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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 16, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Timberwolves27%9688
15Pacers73%104111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.8
30.9
32.8
14
43%
1
9
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-5
40%
3-8
4-9
38%
44%
2-6
33%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 25.4
24.4
31.1
5
63%
6
1
1
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
46%
1-3
33%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 26.3
22.7
29.7
10
42%
4
0
0
1
1
0
3
1
2-2
100%
4-11
5-10
36%
54%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 22.8
18.1
24.5
6
34%
5
0
0
1
2
1
1
4
4-4
100%
1-7
5-10
14%
47%
0-0
-
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.8
17.8
23.5
9
64%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
45%
3-4
75%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.9
29.9
20.9
13
35%
10
1
1
0
1
2
2
8
7-8
88%
3-9
2-5
33%
47%
0-6
0%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 36.0
25.3
2.8
5
50%
3
2
1
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
46%
1-2
50%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.3
23.9
27.5
13
55%
5
0
0
1
0
5
1
4
1-2
50%
6-8
5-10
75%
46%
0-3
0%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.4
22.9
8.6
4
34%
5
0
0
0
1
0
1
4
0-2
0%
2-4
1-2
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.9
17.8
13.8
9
65%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
4-6
1-2
67%
44%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.9
6.4
12.8
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 23.6
14.2
0
3-5
48%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 26.8
4.0
0
1-1
47%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.2
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 21.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 29.0
26.2
30.5
19
64%
7
5
0
1
0
0
2
5
2-2
100%
1-7
5-10
14%
47%
5-7
71%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 25.3
25.9
28.7
12
72%
11
2
1
0
5
1
2
9
2-3
67%
5-7
5-10
71%
50%
0-0
-
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.0
25.1
25.9
18
77%
5
3
1
1
0
1
0
5
6-6
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
51%
2-2
100%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.6
22.6
27.7
22
70%
10
4
0
1
0
0
4
6
4-4
100%
9-14
5-9
64%
51%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.0
22.2
28.6
11
56%
3
4
1
1
0
1
2
1
4-4
100%
2-3
3-5
67%
50%
1-5
20%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 29.4
25.9
20.5
9
38%
3
1
1
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
49%
1-6
17%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 26.5
23.3
20.6
4
20%
4
0
1
1
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-10
3-6
20%
45%
0-0
-
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.6
18.9
15.0
0
0%
3
2
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.3
18.8
15.8
9
77%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
46%
1-2
50%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.4
15.8
12.7
2
26%
5
0
0
0
1
1
1
4
0-2
0%
1-3
2-3
33%
49%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.5
6.9
14.6
3
75%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
1-2
50%
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 25.3
4.1
4.5
2
50%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.0
4.1
2.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
53%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 21.6
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 35.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.