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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 12, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Spurs60%100104
23Celtics40%9792
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.5
37.1
27.1
11
56%
4
5
3
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
49%
1-1
100%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.9
35.8
23.6
16
62%
11
8
0
1
0
1
0
11
2-2
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
49%
2-4
50%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.8
35.3
24.0
25
67%
9
2
0
1
1
3
1
8
7-8
88%
9-15
5-10
60%
50%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.8
31.5
23.3
18
72%
3
4
0
1
0
2
1
2
1-1
100%
7-10
3-5
70%
56%
1-2
50%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.6
30.8
24.9
7
50%
5
5
1
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
46%
1-2
50%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.5
19.5
18.9
16
60%
2
0
2
1
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
51%
3-8
38%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33.9
18.6
15.0
7
50%
4
0
2
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
1-1
40%
49%
1-2
50%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 28.2
11.6
6.7
2
33%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.8
10.6
15.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
53%
0-0
-
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 26.6
9.2
22.0
2
33%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.7
23.8
1
5-10
51%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.1
11.8
0
2-3
56%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.2
11.7
0
2-4
49%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.6
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.5
34.6
36.5
10
28%
2
3
1
1
0
4
1
1
1-2
50%
3-13
5-10
23%
46%
1-4
25%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 28.0
31.1
19.1
16
114%
2
4
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
3-6
100%
48%
4-5
80%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 31.6
28.8
24.2
6
33%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-8
1-3
38%
51%
0-1
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 28.8
21.1
23.0
12
68%
5
1
0
0
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
5-8
4-7
63%
48%
0-0
-
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 21.9
18.5
32.6
4
22%
7
0
0
1
0
2
5
2
0-0
-
2-7
5-11
29%
49%
0-2
0%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 22.8
30.9
19.7
15
57%
10
2
0
0
1
1
1
9
3-5
60%
6-8
2-5
75%
47%
0-3
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.5
25.1
21.9
11
70%
5
9
1
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
5-7
2-6
71%
43%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.0
22.6
15.8
15
64%
6
2
0
0
1
1
0
6
5-6
83%
5-9
2-5
56%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Johnson
F · 6'6" 206 · 23.8
13.8
18.0
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-1
0%
Phil Pressey
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.0
10.6
15.6
3
150%
0
1
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
37%
1-1
100%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 31.5
2.9
1.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
48%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.2
14.1
1
2-5
46%
Vitor Faverani
C · 6'11" 260 · 25.8
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 33.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.