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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 19, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Spurs39%103111
11Trail Blazers61%107109
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.7
36
34
16
7
1
1
1
3
3
0
7
3-3
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
46%
3-7
43%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.9
35
28
20
4
1
1
1
0
2
2
2
2-2
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
48%
4-6
67%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.8
31
30
11
5
2
2
1
1
2
3
2
0-0
-
4-11
4-7
36%
55%
1-3
33%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.1
26
8
15
6
2
1
0
0
2
0
6
5-9
56%
5-9
1-2
56%
55%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.5
24
26
0
2
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.5
29
24
29
3
2
2
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
12-21
3-6
57%
51%
1-5
20%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.6
19
18
16
5
4
1
1
0
3
1
4
4-5
80%
6-8
2-4
75%
50%
0-2
0%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.8
14
14
2
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 28.2
13
10
0
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33.9
8
11
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 26.7
4
8
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.8
34
1
7-14
49%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.2
8
0
1-2
48%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.6
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 25.2
40
36
8
5
5
1
1
2
4
0
5
3-4
75%
1-5
3-5
20%
52%
1-3
33%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.6
38
33
31
4
6
0
1
0
2
1
3
4-5
80%
12-18
4-8
67%
46%
1-3
33%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 27.4
37
33
18
5
3
3
1
0
1
1
4
4-7
57%
4-13
3-7
31%
49%
2-5
40%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 25.9
34
32
11
14
1
0
0
2
2
6
8
3-4
75%
4-11
4-8
36%
53%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 28.2
20
8
10
5
0
2
0
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 31.2
26
23
19
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
7-12
2-6
58%
44%
1-2
50%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 22.9
23
6
10
9
0
0
0
0
2
2
7
2-3
67%
4-6
1-2
67%
46%
0-1
0%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.4
14
18
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 25.5
7
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-2
0%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 28.6
35
1
9-19
49%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 34.7
6
0
0-0
41%
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 21.9
2
0
0-0
45%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 23.1
1
0
0-0
45%
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 27.0
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 22.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.