Final Win Prob. pScore
184%99
96
2816%86
82
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
106.79084.9
CHA logo Bobcats
92.18994.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

BobcatsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BobcatsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA96
82
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)96
82
Q4 - 0:09.0CHAMISS Brown 1' Layup96
82
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAChalmers 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)96
82
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)94
82
Q4 - 0:44.0CHAMISS Najera 17' Jump Shot94
82
Q4 - 1:01MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)94
82
Q4 - 1:01MIAHeat Rebound94
82
Q4 - 1:02MIAMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot94
82
Q4 - 1:26CHACollins 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)94
82
Q4 - 1:43CHABrown REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)94
80
Q4 - 1:44MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot94
80
Q4 - 2:05CHABrown 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Collins 1 AST)94
80
Q4 - 2:20CHABrown REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)94
78
Q4 - 2:22MIAMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot94
78
Q4 - 2:45CHABrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)94
78
Q4 - 2:45CHABrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)94
77
Q4 - 2:45MIASUB: Jones FOR James94
76
Q4 - 2:45CHABOBCATS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)94
76
Q4 - 2:45MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P1.PN)94
76
Q4 - 2:56CHANajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)94
76
Q4 - 2:57MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
76
Q4 - 3:10MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)94
76
Q4 - 3:12MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot94
76
Q4 - 3:31MIASUB: Howard FOR Bosh94
76
Q4 - 3:31CHASUB: Collins FOR Augustin94
76
Q4 - 3:31CHASUB: Najera FOR Diaw94
76
Q4 - 3:31MIASUB: Miller FOR Wade94
76
Q4 - 3:31CHADiaw Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)94
76
Q4 - 3:49MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (31 PTS)94
76
Q4 - 3:49CHABrown S.FOUL (P3.T3)93
76
Q4 - 3:49MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (30 PTS)93
76
Q4 - 4:06CHAAugustin 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS)91
76
Q4 - 4:14CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
74
Q4 - 4:16MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot91
74
Q4 - 4:38CHAAugustin 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)91
74
Q4 - 4:48CHABOBCATS Rebound91
72
Q4 - 4:48CHABrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)91
72
Q4 - 4:48CHAMISS Brown 1' Tip Shot91
72
Q4 - 4:49CHAMISS Livingston 8' Jump Shot91
72
Q4 - 5:13MIAJames 10' Driving Jump Shot (38 PTS)91
72
Q4 - 5:31MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)89
72
Q4 - 5:32CHAMISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 289
72
Q4 - 5:32CHABrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)89
72
Q4 - 5:32MIAJames S.FOUL (P3.T4)89
71
Q4 - 5:44CHASUB: Diaw FOR McGuire89
71
Q4 - 5:44CHASUB: Brown FOR Carroll89
71
Q4 - 5:44CHASUB: Augustin FOR Jackson89
71
Q4 - 5:4489
71
Q4 - 5:44MIAWade P.FOUL (P4.T3)89
71
Q4 - 6:01MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (36 PTS)89
71
Q4 - 6:24CHAJackson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T14)87
71
Q4 - 6:31MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (28 PTS) (James 5 AST)87
71
Q4 - 6:55CHACarroll Foul Turnover (P1.T13)85
71
Q4 - 6:55CHACarroll OFF.Foul (P2)85
71
Q4 - 7:02CHABOBCATS Rebound85
71
Q4 - 7:02MIAMISS James 11' Jump Shot85
71
Q4 - 7:09CHABrown P.FOUL (P2.T2)85
71
Q4 - 7:13CHAJackson 19' Jump Shot (22 PTS)85
71
Q4 - 7:37MIAJames Reverse Slam Dunk (34 PTS)85
69
Q4 - 7:41CHALivingston Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)83
69
Q4 - 7:59MIAJames 34' 3PT Jump Shot (32 PTS)83
69
Q4 - 8:27CHALivingston Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Jackson 5 AST)80
69
Q4 - 8:35CHAMcGuire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)80
