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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 24, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Bucks30%8683
10Bulls70%9292
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 24.0
43.5
20.8
30
65%
3
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
4-5
80%
13-20
2-5
65%
45%
0-1
0%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 26.2
38.8
32.6
8
36%
18
2
0
1
3
1
3
15
0-0
-
4-11
6-11
36%
51%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.7
38.5
28.7
13
87%
3
10
1
1
0
3
0
3
1-1
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
43%
4-6
67%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.7
31.9
21.3
17
53%
2
1
0
1
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
7-13
2-5
54%
47%
1-3
33%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 31.2
19.8
32.1
4
41%
4
0
1
1
0
3
1
3
2-2
100%
1-3
5-11
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 28.4
30.7
22.6
3
26%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
0-2
0%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.4
16.1
14.6
8
74%
7
0
1
0
0
0
1
6
0-1
0%
4-5
1-3
80%
46%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 34.6
11.5
28.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
4-9
0%
43%
0-0
-
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 22.2
9.2
15.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
45%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 29.3
13.5
0
2-5
46%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 31.1
12.2
0
1-3
43%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 23.8
5.3
0
0-1
49%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 21.3
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 31.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 38.3
43.6
25.4
22
65%
9
5
1
1
2
0
0
9
2-2
100%
10-16
2-4
63%
49%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.8
39.9
37.5
9
51%
7
1
1
1
1
2
2
5
2-2
100%
2-3
5-9
67%
49%
1-5
20%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.3
36.6
38.2
21
51%
2
10
1
1
1
3
1
1
10-10
100%
4-13
8-16
31%
49%
1-3
33%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 29.2
29.0
22.1
14
52%
9
1
2
1
1
1
4
5
6-8
75%
4-10
5-10
40%
54%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 30.7
14.3
17.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-2
0%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 25.8
21.7
22.7
4
29%
3
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
1-6
3-5
17%
53%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 29.9
20.2
21.3
8
35%
5
3
1
1
0
0
0
5
0-1
0%
1-6
1-3
17%
48%
2-5
40%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.6
19.0
22.4
6
60%
7
0
0
0
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
47%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.8
11.4
14.9
8
57%
1
3
2
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
47%
2-3
67%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.6
4.3
12.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.9
2.3
0
0-1
48%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.9
0.7
0
0-0
43%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 25.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.