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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 11, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Thunder53%10598
10Trail Blazers47%10495
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.4
38
38
36
10
2
1
1
0
8
2
8
5-5
100%
14-25
8-14
56%
54%
1-3
33%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.4
34
34
7
11
0
1
0
2
2
4
7
0-0
-
2-9
7-13
22%
56%
1-2
50%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 23.8
33
32
17
6
5
2
1
0
1
0
6
2-2
100%
6-15
5-10
40%
50%
1-4
25%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 29.3
27
22
2
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.8
23
29
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
51%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.7
31
20
19
5
2
1
1
0
2
1
4
1-1
100%
6-9
2-5
67%
50%
2-2
100%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 33.3
23
18
9
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
4-4
2-3
100%
57%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 39.5
15
16
6
1
3
3
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
40%
2-3
67%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.6
13
10
0
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.4
5
16
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.2
2
0
0-0
51%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 27.0
2
0
0-0
56%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 25.2
38
35
18
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
5-5
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
51%
3-5
60%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 28.6
37
35
12
12
1
0
1
1
4
2
10
2-2
100%
5-22
9-19
23%
48%
0-0
-
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.6
37
34
16
3
7
1
1
0
1
0
3
5-6
83%
4-8
4-9
50%
45%
1-7
14%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 25.9
35
31
17
14
0
0
0
2
1
6
8
3-4
75%
7-9
4-8
78%
52%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 27.3
32
33
11
3
2
2
1
0
4
0
3
7-8
88%
2-6
3-7
33%
48%
0-4
0%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.4
27
16
15
1
3
2
0
0
5
0
1
2-2
100%
2-6
2-3
33%
45%
3-6
50%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 22.0
14
4
4
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 34.7
11
7
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
0-0
-
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 22.9
7
9
2
5
0
1
0
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
46%
0-0
-
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 27.0
2
15
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 28.2
7
0
0-1
45%
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 21.8
2
0
0-0
45%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 23.1
1
0
0-0
46%
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 25.5
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 31.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.