67
Q4 - 8:36MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot80
67
Q4 - 8:47CHABrown Personal Block Foul (P1.T1)80
67
Q4 - 8:56MIASUB: James FOR Jones80
67
Q4 - 8:56MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)80
67
Q4 - 8:58CHABrown Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)80
67
Q4 - 9:02MIALivingston STEAL (1 STL)80
65
Q4 - 9:09MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)80
65
Q4 - 9:10CHAMISS Carroll 16' Jump Shot80
65
Q4 - 9:23CHAMcGuire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)80
65
Q4 - 9:24CHAMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
65
Q4 - 9:34CHABOBCATS Rebound80
65
Q4 - 9:34MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Layup80
65
Q4 - 9:47CHAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)80
65
Q4 - 9:47CHAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)80
64
Q4 - 9:47MIAJones S.FOUL (P3.T2)80
63
Q4 - 9:47CHACarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)80
63
Q4 - 9:48CHAMISS Brown 2' Layup80
63
Q4 - 9:54MIACarroll STEAL (1 STL)80
63
Q4 - 10:07CHAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)80
63
Q4 - 10:07CHASUB: Carroll FOR Thomas80
62
Q4 - 10:07CHAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)80
62
Q4 - 10:07MIAWade S.FOUL (P3.T1)80
61
Q4 - 10:14CHABOBCATS Rebound80
61
Q4 - 10:14CHAMISS Thomas 17' Jump Shot80
61
Q4 - 10:20CHAMcGuire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
61
Q4 - 10:22MIAMISS Wade 2' Reverse Layup80
61
Q4 - 10:34MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
61
Q4 - 10:36CHAMISS Thomas 9' Jump Bank Shot80
61
Q4 - 10:47MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
61
Q4 - 10:47MIABosh Tip Shot (11 PTS)80
61
Q4 - 10:48MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
61
Q4 - 11:11CHAMcGuire Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)78
61
Q4 - 11:13CHAThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
61
Q4 - 11:15CHAMISS Livingston 3' Driving Dunk78
61
Q4 - 11:21CHAThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
61
Q4 - 11:24MIAMISS Bosh 17' Fadeaway Jumper78
61
Q4 - 11:41CHAMcGuire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
61
Q4 - 11:41CHAMcGuire Tip Shot (4 PTS)78
61
Q4 - 11:42CHAMISS McGuire 2' Layup78
59
Q4 - 12:0078
59
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA78
59
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)78
59
Q3 - 0:01.0CHAMISS Thomas 16' Jump Shot78
59
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)78
59
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)77
59
Q3 - 0:14.0CHALivingston S.FOUL (P1.PN)76
59
Q3 - 0:34.0CHABrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)76
59
Q3 - 0:34.0CHABrown Putback Dunk (4 PTS)76
59
Q3 - 0:34.0CHAMISS Thomas 13' Jump Shot76
57
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)76
57
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAAnthony 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)76
57
Q3 - 0:45.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
57
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
57
Q3 - 0:52.0CHAMISS McGuire 18' Jump Shot74
57
Q3 - 1:05MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)74
57
Q3 - 1:05CHASUB: Brown FOR Augustin73
57
Q3 - 1:05MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)73
57
Q3 - 1:05CHAThomas S.FOUL (P2.PN)72
57
Q3 - 1:27CHALivingston 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS)72
57
Q3 - 1:36MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (25 PTS)72
55
Q3 - 1:58CHAMcGuire Dunk (2 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)70
55
Q3 - 2:23MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (23 PTS)70
53
Q3 - 2:39MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Arroyo68
53
Q3 - 2:39MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)68
53
Q3 - 2:39CHAJackson Foul Turnover (P4.T10)68
53
Q3 - 2:39CHAJackson Offensive Charge Foul (P2.PN)68
53
Q3 - 2:49MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (21 PTS)68
53
Q3 - 3:00MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)66
53
Q3 - 3:03CHAMISS Livingston 1' Reverse Layup66
53
Q3 - 3:09CHALivingston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
