rim FG%
61.7%
60.3%
ORL 60.0% +6.7%
SAS 53.3%
Mid FG%
40.4%
41.6%
ORL 40.5% +4.8%
SAS 35.7%
3P %
36.6%
39.7%
ORL 50.0%
SAS 63.2% +13.2%
FT %
69.2%
76.7%
ORL 71.4%
SAS 78.3% +6.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.6%
34.3%
ORL 31.3%
SAS 39.0% +7.7%
Mid Att. %
34.5%
39.7%
ORL 46.3%
SAS 36.4% +9.9%
3P Att. %
32.8%
26.1%
ORL 22.5%
SAS 24.7% +2.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.63 and 2.63.
Game TotalsORLSAS
Possessions9492
Possession Minutes23.025.0
Points97106
Rebounds4031
Assists1925
Steals77
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)9 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (5)3 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (1)28 (3)
Field Goals39-8038-77
At-the-Rim FG15-2516-30
Midrange FG15-3710-28
2-Point FG30-6226-58
3-Point FG9-1812-19
Free Throws10-1418-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 265 · 25
40.7
26
68%
18
1
3
2
2
1
5
13
4-7
57%
11-16
69%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 31
38.4
14
70%
3
1
0
0
2
2
0
3
1-1
100%
2-7
29%
3-3
100%
G · 6'0" 190 · 29
29.1
15
54%
2
5
1
0
4
5
0
2
0-0
-
6-10
60%
1-4
25%
F · 6'6" 228 · 31
26.0
2
20%
5
2
2
0
2
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 220 · 34
16.9
8
50%
0
2
0
0
1
4
0
0
4-4
100%
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 215 · 29
26.5
9
75%
5
1
0
1
0
5
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
0%
3-5
60%
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26
24.3
11
50%
2
4
1
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-8
50%
1-3
33%
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
18.9
6
43%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 250 · 26
11.8
4
40%
3
0
0
0
4
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 27
7.3
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 240 · 23
0.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 35
#21 · C · 6'10" 275 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#35 · F · 6'10" 255 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
55%
40
19
7
3
16
0
6
34
10-14
71%
30-62
48%
9-18
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.