Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, January 10, 2011
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Pistons | 25% | 88 | 82 |
 | 10 | Bulls | 75% | 97 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 7 | Celtics | 70% | 100 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 28 | Bobcats | 38% | 91 | 96 |
Sunday, January 9, 2011
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Knicks | 27% | 99 | 87 |
 | 3 | Lakers | 73% | 107 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Heat | 60% | 95 | 107 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hornets | 38% | 98 | 96 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Timberwolves | 16% | 97 | 91 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 23 | Raptors | 63% | 105 | 118 |
Saturday, January 8, 2011
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Magic | 45% | 95 | 117 |
 | 13 | Mavericks | 55% | 96 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 29 | Bobcats | 52% | 93 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Bucks | 58% | 89 | 115 |
| 30 | Nets | 42% | 87 | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 26 | Pistons | 52% | 98 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Celtics | 43% | 90 | 79 |
| 10 | Bulls | 57% | 92 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Grizzlies | 34% | 95 | 100 |
 | 7 | Thunder | 66% | 100 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 17 | Rockets | 55% | 101 | 99 |
Friday, January 7, 2011
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Rockets | 26% | 97 | 95 |
| 4 | Magic | 74% | 106 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 65% | 101 | 90 |
| 18 | Pacers | 35% | 96 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bulls | 58% | 95 | 99 |
| 21 | 76ers | 42% | 93 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 40% | 92 | 77 | |
| 25 | Wizards | 60% | 96 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Raptors | 24% | 94 | 102 |
| 7 | Celtics | 76% | 103 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Jazz | 43% | 94 | 99 |
| 15 | Grizzlies | 57% | 97 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 62% | 102 | 108 |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 38% | 97 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 75% | 95 | 101 |
| 22 | Bucks | 25% | 86 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Knicks | 38% | 105 | 121 |
| 5 | Suns | 62% | 109 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Cavaliers | 34% | 99 | 98 |
| 19 | Warriors | 66% | 104 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hornets | 30% | 91 | 97 | |
| 3 | Lakers | 70% | 99 | 101 |
Thursday, January 6, 2011
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 70% | 105 | 102 |
| 30 | Kings | 30% | 98 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Thunder | 43% | 94 | 99 |
| 13 | Mavericks | 57% | 96 | 95 |
Wednesday, January 5, 2011
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 46% | 97 | 103 |
| 17 | Rockets | 54% | 98 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Raptors | 41% | 101 | 120 |
| 27 | Cavaliers | 59% | 104 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bulls | 65% | 93 | 94 |
| 28 | Nets | 35% | 88 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bucks | 20% | 89 | 87 |
| 4 | Magic | 80% | 100 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Wizards | 38% | 95 | 97 |
| 22 | 76ers | 62% | 98 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 47% | 95 | 103 |
| 8 | Celtics | 53% | 96 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 39% | 97 | 108 |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 61% | 101 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Warriors | 33% | 94 | 110 |
| 14 | Hornets | 67% | 100 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 39% | 95 | 110 |
| 15 | Jazz | 61% | 98 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 45% | 101 | 99 |
| 6 | Suns | 55% | 103 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 61% | 105 | 93 |
| 20 | Clippers | 39% | 102 | 106 |
Tuesday, January 4, 2011
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bucks | 19% | 85 | 89 |
| 1 | Heat | 81% | 97 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 59% | 105 | 115 |
| 14 | Knicks | 41% | 102 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Raptors | 26% | 94 | 91 |
| 8 | Bulls | 74% | 103 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Thunder | 49% | 97 | 105 |
| 17 | Grizzlies | 51% | 98 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 43% | 90 | 81 |
| 13 | Mavericks | 57% | 93 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 68% | 99 | 108 |
| 29 | Kings | 32% | 93 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 15% | 91 | 83 |
| 3 | Lakers | 85% | 105 | 108 |
Monday, January 3, 2011
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pistons | 30% | 93 | 97 |
| 15 | Jazz | 70% | 100 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Rockets | 25% | 102 | 106 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 75% | 111 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 76ers | 32% | 91 | 77 |
