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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 21, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Mavericks78%112124
3076ers22%101112
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.3
34
35
11
3
4
1
2
0
7
0
3
2-5
40%
3-8
6-12
38%
50%
1-4
25%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 35.8
31
28
22
7
3
2
1
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
11-12
3-6
92%
52%
0-2
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.4
30
27
8
3
10
1
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
2-4
50%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 35.7
27
33
25
7
4
0
1
1
2
1
6
2-2
100%
4-5
6-12
80%
52%
5-7
71%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 33.8
16
19
6
6
1
0
1
2
1
0
6
2-2
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
54%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37.1
21
24
7
9
2
2
1
1
0
0
9
4-5
80%
0-1
3-6
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.0
20
18
9
2
7
1
1
0
3
0
2
3-5
60%
3-3
2-4
100%
50%
0-1
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24.8
16
9
18
4
0
0
0
1
3
1
3
4-4
100%
7-9
2-3
78%
55%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.4
15
19
6
6
1
0
1
1
3
3
3
0-0
-
3-4
4-7
75%
62%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.2
13
4
6
0
4
1
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
2-2
0-1
100%
46%
0-2
0%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.6
12
14
4
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
52%
0-0
-
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 21.4
3
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 29.0
2
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
54%
0-0
-
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.4
Gal Mekel
G · 6'3" 191 · 26.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.7
43
28
30
13
6
7
1
0
5
6
7
4-4
100%
10-22
5-9
45%
52%
2-7
29%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.4
38
31
25
5
6
0
2
0
2
2
3
7-9
78%
9-16
5-11
56%
45%
0-3
0%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 24.9
37
29
9
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
2
2-3
67%
2-3
2-5
67%
53%
1-5
20%
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.3
31
15
6
5
2
2
0
0
0
2
3
0-1
0%
3-5
2-3
60%
51%
0-0
-
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.7
27
21
10
0
4
3
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
1-4
25%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 20.9
29
22
21
4
2
1
1
0
5
2
2
9-13
69%
6-12
4-8
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 22.9
19
7
7
5
0
0
0
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
53%
1-1
100%
Lorenzo Brown
G · 6'5" 189 · 23.5
16
3
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
2-2
0-1
100%
44%
0-3
0%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 30.8
20
1
2-4
42%
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 23.9
13
0
2-3
47%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 26.7
1
0
0-0
38%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 25.0
1
0
0-0
39%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 19.9
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 33.1
Brandon Davies
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.