53
Q3 - 3:10CHAMISS Livingston 7' Jump Shot66
53
Q3 - 3:18MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade66
53
Q3 - 3:18MIASUB: Howard FOR Bosh66
53
Q3 - 3:39MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)66
53
Q3 - 4:01CHAAugustin Free Throw 3 of 3 (12 PTS)64
53
Q3 - 4:01CHAAugustin Free Throw 2 of 3 (11 PTS)64
52
Q3 - 4:01CHABOBCATS Rebound64
51
Q3 - 4:01CHAMISS Augustin Free Throw 1 of 364
51
Q3 - 4:01MIAArroyo S.FOUL (P1.PN)64
51
Q3 - 4:01MIAHeat Turnover: Backcourt (T#13)64
51
Q3 - 4:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)64
51
Q3 - 4:13MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
51
Q3 - 4:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)64
51
Q3 - 4:19CHAMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
51
Q3 - 4:33MIAJames 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (17 PTS)64
51
Q3 - 4:49MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)61
51
Q3 - 4:51CHAMISS Thomas 17' Jump Shot61
51
Q3 - 5:07CHAThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
51
Q3 - 5:08MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
51
Q3 - 5:28CHAAugustin 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Livingston 1 AST)61
51
Q3 - 5:40MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)61
48
Q3 - 5:40MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)60
48
Q3 - 5:40CHASUB: Livingston FOR Henderson59
48
Q3 - 5:40CHAHenderson S.FOUL (P2.T4)59
48
Q3 - 5:43MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)59
48
Q3 - 5:47CHAMISS Augustin 5' Floating Jump Shot59
48
Q3 - 6:05MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)59
48
Q3 - 6:05MIAHeat Rebound58
48
Q3 - 6:05MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 258
48
Q3 - 6:05CHAMcGuire Shooting Block Foul (P2.T3)58
48
Q3 - 6:11CHAMcGuire P.FOUL (P1.T2)58
48
Q3 - 6:25MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)58
48
Q3 - 6:28CHAMISS Thomas 11' Jump Shot58
48
Q3 - 6:41CHASUB: McGuire FOR Diaw58
48
Q3 - 6:48CHABOBCATS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)58
48
Q3 - 6:48MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)58
48
Q3 - 6:48CHADiaw S.FOUL (P4.T1)57
48
Q3 - 6:48MIABosh 2' Layup (7 PTS)57
48
Q3 - 6:58CHAAugustin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)55
48
Q3 - 7:10CHABOBCATS Rebound55
48
Q3 - 7:11MIAMISS James 2' Layup55
48
Q3 - 7:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)55
48
Q3 - 7:18CHAMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot55
48
Q3 - 7:37MIAWade 7' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (James 4 AST)55
48
Q3 - 7:46MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)53
48
Q3 - 7:47CHAMISS Henderson 16' Jump Shot53
48
Q3 - 7:56CHASUB: Thomas FOR Brown53
48
Q3 - 7:56MIASUB: Anthony FOR Ilgauskas53
48
Q3 - 7:56CHAAugustin Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)53
48
Q3 - 7:56CHAAugustin Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)53
47
Q3 - 7:56MIAIlgauskas T.FOUL (P3.T4)53
46
Q3 - 7:56MIAHeat T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Ilgauskas )53
46
Q3 - 8:18MIAJames 19' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)53
46
Q3 - 8:32MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)51
46
Q3 - 8:33CHAMISS Diaw 18' Jump Shot51
46
Q3 - 8:55MIAIlgauskas P.FOUL (P3.T4)51
46
Q3 - 8:55CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
46
Q3 - 8:55MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Bank Shot51
46
Q3 - 8:59MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)51
46
Q3 - 9:03CHAMISS Henderson 3' Alley Oop Dunk51
46
Q3 - 9:08MIAJackson STEAL (2 STL)51
46
Q3 - 9:24MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
46
Q3 - 9:25CHAMISS Brown 8' Hook Shot51
46
Q3 - 9:37MIAJames Foul Turnover (P3.T11)51
46
Q3 - 9:37MIAJames Offensive Charge Foul (P2.T3)51
46
Q3 - 9:41MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
46
Q3 - 9:42CHAMISS Augustin 17' Jump Shot51
46
Q3 - 9:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)51
46
Q3 - 9:58MIAWade 2' Tip Shot (22 PTS)51
46
Q3 - 9:59MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup49
46
