Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	13	Hawks	38%	100	83	90.2	92	107.0
	12	Raptors	62%	105	104	111.8	93	81.6

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paul Millsap F · 6'8" 246 · 29	31.4	17	71%	6	4	0	0	3	2	0	6	8-9	89%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Gustavo Ayon C · 6'10" 250 · 29	30.5	18	82%	10	3	1	0	2	3	3	7	0-0	-	9-11	82%	0-0	-
Lou Williams G · 6'1" 175 · 27	30.5	5	28%	1	2	0	0	1	2	0	1	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-4	0%
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 26	29.6	13	43%	2	6	1	0	2	3	1	1	5-5	100%	4-11	36%	0-2	0%
Kyle Korver F · 6'7" 212 · 33	26.6	8	57%	4	2	2	0	1	3	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-4	50%

Cartier Martin F · 6'7" 220 · 29	22.5	10	50%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Dennis Schröder G · 6'1" 175 · 20	20.4	1	8%	6	2	0	0	0	2	0	6	1-2	50%	0-4	0%	0-1	0%
Mike Scott F · 6'8" 237 · 26	19.6	6	33%	5	2	0	0	2	2	2	3	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-1	0%
Elton Brand F · 6'9" 254 · 35	14.5	5	42%	5	0	1	0	2	4	1	4	3-3	100%	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Shelvin Mack G · 6'3" 203 · 24	14.4	0	0%	3	3	0	0	2	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
DeMarre Carroll F · 6'8" 215 · 28	\| DND - Left Hamstring Strain
Pero Antic F-C · 6'11" 260 · 32	\| DND - Stress Fracture, Right Ankle
Al Horford #15 · C-F · 6'8" 240 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jared Cunningham #7 · G · 6'4" 194 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
John Jenkins #12 · G · 6'4" 215 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	83	46%	45	24	5	0	15	0	8	37	19-23	83%	26-58	45%	4-20	20%

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13 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paul Millsap F · 6'8" 246 · 29	31.4	17	71%	6	4	0	0	3	2	0	6	8-9	89%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Gustavo Ayon C · 6'10" 250 · 29	30.5	18	82%	10	3	1	0	2	3	3	7	0-0	-	9-11	82%	0-0	-
Lou Williams G · 6'1" 175 · 27	30.5	5	28%	1	2	0	0	1	2	0	1	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-4	0%
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 26	29.6	13	43%	2	6	1	0	2	3	1	1	5-5	100%	4-11	36%	0-2	0%
Kyle Korver F · 6'7" 212 · 33	26.6	8	57%	4	2	2	0	1	3	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-4	50%

Cartier Martin F · 6'7" 220 · 29	22.5	10	50%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Dennis Schröder G · 6'1" 175 · 20	20.4	1	8%	6	2	0	0	0	2	0	6	1-2	50%	0-4	0%	0-1	0%
Mike Scott F · 6'8" 237 · 26	19.6	6	33%	5	2	0	0	2	2	2	3	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-1	0%
Elton Brand F · 6'9" 254 · 35	14.5	5	42%	5	0	1	0	2	4	1	4	3-3	100%	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Shelvin Mack G · 6'3" 203 · 24	14.4	0	0%	3	3	0	0	2	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
DeMarre Carroll F · 6'8" 215 · 28	\| DND - Left Hamstring Strain
Pero Antic F-C · 6'11" 260 · 32	\| DND - Stress Fracture, Right Ankle
Al Horford #15 · C-F · 6'8" 240 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jared Cunningham #7 · G · 6'4" 194 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
John Jenkins #12 · G · 6'4" 215 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	83	46%	45	24	5	0	15	0	8	37	19-23	83%	26-58	45%	4-20	20%

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12 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan G · 6'6" 220 · 25	34.2	31	74%	5	3	2	0	1	4	2	3	7-7	100%	9-16	56%	2-3	67%
Kyle Lowry G · 6'0" 196 · 28	32.4	16	47%	6	13	2	0	3	2	2	4	5-6	83%	4-10	40%	1-4	25%
Patrick Patterson F · 6'9" 230 · 25	30.6	14	44%	6	1	1	0	0	2	3	3	1-2	50%	5-9	56%	1-6	17%
Terrence Ross F · 6'7" 206 · 23	26.5	13	59%	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-8	38%
Jonas Valančiūnas C · 6'11" 265 · 22	23.9	2	11%	14	0	0	1	1	3	5	9	0-0	-	1-9	11%	0-0	-

