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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 10, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Rockets55%103107
14Timberwolves45%10289
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.2
39.5
35.4
18
59%
15
2
1
1
3
6
4
11
4-5
80%
7-13
8-13
54%
57%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 24.5
32.1
35.8
19
54%
5
5
1
1
0
4
0
5
8-8
100%
1-8
5-9
13%
50%
3-6
50%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.3
29.9
34.6
20
67%
3
6
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
9-12
4-7
75%
54%
0-2
0%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 25.6
29.2
30.2
14
64%
5
2
3
1
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
4-8
50%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 22.1
29.0
26.5
14
64%
0
1
2
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
7-10
4-8
70%
54%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.5
32.9
28.1
2
17%
3
7
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
49%
0-2
0%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 23.4
17.4
21.9
9
83%
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
4
1-1
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
52%
2-2
100%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 32.1
12.4
4.4
6
60%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
2-5
40%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.6
10.2
8.0
3
52%
6
0
0
0
0
2
2
4
1-2
50%
1-2
1-1
50%
51%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.6
7.4
13.6
2
53%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-1
0%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 29.1
6.0
0
0-1
44%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.9
2.1
0
0-0
45%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.2
1.5
0
0-0
48%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.1
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 22.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 25.4
36.8
22.9
31
55%
10
1
1
1
0
4
3
7
12-12
100%
8-17
4-8
47%
49%
1-6
17%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.3
30.0
32.8
7
32%
7
9
1
2
1
3
2
5
2-2
100%
1-6
3-7
17%
39%
1-4
25%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 31.1
29.6
27.2
2
50%
10
1
1
1
1
1
3
7
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
55%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 25.7
27.8
19.1
15
48%
7
0
0
0
0
1
4
3
4-4
100%
4-11
2-4
36%
46%
1-3
33%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 27.9
18.4
34.7
5
42%
0
1
2
2
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
4-8
33%
51%
1-3
33%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.4
28.6
11.0
10
83%
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
5-6
1-2
83%
46%
0-0
-
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 25.2
19.5
7.6
11
53%
1
1
1
0
1
3
0
1
1-1
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
41%
2-5
40%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.8
18.4
30.7
2
20%
5
0
1
1
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
1-5
5-9
20%
48%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.6
16.3
15.3
4
20%
1
6
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
46%
0-4
0%
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 24.1
11.2
7.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Shabazz Muhammad
G-F · 6'6" 221 · 21.2
1.7
7.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.3
1.7
1.0
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
42%
0-0
-
Robbie Hummel
F · 6'9" 219 · 24.9
9.1
0
1-1
49%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 28.1
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 31.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.