Q3 - 10:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)49
46
Q3 - 10:08CHAMISS Henderson 1' Alley Oop Layup49
46
Q3 - 10:14CHAAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
46
Q3 - 10:15MIAMISS Ilgauskas 18' Jump Shot49
46
Q3 - 10:26CHAAugustin Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)49
46
Q3 - 10:26CHAAugustin Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)49
45
Q3 - 10:26MIAIlgauskas S.FOUL (P2.T2)49
44
Q3 - 10:29CHABrown REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)49
44
Q3 - 10:33CHAMISS Augustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
44
Q3 - 10:51MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)49
44
Q3 - 11:16CHABrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)49
44
Q3 - 11:16CHABOBCATS Rebound49
43
Q3 - 11:16CHAMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 249
43
Q3 - 11:16MIAIlgauskas S.FOUL (P1.T1)49
43
Q3 - 11:25CHABrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)49
43
Q3 - 11:26CHAMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
43
Q3 - 11:47MIAWade 1' Layup (20 PTS) (James 3 AST)49
43
Q3 - 12:0047
43
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA47
43
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
43
Q2 - 0:01.0CHAMISS Brown 6' Jump Shot47
43
Q2 - 0:02.0CHABrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)47
43
Q2 - 0:03.0CHAMISS Augustin 2' Layup47
43
Q2 - 0:07.0CHABOBCATS Rebound47
43
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Chalmers 9' Jump Shot47
43
Q2 - 0:30.0CHAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)47
43
Q2 - 0:30.0CHAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)47
42
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAJames S.FOUL (P1.T1)47
41
Q2 - 0:49.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)47
41
Q2 - 0:49.0CHASUB: Carroll FOR Henderson46
41
Q2 - 0:49.0MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade46
41
Q2 - 0:49.0MIASUB: Bosh FOR Howard46
41
Q2 - 0:49.0CHABrown S.FOUL (P2.PN)46
41
Q2 - 0:49.0MIAJames 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)46
41
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)44
41
Q2 - 0:54.0CHAMISS Jackson 2' Layup44
41
Q2 - 1:18MIAJames 2' Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)44
41
Q2 - 1:29MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
41
Q2 - 1:30CHAMISS Henderson 18' Jump Shot42
41
Q2 - 1:43CHAMcGuire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
41
Q2 - 1:45MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot42
41
Q2 - 2:02MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)42
41
Q2 - 2:06CHAMISS Jackson 9' Jump Shot42
41
Q2 - 2:24MIAJames 1' Dunk (7 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)42
41
Q2 - 2:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
41
Q2 - 2:33CHAMISS Augustin 13' Fadeaway Jumper40
41
Q2 - 2:48MIAHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)40
41
Q2 - 2:48MIAHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)39
41
Q2 - 2:48CHASUB: McGuire FOR Thomas38
41
Q2 - 2:48MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)38
41
Q2 - 2:48CHABrown S.FOUL (P1.T4)38
41
Q2 - 3:03CHAJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)38
41
Q2 - 3:16CHABrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
41
Q2 - 3:17CHAMISS Henderson 22' Jump Shot38
41
Q2 - 3:42MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)38
41
Q2 - 3:42CHASUB: Brown FOR Diaw37
41
Q2 - 3:42CHADiaw S.FOUL (P3.T3)37
41
Q2 - 3:42MIAWade 1' Layup (17 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)37
41
Q2 - 3:43MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)35
41
Q2 - 3:46MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
41
Q2 - 4:05CHAHenderson 16' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)35
41
Q2 - 4:24MIAHenderson STEAL (2 STL)35
39
Q2 - 4:44MIASUB: Howard FOR Bosh35
39
Q2 - 4:44CHAThomas P.FOUL (P1.T2)35
39
Q2 - 4:44MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
39
Q2 - 4:44CHAMISS Diaw 5' Hook Shot35
39
Q2 - 5:06MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)35
39
Q2 - 5:22CHAThomas 1' Dunk (8 PTS)32
39
Q2 - 5:42MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)32
37
