Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, December 2, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Heat | 65% | 99 | 118 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Wednesday, December 1, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Thunder | 60% | 94 | 123 |
| 28 | Nets | 40% | 91 | 120 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 22 | Raptors | 64% | 105 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 6 | Celtics | 66% | 96 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Pistons | 11% | 88 | 72 |
| 2 | Heat | 89% | 104 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Magic | 49% | 94 | 107 |
 | 10 | Bulls | 51% | 95 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Bobcats | 34% | 90 | 73 |
| 12 | Hornets | 66% | 96 | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Timberwolves | 17% | 94 | 86 |
 | 5 | Mavericks | 83% | 107 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Lakers | 61% | 106 | 99 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Bucks | 28% | 95 | 94 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Tuesday, November 30, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 67% | 98 | 106 |
| 20 | Cavaliers | 33% | 93 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | 18% | 90 | 79 |
| 3 | Magic | 82% | 102 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 61% | 100 | 79 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nets | 30% | 98 | 100 | |
 | 13 | Knicks | 70% | 105 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lakers | 68% | 106 | 96 |
| 19 | Grizzlies | 32% | 100 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 62% | 98 | 107 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 67% | 106 | 118 |
| 21 | Warriors | 33% | 100 | 98 |
Monday, November 29, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 12% | 90 | 94 |
| 2 | Heat | 88% | 105 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hornets | 41% | 95 | 89 | |
| 11 | Thunder | 59% | 98 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Rockets | 22% | 94 | 91 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 78% | 105 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bucks | 34% | 91 | 88 |
| 9 | Jazz | 66% | 96 | 109 |
Sunday, November 28, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 42% | 103 | 96 |
| 19 | Raptors | 58% | 106 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Knicks | 51% | 105 | 125 |
| 26 | Pistons | 49% | 104 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 51% | 99 | 109 |
| 10 | Hornets | 49% | 98 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Jazz | 66% | 102 | 109 |
| 30 | Clippers | 34% | 96 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 68% | 97 | 96 |
| 25 | Nets | 32% | 91 | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Thunder | 52% | 103 | 98 |
| 17 | Rockets | 48% | 102 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 36% | 105 | 133 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 64% | 110 | 138 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pacers | 21% | 96 | 95 |
| 1 | Lakers | 79% | 106 | 92 |
Saturday, November 27, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 38% | 103 | 99 |
| 14 | Knicks | 62% | 107 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Magic | 66% | 99 | 100 |
| 26 | Wizards | 34% | 94 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Grizzlies | 42% | 98 | 86 |
| 21 | Cavaliers | 58% | 101 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nets | 45% | 96 | 86 | |
| 23 | 76ers | 55% | 97 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Warriors | 44% | 106 | 104 |
| 28 | Timberwolves | 56% | 108 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Heat | 46% | 93 | 95 |
| 6 | Mavericks | 54% | 95 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bobcats | 47% | 90 | 101 |
| 24 | Bucks | 53% | 92 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bulls | 62% | 98 | 96 |
| 30 | Kings | 38% | 94 | 85 |
Friday, November 26, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Rockets | 44% | 98 | 89 |
| 15 | Bobcats | 56% | 100 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Cavaliers | 20% | 90 | 100 |
| 3 | Magic | 80% | 101 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Raptors | 21% | 93 | 101 |
| 6 | Celtics | 79% | 103 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bucks | 55% | 95 | 89 |
| 27 | Pistons | 45% | 93 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 76ers | 14% | 92 | 90 |
| 1 | Heat | 86% | 106 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Thunder | 49% | 98 | 110 |
| 17 | Pacers | 51% | 99 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 39% | 96 | 103 |
| 4 | Spurs | 61% | 100 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bulls | 39% | 95 | 97 |
| 10 | Nuggets | 61% | 99 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Clippers | 20% | 100 | 108 |
| 9 | Suns | 80% | 111 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 56% | 101 | 96 |
| 12 | Jazz | 44% | 99 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Warriors | 40% | 100 | 111 |
| 20 | Grizzlies | 60% | 103 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hornets | 37% | 93 | 97 | |
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 63% | 98 | 78 |
Thursday, November 25, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wizards | 36% | 97 | 96 |
