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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 12, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Hawks38%10083
14Raptors62%105104
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 29.0
31
32
17
6
4
0
2
0
3
0
6
8-9
89%
3-5
5-11
60%
48%
1-3
33%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 28.9
31
19
18
10
3
1
1
0
2
3
7
0-0
-
9-11
2-4
82%
50%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.3
30
26
5
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
43%
0-4
0%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 25.7
30
30
13
2
6
1
1
0
2
1
1
5-5
100%
4-11
4-10
36%
46%
0-2
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 32.9
27
34
8
4
2
2
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
2-4
50%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.2
22
6
10
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
3-5
0-1
60%
40%
1-4
25%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 20.4
20
5
1
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
6
1-2
50%
0-4
0-1
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 25.6
20
19
6
5
2
0
0
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
3-8
3-5
38%
50%
0-1
0%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 34.9
15
23
5
5
0
1
1
0
2
1
4
3-3
100%
1-5
3-6
20%
48%
0-0
-
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 23.8
14
11
0
3
3
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
0-1
0%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.5
32
1
3-6
50%
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 31.5
8
0
0-1
49%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.7
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 22.7
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 24.5
34
37
31
5
3
2
1
0
1
2
3
7-7
100%
9-16
8-16
56%
48%
2-3
67%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 27.9
32
36
16
6
13
2
2
0
3
2
4
5-6
83%
4-10
4-7
40%
48%
1-4
25%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.9
31
26
14
6
1
1
1
0
0
3
3
1-2
50%
5-9
4-7
56%
53%
1-6
17%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 23.0
27
29
13
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
47%
3-8
38%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 21.8
24
27
2
14
0
0
0
1
1
5
9
0-0
-
1-9
5-8
11%
54%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 27.1
23
18
12
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
47%
2-4
50%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 34.2
21
18
0
4
2
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-1
0%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 30.7
19
11
6
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
2-4
50%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 28.3
18
11
8
7
0
0
0
1
0
2
5
4-7
57%
2-6
1-2
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 25.2
3
2
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Dwight Buycks
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.9
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.7
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-2
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 30.7
2
9
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.6
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 26.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.