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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 19, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Rockets71%109134
22Lakers29%102108
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 24.5
32
36
29
6
11
4
1
1
1
1
5
4-6
67%
5-11
5-9
45%
51%
5-7
71%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.3
31
34
18
5
2
2
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
6-11
4-8
55%
56%
2-3
67%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 25.6
29
19
10
3
5
3
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
47%
2-6
33%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.2
28
36
20
13
1
2
1
3
4
6
7
2-6
33%
9-14
8-13
64%
59%
0-0
-
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 22.1
21
29
11
5
0
0
1
0
1
2
3
2-6
33%
3-7
5-9
43%
56%
1-1
100%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.6
23
10
7
12
1
0
0
0
0
5
7
1-2
50%
3-6
1-2
50%
54%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.5
21
33
9
3
2
1
1
0
4
1
2
1-2
50%
1-5
3-7
20%
51%
2-6
33%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 23.4
19
19
12
5
1
2
0
1
1
2
3
0-1
0%
3-7
2-4
43%
55%
2-4
50%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 32.1
19
13
11
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
48%
3-5
60%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.7
12
7
7
2
3
1
0
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
1-1
33%
49%
1-2
50%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 29.1
5
9
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-1
0%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.1
3
0
0-1
59%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.9
2
0
0-0
45%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 22.8
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 22.5
43
34
20
1
16
3
1
0
4
0
1
2-4
50%
3-7
2-6
43%
45%
4-6
67%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 26.6
42
36
24
7
1
2
1
0
2
0
7
2-3
67%
5-7
4-7
71%
47%
4-6
67%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.5
34
8
19
1
2
1
0
0
3
0
1
3-3
100%
5-8
1-1
63%
48%
2-6
33%
Ryan Kelly
F · 6'11" 230 · 22.9
29
19
13
3
3
0
0
2
1
1
2
4-4
100%
3-9
2-3
33%
49%
1-5
20%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 31.8
22
29
9
4
2
0
1
1
1
0
4
1-1
100%
4-11
6-13
36%
49%
0-0
-
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 26.6
26
18
10
7
0
3
0
1
2
1
6
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
52%
0-0
-
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.7
24
14
4
6
1
1
0
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
48%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 27.2
20
9
9
3
4
0
0
0
6
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
3-4
75%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 40.0
12
0
2-3
50%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 33.6
10
0
2-5
48%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 28.7
9
0
1-3
46%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 22.9
6
0
1-2
44%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 34.0
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 35.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.