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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 12, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Cavaliers
93
22Pistons
89
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.8
36
28
4
7
1
1
1
0
2
2
5
4-6
67%
0-6
4-9
0%
46%
0-3
0%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 21.9
36
33
23
5
4
3
1
0
2
2
3
9-9
100%
4-13
5-11
31%
47%
2-3
67%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 22.9
34
29
25
15
1
0
1
0
0
6
9
1-3
33%
12-16
4-9
75%
47%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.3
28
17
9
2
8
2
0
0
1
0
2
2-3
67%
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
1-2
50%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.1
22
17
8
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
47%
0-0
-
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.2
20
28
9
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-4
0%
3-5
5-10
60%
45%
1-3
33%
Anthony Bennett
F · 6'8" 245 · 20.9
15
20
2
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 23.9
14
10
0
5
0
2
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 23.4
13
14
3
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
3-3
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 26.1
12
4
5
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1-2
50%
2-4
0-1
50%
44%
0-1
0%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 26.9
9
14
5
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
46%
1-2
50%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 26.7
3
11
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 20.3
3
0
0-0
45%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 31.4
Carrick Felix
G-F · 6'6" 201 · 23.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.8
41
34
12
7
1
0
1
0
0
1
6
8-8
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
51%
0-4
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 28.2
40
37
18
10
3
0
2
4
2
1
9
3-6
50%
6-12
7-13
50%
51%
1-3
33%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 24.4
36
35
9
4
5
0
2
0
2
1
3
0-2
0%
0-3
4-10
0%
45%
3-11
27%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 20.5
35
30
16
17
1
2
1
0
2
10
7
2-3
67%
7-12
6-9
58%
62%
0-1
0%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 23.7
35
32
16
9
5
1
1
1
3
2
7
2-4
50%
7-13
6-11
54%
54%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.1
20
10
12
2
4
1
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
5-8
2-3
63%
49%
0-2
0%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 27.0
13
8
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
53%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.8
12
27
4
1
0
1
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
5-11
25%
48%
0-1
0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.0
9
16
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 37.4
4
0
0-0
44%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 29.5
3
0
0-1
48%
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.2
1
0
0-0
50%
Tony Mitchell
· 6'8" 216 · 21.9
Peyton Siva
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.3
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 25.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.