Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, March 30, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 3 | Thunder | 82% | 109 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Timberwolves | 49% | 104 | 99 |
 | 15 | Nets | 51% | 105 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Raptors | 63% | 101 | 98 |
 | 26 | Magic | 37% | 97 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Bulls | 60% | 96 | 107 |
 | 22 | Celtics | 40% | 93 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Knicks | 30% | 98 | 89 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 28 | Lakers | 31% | 103 | 115 |
Saturday, March 29, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Pistons | 56% | 106 | 98 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 6 | Mavericks | 82% | 110 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Heat | 69% | 104 | 88 |
 | 28 | Bucks | 31% | 97 | 67 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Pelicans | 18% | 93 | 80 |
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Friday, March 28, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Bobcats | 57% | 98 | 105 |
| 27 | Magic | 43% | 96 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Celtics | 32% | 97 | 103 |
| 13 | Raptors | 68% | 104 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 54% | 97 | 78 |
| 17 | Wizards | 46% | 96 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Cavaliers | 30% | 96 | 97 |
| 15 | Nets | 70% | 103 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Heat | 69% | 105 | 110 |
| 23 | Pistons | 31% | 98 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 38% | 96 | 91 |
| 12 | Bulls | 62% | 100 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Lakers | 17% | 101 | 107 |
| 9 | Timberwolves | 83% | 114 | 143 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Jazz | 34% | 97 | 95 |
| 18 | Pelicans | 66% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | 21% | 98 | 81 |
| 4 | Thunder | 79% | 109 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 69% | 108 | 133 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Knicks | 35% | 101 | 88 |
| 11 | Suns | 65% | 106 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 38% | 94 | 93 |
| 6 | Warriors | 62% | 98 | 100 |
Thursday, March 27, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 56% | 107 | 100 |
| 20 | Hawks | 44% | 104 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 10% | 98 | 98 |
| 5 | Rockets | 90% | 115 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Lakers | 47% | 105 | 105 |
| 28 | Bucks | 53% | 106 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clippers | 47% | 106 | 109 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 53% | 107 | 103 |
Wednesday, March 26, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nets | 49% | 98 | 111 |
| 20 | Bobcats | 51% | 99 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Suns | 49% | 103 | 99 |
| 17 | Wizards | 51% | 104 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Raptors | 55% | 101 | 99 |
| 23 | Celtics | 45% | 99 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Cavaliers | 37% | 100 | 97 |
| 22 | Pistons | 63% | 104 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 33% | 103 | 83 |
| 9 | Timberwolves | 67% | 109 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clippers | 70% | 107 | 96 |
| 19 | Pelicans | 30% | 100 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Heat | 51% | 96 | 83 |
| 10 | Pacers | 49% | 95 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nuggets | 21% | 99 | 103 |
| 2 | Spurs | 79% | 110 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Knicks | 51% | 100 | 107 |
| 24 | Kings | 49% | 99 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 69% | 99 | 91 |
| 26 | Jazz | 31% | 92 | 87 |
Tuesday, March 25, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Raptors | 64% | 102 | 100 |
| 25 | Cavaliers | 36% | 97 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 59% | 104 | 85 |
| 27 | Magic | 41% | 101 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thunder | 42% | 103 | 119 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 58% | 106 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Knicks | 61% | 108 | 96 |
| 29 | Lakers | 39% | 104 | 127 |
Monday, March 24, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 62% | 103 | 100 |
| 20 | Bobcats | 38% | 99 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 47% | 103 | 102 |
| 17 | Hawks | 53% | 104 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 29% | 101 | 91 |
| 4 | Heat | 71% | 108 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 45% | 90 | 77 |
| 11 | Bulls | 55% | 92 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 38% | 97 | 92 |
| 8 | Grizzlies | 62% | 101 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nets | 46% | 99 | 104 |
| 19 | Pelicans | 54% | 100 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nuggets | 18% | 100 | 96 |
| 3 | Thunder | 82% | 112 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 7% | 93 | 91 |
| 2 | Spurs | 93% | 113 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pistons | 49% | 103 | 114 |
| 25 | Jazz | 51% | 104 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bucks | 9% | 96 | 98 |
| 1 | Clippers | 91% | 114 | 106 |
Sunday, March 23, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 37% | 100 | 86 |
| 12 | Raptors | 63% | 104 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Suns | 37% | 103 | 127 |
