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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 12, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Grizzlies53%9486
27Magic47%9381
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.6
36.9
34.6
20
62%
5
2
0
1
0
2
1
4
4-5
80%
8-12
7-15
67%
47%
0-2
0%
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 25.0
36.9
31.9
12
43%
5
6
4
1
2
2
1
4
0-0
-
6-13
3-7
46%
49%
0-1
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 34.0
35.3
21.5
14
54%
5
1
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
7-11
2-4
64%
44%
0-2
0%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.4
32.3
33.7
17
54%
6
2
1
1
0
0
1
5
4-4
100%
5-11
4-7
45%
51%
1-3
33%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 29.0
22.8
34.7
4
40%
5
1
1
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
6-11
40%
49%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.0
21.7
22.0
4
52%
3
2
0
1
3
1
2
1
2-2
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.0
20.1
10.9
7
52%
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
3
1-4
25%
3-5
2-4
60%
52%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.0
13.1
17.5
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 23.1
11.2
13.2
6
56%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-3
33%
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
1-3
33%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.7
6.3
11.9
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
54%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 24.8
3.7
3.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 32.1
8.1
1
1-2
49%
Jamaal Franklin
G · 6'5" 191 · 22.6
1.7
0
0-0
43%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.9
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 23.3
36.9
30.9
13
52%
10
3
0
1
2
1
4
6
1-1
100%
6-12
6-12
50%
51%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.6
34.1
29.7
13
53%
7
2
0
1
1
1
2
5
5-5
100%
4-9
4-9
44%
50%
0-1
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 32.0
30.1
23.6
8
40%
5
7
1
1
0
4
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
2-6
33%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.3
29.7
32.8
10
51%
4
3
0
1
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
3-6
4-9
50%
50%
1-3
33%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 28.1
28.8
26.6
12
55%
3
0
1
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
6-11
4-9
55%
46%
0-0
-
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.8
26.1
29.0
7
29%
1
2
1
1
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-9
4-8
11%
46%
1-2
50%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.8
17.9
20.3
4
40%
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
51%
0-0
-
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 23.9
14.6
15.1
4
40%
6
1
0
0
3
2
2
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
49%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 25.0
14.1
13.8
8
57%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
4-6
1-3
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.2
7.6
7.4
2
33%
4
0
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
51%
0-0
-
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 22.3
6.1
0
0-1
43%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 31.0
2.8
0
0-1
46%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 30.6
1.9
0
0-0
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.