Q2 - 5:42MIAHeat Rebound32
37
Q2 - 5:42MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot32
37
Q2 - 5:46MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)32
37
Q2 - 5:48MIAHenderson BLOCK (1 BLK)32
37
Q2 - 6:11CHAJackson 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Diaw 5 AST)32
37
Q2 - 6:23MIASUB: James FOR Miller32
35
Q2 - 6:23CHASUB: Augustin FOR Brown32
35
Q2 - 6:23CHASUB: Diaw FOR Livingston32
35
Q2 - 6:23CHASUB: Jackson FOR McGuire32
35
Q2 - 6:23CHABOBCATS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)32
35
Q2 - 6:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)32
35
Q2 - 6:31MIAWade Tip Shot (12 PTS)32
35
Q2 - 6:33MIAMISS Miller 1' Layup30
35
Q2 - 6:40CHALivingston Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)30
35
Q2 - 7:03MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)30
35
Q2 - 7:14CHAThomas 7' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS)28
35
Q2 - 7:35MIAWade 7' Driving Bank Shot (8 PTS)28
33
Q2 - 7:54CHAThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)26
33
Q2 - 8:05CHASUB: Henderson FOR Carroll26
33
Q2 - 8:05CHACarroll Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)26
33
Q2 - 8:05MIAHeat T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Bosh )26
32
Q2 - 8:20MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)26
32
Q2 - 8:20MIAHeat Rebound25
32
Q2 - 8:20MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 225
32
Q2 - 8:20MIASUB: Wade FOR Jones25
32
Q2 - 8:2025
32
Q2 - 8:20CHACarroll S.FOUL (P1.T1)25
32
Q2 - 8:34CHAThomas 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Carroll 1 AST)25
32
Q2 - 8:39CHACarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
30
Q2 - 8:41MIAThomas BLOCK (1 BLK)25
30
Q2 - 9:02MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
30
Q2 - 9:03CHAMISS Thomas 16' Jump Shot25
30
Q2 - 9:17CHABrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
30
Q2 - 9:19MIAMISS Bosh 9' Fadeaway Jumper25
30
Q2 - 9:38CHABrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
30
Q2 - 9:38CHABrown 1' Putback Dunk (2 PTS)25
30
Q2 - 9:41CHAMISS Carroll 18' Jump Shot25
28
Q2 - 9:47CHALivingston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
28
Q2 - 9:49MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
28
Q2 - 10:08MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
28
Q2 - 10:09CHAMISS Thomas 21' Jump Shot25
28
Q2 - 10:38MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)25
28
Q2 - 10:49MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
28
Q2 - 10:50CHAMISS Thomas 17' Step Back Jump Shot23
28
Q2 - 11:02MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)23
28
Q2 - 11:24MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
28
Q2 - 11:25CHAMISS Thomas 3' Layup23
28
Q2 - 11:36CHAMcGuire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
28
Q2 - 11:37MIAMISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot23
28
Q2 - 12:0023
28
Q1 - 0:00.0CHA23
28
Q1 - 0:00.0CHAThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
28
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS James 10' Jump Shot23
28
Q1 - 0:09.0CHAJackson P.FOUL (P1.T4)23
28
Q1 - 0:25.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)23
28
Q1 - 0:26.0CHAMISS Jackson Free Throw 2 of 223
28
Q1 - 0:26.0CHAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)23
28
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAJones S.FOUL (P2.PN)23
27
Q1 - 0:39.0CHAThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
27
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAMISS James 5' Jump Shot23
27
Q1 - 0:47.0CHACarroll Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)23
27
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAJones S.FOUL (P1.T3)23
26
Q1 - 0:47.0CHACarroll 1' Layup (2 PTS) (McGuire 1 AST)23
26
Q1 - 1:04MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 2 AST)23
24
Q1 - 1:13MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
24
Q1 - 1:14MIAMISS Chalmers 16' Jump Shot20
24
Q1 - 1:19CHAThomas Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)20
24
Q1 - 1:33MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)20
24
Q1 - 1:36MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