| 9 | Timberwolves | 63% | 107 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wizards | 51% | 106 | 102 |
| 22 | Nuggets | 49% | 105 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bucks | 36% | 99 | 107 |
| 21 | Kings | 64% | 104 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nets | 33% | 100 | 107 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 67% | 106 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 23% | 95 | 106 |
| 14 | Knicks | 77% | 105 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 40% | 101 | 94 |
| 28 | Lakers | 60% | 105 | 103 |
Saturday, March 22, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 54% | 104 | 94 |
| 22 | Bobcats | 46% | 102 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 71% | 106 | 118 |
| 27 | Cavaliers | 29% | 98 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 15% | 90 | 81 |
| 11 | Bulls | 85% | 104 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 42% | 90 | 71 |
| 8 | Grizzlies | 58% | 92 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Heat | 65% | 102 | 95 |
| 20 | Pelicans | 35% | 97 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 44% | 98 | 88 |
| 25 | Jazz | 56% | 100 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 41% | 100 | 99 |
| 5 | Warriors | 59% | 104 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pistons | 15% | 97 | 103 |
| 2 | Clippers | 85% | 111 | 112 |
Friday, March 21, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bulls | 40% | 89 | 79 |
| 10 | Pacers | 60% | 92 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Knicks | 75% | 109 | 93 |
| 30 | 76ers | 25% | 100 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thunder | 47% | 101 | 119 |
| 12 | Raptors | 53% | 102 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pelicans | 35% | 100 | 111 |
| 17 | Hawks | 65% | 106 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Celtics | 32% | 96 | 98 |
| 13 | Nets | 68% | 103 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 35% | 93 | 86 |
| 3 | Heat | 65% | 98 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nuggets | 27% | 103 | 106 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 73% | 111 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pistons | 29% | 101 | 92 |
| 15 | Suns | 71% | 108 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 70% | 105 | 99 |
| 19 | Kings | 30% | 98 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wizards | 55% | 105 | 117 |
| 29 | Lakers | 45% | 103 | 107 |
Thursday, March 20, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Thunder | 74% | 105 | 102 |
| 26 | Cavaliers | 26% | 96 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Timberwolves | 37% | 103 | 106 |
| 5 | Rockets | 63% | 108 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wizards | 39% | 103 | 103 |
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 61% | 107 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bucks | 19% | 95 | 110 |
| 8 | Warriors | 81% | 107 | 115 |
Wednesday, March 19, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bulls | 80% | 103 | 102 |
| 30 | 76ers | 20% | 92 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Heat | 61% | 100 | 96 |
| 23 | Celtics | 39% | 97 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bobcats | 36% | 96 | 99 |
| 15 | Nets | 64% | 100 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Jazz | 23% | 90 | 86 |
| 9 | Grizzlies | 77% | 100 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Raptors | 54% | 101 | 107 |
| 20 | Pelicans | 46% | 99 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 57% | 98 | 86 |
| 18 | Knicks | 43% | 95 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Timberwolves | 43% | 106 | 123 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 57% | 108 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pistons | 39% | 105 | 109 |
| 19 | Nuggets | 61% | 109 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 22% | 96 | 93 |
| 13 | Suns | 78% | 107 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 78% | 110 | 125 |
| 29 | Lakers | 22% | 100 | 109 |
Tuesday, March 18, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 74% | 105 | 100 |
| 26 | Cavaliers | 26% | 96 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Raptors | 52% | 102 | 113 |
| 16 | Hawks | 48% | 101 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bucks | 23% | 100 | 115 |
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 77% | 110 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 54% | 102 | 111 |
| 22 | Kings | 46% | 101 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 20% | 97 | 89 |
| 6 | Warriors | 80% | 108 | 103 |
Monday, March 17, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 53% | 100 | 97 |
| 19 | Bobcats | 47% | 99 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 11% | 91 | 90 |
| 10 | Pacers | 89% | 108 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Suns | 41% | 101 | 95 |
| 15 | Nets | 59% | 104 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thunder | 44% | 95 | 97 |
| 12 | Bulls | 56% | 97 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Jazz | 18% | 97 | 86 |
| 4 | Rockets | 82% | 109 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Celtics | 23% | 98 | 89 |
| 8 | Mavericks | 77% | 108 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Clippers | 63% | 109 | 100 |
| 20 | Nuggets | 37% | 105 | 110 |