| 17 | Hawks | 64% | 102 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | 45% | 97 | 82 |
| 30 | Clippers | 55% | 99 | 100 |
Wednesday, November 24, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Knicks | 43% | 99 | 99 |
| 15 | Bobcats | 57% | 102 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bucks | 56% | 96 | 81 |
| 21 | Cavaliers | 44% | 94 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 76ers | 39% | 102 | 90 |
| 24 | Raptors | 61% | 105 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nets | 20% | 87 | 83 | |
| 8 | Celtics | 80% | 99 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 47% | 94 | 95 |
| 4 | Magic | 53% | 95 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pistons | 33% | 97 | 84 |
| 20 | Grizzlies | 67% | 102 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 74% | 110 | 113 |
| 28 | Timberwolves | 26% | 101 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 46% | 94 | 111 |
| 12 | Thunder | 54% | 95 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Warriors | 35% | 102 | 101 |
| 18 | Rockets | 65% | 107 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bulls | 38% | 101 | 123 |
| 10 | Suns | 62% | 105 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hornets | 45% | 95 | 87 | |
| 13 | Jazz | 55% | 97 | 105 |
Tuesday, November 23, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Cavaliers | 41% | 97 | 89 |
| 15 | Pacers | 59% | 100 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 46% | 96 | 101 |
| 25 | Nets | 54% | 98 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 76ers | 49% | 99 | 114 |
| 27 | Wizards | 51% | 100 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bobcats | 37% | 99 | 107 |
| 14 | Knicks | 63% | 103 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | 21% | 91 | 84 |
| 6 | Mavericks | 79% | 101 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bulls | 29% | 97 | 91 |
| 2 | Lakers | 71% | 104 | 98 |
Monday, November 22, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Celtics | 42% | 95 | 99 |
| 12 | Hawks | 58% | 98 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pacers | 16% | 93 | 93 |
| 1 | Heat | 84% | 106 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Timberwolves | 26% | 97 | 107 |
| 13 | Thunder | 74% | 106 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Suns | 45% | 106 | 123 |
| 16 | Rockets | 55% | 108 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Magic | 45% | 98 | 97 |
| 4 | Spurs | 55% | 99 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 19% | 91 | 83 |
| 9 | Jazz | 81% | 103 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 62% | 105 | 106 |
| 23 | Warriors | 38% | 101 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hornets | 68% | 102 | 95 | |
| 30 | Clippers | 32% | 96 | 99 |
Sunday, November 21, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Celtics | 62% | 100 | 101 |
| 24 | Raptors | 38% | 96 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 44% | 97 | 110 |
| 26 | Pistons | 56% | 99 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hornets | 68% | 100 | 75 | |
| 28 | Kings | 32% | 94 | 71 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Warriors | 19% | 99 | 89 |
| 2 | Lakers | 81% | 110 | 117 |
Saturday, November 20, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Suns | 51% | 99 | 105 |
| 15 | Bobcats | 49% | 98 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Magic | 61% | 99 | 90 |
| 16 | Pacers | 39% | 95 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 47% | 96 | 98 |
| 12 | Hawks | 53% | 97 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Heat | 63% | 100 | 95 |
| 21 | Grizzlies | 37% | 96 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Thunder | 40% | 91 | 82 |
| 19 | Bucks | 60% | 94 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Cavaliers | 20% | 95 | 92 |
| 3 | Spurs | 80% | 106 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 18% | 94 | 103 | |
| 8 | Nuggets | 82% | 106 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jazz | 28% | 93 | 103 |
| 5 | Trail Blazers | 72% | 101 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Knicks | 56% | 106 | 124 |
| 30 | Clippers | 44% | 104 | 115 |
Friday, November 19, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Thunder | 26% | 89 | 89 |
| 6 | Celtics | 74% | 97 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 60% | 98 | 79 |
| 28 | 76ers | 40% | 94 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Rockets | 53% | 105 | 96 |
| 23 | Raptors | 47% | 104 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Grizzlies | 54% | 102 | 86 |
| 29 | Wizards | 46% | 100 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bobcats | 20% | 88 | 87 |
| 1 | Heat | 80% | 99 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 74% | 111 | 112 |
| 27 | Timberwolves | 26% | 102 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Cavaliers | 28% | 93 | 101 |
| 8 | Hornets | 72% | 101 | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 51% | 102 | 94 |
| 10 | Jazz | 49% | 101 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bulls | 35% | 93 | 88 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 65% | 98 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nets | 45% | 96 | 81 | |
| 25 | Kings | 55% | 98 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Knicks | 48% | 106 | 125 |
| 22 | Warriors | 52% | 107 | 119 |