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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 25, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Thunder42%103119
7Mavericks58%106128
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.5
51
35
43
5
6
1
1
0
5
1
4
8-8
100%
10-16
7-13
63%
53%
5-11
45%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.4
33
11
23
7
8
3
1
0
8
1
6
5-6
83%
6-12
2-4
50%
47%
2-6
33%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.5
33
33
10
5
1
0
0
1
1
2
3
0-2
0%
5-9
6-12
56%
55%
0-0
-
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.3
13
17
0
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.7
11
20
2
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
51%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 23.9
41
31
11
5
8
1
1
0
2
0
5
1-1
100%
5-7
4-8
71%
49%
0-4
0%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 34.0
34
27
10
4
1
2
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
44%
2-6
33%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 39.6
27
22
13
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
40%
3-6
50%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 33.4
22
20
7
7
1
1
0
0
2
4
3
1-2
50%
3-7
2-3
43%
57%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.8
16
1
2-4
48%
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.5
8
0
1-1
50%
Mustafa Shakur
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.6
3
0
0-1
42%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 27.1
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.9
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 29.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.4
43
33
17
3
5
4
2
0
4
1
2
5-7
71%
6-12
5-11
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 35.9
41
30
11
6
2
1
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
4-7
4-7
57%
52%
1-4
25%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 35.8
39
31
32
10
6
4
1
1
6
1
9
8-8
100%
9-15
6-11
60%
51%
2-8
25%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.5
37
16
22
4
8
0
0
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
6-9
67%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 33.9
21
23
10
7
1
1
1
1
2
4
3
0-0
-
5-6
3-6
83%
53%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37.2
26
24
16
5
1
2
1
1
4
0
5
4-6
67%
0-2
2-5
0%
44%
4-9
44%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.5
21
18
3
6
2
2
0
1
1
3
3
1-2
50%
1-3
4-6
33%
62%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.1
18
28
5
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
48%
0-1
0%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.7
12
14
10
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
50%
2-4
50%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24.9
8
6
2
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
54%
0-0
-
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 21.5
7
0
1-1
43%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.3
3
0
0-1
46%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 29.1
2
0
0-0
50%
Gal Mekel
G · 6'3" 191 · 26.1
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.