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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 30, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Cavaliers9%9287
3Magic91%109103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Manny Harris
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.4
38.1
15.7
20
68%
6
3
1
1
0
4
2
4
3-6
50%
4-7
1-3
57%
40%
3-5
60%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 34.6
29.1
34.4
7
27%
10
0
2
1
1
2
1
9
3-4
75%
2-10
6-12
20%
47%
0-1
0%
Christian Eyenga
F · 6'7" 210 · 21.6
24.3
25.8
9
50%
1
2
0
1
2
3
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.8
22.2
31.6
8
45%
1
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-7
5-10
43%
44%
0-1
0%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 22.4
21.8
28.6
0
0%
11
1
0
1
3
2
1
10
0-0
-
0-5
6-12
0%
47%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 24.9
25.0
33.0
4
22%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
40%
0-3
0%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 35.6
19.4
16.0
5
63%
0
6
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
1-2
50%
Samardo Samuels
· 6'9" 260 · 22.1
18.6
11.2
16
78%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
4-5
80%
6-8
1-3
75%
44%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.3
14.9
13.3
11
81%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
3-4
75%
4-5
1-3
80%
53%
0-0
-
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.6
11.6
22.5
5
56%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 23.7
8.1
7.4
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 30.6
6.8
6.5
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 28.1
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 28.3
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 31.9
32.2
33.7
9
38%
6
6
2
1
0
5
1
5
1-2
50%
4-9
3-6
44%
50%
0-2
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 25.8
31.6
25.6
12
36%
8
0
0
0
2
1
4
4
6-8
75%
3-13
5-9
23%
54%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 30.0
27.8
32.2
12
41%
2
3
2
1
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
3-6
3-5
50%
54%
1-7
14%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 29.0
27.8
20.0
7
32%
4
8
1
1
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
52%
1-5
20%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.1
26.4
37.6
20
64%
20
2
1
1
2
1
6
14
2-6
33%
9-13
9-15
69%
62%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.6
30.4
27.5
17
72%
1
0
0
1
0
3
0
1
3-4
75%
4-6
2-4
67%
51%
2-4
50%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.7
29.9
22.3
23
68%
16
0
0
1
1
2
9
7
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
52%
5-10
50%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.4
20.2
5.5
1
27%
3
4
1
0
0
3
1
2
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.0
8.1
3.0
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 30.8
5.5
6.0
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-2
0%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 29.1
24.2
1
3-5
49%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.6
5.3
0
1-1
46%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 20.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.