Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, January 3, 2011
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Pistons | 30% | 93 | 97 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 12 | Hornets | 68% | 98 | 84 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Timberwolves | 24% | 94 | 93 |
 | 7 | Celtics | 76% | 103 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 4 | Magic | 78% | 108 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Heat | 84% | 99 | 96 |
 | 28 | Bobcats | 16% | 86 | 82 |
Sunday, January 2, 2011
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 7 | Knicks | 66% | 107 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Celtics | 62% | 100 | 93 |
 | 23 | Raptors | 38% | 96 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Mavericks | 66% | 98 | 104 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Rockets | 37% | 98 | 85 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 2 | Lakers | 81% | 104 | 85 |
Saturday, January 1, 2011
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Grizzlies | 41% | 95 | 92 |
| 15 | Jazz | 59% | 98 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Kings | 17% | 95 | 86 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 83% | 108 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | 57% | 91 | 87 |
 | 21 | Bucks | 43% | 88 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Thunder | 26% | 95 | 74 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 33% | 98 | 88 | |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 67% | 103 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Warriors | 11% | 91 | 107 |
| 1 | Heat | 89% | 108 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Cavaliers | 24% | 91 | 91 |
 | 7 | Bulls | 76% | 101 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hornets | 62% | 96 | 92 | |
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Friday, December 31, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 76ers | 19% | 92 | 98 |
| 3 | Lakers | 81% | 104 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hornets | 36% | 89 | 83 | |
| 11 | Celtics | 64% | 94 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Warriors | 48% | 98 | 96 |
| 24 | Bobcats | 52% | 99 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wizards | 33% | 94 | 86 |
| 18 | Pacers | 67% | 100 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 20% | 86 | 81 | |
| 7 | Bulls | 80% | 97 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hawks | 43% | 96 | 94 |
| 9 | Thunder | 57% | 99 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pistons | 22% | 97 | 75 |
| 6 | Suns | 78% | 107 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Raptors | 29% | 103 | 105 |
| 13 | Rockets | 71% | 110 | 114 |
Thursday, December 30, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Jazz | 36% | 93 | 89 |
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 64% | 98 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 54% | 97 | 99 |
| 11 | Mavericks | 46% | 95 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Knicks | 33% | 102 | 103 |
| 4 | Magic | 67% | 108 | 112 |
Wednesday, December 29, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 76ers | 29% | 98 | 123 |
| 6 | Suns | 71% | 106 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Warriors | 32% | 98 | 93 |
| 13 | Hawks | 68% | 104 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Cavaliers | 43% | 94 | 92 |
| 27 | Bobcats | 57% | 96 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pacers | 51% | 98 | 90 |
| 25 | Wizards | 49% | 97 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 69% | 97 | 92 |
| 29 | Pistons | 31% | 90 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 60% | 108 | 119 |
| 26 | Timberwolves | 40% | 105 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 51% | 97 | 103 |
| 15 | Hornets | 49% | 96 | 88 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 25% | 91 | 93 | |
| 8 | Thunder | 75% | 100 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 59% | 101 | 125 |
| 12 | Rockets | 41% | 98 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Grizzlies | 63% | 99 | 98 |
| 30 | Kings | 37% | 94 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Jazz | 54% | 100 | 103 |
| 19 | Clippers | 46% | 99 | 95 |
Tuesday, December 28, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 45% | 100 | 82 |
| 3 | Spurs | 55% | 101 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 34% | 97 | 77 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 66% | 103 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 21% | 93 | 84 |
| 8 | Mavericks | 79% | 104 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bucks | 25% | 86 | 77 |
| 12 | Bulls | 75% | 95 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Knicks | 22% | 96 | 98 |
| 1 | Heat | 78% | 107 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 60% | 96 | 95 |
| 18 | Pacers | 40% | 92 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Magic | 59% | 102 | 110 |
| 19 | Cavaliers | 41% | 99 | 95 |
Monday, December 27, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Wizards | 23% | 97 | 93 |
| 15 | Rockets | 77% | 107 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | 44% | 92 | 100 |
| 29 | Bobcats | 56% | 94 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Magic | 71% | 99 | 104 |
| 27 | Nets | 29% | 92 | 88 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 37% | 100 | 85 |
| 17 | Grizzlies | 63% | 104 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 49% | 92 | 95 |
| 23 | Bucks | 51% | 93 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hornets | 65% | 102 | 98 | |
| 28 | Timberwolves | 35% | 97 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 52% | 97 | 103 |
| 9 | Thunder | 48% | 96 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 41% | 95 | 96 |
| 10 | Jazz | 59% | 98 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Clippers | 53% | 98 | 100 |
| 30 | Kings | 47% | 97 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 41% | 99 | 95 |
| 22 | Warriors | 59% | 102 | 110 |
Sunday, December 26, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Suns | 55% | 104 | 103 |
| 21 | Clippers | 45% | 102 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Timberwolves | 38% | 102 | 98 |
| 19 | Cavaliers | 62% | 106 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bulls | 59% | 97 | 95 |
| 25 | Pistons | 41% | 93 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Grizzlies | 41% | 95 | 104 |
| 17 | Pacers | 59% | 99 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wizards | 16% | 93 | 80 |
| 4 | Spurs | 84% | 106 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 31% | 97 | 95 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 69% | 104 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 41% | 93 | 86 |
| 14 | Hornets | 59% | 96 | 93 | |
Saturday, December 25, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 58% | 101 | 102 |
| 23 | Warriors | 42% | 99 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 46% | 101 | 106 |
| 11 | Thunder | 54% | 102 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 44% | 96 | 96 |
| 2 | Lakers | 56% | 98 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 42% | 95 | 78 |
| 5 | Magic | 58% | 97 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bulls | 44% | 101 | 95 |
| 9 | Knicks | 56% | 103 | 103 |
Thursday, December 23, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Heat | 57% | 100 | 95 |
| 12 | Suns | 43% | 98 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bucks | 64% | 95 | 84 |
| 30 | Kings | 36% | 90 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 42% | 99 | 101 |
| 5 | Magic | 58% | 102 | 123 |
Wednesday, December 22, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 28% | 98 | 103 |
| 2 | Spurs | 72% | 106 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Cavaliers | 34% | 95 | 84 |
| 16 | Hawks | 66% | 100 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pistons | 36% | 101 | 115 |
| 23 | Raptors | 64% | 105 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bulls | 60% | 97 | 87 |
| 26 | Wizards | 40% | 93 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 18% | 88 | 80 |
| 5 | Celtics | 82% | 101 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Thunder | 39% | 102 | 98 |
| 8 | Knicks | 61% | 106 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jazz | 66% | 106 | 112 |
| 27 | Timberwolves | 34% | 100 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nets | 20% | 86 | 91 | |
| 10 | Hornets | 80% | 97 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Rockets | 53% | 103 | 97 |
| 22 | Clippers | 47% | 102 | 92 |
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Thunder | 73% | 97 | 99 |
| 29 | Bobcats | 27% | 89 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bucks | 16% | 88 | 98 |
| 1 | Lakers | 84% | 101 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Warriors | 43% | 100 | 117 |
| 30 | Kings | 57% | 102 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nets | 34% | 91 | 101 | |
| 19 | Grizzlies | 66% | 96 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 76ers | 35% | 94 | 76 |
| 13 | Bulls | 65% | 99 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 45% | 95 | 105 |
| 6 | Magic | 55% | 97 | 99 |