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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 20, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Heat41%100103
1Thunder59%10481
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 29.9
39
33
24
8
3
3
1
1
3
0
8
11-12
92%
5-7
5-10
71%
52%
1-2
50%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 32.1
37
30
24
7
10
3
1
0
3
2
5
2-2
100%
11-17
6-11
65%
51%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 29.1
33
38
33
7
3
4
2
0
8
1
6
2-5
40%
14-17
8-14
82%
57%
1-5
20%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.8
33
30
9
2
3
2
2
0
2
0
2
0-1
0%
3-4
2-5
75%
48%
1-3
33%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.4
32
22
2
4
0
2
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-6
0%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 38.6
25
23
6
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.4
21
23
5
2
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
44%
1-2
50%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.6
21
23
0
8
1
0
1
2
1
2
6
0-0
-
0-0
3-4
-
61%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.1
8
0
1-3
45%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 26.1
5
0
1-2
53%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.7
4
0
0-1
46%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.9
4
0
0-1
42%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 34.5
3
0
0-0
45%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.4
39
39
28
8
3
2
1
0
5
1
7
7-10
70%
9-16
9-16
56%
55%
1-6
17%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.4
35
34
14
8
1
0
0
1
2
5
3
4-6
67%
5-10
6-12
50%
56%
0-1
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.8
26
27
2
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
51%
0-0
-
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.3
24
31
14
5
2
3
1
0
4
3
2
8-10
80%
3-9
6-12
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 29.3
8
21
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 23.8
37
31
11
3
5
2
1
1
3
0
3
3-3
100%
4-7
5-10
57%
51%
0-2
0%
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.4
21
9
8
5
1
0
0
0
2
1
4
1-1
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
51%
1-1
100%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.7
21
23
2
1
2
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
51%
0-6
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 39.5
15
18
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
41%
0-2
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 33.3
11
18
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
58%
0-0
-
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.6
2
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.2
2
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 27.0
2
0
0-0
57%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.