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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 21, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Spurs
85
11Suns
106
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.7
30
34
15
2
1
0
1
0
3
1
1
1-2
50%
4-6
2-4
67%
47%
2-6
33%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.9
27
30
10
3
4
1
1
0
0
0
3
8-8
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
49%
0-4
0%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.5
25
25
11
3
0
0
1
0
4
1
2
3-4
75%
4-6
3-5
67%
48%
0-2
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.9
23
29
2
5
2
1
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-5
4-7
20%
55%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.8
21
21
13
5
0
1
0
0
2
0
5
5-5
100%
4-9
4-9
44%
49%
0-1
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.5
25
26
4
6
1
1
1
0
3
2
4
0-0
-
2-8
4-7
25%
52%
0-6
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33.9
25
10
10
6
0
0
0
0
1
1
5
4-4
100%
3-5
0-1
60%
49%
0-1
0%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.2
17
6
4
6
1
0
0
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 28.2
17
11
4
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-6
1-3
17%
45%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.6
13
18
6
3
1
1
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.8
10
14
0
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
53%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.1
6
16
6
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
55%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.7
2
0
0-0
42%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.7
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 30.8
37
31
17
8
1
3
1
1
0
1
7
1-2
50%
5-5
2-4
100%
48%
2-7
29%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.8
29
34
8
2
5
0
1
0
4
1
1
2-4
50%
3-10
5-10
30%
51%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 28.1
26
30
13
6
1
1
1
0
1
2
4
3-5
60%
5-9
3-7
56%
48%
0-5
0%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 28.8
24
33
4
5
2
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 25.5
19
19
4
4
1
0
0
0
2
2
2
2-2
100%
1-1
3-5
100%
49%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.6
31
13
15
7
4
2
1
2
1
1
6
1-2
50%
7-8
2-4
88%
41%
0-1
0%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 24.5
25
31
21
5
5
3
1
2
1
0
5
4-6
67%
7-8
5-10
88%
47%
1-2
50%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.5
25
20
13
2
0
1
1
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
48%
2-6
33%
Archie Goodwin
G · 6'5" 205 · 19.5
14
3
9
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
3-3
100%
3-4
0-1
75%
47%
0-1
0%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 20.7
7
8
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Dionte Christmas
· 6'5" 205 · 27.4
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-1
0%
Viacheslav Kravtsov
C · 6'11" 254 · 26.5
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 31.2
12
0
2-3
46%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 31.4
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.