24
Q1 - 1:38CHAMISS Carroll 3' Layup20
24
Q1 - 1:54CHAMcGuire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
24
Q1 - 1:55MIAMISS James 8' Jump Shot20
24
Q1 - 2:09CHASUB: Livingston FOR Augustin20
24
Q1 - 2:09MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Arroyo20
24
Q1 - 2:09CHASUB: McGuire FOR Diaw20
24
Q1 - 2:09CHADiaw P.FOUL (P2.T3)20
24
Q1 - 2:25CHAThomas 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)20
24
Q1 - 2:31CHASUB: Thomas FOR Brown20
22
Q1 - 2:31MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)20
22
Q1 - 2:31CHABOBCATS Rebound20
22
Q1 - 2:31CHAMISS Carroll 3PT Jump Shot20
22
Q1 - 2:48MIAJames 13' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)20
22
Q1 - 3:10CHAJackson 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Augustin 3 AST)18
22
Q1 - 3:22CHASUB: Carroll FOR Henderson18
20
Q1 - 3:22MIASUB: Howard FOR Bosh18
20
Q1 - 3:22MIASUB: Anthony FOR Ilgauskas18
20
Q1 - 3:22MIAJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)18
20
Q1 - 3:26CHADiaw Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)18
20
Q1 - 3:54MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)18
20
Q1 - 4:05MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
20
Q1 - 4:07CHAMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
20
Q1 - 4:21CHAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
20
Q1 - 4:22MIAMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot15
20
Q1 - 4:42CHADiaw 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
20
Q1 - 5:00MIAIlgauskas Dunk (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)15
18
Q1 - 5:15CHAJackson Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)13
18
Q1 - 5:19MIAHenderson STEAL (1 STL)13
18
Q1 - 5:21CHABOBCATS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)13
18
Q1 - 5:21CHABrown 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)13
18
Q1 - 5:37CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
18
Q1 - 5:39MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
18
Q1 - 5:51CHAJackson 1' Driving Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Diaw 4 AST)13
18
Q1 - 6:07MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade13
16
Q1 - 6:07MIAWade P.FOUL (P2.T2)13
16
Q1 - 6:20MIAArroyo 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)13
16
Q1 - 6:33CHADiaw 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)11
16
Q1 - 6:40MIAAugustin STEAL (1 STL)11
14
Q1 - 6:57CHAAugustin 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)11
14
Q1 - 7:12MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)11
11
Q1 - 7:12CHADiaw Shooting Block Foul (P1.T2)10
11
Q1 - 7:12MIAJames 11' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
11
Q1 - 7:14MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
11
Q1 - 7:15CHAMISS Henderson 2' Layup8
11
Q1 - 7:34MIAWade 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)8
11
Q1 - 7:45CHAJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
11
Q1 - 7:48MIAJackson STEAL (1 STL)6
11
Q1 - 8:05CHAHenderson 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Augustin 2 AST)6
11
Q1 - 8:13CHAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
9
Q1 - 8:15MIAMISS Arroyo 16' Jump Shot6
9
Q1 - 8:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
9
Q1 - 8:22CHAMISS Augustin 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
9
Q1 - 8:41MIABosh 12' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)6
9
Q1 - 8:59CHAJackson 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)4
9
Q1 - 9:13MIAWade P.FOUL (P1.T1)4
7
Q1 - 9:15MIABrown STEAL (1 STL)4
7
Q1 - 9:21MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
7
Q1 - 9:22CHAMISS Brown 2' Layup4
7
Q1 - 9:42MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)4
7
Q1 - 9:49MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
7
Q1 - 9:51CHAMISS Jackson 2' Layup2
7
Q1 - 10:12CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
7
Q1 - 10:13MIAMISS James 15' Jump Shot2
7
Q1 - 10:28CHAJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST)2
7
Q1 - 10:34MIAIlgauskas Violation:Kicked Ball2
4
Q1 - 10:47CHABrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
4
Q1 - 10:48MIAMISS Bosh 9' Fadeaway Jumper2
4
