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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 19, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Pacers48%9691
8Timberwolves52%97104
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 23.5
37
34
10
10
4
0
1
0
2
2
8
0-2
0%
5-11
4-8
45%
52%
0-4
0%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.8
36
30
35
11
2
3
1
1
7
1
10
10-10
100%
8-16
4-10
50%
47%
3-6
50%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 27.8
32
26
13
6
1
1
1
1
2
0
6
3-4
75%
2-5
2-4
40%
49%
2-3
67%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.5
27
29
4
7
3
2
1
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
2-10
6-11
20%
49%
0-0
-
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 27.2
24
27
4
5
2
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
4-8
40%
47%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 27.3
23
20
5
1
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 30.8
18
23
2
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
43%
0-2
0%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.8
15
19
6
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
44%
0-2
0%
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 29.9
11
4
6
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
0-1
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 33.8
10
14
2
3
0
0
0
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
47%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 34.7
3
5
2
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
41%
0-1
0%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.1
3
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 24.9
3
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 26.3
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 22.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 25.5
37
31
42
16
1
1
1
0
3
1
15
9-10
90%
9-12
5-11
75%
47%
5-10
50%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.3
33
31
6
7
17
2
2
0
2
1
6
2-6
33%
2-10
2-6
20%
38%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 31.1
30
27
11
4
0
1
1
2
0
1
3
1-8
13%
5-7
2-4
71%
53%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 25.7
28
23
5
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
44%
1-5
20%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 28.0
28
31
12
1
1
3
2
0
0
0
1
2-3
67%
5-9
4-7
56%
50%
0-1
0%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.4
25
14
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.8
24
22
10
7
0
1
1
2
2
2
5
2-2
100%
4-9
3-7
44%
46%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.7
15
17
12
1
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
6-9
2-5
67%
45%
0-1
0%
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 25.2
14
10
6
4
1
0
0
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
40%
0-2
0%
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 24.1
4
8
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Robbie Hummel
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.0
1
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Shabazz Muhammad
G-F · 6'6" 221 · 21.3
1
6
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.4
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 28.1
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 31.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.