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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 10, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Grizzlies62%9582
28Bobcats38%9196
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.4
40.1
37.1
13
36%
5
0
0
2
0
3
1
4
2-5
40%
4-13
6-12
31%
50%
1-3
33%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.2
36.9
29.6
13
38%
1
7
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
5-14
3-7
36%
48%
1-3
33%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.5
33.9
37.1
15
41%
15
1
0
1
0
2
6
9
1-3
33%
7-16
8-17
44%
50%
0-1
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 29.0
31.8
21.2
13
56%
4
2
5
1
2
2
1
3
3-6
50%
5-9
3-6
56%
49%
0-0
-
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.9
26.5
33.5
10
63%
7
1
2
1
1
2
3
4
2-2
100%
4-7
5-8
57%
55%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.2
20.6
27.8
4
23%
3
1
0
1
1
3
1
2
2-2
100%
1-6
4-7
17%
48%
0-2
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.8
15.1
16.6
5
64%
3
0
1
1
0
1
3
0
1-2
50%
2-3
3-6
67%
48%
0-0
-
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 23.9
13.3
6.0
1
57%
5
0
0
0
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 25.6
13.0
6.9
6
50%
2
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 24.0
8.8
19.4
2
25%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
0-1
0%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.5
1.3
0
0-0
43%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 25.6
1.0
0
0-0
52%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 19.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 32.8
42.4
31.8
27
57%
6
4
4
1
1
3
0
6
2-2
100%
8-16
4-9
50%
46%
3-7
43%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 28.7
40.1
29.9
6
47%
9
4
1
1
1
4
3
6
0-1
0%
3-4
3-6
75%
55%
0-2
0%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 23.2
38.3
32.2
18
65%
4
9
1
1
0
5
0
4
4-4
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
45%
2-6
33%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 28.8
34.5
19.9
8
71%
6
0
0
0
1
3
2
4
4-6
67%
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.1
31.8
31.1
9
40%
1
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
3-5
60%
3-9
3-8
33%
45%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.4
16.9
27.7
6
77%
8
1
1
1
4
0
3
5
2-2
100%
2-3
5-11
67%
48%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 25.3
16.3
15.9
8
67%
2
3
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
49%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 30.4
13.8
9.9
12
64%
2
1
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-1
0%
3-4
1-2
75%
43%
2-5
40%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.2
5.8
13.3
2
100%
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
42%
0-0
-
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 23.3
9.3
0
1-2
51%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.5
8.3
0
0-1
51%
Sherron Collins
G · 5'11" 205 · 23.8
2.2
0
0-0
41%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.5
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 28.9
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 33.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.