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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 30, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Pacers66%9876
24Cavaliers34%9290
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.9
38.4
36.7
15
52%
7
4
5
2
0
4
1
6
2-3
67%
2-4
5-11
50%
49%
3-9
33%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 27.9
36.4
36.0
9
42%
7
6
2
1
0
2
2
5
2-4
50%
2-6
3-5
33%
51%
1-3
33%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.6
35.1
32.0
14
41%
4
2
0
1
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
6-16
6-11
38%
51%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 23.6
33.5
32.4
11
56%
7
3
0
1
0
1
2
5
1-2
50%
2-4
4-8
50%
54%
2-5
40%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 27.3
23.5
29.6
6
29%
5
1
0
0
2
3
4
1
2-3
67%
2-9
4-9
22%
49%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 33.9
17.6
13.7
6
50%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 27.4
15.8
15.3
1
27%
4
0
1
0
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.2
14.5
9.6
5
42%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
46%
1-2
50%
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 30.0
10.9
6.0
5
83%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
51%
1-2
50%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 25.4
10.4
17.5
4
40%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 25.1
1.3
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.0
1.3
2.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
54%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 34.9
1.3
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
45%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.9
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 26.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.4
35.5
34.2
11
46%
6
9
1
1
1
0
0
6
2-2
100%
3-9
4-8
33%
45%
1-2
50%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.0
35.5
31.4
15
53%
5
3
1
1
0
3
1
4
3-5
60%
6-10
4-8
60%
45%
0-2
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 25.9
33.1
22.4
13
66%
5
0
0
0
0
4
1
4
2-2
100%
4-7
3-5
57%
47%
1-2
50%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.3
33.1
37.8
19
48%
1
1
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
8-16
6-13
50%
45%
1-4
25%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 23.0
30.4
24.3
12
51%
16
1
2
0
0
1
6
10
4-4
100%
4-10
3-6
40%
47%
0-0
-
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 23.6
30.0
27.8
11
71%
2
6
0
1
0
2
1
1
3-4
75%
1-2
2-3
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.2
16.4
10.5
3
39%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 31.5
13.5
25.8
6
77%
6
0
0
1
0
1
0
6
2-2
100%
2-3
3-7
67%
50%
0-0
-
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 26.8
12.5
14.6
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 27.0
3.9
0
0-1
45%
Anthony Bennett
F · 6'8" 245 · 21.0
3.7
0
0-1
42%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.6
3.3
0
0-1
39%
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 20.4
2.1
0
0-0
42%
Carrick Felix
G-F · 6'6" 201 · 23.6
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 22.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.