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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 19, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Pistons42%9998
26Bobcats58%102116
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 28.2
41
36
14
4
4
0
1
2
1
0
4
0-1
0%
7-15
6-13
47%
48%
0-3
0%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 24.4
35
36
20
4
6
3
1
0
2
1
3
2-4
50%
3-10
4-9
30%
42%
4-8
50%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 20.5
33
33
8
6
0
1
1
0
2
3
3
0-0
-
4-7
6-10
57%
59%
0-0
-
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 23.7
31
34
13
7
0
2
1
2
0
2
5
3-4
75%
5-15
6-12
33%
51%
0-0
-
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.8
29
37
10
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
48%
2-4
50%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.8
23
19
15
3
1
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
45%
1-1
100%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.1
21
18
14
2
8
0
1
0
2
0
2
3-5
60%
4-8
3-6
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 27.0
20
8
4
4
1
0
0
1
0
0
4
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
51%
0-1
0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.0
3
12
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Tony Mitchell
· 6'8" 216 · 21.9
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
46%
0-0
-
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.2
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 25.0
4
0
0-1
48%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 29.5
3
0
0-1
45%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 37.4
Peyton Siva
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 23.8
41
38
24
5
16
2
2
1
4
0
5
5-5
100%
5-12
5-11
42%
47%
3-8
38%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 29.1
32
34
29
8
1
0
1
1
2
1
7
5-8
63%
12-20
10-20
60%
51%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 27.0
31
30
15
5
5
1
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
52%
3-4
75%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.2
26
31
11
8
0
0
1
0
1
0
8
0-0
-
4-4
5-11
100%
47%
1-3
33%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 20.4
24
22
11
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
5-6
83%
3-5
3-5
60%
49%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.9
28
22
10
3
10
0
1
0
3
0
3
3-4
75%
2-5
3-6
40%
46%
1-2
50%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.7
18
26
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
48%
0-3
0%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 21.4
17
15
7
4
0
1
0
3
2
1
3
1-2
50%
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 21.5
13
11
1
8
0
0
0
5
1
3
5
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
0-0
-
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 27.1
3
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 34.3
3
3
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 28.0
3
2
0
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.9
4
0
0-1
44%
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 24.7
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 34.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.