Q1 - 11:02CHAJackson 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
4
Q1 - 11:21MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 11:21MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
2
Q1 - 11:21CHAHenderson S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
2
Q1 - 11:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
2
Q1 - 11:21MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup0
2
Q1 - 11:42CHAHenderson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 12:00CHAJump Ball Brown vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to Augustin0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIACHA
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.05 52.7%
CHA
0.92 46.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
24
71%
CHA
17
34
50%
Midrange
MIA
15
37
41%
CHA
10
35
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
CHA
3
4.5
10
30%
45%
Free Throws
MIA
17
19
89%
CHA
19
23
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3868%19.0 / 28
D. Wade3170%15.5 / 22
C. Bosh1150%5.5 / 11
J. Jones675%3.0 / 4
C. Arroyo250%1.0 / 2
Z. Ilgauskas233%1.0 / 3
J. Anthony2100%1.0 / 1
M. Chalmers214%1.0 / 7
J. Howard233%1.0 / 3
M. Miller0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Bobcats
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Jackson2258%11.0 / 19
D. Augustin1667%8.0 / 12
T. Thomas829%4.0 / 14
D. Brown750%3.5 / 7
G. Henderson633%3.0 / 9
K. Brown542%2.5 / 6
B. Diaw450%2.0 / 4
S. Livingston433%2.0 / 6
D. McGuire450%2.0 / 4
M. Carroll440%2.0 / 5
S. Collins2100%1.0 / 1
E. Najera0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
79
+12
-11
91
CHA
74
+15
-15
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.05 52.7%
CHA
0.92 46.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
103.6
MIA 106.7 +14.5
CHA 92.1
Pace
91.3
89.5
MIA 84.9
CHA 94.7 +9.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.2
MIA 17.0
CHA 15.2 −1.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
48.2%
MIA 52.0% +12.1%
CHA 39.9%
TO %
14.4%
15.2%
MIA 15.9%
CHA 14.4% −1.5%
ORB %
25.2%
25.7%
MIA 30.3% +5.3%
CHA 25.0%
FTrt
36.3
31.4
MIA 25.0
CHA 29.1 +4.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
60.1%
MIA 40.5%
CHA 63.3% +22.8%
STL %
7.3%
7.1%
MIA 5.6%
CHA 9.0% +3.4%
BLK %
8.5%
8.9%
MIA 7.2% +3.9%
CHA 3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
51.3%
MIA 52.7% +6.6%
CHA 46.1%
Rim FG%
64.7%
55.8%
MIA 70.8% +20.8%
CHA 50.0%
Mid FG%
42.2%
40.3%
MIA 40.5% +11.9%
CHA 28.6%
3P %
37.0%
32.7%
MIA 33.3% +3.3%
CHA 30.0%
FT %
76.9%
75.6%
MIA 89.5% +6.9%
CHA 82.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
40.6%
MIA 31.6%
CHA 43.0% +11.5%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
40.5%
MIA 48.7%
CHA 44.3% −4.4%
3P Att. %
23.5%
18.9%
MIA 19.7% +7.1%
CHA 12.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMIACHA
Possessions9089
Possession Minutes25.422.6
Points9682
Rebounds4635
Assists1519
Steals58
Blocks52
Turnovers (Team)11 (5)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (0)23 (4)
Field Goals37-7630-79
At-the-Rim FG17-2417-34
Midrange FG15-3710-35
2-Point FG32-6127-69
3-Point FG5-153-10
Free Throws17-1919-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
36.6
38
68%
9
5
1
0
3
3
0
9
6-6
100%
13-22
59%
2-4
50%
F · 6'11" 235 · 27
33.9
11
50%
4
2
1
0
2
0
1
3
3-5
60%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 29
30.6
31
70%
11
4
0
1
4
4
4
7
6-6
100%
11-16
69%
1-4
25%
G · 6'2" 200 · 31
19.2
2
50%
0
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'3" 260 · 36
12.7
2
33%
1
0
0
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 28
35.3
2
100%
11
1
0
3
0
1
4
7
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 25
28.8
2
14%
4
1
2
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-3
0%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30
19.7
6
75%
3
0
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-4
50%
F · 6'9" 250 · 38
14.1
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
9.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 35
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
53%
46
15
5
5
11
0
10
36
17-19
89%
32-61
52%
5-15
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.