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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 30, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Pistons28%97106
10Knicks72%105124
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.8
42.0
29.5
35
77%
1
3
1
1
0
4
0
1
4-4
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
47%
7-11
64%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 20.7
39.4
25.5
15
77%
17
2
2
1
0
1
8
9
3-4
75%
6-8
3-6
75%
51%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 30.9
37.5
35.9
16
44%
2
3
0
1
0
3
1
1
3-3
100%
5-15
6-13
33%
49%
1-2
50%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.4
31.3
21.9
5
51%
6
4
0
1
0
0
2
4
1-2
50%
2-4
3-7
50%
51%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 31.7
30.9
33.1
12
53%
3
3
0
1
1
2
0
3
2-3
67%
5-9
4-9
56%
45%
0-1
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 26.4
19.6
19.7
11
92%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
3-4
75%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.1
16.7
15.9
8
62%
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-1
0%
4-6
2-5
67%
46%
0-0
-
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.0
12.4
1.3
4
41%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-2
0-0
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 22.7
9.9
30.5
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-2
0%
0-1
3-7
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 27.9
0.4
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 24.8
15.5
1
2-5
44%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 36.4
13.3
1
1-2
48%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 23.9
Terrico White
G · 6'5" 213 · 20.9
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 33.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.5
41.3
32.1
29
86%
5
1
0
1
0
0
3
2
11-11
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
49%
4-7
57%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 22.6
40.9
33.0
10
46%
4
3
0
1
1
0
0
4
3-4
75%
2-4
3-5
50%
59%
1-5
20%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.2
39.5
34.0
33
68%
6
4
1
1
1
2
3
3
11-12
92%
11-19
10-18
58%
55%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 26.6
37.0
37.1
12
43%
3
5
2
2
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
4-10
5-10
40%
49%
1-3
33%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 28.0
8.2
20.5
4
106%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
58%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 24.5
39.8
1.3
23
65%
14
1
0
0
0
2
5
9
5-6
83%
9-15
0-0
60%
52%
0-0
-
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.9
16.6
20.9
8
50%
3
2
1
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
48%
0-2
0%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 21.5
8.5
1.5
0
0%
5
0
0
0
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.3
8.2
8.0
5
66%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
1-2
0-1
50%
57%
0-0
-
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.0
27.9
1
2-5
49%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.4
2.3
0
0-0
41%
Andy Rautins
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.2
1.3
0
0-0
50%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 27.1
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 28.2
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.