| 12 | Hornets | 68% | 98 | 84 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Timberwolves | 24% | 94 | 93 |
| 7 | Celtics | 76% | 103 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Warriors | 22% | 97 | 90 |
| 4 | Magic | 78% | 108 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 84% | 99 | 96 |
| 28 | Bobcats | 16% | 86 | 82 |
Sunday, January 2, 2011
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pacers | 34% | 101 | 92 |
| 7 | Knicks | 66% | 107 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hawks | 53% | 99 | 107 |
| 20 | Clippers | 47% | 98 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Celtics | 62% | 100 | 93 |
| 23 | Raptors | 38% | 96 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Mavericks | 66% | 98 | 104 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 34% | 92 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Rockets | 37% | 98 | 85 |
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 63% | 103 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Suns | 72% | 105 | 89 |
| 30 | Kings | 28% | 97 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Grizzlies | 19% | 92 | 104 |
| 2 | Lakers | 81% | 104 | 85 |
Saturday, January 1, 2011
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Grizzlies | 41% | 95 | 92 |
| 15 | Jazz | 59% | 98 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Kings | 17% | 95 | 86 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 83% | 108 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | 57% | 91 | 87 |
| 21 | Bucks | 43% | 88 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Thunder | 26% | 95 | 74 |
| 2 | Spurs | 74% | 104 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 33% | 98 | 88 | |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 67% | 103 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Warriors | 11% | 91 | 107 |
| 1 | Heat | 89% | 108 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Cavaliers | 24% | 91 | 91 |
| 7 | Bulls | 76% | 101 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hornets | 62% | 96 | 92 | |
| 26 | Wizards | 38% | 92 | 81 |
Friday, December 31, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Raptors | 29% | 103 | 105 |
| 13 | Rockets | 71% | 110 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hornets | 36% | 89 | 83 | |
| 11 | Celtics | 64% | 94 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Warriors | 48% | 98 | 96 |
| 24 | Bobcats | 52% | 99 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wizards | 33% | 94 | 86 |
| 18 | Pacers | 67% | 100 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 20% | 86 | 81 | |
| 7 | Bulls | 80% | 97 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hawks | 43% | 96 | 94 |
| 9 | Thunder | 57% | 99 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pistons | 22% | 97 | 75 |
| 6 | Suns | 78% | 107 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 76ers | 19% | 92 | 98 |
| 3 | Lakers | 81% | 104 | 102 |
Thursday, December 30, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Jazz | 36% | 93 | 89 |
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 64% | 98 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 54% | 97 | 99 |
| 11 | Mavericks | 46% | 95 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Knicks | 33% | 102 | 103 |
| 4 | Magic | 67% | 108 | 112 |
Wednesday, December 29, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 51% | 97 | 103 |
| 15 | Hornets | 49% | 96 | 88 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Warriors | 32% | 98 | 93 |
| 13 | Hawks | 68% | 104 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Cavaliers | 43% | 94 | 92 |
| 27 | Bobcats | 57% | 96 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pacers | 51% | 98 | 90 |
| 25 | Wizards | 49% | 97 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 69% | 97 | 92 |
| 29 | Pistons | 31% | 90 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 60% | 108 | 119 |
| 26 | Timberwolves | 40% | 105 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 25% | 91 | 93 | |
| 8 | Thunder | 75% | 100 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 59% | 101 | 125 |
| 12 | Rockets | 41% | 98 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 76ers | 29% | 98 | 123 |
| 6 | Suns | 71% | 106 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Grizzlies | 63% | 99 | 98 |
| 30 | Kings | 37% | 94 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Jazz | 54% | 100 | 103 |
| 19 | Clippers | 46% | 99 | 95 |
Tuesday, December 28, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Magic | 59% | 102 | 110 |
| 19 | Cavaliers | 41% | 99 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 34% | 97 | 77 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 66% | 103 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 45% | 100 | 82 |
| 3 | Spurs | 55% | 101 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 21% | 93 | 84 |
| 8 | Mavericks | 79% | 104 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bucks | 25% | 86 | 77 |
| 12 | Bulls | 75% | 95 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Knicks | 22% | 96 | 98 |
| 1 | Heat | 78% | 107 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 60% | 96 | 95 |
| 18 | Pacers | 40% | 92 | 83 |