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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 2, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Suns53%110107
21Warriors47%109101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 27.5
36.4
32.2
10
51%
10
0
1
1
3
2
1
9
3-4
75%
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
1-3
33%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 29.9
34.1
33.2
25
79%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
7-11
5-10
64%
51%
3-4
75%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 36.8
34.0
30.8
13
58%
4
16
1
1
0
5
0
4
5-5
100%
4-7
5-9
57%
53%
0-2
0%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 38.2
29.5
29.3
24
88%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
6-6
100%
9-11
5-9
82%
52%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 29.3
25.4
7.8
2
25%
4
0
0
0
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
43%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 31.7
27.5
24.8
9
50%
7
1
0
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 27.5
15.8
17.3
4
50%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
57%
0-1
0%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.4
14.3
15.9
7
66%
5
0
1
1
0
0
2
3
3-3
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.6
13.8
16.5
7
70%
2
3
1
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
49%
1-3
33%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 28.4
9.2
27.2
6
61%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-4
4-8
50%
51%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 22.9
2.8
0
0-1
47%
Garret Siler
C · 6'11" 305 · 24.1
1.8
0
0-0
51%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 22.7
Gani Lawal
F · 6'9" 234 · 22.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.1
48.0
36.9
38
63%
4
7
1
2
0
3
1
3
3-7
43%
13-22
7-14
59%
51%
3-5
60%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 27.6
44.8
36.2
25
64%
8
5
1
1
0
5
2
6
5-6
83%
10-17
7-13
59%
55%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 25.0
40.0
40.0
10
38%
10
7
1
1
2
1
2
8
0-0
-
2-6
4-8
33%
48%
2-7
29%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.7
34.1
34.0
9
45%
1
7
4
2
0
4
1
0
0-0
-
3-7
6-12
43%
50%
1-3
33%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.7
23.6
30.5
4
40%
3
1
2
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
4-7
40%
60%
0-0
-
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 26.7
17.2
13.8
4
52%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
1-3
0%
49%
1-1
100%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 24.2
16.3
16.2
8
100%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
54%
2-2
100%
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 24.8
7.4
9.8
3
80%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.3
5.0
6.5
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.7
3.6
3.8
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.8
10.6
0
1-3
48%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.0
10.5
0
1-2
46%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 23.5
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.0
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.