Greivis Vasquez G · 6'6" 217 · 27	23.5	12	60%	0	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
John Salmons F · 6'6" 210 · 34	21.5	0	0%	4	2	1	0	1	2	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Steve Novak F · 6'10" 225 · 31	18.7	6	60%	2	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-4	50%
Tyler Hansbrough · 6'9" 250 · 28	17.9	8	40%	7	0	0	1	0	1	2	5	4-7	57%	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
Julyan Stone G · 6'6" 200 · 25	3.4	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dwight Buycks G · 6'3" 190 · 25	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Austin Daye F · 6'11" 220 · 26	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Chuck Hayes F-C · 6'6" 240 · 31	2.4	2	100%	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Landry Fields #2 · G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Amir Johnson #15 · C-F · 6'9" 240 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	49%	47	22	8	3	7	0	15	32	17-22	77%	27-61	44%	11-33	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	TOR

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

ATL

0.92 46.1%

TOR

0.97 48.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

22

31

71%

TOR

12

22

55%

Midrange

ATL

4

27

15%

TOR

15

39

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

4

6.0

20

20%

30%

TOR

11

16.5

33

33%

50%

Free Throws

ATL

19

23

83%

TOR

17

22

77%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Ayon	18	82%	9.0 / 11
P. Millsap	17	71%	8.5 / 12
J. Teague	13	43%	6.5 / 15
C. Martin	10	50%	5.0 / 10
K. Korver	8	57%	4.0 / 7
M. Scott	6	33%	3.0 / 9
L. Williams	5	28%	2.5 / 9
E. Brand	5	42%	2.5 / 6
D. Schröder	1	8%	0.5 / 6
S. Mack	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	31	74%	15.5 / 21
K. Lowry	16	47%	8.0 / 17
P. Patterson	14	44%	7.0 / 16
T. Ross	13	59%	6.5 / 11
G. Vasquez	12	60%	6.0 / 10
T. Hansbrough	8	40%	4.0 / 10
S. Novak	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Valančiūnas	2	11%	1.0 / 9
C. Hayes	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Salmons	0	-	0.0 / 1
A. Daye	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 105.6 10 108.7	ATL 90.2 TOR 111.8 +21.6
Pace	11 95.0 23 92.0	ATL 107.0 +25.5 TOR 81.6
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.9 5 16.1	ATL 13.5 −4.2 TOR 17.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	9 51.5% 15 49.8%	ATL 41.0% TOR 46.3% +5.3%
TO %	17 15.2% 9 14.4%	ATL 15.4% TOR 7.2% −8.2%
ORB %	28 21.0% 9 27.2%	ATL 20.0% TOR 28.8% +8.8%
FTrt	21 26.6 6 30.6	ATL 29.5 +6.1 TOR 23.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 66.7% 16 58.1%	ATL 80.0% +22.1% TOR 57.9%
STL %	9 8.7% 25 7.6%	ATL 5.4% TOR 8.6% +3.2%
BLK %	28 6.5% 22 6.9%	ATL 0.0% TOR 5.2% +5.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.23 and 2.23.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 53.7% 13 53.0%	ATL 46.1% TOR 48.6% +2.5%
Rim FG%	10 59.2% 20 57.5%	ATL 71.0% +16.5% TOR 54.5%
Mid FG%	5 41.3% 19 38.7%	ATL 14.8% TOR 38.5% +23.7%
3P %	13 36.3% 9 37.2%	ATL 20.0% TOR 33.3% +13.3%
FT %	6 78.1% 5 78.3%	ATL 82.6% +5.3% TOR 77.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 33.9% 25 33.3%	ATL 39.7% +16.3% TOR 23.4%
Mid Att. %	6 34.5% 16 38.2%	ATL 34.6% −6.9% TOR 41.5%
3P Att. %	2 31.6% 11 28.5%	ATL 25.6% TOR 35.1% +9.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	TOR
Possessions	92	93
Possession Minutes	20.6	27.4
Points	83	104
Rebounds	45	47
Assists	24	22
Steals	5	8
Blocks	0	3
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	7 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (5)	15 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (1)	32 (4)
Field Goals	30-78	38-94
At-the-Rim FG	22-31	12-22
Midrange FG	4-27	15-39
2-Point FG	26-58	27-61
3-Point FG	4-20	11-33
Free Throws	19-23	17-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg